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La Francaise des Jeux SA (FR:FDJU)
:FDJU
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La Francaise des Jeux SA (FDJU) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:FDJU

La Francaise des Jeux SA

(FDJU)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
€27.00
▲(14.21% Upside)
The overall stock score of 68 reflects a balance between strong financial performance and attractive valuation, offset by bearish technical indicators. The company's solid revenue growth and high dividend yield are significant strengths, but the bearish market momentum and increased leverage pose risks. Investors should be cautious of the current negative technical signals despite the stock's appealing valuation metrics.
Positive Factors
Monopoly Status
FDJU's monopoly status in France ensures minimal direct competition, providing stable revenue streams and a strong market position.
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation enhances financial flexibility and supports ongoing operations and potential investments, ensuring business sustainability.
Negative Factors
Rising Debt Levels
Increased leverage can strain financial resources and limit flexibility, posing risks to long-term stability if not managed properly.
Declining Net Profit Margin
A declining net profit margin may indicate rising costs or reduced pricing power, potentially impacting long-term profitability.
High Reliance on Debt
High reliance on debt financing can increase financial risk, affecting the company's ability to withstand economic downturns.

La Francaise des Jeux SA (FDJU) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

La Francaise des Jeux SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFDJ United engages in the gaming operation and distribution business in France and internationally. The company operates through Lottery; Sports Betting and Online Gaming Open to Competition; and Other Activities segments. It offers lottery games, such as draw games and instant games at points of sale and online; sports betting at points of sale; and online sports betting, horse-race betting, poker, and casino gaming under Unibet and 32Red brands, as well as undertakes local collection and payment services business; and printing of lottery tickets. The company was formerly known as La Française des Jeux Société anonyme and changed its name to FDJ United in March 2025. FDJ United was founded in 1933 and is headquartered in Boulogne-Billancourt, France.
How the Company Makes MoneyFDJU generates revenue primarily through the sale of lottery tickets and sports betting wagers. Its key revenue streams include traditional lottery games, instant win scratch cards, and online gaming services. The company also benefits from partnerships with various retail outlets, where lottery tickets and betting products are sold. Additionally, FDJU earns income from digital channels, enhancing its reach to customers through mobile and online platforms. Furthermore, the company has strategic collaborations with sports organizations and event sponsors, which help boost its visibility and attract more players to its offerings.

La Francaise des Jeux SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 06, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue and EBITDA growth, successful integration of Kindred, and a strategic focus on sustainability and omni-channel development. However, significant challenges from tax increases and tighter regulations pose headwinds, impacting future EBITDA margins and growth projections.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Acquisition of Kindred
FDJ United announced the successful acquisition of Kindred, with more than 90% control by October 2024, leading to a diversified and balanced group.
Record Revenue Growth
The group's turnover reached €3,065 million, marking a 17% increase. Excluding Kindred, the increase was 10%, and 8% for gaming activities in France.
Strong EBITDA Performance
Recurring EBITDA rose to €792 million, up 21%, with a margin of 25.8%.
High Cash Conversion
Current EBITDA-to-cash conversion was above 80%, specifically at 85%.
Positive Integration Outcomes
The integration of Kindred is well underway, with identified synergies and cost optimizations expected to generate an additional €50 million.
Sustainable Commitments
FDJ United continued investing in responsible gaming and sustainable commitments, with more than 10% of advertising budget devoted to responsible gaming.
ESG Leadership
FDJ United maintained top ratings in ESG from major agencies, highlighting its commitment to sustainability.
Omni-channel Strategy Launch
Introduction of 'FDJ & Moi,' a strategic project to create an omni-channel account enabling play both online and at points of sale.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tax Increases
Tax increases in France and the Netherlands are expected to have a significant impact, with projections of a €90 million negative effect in 2025.
Regulatory Challenges
Tighter regulations in the Netherlands and the UK are affecting the online betting and gaming segments, with additional impacts estimated at €30 to €40 million.
Reduced EBITDA Margin Guidance
For 2025, the EBITDA margin is expected to be over 24%, down from 25.8% in 2024, reflecting tax and regulatory challenges.
Debt Increase from Acquisition
Net financial debt rose to €1.818 billion due to the Kindred acquisition, though the leverage ratio remains under the target.
Company Guidance
During the recent call, FDJ United provided comprehensive guidance for 2025, highlighting various financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The company projects a turnover of approximately €3.8 billion, reflecting a stable outlook compared to the pro forma turnover of 2024. The French lottery and retail sports betting are expected to experience slight growth, while the online betting and gaming BU is projected to see a slight decline with a current EBITDA margin of over 24%. Key financial highlights from 2024 include a turnover of €3,065 million, an increase of 17%, and a recurring EBITDA of €792 million, representing a 21% growth and a margin of 25.8%. The company plans to propose a dividend of €2.05, indicating a 15% increase. FDJ United also reported a pro forma revenue of €3.788 billion and a recurring EBITDA of €964 million for 2024, with a margin of 25.5%. Despite facing tax increases in France and the Netherlands, the company is implementing a mitigation plan to gradually compensate for these impacts, aiming for €20 million in savings in 2025 and at least €100 million by 2027. The company's strategic initiatives include the rollout of its KSP sportsbook across markets and the introduction of an omnichannel account, FDJ & Moi, to enhance customer engagement.

La Francaise des Jeux SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
La Francaise des Jeux SA demonstrates solid revenue growth and operational efficiency, with robust gross margins and consistent cash flow generation. However, the increase in leverage and decline in net profit margin could pose potential risks. Overall, the company shows a healthy financial position, supported by effective equity utilization and cash flow management, but should be cautious of increasing debt levels.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
La Francaise des Jeux SA has shown consistent revenue growth with a healthy trajectory from 2019 to 2024. The revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024 is approximately 16.9%, indicating strong performance. The gross profit margin is high at around 55.4% in 2024, suggesting efficient cost management. However, net profit margin declined from 16.2% in 2023 to 13.0% in 2024, which may indicate increased expenses or reduced pricing power. EBIT and EBITDA margins remained robust, indicating stable operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.96 in 2024, up from 0.40 in 2023, suggesting increased leverage which could pose a risk if not managed properly. The return on equity (ROE) is strong at 33.5%, reflecting effective use of shareholders’ equity. However, the equity ratio is relatively low at 18.1%, indicating high reliance on debt financing, which could affect financial stability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is sound, suggesting strong cash generation relative to income. The free cash flow decreased from 2023 to 2024, reflecting increased capital expenditures or changes in working capital. However, the company's ability to generate consistent free cash flow remains a strength. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates good cash conversion, enhancing financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.50B3.07B2.62B2.46B2.26B1.92B
Gross Profit1.61B1.70B1.23B1.04B934.80M778.60M
EBITDA847.00M802.50M703.70M590.20M547.50M405.30M
Net Income321.80M398.80M425.10M307.90M294.20M213.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.19B6.56B3.76B3.34B3.21B2.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments515.80M843.20M749.70M720.40M688.40M888.70M
Total Debt2.35B2.33B428.80M468.20M518.90M543.50M
Total Liabilities5.29B5.37B2.69B2.41B2.38B2.22B
Stockholders Equity900.20M1.19B1.07B925.40M829.10M698.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow655.40M427.10M504.20M299.70M522.00M226.10M
Operating Cash Flow936.80M577.00M628.90M403.80M597.50M685.90M
Investing Cash Flow-2.07B-1.76B-21.70M-181.70M-301.50M-396.00M
Financing Cash Flow1.18B1.33B-580.50M-315.20M-366.80M222.50M

La Francaise des Jeux SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price23.64
Price Trends
50DMA
26.65
Negative
100DMA
27.80
Negative
200DMA
29.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.90
Positive
RSI
23.83
Positive
STOCH
16.49
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:FDJU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 23.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.73, below the 50-day MA of 26.65, and below the 200-day MA of 29.35, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.83 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.49 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:FDJU.

La Francaise des Jeux SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
€4.61B14.288.67%26.91%-28.35%
67
Neutral
€2.69B14.627.61%-3.17%-37.20%
66
Neutral
€3.20B23.156.86%1.71%9.09%5.96%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
€3.76B-274.07-5.53%0.29%39.72%63.70%
52
Neutral
€174.49M20.252.48%1.78%4.23%17.85%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:FDJU
La Francaise des Jeux SA
23.64
-12.08
-33.82%
FR:BAIN
Monte-Carlo Societe des Bains de Mer
106.50
5.16
5.09%
FR:VU
VusionGroup SA
202.40
64.32
46.58%
FR:PARP
Groupe Partouche SA
17.95
-2.42
-11.89%
FR:FCMC
Societe Fermiere du Casino Municipal de Cannes SA
1,470.00
-10.00
-0.68%
FR:VRLA
Verallia SAS
23.02
-1.02
-4.24%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025