AgroGeneration SA (ALAGR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €10.21M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 329.62K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.39
• Revenue Growth: 33.94%
• EPS Growth: 80.73%
• Country: FR
• Employees: 363
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Agricultural Farm Products
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 221,586,380
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 401,157
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 329,618
• PEG Ratio: 0.10
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.14
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.56
• P/FCF Ratio: -505.22
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): €83.43M

• Rating: 52 Neutral
• Price Target: €0.00 ▼(-100.00% Downside)

AgroGeneration SA's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its challenging financial performance, marked by negative profitability and cash flow issues. Technical analysis provides a slightly positive outlook with some momentum indicators suggesting potential support. However, the valuation remains weak due to the negative P/E ratio and lack of dividends, reflecting the company's ongoing financial difficulties.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

AgroGeneration's robust revenue growth of 33.9% indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, suggesting potential for future expansion and market penetration.

Market Position

AgroGeneration's focus on grain and oilseed crops in Ukraine positions it well to capitalize on global agricultural demand, leveraging its large-scale operations for competitive advantage.

Cash Flow Improvement

Improvement in free cash flow indicates better cash management, enhancing the company's ability to invest in growth and manage financial obligations more effectively.

Negative Factors

Profitability Challenges

Persistent profitability challenges with negative net margins highlight difficulties in cost management and pricing strategy, potentially impacting long-term financial health.

High Leverage

Moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.83 may limit financial flexibility and increase risk, especially in volatile market conditions.

Negative Cash Flow

Negative cash flow suggests operational inefficiencies and challenges in generating surplus cash, which could hinder investment in growth opportunities and debt servicing.

AgroGeneration SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

AgroGeneration SA (ALAGR) is a prominent agricultural investment company focused on the cultivation and production of grain and oilseed crops in Ukraine. The company operates large-scale farming operations, leveraging modern agricultural practices and technologies to enhance productivity and efficiency. AgroGeneration is primarily engaged in the cultivation of wheat, corn, barley, and sunflower, aiming to meet the growing global demand for agricultural products while contributing to sustainable farming practices.

How the Company Makes Money

AgroGeneration generates revenue primarily through the sale of its agricultural products, including grains and oilseeds. The company's revenue model is built on cultivating high-yield crops and selling them in domestic and international markets. Key revenue streams include direct sales to grain traders, food processing companies, and export markets. Additionally, AgroGeneration may benefit from strategic partnerships with agricultural distributors and cooperatives, enhancing its market reach and distribution capabilities. The company also potentially engages in contracts for forward sales or hedging strategies to mitigate price volatility and secure revenue. Factors contributing to its earnings include favorable agricultural policies, market demand, and the efficiency of its farming operations.

AgroGeneration SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

AgroGeneration SA faces a challenging financial landscape with fluctuating revenues and profitability issues. Despite a strong revenue growth rate of 33.9%, the company struggles with negative net profit margins and consistent net losses. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage but is constrained by these losses. Cash flows are improving but remain negative, indicating a need for enhanced cash management and profitability strategies.

Income Statement

AgroGeneration SA has experienced significant volatility in its revenue and profitability over the past years. The gross profit margin stands at 24.7%, and the net profit margin is negative at -6.8% for 2024, indicating challenges in converting sales into profits. The revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024 is a strong 33.9%, showcasing recovery potential. However, fluctuating margins and negative net income raise concerns about sustainable profitability.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.83, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The equity ratio is 49%, reflecting a balanced approach to financing. The return on equity is negative due to the net loss, highlighting profitability challenges. Despite a reasonable equity ratio, the balance sheet's strength is undermined by consistent losses and high debt levels.

Cash Flow

Cash flow performance is mixed, with a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio of -0.69, suggesting operational cash generation despite net losses. The free cash flow has improved from -77,000 in 2023 to -25,000 in 2024, indicating better cash management. Nevertheless, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio implies ongoing challenges in generating surplus cash.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	22.65M	16.91M	25.86M	43.90M	39.15M
Gross Profit	5.60M	-1.13M	4.70M	12.36M	6.42M
EBITDA	3.50M	-3.43M	-24.84M	22.37M	10.37M
Net Income	-1.53M	-7.91M	-31.59M	14.20M	2.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	22.62M	31.93M	36.39M	82.03M	70.69M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	12.00K	722.00K	5.15M	7.10M	4.62M
Total Debt	9.20M	15.48M	18.07M	24.52M	31.17M
Total Liabilities	11.54M	18.69M	22.40M	31.89M	36.83M
Stockholders Equity	11.08M	13.24M	13.99M	50.15M	33.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-25.00K	-77.00K	236.00K	14.64M	13.10M
Operating Cash Flow	1.06M	651.00K	1.14M	17.73M	14.23M
Investing Cash Flow	-1.06M	-660.00K	1.74M	-5.34M	-844.00K
Financing Cash Flow	-959.00K	-4.09M	-3.07M	-15.03M	-12.24M

AgroGeneration SA Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 0.04
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:ALAGR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.04, below the 50-day MA of 0.04, and below the 200-day MA of 0.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FR:ALAGR.

AgroGeneration SA Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
ALAGR	52 Neutral	€10.21M	―	―	―	33.94%	80.73%
ALHAF	37 Underperform	€5.25M	―	―	―	―	-37.00%