AgroGeneration SA (ALAGR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €8.88M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 508.18K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.93
• Revenue Growth: 33.94%
• EPS Growth: 80.73%
• Country: FR
• Employees: 363
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Agricultural Farm Products
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 221,586,380
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 164,572
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 508,181
• PEG Ratio: 0.10
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.14
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.56
• P/FCF Ratio: -505.22
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 52 Neutral
• Price Target: €0.04 ▲(5.00% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 12/03/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 12/03/25

AgroGeneration SA's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its challenging financial performance, marked by negative profitability and cash flow issues. While there is potential for recovery with strong revenue growth, the company's valuation is unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividends. Technical analysis shows some short-term bullish trends, but longer-term indicators remain bearish.

Positive Factors

Strong recent revenue growth

A 33.9% year-over-year top-line expansion indicates durable demand or successful commercial recovery. Sustained revenue growth helps leverage fixed costs, supports scale economics, and creates optionality for reinvestment in operations or deleveraging if margins and cash conversion continue improving.

Improving free cash flow trend

Progress from deeply negative to smaller negative free cash flow reflects better cash management and operational discipline. Continued improvement reduces reliance on external financing, strengthens runway, and is a durable indicator of operational recovery if the trend persists over multiple quarters.

Moderate leverage and equity buffer

A debt/equity near 0.8 and roughly 49% equity indicate a balanced capital structure that provides flexibility to fund operations or investments. With better profitability and cash flow, this moderate leverage can be managed without immediate solvency pressure, supporting durable financing options.

Negative Factors

Negative net profitability

A sustained negative net margin erodes retained earnings and ROE, limiting the company’s ability to self-fund growth or cushion adverse cycles. Until margins turn positive, the business will likely need external capital or restructuring to support long-term investments and restore shareholder returns.

Persistent negative free cash flow

Ongoing negative free cash flow means the company does not yet generate surplus cash to invest or reduce debt. This structural cash deficit raises refinancing risk, may force equity issuance or higher borrowing, and constrains strategic initiatives despite recent improvements.

Volatile revenue and margin history

Historic volatility in sales and margins undermines forecasting accuracy and operational planning. Structural unpredictability hampers long-term contracts, supplier negotiations, and capacity planning, making sustained margin recovery and strategic investment harder to achieve without stabilizing revenue streams.

AgroGeneration SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

AgroGeneration SA, an agricultural company, engages in the grain and oil commodity crop farming business primarily in Ukraine. The company's products include wheat and sunflower. It operates approximately 60,000 hectares of farmland. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Paris, France.

How the Company Makes Money

AgroGeneration generates revenue primarily through the sale of its agricultural products, including grains and oilseeds. The company's revenue model is built on cultivating high-yield crops and selling them in domestic and international markets. Key revenue streams include direct sales to grain traders, food processing companies, and export markets. Additionally, AgroGeneration may benefit from strategic partnerships with agricultural distributors and cooperatives, enhancing its market reach and distribution capabilities. The company also potentially engages in contracts for forward sales or hedging strategies to mitigate price volatility and secure revenue. Factors contributing to its earnings include favorable agricultural policies, market demand, and the efficiency of its farming operations.

AgroGeneration SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

AgroGeneration SA faces a challenging financial landscape with fluctuating revenues and profitability issues. Despite a strong revenue growth rate of 33.9%, the company struggles with negative net profit margins and consistent net losses. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but profitability challenges persist. Cash flows are improving but remain negative, indicating a need for enhanced cash management and profitability strategies.

Income Statement

AgroGeneration SA has experienced significant volatility in its revenue and profitability over the past years. The gross profit margin stands at 24.7%, and the net profit margin is negative at -6.8% for 2024, indicating challenges in converting sales into profits. The revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024 is a strong 33.9%, showcasing recovery potential. However, fluctuating margins and negative net income raise concerns about sustainable profitability.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.83, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The equity ratio is 49%, reflecting a balanced approach to financing. The return on equity is negative due to the net loss, highlighting profitability challenges. Despite a reasonable equity ratio, the balance sheet's strength is undermined by consistent losses and high debt levels.

Cash Flow

Cash flow performance is mixed, with a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio of -0.69, suggesting operational cash generation despite net losses. The free cash flow has improved from -77,000 in 2023 to -25,000 in 2024, indicating better cash management. Nevertheless, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio implies ongoing challenges in generating surplus cash.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	22.65M	16.91M	25.86M	43.90M	39.15M
Gross Profit	5.60M	-1.13M	4.70M	12.36M	6.42M
EBITDA	3.50M	-3.43M	-24.84M	22.37M	10.37M
Net Income	-1.53M	-7.91M	-31.59M	14.20M	2.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	22.62M	31.93M	36.39M	82.03M	70.69M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	12.00K	722.00K	5.15M	7.10M	4.62M
Total Debt	9.20M	15.48M	18.07M	24.52M	31.17M
Total Liabilities	11.54M	18.69M	22.40M	31.89M	36.83M
Stockholders Equity	11.08M	13.24M	13.99M	50.15M	33.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-25.00K	-77.00K	236.00K	14.64M	13.10M
Operating Cash Flow	1.06M	651.00K	1.14M	17.73M	14.23M
Investing Cash Flow	-1.06M	-660.00K	1.74M	-5.34M	-844.00K
Financing Cash Flow	-959.00K	-4.09M	-3.07M	-15.03M	-12.24M

AgroGeneration SA Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.04
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:ALAGR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.04, below the 50-day MA of 0.04, and below the 200-day MA of 0.05, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:ALAGR.

AgroGeneration SA Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
ALAGR	52 Neutral	€8.88M	-5.80	―	―	33.94%	80.73%
ALHAF	44 Neutral	€6.86M	-0.54	―	―	-41.98%	-19.18%