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ABC Arbitrage SA (FR:ABCA)
:ABCA
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ABC Arbitrage (ABCA) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:ABCA

ABC Arbitrage

(ABCA)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
€5.50
▲(9.34% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial fundamentals (strong profitability and very low leverage), supported by an attractive valuation profile (moderate P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are tempered by mixed technical signals (below key longer-term moving averages and slightly negative MACD) and some variability/uncertainty in operating and cash-flow comparability.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
ABC Arbitrage's very low leverage and stable equity base provide durable financial flexibility. Low debt reduces interest and refinancing risk, supports steady dividend capacity and allows the firm to absorb AUM outflows or deploy proprietary capital without straining solvency, improving long-term resilience.
Negative Factors
Revenue Volatility and Cyclicality
Revenue swings reflect sensitivity of fee income to strategy performance and AUM flows. This cyclicality reduces predictability of earnings and cash available for fees or dividends, complicates multi‑period planning, and can amplify operating leverage effects during downturns, stressing long-term stability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
ABC Arbitrage's very low leverage and stable equity base provide durable financial flexibility. Low debt reduces interest and refinancing risk, supports steady dividend capacity and allows the firm to absorb AUM outflows or deploy proprietary capital without straining solvency, improving long-term resilience.
Read all positive factors

ABC Arbitrage (ABCA) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

ABC Arbitrage Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
ABC arbitrage S.A., along with its affiliated entities, focuses on devising sophisticated arbitrage methodologies for highly liquid financial instruments across global markets. The company's specialized expertise includes developing strategies cen...
How the Company Makes Money
ABC arbitrage makes money primarily by earning fees for managing and operating its investment strategies and, depending on the structure of its vehicles, may also earn performance-linked compensation. Its core revenue model is based on: (1) manage...

ABC Arbitrage Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and a conservative, low-leverage balance sheet support a solid financial profile. Offsetting this are uneven revenue momentum, volatility/uncertainty in cash flow (including 2025 free cash flow reported as 0), and an EBITDA inconsistency in 2024 that adds earnings-quality noise.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue59.70M51.41M39.81M61.44M64.34M
Gross Profit57.86M48.54M19.02M45.92M50.00M
EBITDA26.82M-882.00K18.39M30.85M37.11M
Net Income25.10M26.84M16.48M29.15M28.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets185.09M178.36M172.11M187.33M185.20M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments169.28M161.39M156.95M168.40M152.24M
Total Debt2.63M4.04M4.84M5.70M5.39M
Total Liabilities15.48M14.23M16.70M25.67M25.18M
Stockholders Equity170.00M164.13M155.41M161.66M160.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0021.11M19.98M24.40M34.05M
Operating Cash Flow22.56M21.11M19.98M24.40M34.05M
Investing Cash Flow-763.00K-1.20M-2.06M-890.00K-707.00K
Financing Cash Flow-21.35M-19.40M-22.93M-27.54M-23.86M

ABC Arbitrage Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.03
Price Trends
50DMA
5.19
Negative
100DMA
5.21
Negative
200DMA
5.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
48.47
Neutral
STOCH
65.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:ABCA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.12, below the 50-day MA of 5.19, and below the 200-day MA of 5.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:ABCA.

ABC Arbitrage Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
€1.65B14.8423.08%8.30%-8.13%-19.01%
70
Outperform
€302.79M12.2114.57%6.76%16.42%-6.63%
66
Neutral
€2.91B12.812.99%4.55%32.01%-23.67%
64
Neutral
€3.61B-72.52-4.61%6.24%-13.33%6.71%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
53
Neutral
€3.53B-28.05-1.57%6.12%18.08%82.50%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:ABCA
ABC Arbitrage
5.13
-0.69
-11.80%
FR:RF
Eurazeo
53.40
2.28
4.46%
FR:IDIP
Institut de Developpement Industriel SA IDI
71.80
-4.08
-5.37%
FR:MF
Wendel SE
86.50
9.14
11.82%
FR:TKO
Tikehau Capital SCA
17.16
-1.53
-8.20%
FR:ANTIN
Antin Infrastructure Partners
9.20
-1.56
-14.51%

ABC Arbitrage Corporate Events

ABC arbitrage updates share capital and voting rights as of July 31
Aug 3, 2026
ABC arbitrage reported that its share capital comprises 59,789,162 shares as of July 31, reflecting the structure of its equity base for investors and regulators. The disclosure also notes a theoretical total of 59,789,162 voting rights and an act...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026