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First Merchants (FRME)
:FRME

First Merchants (FRME) AI Stock Analysis

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First Merchants

(NASDAQ:FRME)

76Outperform
First Merchants Corporation's stock scores well due to its strong financial performance, robust valuation, and positive earnings call outcomes. The company has demonstrated solid growth and efficient cost management, although some challenges in profitability margins and specific business segments remain. Technical indicators suggest cautious optimism, but the overall outlook is favorable with attractive valuation metrics.

First Merchants (FRME) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

First Merchants Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Merchants Corporation operates as the financial holding company for First Merchants Bank that provides community banking services. It accepts time, savings, and demand deposits; and provides consumer, commercial, agri-business, and real estate mortgage loans, as well as public finance. The company also offers personal and corporate trust; brokerage and private wealth management; and letters of credit, repurchase agreements, and other corporate services. It operates 109 banking locations in Indiana, Illinois, Ohio, and Michigan counties. The company also offers its services through electronic and mobile delivery channels. First Merchants Corporation was founded in 1893 and is headquartered in Muncie, Indiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Merchants Corporation makes money primarily through interest income and non-interest income. Interest income is generated from loans, including commercial, residential, and consumer loans, where the bank earns interest from borrowers. Non-interest income comes from service charges on deposit accounts, fees from wealth management services, mortgage banking income, and other financial service fees. The bank also invests in securities which contribute to their interest income. Additionally, First Merchants benefits from strategic partnerships and acquisitions that expand their market presence and customer base, enhancing revenue generation opportunities.

First Merchants Financial Statement Overview

Summary
First Merchants demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and a robust balance sheet. While profitability margins have faced some pressure, the absence of debt in recent years enhances stability. Overall, the company maintains a healthy cash flow position, but continued focus on optimizing profitability and liquidity management will be beneficial.
Income Statement
75
Positive
First Merchants has shown consistent revenue growth over the years with a notable increase from $492 million in 2020 to $948 million in 2024. The gross profit margin has remained stable, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has seen fluctuations, decreasing slightly in 2024 compared to prior years, which may indicate rising costs or expenses impacting net income.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet of First Merchants is robust, with a strong equity position and no total debt reported in 2024, contributing to a favorable debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio has remained stable, indicating solid financial health. However, fluctuations in cash and equivalents suggest potential liquidity management challenges.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The company's cash flow is generally strong, with a positive free cash flow trend, enabling continued investment and financing activities. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased slightly, indicating potential challenges in converting earnings into cash. Investment cash flow has been negative, reflecting ongoing investments in business growth.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
948.01M651.00M628.14M520.00M492.05M
Gross Profit
948.01M654.31M628.14M520.00M492.05M
EBIT
940.62M259.23M340.48M240.79M169.97M
EBITDA
0.00270.94M267.49M251.49M180.98M
Net Income Common Stockholders
201.40M223.79M222.09M205.53M148.60M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.47B2.18B248.66M2.99B2.50B
Total Assets
18.31B18.41B17.94B15.45B14.07B
Total Debt
916.08M871.50M974.97M452.67M507.81M
Net Debt
529.58M322.77M726.32M-188.63M-77.39M
Total Liabilities
16.01B16.16B15.90B13.54B12.19B
Stockholders Equity
2.30B2.25B2.03B1.91B1.88B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
266.21M258.83M268.05M143.11M204.81M
Operating Cash Flow
266.21M258.83M268.05M207.38M204.81M
Investing Cash Flow
-252.42M-344.43M-446.44M-1.47B-1.55B
Financing Cash Flow
-38.82M75.65M133.84M1.24B1.36B

First Merchants Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price36.91
Price Trends
50DMA
41.36
Negative
100DMA
41.26
Negative
200DMA
38.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.38
Negative
RSI
42.82
Neutral
STOCH
24.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FRME, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 36.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.18, below the 50-day MA of 41.36, and below the 200-day MA of 38.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FRME.

First Merchants Risk Analysis

First Merchants disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Merchants reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Merchants Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.16B10.838.85%3.79%5.54%-8.57%
75
Outperform
$2.26B10.9427.24%11.72%23.37%
PFPFS
72
Outperform
$2.07B15.105.38%6.41%63.85%-39.11%
71
Outperform
$2.23B9.739.72%4.30%9.95%-11.02%
68
Neutral
$2.16B12.216.90%3.97%29.57%-36.51%
64
Neutral
$13.46B9.449.34%4.72%16.14%-8.80%
61
Neutral
$2.20B25.223.68%3.32%345.02%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FRME
First Merchants
34.63
2.73
8.56%
FFBC
First Financial Bancorp
22.17
1.75
8.57%
BANC
Banc of California
12.10
-1.67
-12.13%
PFS
Provident Financial Services
14.84
1.51
11.33%
WAFD
Washington Federal
24.48
-1.50
-5.77%
TBBK
Bancorp
42.96
11.48
36.47%

First Merchants Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 30, 2025 | % Change Since: -9.80% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, with significant achievements in loan and deposit growth, improved margins, and shareholder returns. However, there were challenges noted in non-accrual loans and the Agri business segment. Overall, the positive aspects of the call outweighed the negatives.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance
Earnings per share for the quarter totaled $1.10, and net income for the full year of 2024 was $200 million. The tangible book value per share increased by 25% over the last two years.
Loan and Deposit Growth
Loan growth reached nearly 6% for the quarter, with a full-year growth of 3%. Deposits grew at a 4.4% annualized rate during the quarter.
Improved Efficiency and Margins
Net interest margin improved by five basis points Q4 over Q3, supporting a sub-54% efficiency ratio for the quarter.
Capital and Shareholder Returns
Common equity Tier 1 climbed to 11.43%, with tangible common equity ratio at 8.81%. Share buybacks and dividends returned $138 million to shareholders during the year.
Lowlights
Non-Accrual Loan Increase
Non-accrual loans increased by $14.7 million due to a $22 million multi-family housing loan dispute.
Challenges in Agri Business Segment
The Agri business segment faced challenges with commodity prices reverting to historic levels and input costs not declining as much.
Company Guidance
During the Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call, First Merchants Corporation provided detailed guidance and insights into their financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported an adjusted earnings per share of $1.00 after accounting for specific gains and losses, with a notable loan growth of 6% for the quarter in line with their 2025 expectations. Net interest margin improved by five basis points quarter-over-quarter, contributing to a 4% growth in pre-tax pre-provision income and maintaining a sub-54% efficiency ratio. The tangible common equity ratio rose to 8.81%, with tangible book value per share increasing by 25% over two years to $26.78. For the full year, net income totaled $200 million, translating to earnings per share of $3.41. The bank also highlighted a strong 3% annual growth in their Commercial segment, particularly in the C&I and Investment Real Estate portfolios, while deposits remained stable with strategic cost management. Looking ahead, First Merchants aims to leverage their robust technological upgrades and focused market strategies to achieve top quartile financial results in 2025, targeting mid to high-single-digit growth in loans and maintaining expense growth at a minimal level.

First Merchants Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
First Merchants Adopts 2025 Incentive Compensation Program
Neutral
Feb 6, 2025

On February 3, 2025, First Merchants Corporation’s Board of Directors adopted the 2025 Senior Management Incentive Compensation Program (SMICP), a non-equity incentive plan aimed at the company’s named executive officers and senior management. The plan outlines potential cash payments based on a percentage of base salary tied to performance goals, with specific percentages set for each executive. The program is designed to align management’s performance with the corporation’s operating earnings and, for some, the performance of specific business lines. This initiative underscores First Merchants Corporation’s focus on performance-driven compensation and strategic alignment of executive incentives with corporate earnings and business objectives.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.