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Fomento Economico Mexicano (FMX)
NYSE:FMX

Fomento Economico Mexicano (FMX) AI Stock Analysis

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Fomento Economico Mexicano

(NYSE:FMX)

74Outperform
FEMSA demonstrates strong financial performance with solid revenue growth and significant capital returns planned for shareholders, contributing positively to the stock score. The technical indicators support an upward momentum, although caution is warranted due to the approaching overbought levels. Valuation is reasonable, offering a modest dividend yield. While challenges in certain business areas exist, the strategic focus on capital returns and operational improvements enhances the company's attractiveness.

Fomento Economico Mexicano (FMX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Fomento Economico Mexicano Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, operates as a bottler of Coca-Cola trademark beverages. The company produces, markets, and distributes Coca-Cola trademark beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay. It also operates small-box retail chain stores in Mexico, Colombia, Peru, Chile, and Brazil under the OXXO name; retail service stations for fuels, motor oils, lubricants, and car care products under the OXXO GAS name in Mexico; and drugstores in Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, and Mexico under the Cruz Verde, Fybeca, SanaSana, YZA, La Moderna, and Farmacon names. In addition, the company is involved in the production and distribution of chillers, commercial refrigeration equipment, plastic boxes, food processing, and preservation and weighing equipment; and provision of logistic transportation, distribution and maintenance, point-of-sale refrigeration, and plastics solutions, as well as distribution platform for cleaning products and consumables. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 20,431 OXXO stores; 3,652 drugstores; and 567 OXXO GAS service stations. Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1890 and is based in Monterrey, Mexico.
How the Company Makes MoneyFMX generates revenue through multiple streams. Coca-Cola FEMSA contributes significantly to its earnings by producing and distributing Coca-Cola beverages across various Latin American markets. It earns money from the sale of a wide range of non-alcoholic beverages, including carbonated drinks, bottled water, and juices. FEMSA Comercio generates revenue through its OXXO convenience stores, which offer everyday consumer products, food, and beverages, as well as financial services through OXXO's banking correspondents. Additionally, FMX derives income from its logistics operations via Solistica, providing integrated supply chain solutions. The company's investment in Heineken N.V. also provides dividend income and strategic advantages in the alcoholic beverage sector. Strategic partnerships with Coca-Cola and other international companies enhance its revenue potential and market reach.

Fomento Economico Mexicano Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fomento Economico Mexicano presents a strong financial performance with solid revenue growth and stable profit margins. However, increased leverage and a drop in net income raise concerns. The absence of recent cash flow data further complicates complete financial health evaluation. The company should focus on improving profitability and managing debt levels to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company demonstrates strong revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin and net profit margin have remained stable, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net income in 2024 is significantly lower than in 2023, suggesting potential challenges in profitability or extraordinary items affecting net income.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Fomento Economico Mexicano shows a solid equity base with a healthy equity ratio. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has increased slightly from the previous year, indicating higher leverage. Return on equity has decreased, suggesting that the company might not be utilizing its equity as effectively as before.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statements indicate fluctuations, with operating cash flow and free cash flow not reported in 2024. Over the years, the free cash flow has shown growth, but the lack of recent data hampers a full assessment. The company's cash flow management needs attention to ensure sustainable operations.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
781.59B702.69B673.20B556.26B492.97B
Gross Profit
321.42B279.51B251.67B213.71B189.65B
EBIT
70.67B57.36B31.39B28.91B8.02B
EBITDA
95.08B109.03B61.91B56.90B36.07B
Net Income Common Stockholders
13.50B65.69B23.91B28.50B4.12B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
183.05B191.84B83.49B121.82B107.89B
Total Assets
852.21B805.86B798.62B737.50B684.64B
Total Debt
256.29B232.90B280.64B246.85B241.81B
Net Debt
116.46B67.78B197.20B149.44B134.58B
Total Liabilities
469.62B427.49B459.96B402.68B377.45B
Stockholders Equity
382.58B303.86B338.66B334.82B307.19B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
0.0011.56B40.14B52.79B33.03B
Operating Cash Flow
0.0049.68B72.58B73.09B53.17B
Investing Cash Flow
0.00132.29B-46.43B-46.17B-31.37B
Financing Cash Flow
0.00-92.55B-35.90B-36.99B19.57B

Fomento Economico Mexicano Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price99.93
Price Trends
50DMA
92.57
Positive
100DMA
89.85
Positive
200DMA
96.51
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.84
Positive
RSI
61.90
Neutral
STOCH
74.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FMX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 99.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 98.31, above the 50-day MA of 92.57, and above the 200-day MA of 96.51, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FMX.

Fomento Economico Mexicano Risk Analysis

Fomento Economico Mexicano disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fomento Economico Mexicano reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fomento Economico Mexicano Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$40.10B26.1017.43%2.44%11.73%-15.34%
PEPEP
77
Outperform
$205.64B21.5752.42%3.62%0.42%5.77%
FMFMX
74
Outperform
$20.22B13.079.61%1.50%3.83%-49.90%
BUBUD
74
Outperform
$121.90B21.067.31%1.05%0.64%10.02%
KOKOF
73
Outperform
$4.83B14.8217.94%3.12%8.74%16.30%
KOKO
73
Outperform
$309.30B29.2041.86%2.73%1.96%-0.45%
65
Neutral
$12.17B16.155.32%4.37%5.50%-9.06%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FMX
Fomento Economico Mexicano
99.93
-24.00
-19.37%
BUD
Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa
62.10
3.20
5.43%
KOF
Coca Cola Femsa SAB De CV
95.06
2.27
2.45%
KO
Coca-Cola
71.33
13.75
23.88%
PEP
PepsiCo
149.12
-15.07
-9.18%
CCEP
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners
87.41
20.56
30.76%

Fomento Economico Mexicano Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: 11.69% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
FEMSA's earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with significant capital returns planned for shareholders. However, challenges such as declining traffic in Proximity Americas and a softer consumer environment in Mexico balanced out the positives.
Highlights
Double-Digit Growth and Margin Expansion
FEMSA reported double-digit growth across earnings line items and notable margin expansion for the full year 2024, driven by strong performances at Proximity Americas and Coca-Cola FEMSA.
Capital Return and Shareholder Yield
FEMSA plans to deploy almost MXN 66 billion ($3.2 billion) in capital returns in 2025, representing a 10.4% yield for shareholders at current market capitalization. An additional MXN 41.4 billion ($2 billion) is planned for 2026.
Proximity Americas Revenue Growth
Proximity Americas division saw a 13.2% total revenue growth, with a 230 basis point gross margin expansion, highlighting strong commercial capabilities and financial services performance.
Digital Ecosystem Expansion
Spin by OXXO platform reached 8.6 million active users, reflecting a 24.9% growth year-on-year, while SPIN Premia loyalty program increased 27.5% to reach 24.6 million active users.
Coca-Cola FEMSA Performance
Coca-Cola FEMSA recorded double-digit increases across their income statement, with a 25% rise in income from operations, driven by disciplined revenue management and strategic CapEx investments.
Lowlights
Traffic Decline in Proximity Americas
Average traffic contracted 2.8%, impacted by a weaker consumer environment since midyear elections, although offset by a 6.8% increase in average ticket size.
Challenges in European Operations
Proximity Europe saw a low revenue growth of 5.3% on a currency-neutral basis, with operating income declining by 4.8% on a currency-neutral basis due to a challenging comparison base.
Consumer Environment in Mexico
The consumer environment in Mexico softened significantly after the midyear elections, impacting same-store sales for OXXO.
Fuel Business Pressures
The fuel business in Mexico is facing distinct pressures beyond macro headwinds, impacting short-term results.
Company Guidance
During the FEMSA Fourth Quarter 2024 Results Conference Call, the company reported notable financial achievements and provided guidance for future capital returns. For the full year 2024, FEMSA saw double-digit growth across earnings line items and significant margin expansion, primarily driven by the Proximity Americas and Coca-Cola FEMSA units. The company also completed planned divestitures, monetizing approximately $10.7 billion. In 2024, FEMSA returned around $2.5 billion to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks, aiming to reach a target leverage ratio of 2 times net debt-to-EBITDA by the end of 2026. For 2025 and 2026, FEMSA plans to deploy MXN 107.4 billion (about $5.3 billion) in capital returns, representing approximately 17% of its market cap, with a focus on ordinary and extraordinary dividends and share buybacks. This strategic plan is designed to optimize the balance sheet and enhance long-term intrinsic value per share.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.