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BNP Paribas (FR:BNP)
:BNP
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BNP Paribas (BNP) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:BNP

BNP Paribas

(BNP)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
€91.00
▼(-3.48% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/07/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial quality—steady profitability but constrained by high leverage and volatile cash flows—while valuation is a clear positive (low P/E and high dividend yield). Technicals are supportive but somewhat overextended (RSI ~75), moderating the overall rating.
Positive Factors
Diversified global business model
BNP Paribas's wide-ranging franchises across retail, international financial services, and corporate & institutional banking create structural revenue diversification. That breadth reduces dependency on any single market cycle, supports cross-selling, and sustains earned fees and NII over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Elevated and rising leverage
The marked increase in debt-to-equity raises sensitivity to funding costs and credit-cycle shocks. Higher leverage constrains strategic flexibility, increases refinancing risk in stressed markets, and can amplify earnings volatility if asset quality weakens over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified global business model
BNP Paribas's wide-ranging franchises across retail, international financial services, and corporate & institutional banking create structural revenue diversification. That breadth reduces dependency on any single market cycle, supports cross-selling, and sustains earned fees and NII over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

BNP Paribas (BNP) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

BNP Paribas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
BNP Paribas SA provides a range of banking and financial services in Europe, North America, Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company offers corporate and institutional banking services, such as consulting, financing and transaction banking f...
How the Company Makes Money
BNP Paribas makes money primarily by earning net interest income, charging fees and commissions, and generating trading and investment-related income across its main business lines. 1) Net interest income (lending funded by deposits and wholesale...

BNP Paribas Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is solid and fairly steady (net income ~€9.5–€11.7B and ~8%–9% ROE), but the score is held back by meaningfully higher leverage versus 2022 (debt-to-equity ~5.4x–6.4x in 2023–2025) and pronounced cash-flow volatility, including deeply negative operating/free cash flow in 2023–2024 before a rebound in 2025.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue119.13B45.74B42.82B42.47B107.81B
Gross Profit68.80B65.87B59.73B42.47B41.63B
EBITDA18.66B23.46B17.97B19.68B13.65B
Net Income12.22B11.69B10.97B9.85B9.49B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.79T2.70T2.59T2.67T2.63T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments326.96B786.01B296.61B474.92B484.27B
Total Debt809.21B727.82B673.44B293.98B718.22B
Total Liabilities2.66T2.57T2.46T2.55T2.52T
Stockholders Equity125.51B128.14B123.74B121.24B117.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.28B-99.51B-36.46B21.28B26.18B
Operating Cash Flow15.16B-97.38B-34.24B23.81B27.84B
Investing Cash Flow25.35B-180.00M7.30B-78.81B13.35B
Financing Cash Flow-6.82B-6.42B-4.68B9.25B14.52B

BNP Paribas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price94.28
Price Trends
50DMA
88.94
Positive
100DMA
85.43
Positive
200DMA
79.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.34
Negative
RSI
65.35
Neutral
STOCH
92.98
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:BNP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 94.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 86.06, above the 50-day MA of 88.94, and above the 200-day MA of 79.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.98 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FR:BNP.

BNP Paribas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
€98.32B7.409.43%9.16%-4.91%7.63%
60
Neutral
€51.71B4.6510.82%6.26%-10.60%6.38%
57
Neutral
€905.07M8.942.58%2.14%-7.49%23.13%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
54
Neutral
€44.77B9.829.61%2.49%2.99%44.47%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:BNP
BNP Paribas
90.16
22.19
32.66%
FR:CAF
CRCAM dlle-de France
116.00
50.61
77.40%
FR:CNDF
CRCAM Nord de France
28.48
11.92
72.01%
FR:ACA
Credit Agricole
17.14
0.99
6.11%
FR:GLE
Societe Generale
70.03
27.56
64.90%
FR:MLCFM
CFM Indosuez Wealth SA
1,300.00
181.40
16.22%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026