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Novacyt S.A. (FR:ALNOV)
:ALNOV
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Novacyt (ALNOV) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:ALNOV

Novacyt

(OTC:ALNOV)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
€0.50
▲(4.17% Upside)
Novacyt's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial challenges, including consistent losses and negative cash flows. However, recent revenue growth and improved free cash flow are positive signs. The technical analysis suggests potential short-term bullish momentum, while the earnings call provides a mixed outlook with both positive strategic initiatives and significant financial losses.

Novacyt (ALNOV) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

Novacyt Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNovacyt S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, contract design, and commercialization of diagnostic products for cancer and infectious diseases in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the United States, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates through Primer Design, Lab21 Products, and IT-IS International. The Primer Design segment designs, manufactures, and markets molecular real-time qPCR testing devices and reagents in the areas of infectious diseases. The Lab21 Products segment develops, manufactures, and distributes a range of protein-based infectious disease in-vitro diagnostic device (IVD) products. The IT-IS International segment develops and manufactures PCR devices for the life sciences and food testing industry. It serves hospitals and corporates. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Vélizy-Villacoublay, France.
How the Company Makes MoneyNovacyt generates revenue through the sale of its diagnostic products and services, primarily in the molecular diagnostics market. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of in vitro diagnostic tests and reagents, particularly those used for the detection of infectious diseases. Novacyt capitalized on its proprietary technology to develop COVID-19 testing solutions, which significantly boosted its revenues during the pandemic. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. Additionally, Novacyt may receive revenue through licensing agreements and other strategic alliances within the diagnostics and biotechnology sectors.

Novacyt Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive developments, including successful site consolidation and growth in key business segments, alongside significant financial losses and exceptional costs. While strategic initiatives and R&D investments show promise for future growth, the financial challenges and loss after tax weigh heavily on the current outlook.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Site Consolidation
Novacyt consolidated their business footprint into a single Center of Excellence in Manchester, achieving GBP 3 million in savings on top of GBP 5 million from initial synergies.
Reproductive Health Growth
Reproductive health segment showed a 26% year-on-year growth, with significant contributions from cystic fibrosis and NIPT products.
Resolution of DHSC Dispute
Successfully resolved the Department of Health and Social Care dispute, resulting in a net cash inflow of over GBP 7 million.
Strong Gross Margin
Achieved an underlying gross margin of 63%, driven by strong sales in the PCR product range.
Reduction in EBITDA Loss
Reduced the EBITDA loss by over 20%, down to GBP 9.1 million.
Strategic Investment in R&D
Reinvested over GBP 2 million into R&D to drive organic growth, with expectations of incremental sales in H2.
Negative Updates
Significant Loss After Tax
Group reported a loss after tax attributable to the owners of just under GBP 42 million.
Impact of DHSC Settlement on OpEx
OpEx costs were inflated by the DHSC dispute settlement, resulting in a high underlying OpEx of GBP 21 million for 2024.
Decline in Instrument Sales
Ranger technology saw a flattening of instrument sales, though consumables increased by 13%.
Material Impacts from Exceptional Costs
Incurred exceptional costs totaling around GBP 21 million from goodwill impairment and DHSC dispute-related expenses.
Company Guidance
In the investor call, Novacyt provided guidance on several key metrics related to its operational and financial performance. The company successfully reduced its operating expenses (OpEx) from GBP 27 million to GBP 21 million, achieving GBP 3 million in additional savings from site consolidation and GBP 5 million from initial synergies. The gross profit for Fiscal Year 2024 was reported at GBP 32.1 million, with an underlying gross margin of 63%, meeting the company’s target of exceeding 60%. EBITDA loss was reduced by over 20% to GBP 9.1 million. Revenue has tripled over three years to GBP 19.6 million, driven by the Yourgene acquisition and strong growth in reproductive health, which saw a 26% increase year-on-year. The company also reported a net cash inflow of over GBP 7 million after resolving a dispute with DHSC, leading to a cash balance of GBP 30.5 million. Novacyt plans to invest GBP 2 million into R&D to drive organic growth, with the aim to self-fund the pathway to profitability.

Novacyt Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Novacyt faces significant financial challenges, with consistent losses, declining revenues, and negative cash flows. While debt levels are low, equity has been eroding. The company needs to improve operational efficiency and explore revenue growth opportunities to stabilize its financial health. Despite these challenges, recent revenue growth and improved free cash flow are positive signs that may indicate the beginning of a turnaround.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The income statement reveals significant challenges, with declining revenues over the years and consistent net losses. Gross profit margin is exceptionally low, indicating high cost relative to revenue. The net profit margin is negative, highlighting unprofitability. However, there was a revenue growth of 69.5% from 2023 to 2024, which is a positive development.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a decrease in total assets and stockholders' equity over the years, which is concerning. However, the company has managed to keep its debt levels relatively low. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low at 0.25, indicating manageable leverage levels. Despite a declining equity position, the company maintains a decent equity ratio of 67.8%.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates negative free cash flow in recent years, reflecting cash consumption rather than generation. The operating cash flow is negative, suggesting operational inefficiencies. However, there is an improvement in free cash flow from 2023 to 2024, with a growth rate of 57.1%, indicating some progress.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.13M19.63M11.58M21.04M95.78M277.20M
Gross Profit979.86K32.07M3.73M5.75M29.68M211.13M
EBITDA-6.52M-34.31M-18.24M-11.68M-4.20M174.97M
Net Income-29.43M-41.76M-28.29M-22.20M-9.73M132.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets133.81M70.63M133.81M140.90M183.70M234.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments44.06M30.46M44.06M86.98M101.75M91.77M
Total Debt13.70M11.88M13.70M872.00K1.87M2.38M
Total Liabilities46.57M22.75M46.57M25.68M41.88M83.57M
Stockholders Equity87.24M47.88M87.24M115.22M141.81M150.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-15.67M-11.01M-25.66M-14.14M11.59M101.80M
Operating Cash Flow-15.34M-9.15M-24.99M-13.73M15.69M102.98M
Investing Cash Flow-6.46M-1.88M-13.94M-577.00K-5.03M-7.96M
Financing Cash Flow-2.25M-1.84M-3.97M-516.00K-599.00K-5.04M

Novacyt Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.48
Price Trends
50DMA
0.47
Positive
100DMA
0.49
Negative
200DMA
0.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
53.34
Neutral
STOCH
37.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:ALNOV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.47, above the 50-day MA of 0.47, and below the 200-day MA of 0.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FR:ALNOV.

Novacyt Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
56
Neutral
€252.14M105.511.33%12.75%-65.94%
52
Neutral
€32.81M-49.48%5.10%17.34%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
44
Neutral
€115.65M3.25%-2.07%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:ALNOV
Novacyt
0.47
-0.23
-32.66%
FR:ALERS
Eurobio-Scientific SA
24.70
-0.90
-3.52%
FR:ALDMS
Diagnostic Medical Systems
1.41
0.61
75.63%
FR:ALIKO
Ikonisys SA
1.45
-0.12
-7.64%
FR:ALEMG
Euromedis Groupe SA
3.84
-1.40
-26.72%
FR:ALMDT
Median Technologies
3.24
-0.79
-19.60%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2025