tiprankstipranks
Waga Energy SA (FR:WAGA)
:WAGA
France Market
Want to see FR:WAGA full AI Analyst Report?

Waga Energy SA (WAGA) AI Stock Analysis

8 Followers

Top Page

FR:WAGA

Waga Energy SA

(WAGA)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
€22.00
▼(-1.79% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/10/26
The score is primarily held back by weak financial quality—persistent losses, rising leverage, and very negative free cash flow—despite strong revenue growth. Technical signals are also soft (negative MACD and low RSI with price below key moving averages). Valuation offers limited support given the negative P/E and lack of dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Rapid Revenue Scaling
Sustained top-line expansion over several years demonstrates clear commercial traction in landfill-to-RNG projects. This scale improves bargaining power with offtakers, underpins capacity utilization, and provides a base to spread fixed costs, aiding eventual margin recovery if operational efficiency follows.
Negative Factors
Persistent losses & weak margins
Ongoing losses and weak gross margins mean the business has yet to prove sustainable profitability. Continued negative margins constrain internal funding for growth, risk investor dilution, and require clear operational improvement or pricing power to convert strong revenue into durable earnings.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Rapid Revenue Scaling
Sustained top-line expansion over several years demonstrates clear commercial traction in landfill-to-RNG projects. This scale improves bargaining power with offtakers, underpins capacity utilization, and provides a base to spread fixed costs, aiding eventual margin recovery if operational efficiency follows.
Read all positive factors

Waga Energy SA (WAGA) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

Waga Energy SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Waga Energy SA designs, builds, and operates landfill gas recovery, upgrading, and grid-injection projects. The company develops WAGABOX, a landfill gas upgrading unit that delivers biomethane that can be injected directly into the gas grid or use...
How the Company Makes Money
Waga Energy makes money by monetizing renewable natural gas produced from landfill gas upgrading projects. Its revenue model is primarily tied to (1) selling biomethane/RNG injected into gas grids under long-term offtake arrangements (with pricing...

Waga Energy SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue scaling (9.5m in 2020 to 59.6m in 2025) is a clear positive, but profitability remains weak with persistent losses and pressured gross profitability. Leverage has risen (debt ~222.1m vs equity ~110.3m; ~2.0x debt/equity) and free cash flow is heavily negative (-114.7m in 2025), indicating elevated execution and financing risk despite positive operating cash flow in 2025.
Income Statement
23
Negative
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue59.60M55.70M33.26M19.16M12.26M
Gross Profit505.00K-3.43M14.32M11.61M7.25M
EBITDA-1.64M-2.88M-6.64M-5.36M-2.36M
Net Income-30.32M-17.58M-15.99M-10.07M-8.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets403.91M295.02M194.58M189.17M169.56M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments60.34M68.30M40.27M91.66M122.91M
Total Debt222.06M115.10M60.76M49.55M38.25M
Total Liabilities273.17M160.93M96.71M77.15M51.97M
Stockholders Equity110.34M131.23M95.15M109.11M115.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-114.65M-71.21M-62.08M-48.33M-14.02M
Operating Cash Flow3.55M-9.75M-12.92M-7.39M-952.00K
Investing Cash Flow-113.46M-56.53M-45.01M-36.98M-13.98M
Financing Cash Flow103.09M95.85M4.97M13.02M121.72M

Waga Energy SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price22.40
Price Trends
50DMA
23.12
Negative
100DMA
22.96
Negative
200DMA
22.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Negative
RSI
41.24
Neutral
STOCH
68.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:WAGA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 22.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.70, below the 50-day MA of 23.12, and below the 200-day MA of 22.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:WAGA.

Waga Energy SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
€141.11M13.2111.66%2.03%3.35%242.49%
71
Outperform
€153.87B14.7015.76%1.65%5.24%-2.65%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
€813.22M5.157.79%6.54%-3.45%-43.87%
45
Neutral
€603.93M-22.017.14%-65.98%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:WAGA
Waga Energy SA
22.50
5.74
34.25%
FR:MTU
Manitou BF
21.20
0.45
2.14%
FR:ALPM
Precia SA
26.20
-2.06
-7.29%
FR:SU
Schneider Electric
268.95
50.32
23.02%
FR:ALENO
Enogia SAS
6.30
3.40
117.24%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 10, 2026