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BNP Paribas (FR:BNP)
:BNP

BNP Paribas (BNP) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:BNP

BNP Paribas

(BNP)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
€105.00
▲(15.47% Upside)
BNP Paribas scores highly due to its strong technical indicators and attractive valuation, with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. Financial performance is solid but tempered by challenges in revenue growth and cash flow generation. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events does not impact the score.
Positive Factors
Profitability & ROE
BNP Paribas reports a solid EBIT margin and effective use of shareholder funds, indicating durable profitability and strong ROE. Persistent operating profitability supports capital generation, dividend capacity, and buffers earnings volatility across economic cycles.
Balance sheet stability
A healthy equity ratio provides a structural capital buffer that supports lending, underwriting and regulatory requirements. This stability underpins funding access in stress periods and allows the bank to pursue strategic growth without immediate capital raises.
Diversified business model
BNP Paribas operates across retail, corporate & institutional banking, asset management and insurance. This multi‑line franchise reduces revenue concentration, enables cross‑sell, and provides structural resilience as downturns in one segment can be offset by others.
Negative Factors
Weak revenue growth
Reported negative revenue growth suggests top‑line pressure from competitive or macro factors. Sustained declines constrain margin expansion and reinvestment, making it harder to grow earnings organically and increasing reliance on cost cuts or non‑core revenue sources.
Negative free cash flow
Persistent negative free cash flow reduces financial flexibility for dividends, buybacks and strategic investments. Over time this can necessitate external financing or asset disposals, raising funding costs and constraining long‑term capital allocation choices.
Elevated leverage
A relatively high debt‑to‑equity ratio increases sensitivity to interest rates and credit cycles, raising funding and regulatory pressure. Elevated leverage can limit growth options, heighten default risk in downturns, and require stricter risk management and capital actions.

BNP Paribas (BNP) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

BNP Paribas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBNP Paribas SA provides a range of banking and financial services in Europe, North America, Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company offers corporate and institutional banking services, such as consulting, financing and transaction banking for corporate clients and institutional investors; capital markets investment and financing; securities clearing, and custody services. It also provides commercial, and personal banking and services, including financing and leasing services, financing of individuals, and digital banking services, as well as current and savings account products, equipment leasing and financing solutions, and consumer loans. In addition, the company offers investment and protection services, which includes borrowers' insurance, which protects the insured party from the unexpected when taking out a mortgage, personal, auto, or consumer loan; savings and protection solutions comprising life insurance, employee savings, retirement savings, etc.; asset management, wealth management, and real estate services. The company was formerly known as Banque Nationale de Paris and changed its name to BNP Paribas SA in May 2000. BNP Paribas SA was founded in 1822 and is headquartered in Paris, France.
How the Company Makes MoneyBNP Paribas generates revenue through multiple avenues, primarily through its banking operations. Key revenue streams include interest income from loans and advances, fees from banking services, asset management fees, and commissions from investment banking activities. The bank's retail banking segment contributes significantly to its earnings through personal and business banking services. Corporate and institutional banking provides revenues through advisory services, capital markets activities, and trade finance. Additionally, BNP Paribas has strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its service offerings and market reach, which further contribute to its overall profitability.

BNP Paribas Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BNP Paribas demonstrates strong profitability and asset management, with a solid EBIT margin and effective use of shareholder funds. However, challenges include inconsistent revenue growth and negative free cash flow, which could impact long-term financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
BNP Paribas shows a strong EBIT margin and consistent net income, indicating profitability. However, revenue growth has been erratic, with fluctuations over the years, impacting overall income stability. High gross profit margin underscores operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a healthy equity ratio, suggesting financial stability. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, posing potential risks if not managed carefully. Return on equity has been robust, reflecting effective use of shareholder funds.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Free cash flow has been negative recently, suggesting challenges in generating cash from operations. While operating cash flow fluctuates, the ability to cover net income is pressured. Ongoing management of capital expenditures is crucial to improve cash flow health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue91.46B45.74B42.82B42.47B107.81B87.19B
Gross Profit24.96B65.87B59.73B42.47B41.63B37.41B
EBITDA12.17B23.46B17.97B19.68B13.65B10.34B
Net Income10.63B11.69B10.97B9.85B9.49B7.07B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.85T2.70T2.59T2.67T2.63T2.49T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments315.45B786.01B296.61B474.92B484.27B816.00B
Total Debt401.86B727.82B673.44B293.98B718.22B687.29B
Total Liabilities2.72T2.57T2.46T2.55T2.52T2.38T
Stockholders Equity125.69B128.14B123.74B121.24B117.89B112.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.26B-99.51B-36.46B21.28B26.18B4.43B
Operating Cash Flow18.48B-97.38B-34.24B23.81B27.84B5.21B
Investing Cash Flow-2.48B-180.00M7.30B-78.81B13.35B133.27B
Financing Cash Flow2.02B-6.42B-4.68B9.25B14.52B18.52B

BNP Paribas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price90.93
Price Trends
50DMA
81.92
Positive
100DMA
76.98
Positive
200DMA
75.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.84
Negative
RSI
69.60
Neutral
STOCH
75.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:BNP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 90.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 88.31, above the 50-day MA of 81.92, and above the 200-day MA of 75.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FR:BNP.

BNP Paribas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
€100.45B9.759.50%9.16%-6.55%14.18%
76
Outperform
€50.16B12.157.47%2.49%-14.11%180.83%
65
Neutral
€54.98B8.6010.82%6.26%-3.99%14.76%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:BNP
BNP Paribas
90.93
30.60
50.71%
FR:ACA
Credit Agricole
18.18
4.44
32.30%
FR:GLE
Societe Generale
75.70
45.86
153.65%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 03, 2025