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TotalEnergies SE (FR:TTE)
:TTE
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TotalEnergies SE
(LSE:TTE)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
€58.00
▲(9.93% Upside)
Positive Factors
Earnings
Analyst's unchanged price objective at EUR66 now offers almost 30% upside potential.
Valuation
TTE increasingly stands alone in offering valuation upside from its shift to Big Energy while dropping its Brent oil price breakeven.
Negative Factors
Debt
2Q25 net debt higher than expected: TTE's share price is almost back where it was in April after posting 1Q25 net debt spike.
Financial Performance
TTE underperformed off earnings with total investments running higher than expected, driving gearing levels higher.
TotalEnergies SE (TTE) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)
Market Cap
€117.75B
Dividend Yield6.1%
Average Volume (3M)3.12M
Price to Earnings (P/E)10.1
Beta (1Y)0.50
Revenue Growth-11.41%
EPS Growth-36.91%
CountryFR
Employees95,393
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength66
IndustryOil & Gas Integrated
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.35
Shares Outstanding2,281,206,300
10 Day Avg. Volume2,929,602
30 Day Avg. Volume3,122,884
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)N/A
P/FCF RatioN/A
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
€61.70Price Target Upside16.94% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering14
TotalEnergies SE Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionTotalEnergies SE operates as an integrated oil and gas company worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Integrated Gas, Renewables & Power; Exploration & Production; Refining & Chemicals; and Marketing & Services. The Integrated Gas, Renewables & Power segment engages in the liquefied natural gas production, shipping, trading, and regasification activities; trading of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), petcoke and sulfur, natural gas, and electricity; transportation of natural gas; electricity production from natural gas, wind, solar, hydroelectric, and biogas sources; energy storage activities; and development and operation of biomethane production units, as well as provides energy efficiency services. The Exploration & Production segment is involved in the oil and natural gas exploration and production activities. The Refining & Chemicals segment engages in refining petrochemicals, including olefins and aromatics; and polymer derivatives, such as polyethylene, polypropylene, polystyrene, and hydrocarbon resins, as well as biomass conversion and elastomer processing. This segment is also involved in trading and shipping crude oil and petroleum products. The Marketing & Services segment produces and sells lubricants; supplies and markets petroleum products, including bulk fuel, aviation and marine fuel, special fluids, compressed natural gas, LPG, and bitumen; and provides fuel payment solutions. It operates approximately 16,000 service stations and 25,000 EV charge points. As of December 31, 2021, the company had 12,062 Mboe of combined proved reserves of oil and gas. TotalEnergies SE has strategic partnerships with PureCycle Technologies, Plastic Energy, Freepoint Eco-Systems, and Plastic Omnium for various development projects. The company was formerly known as TOTAL SE and changed its name to TotalEnergies SE in June 2021. TotalEnergies SE was incorporated in 1924 and is headquartered in Courbevoie, France.
How the Company Makes MoneyTotalEnergies generates revenue through several key streams: the upstream segment, which involves the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, accounts for a significant portion of its earnings; the midstream segment, which includes transportation and storage of hydrocarbons, contributes to stable cash flows; and the downstream segment, encompassing refining and marketing of petroleum products, provides revenue through the sale of fuels, lubricants, and petrochemicals. The company also earns income from its growing investments in renewable energy projects. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other energy companies and governments further enhance its operational capabilities and market reach, contributing to overall revenue growth.
TotalEnergies SE Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
TotalEnergies demonstrated strong operational performance and shareholder returns despite challenging market conditions and specific segment issues. The company's strategic investments and production growth underline its resilience in uncertain environments. However, challenges in the downstream segment and volatile market conditions pose risks.Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Production Growth
TotalEnergies delivered a robust year-on-year production growth of nearly 4% in Oil & Gas and 18% in Electricity, leading to a unique production growth of close to 5%.
Attractive Shareholder Returns
The Board confirmed a 7.6% increase in the first interim dividend to €0.85 per share and announced share buybacks of up to €2 billion for the second quarter.
Robust Cash Flow and Profitability
TotalEnergies reported adjusted net income of $4.2 billion and FFO of $7 billion for Q1 2025, with a return on capital employed of 13.2% for the 12 months ending in March.
Strong E&P Segment Performance
The Exploration & Production segment reported adjusted net operating income of $2.5 billion and a cash flow of $4.3 billion in Q1, up 6% and 9% quarter-to-quarter, respectively.
Continued Investment in Integrated Power
TotalEnergies signed a premium threesome power contract with SLB electronics and launched six new battery storage projects in Germany.
Negative Updates
Downstream Segment Challenges
The downstream segment posted adjusted net operating income of $0.5 billion, with cash flow impacted by weak refined margins and operational issues at Donges refinery.
Volatile Market Conditions
TotalEnergies faced challenges due to a more challenging global environment, including geopolitical uncertainties and volatility in the oil markets.
Gas Trading Impact
Gas trading results were negatively impacted by the unexpected downturn of European markets, driven by uncertainty on the evolution of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
Company Guidance
During the TotalEnergies First Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company provided a comprehensive overview of its performance and guidance amid a challenging global environment. TotalEnergies reported robust year-on-year production growth of nearly 4% in Oil & Gas and 18% in Electricity, resulting in an overall production growth of close to 5%. The company's CapEx was controlled, with OpEx per barrel remaining below $5, despite inflationary trends. The Board confirmed the first interim dividend at €0.85 per share, a 7.6% increase from 2024, and announced share buybacks of up to €2 billion for the second quarter, even as oil prices softened below $70 per barrel. TotalEnergies maintained its production growth guidance of more than 3% for 2025, leveraging its low-cost emissions Oil & Gas portfolio with over 12 years of reserve life. The company also reported adjusted net income of $4.2 billion and funds from operations (FFO) of $7 billion for Q1 2025, with a return on capital employed of 13.2%. Despite the uncertain geopolitical and macroeconomic context, TotalEnergies remains committed to its strategy of delivering resilient results and attractive shareholder returns.TotalEnergies SE Financial Statement Overview
Summary
TotalEnergies SE demonstrates strong operational efficiency and a stable financial position, although recent periods have shown some pressure on revenue growth and cash flow generation. The company maintains a solid balance sheet with manageable leverage, but needs to address declining cash flow to sustain long-term growth.Income Statement
TotalEnergies SE has shown strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 34.7% in recent periods. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 6.8% in the TTM, reflecting some pressure on net income. Revenue has declined by 2.35% in the TTM, indicating challenges in maintaining growth. Despite this, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust, suggesting efficient operations.75
Positive
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.53 in the TTM, indicating a stable leverage position. Return on equity has decreased to 10.9%, reflecting a decline in profitability. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting a solid capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet reflects stability with manageable debt levels.70
Positive
Cash Flow
Free cash flow has decreased by 26.48% in the TTM, highlighting potential cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.31, indicating moderate cash flow generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, suggesting reduced cash conversion efficiency. Despite these challenges, the company maintains positive operating cash flow.65
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 187.12B | 195.61B | 218.94B | 263.31B | 184.63B | 119.70B |
| Gross Profit | 52.59B | 55.53B | 62.37B | 81.21B | 52.01B | 19.61B |
| EBITDA | 38.90B | 42.28B | 50.78B | 59.04B | 42.07B | 17.88B |
| Net Income | 12.79B | 15.76B | 21.38B | 20.53B | 16.03B | -7.24B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 292.82B | 285.49B | 283.65B | 303.86B | 293.46B | 266.13B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 25.61B | 30.55B | 33.43B | 41.77B | 33.66B | 35.90B |
| Total Debt | 62.22B | 51.24B | 47.87B | 60.77B | 64.55B | 77.30B |
| Total Liabilities | 173.81B | 165.23B | 164.20B | 189.29B | 178.46B | 160.05B |
| Stockholders Equity | 116.64B | 117.86B | 116.75B | 111.72B | 111.74B | 103.70B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 11.42B | 15.95B | 22.96B | 31.68B | 18.07B | 4.04B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 28.20B | 30.85B | 40.68B | 47.37B | 30.41B | 14.80B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -20.80B | -17.33B | -16.45B | -15.12B | -13.66B | -13.08B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -10.64B | -14.43B | -29.73B | -19.27B | -25.50B | 1.40B |
TotalEnergies SE Technical Analysis
Negative
52.76
Price Trends
52.89
Negative
52.35
Positive
53.25
Negative
Market Momentum
0.11
Positive
46.63
Neutral
14.32
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:TTE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 52.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.30, below the 50-day MA of 52.89, and below the 200-day MA of 53.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.32 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:TTE.
TotalEnergies SE Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | €117.75B | 10.06 | 11.32% | 6.10% | -11.41% | -36.91% | |
66 Neutral | $15.26B | 7.30 | 3.22% | 5.27% | 4.16% | -60.82% | |
| ― | €1.27B | 11.89 | 4.64% | 3.08% | ― | ― | |
| ― | €5.82B | 16.33 | 77.67% | ― | ― | ― | |
| ― | €975.64M | 4.62 | 21.70% | 6.82% | ― | ― | |
| ― | €803.25M | 14.43 | 4.13% | 47.65% | ― | ― | |
81 Outperform | €7.15B | 18.07 | 2.13% | 17.19% | 11.76% |
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
FR:TTE
TotalEnergies SE
52.76
-3.80
-6.72%
GB:0N9V
Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise
97.95
18.01
22.53%
GB:0QT5
Gaztransport et technigaz
153.90
36.38
30.96%
GB:0F6L
Etablissements Maurel & Prom
4.84
0.24
5.22%
GB:0IUV
Totalenergies EP Gabon
180.00
86.32
92.14%
FR:TE
Technip Energies NV
39.72
19.70
98.40%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.