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Flux Power Holdings (FLUX)
NASDAQ:FLUX
US Market

Flux Power Holdings (FLUX) AI Stock Analysis

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Flux Power Holdings

(NASDAQ:FLUX)

62Neutral
Flux Power Holdings is benefiting from strong revenue growth and strategic initiatives, but challenges include persistent net losses, negative equity, and high financial leverage. The company's upward stock momentum provides some positive technical signals, but caution is advised due to valuation concerns and overbought indicators. Recent corporate developments offer a positive outlook, contributing to the overall score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company reported financial results that were above both the analyst's and consensus estimates.
Leadership Change
The appointment of Krishna Vanka as CEO, who has experience leading a major energy company, is seen as a positive leadership change.
Market Position
Flux has a leading market position in a market with strong secular growth trends and has made large strides toward reaching profitability.
Negative Factors
Cost Pressures
FLUX relies on raw materials, semiconductors, and lithium-ion battery cells, some of which may come under cost pressure due to tariffs.
Revenue Expectations
FY24 revenue of $60.8M, down 8.5% y/y, missed analyst's estimate and consensus.
Sales Performance
Orders of $50.3M in FY24 were down 16% y/y, resulting in a book-to-bill of 0.8x for the year.

Flux Power Holdings (FLUX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Flux Power Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFlux Power Holdings, Inc. (FLUX) designs, develops, and sells advanced lithium-ion energy storage solutions for industrial applications. The company primarily serves sectors such as material handling, airport ground support equipment, and other commercial and industrial markets. Its core products include lithium-ion battery packs and energy storage systems that offer a cleaner and more efficient alternative to traditional lead-acid batteries.
How the Company Makes MoneyFlux Power Holdings generates revenue by manufacturing and selling lithium-ion battery packs and energy storage systems. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales of its battery products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and end-users across various industrial sectors. Flux Power also benefits from partnerships with manufacturers that integrate its battery solutions into their equipment, enhancing the overall value proposition. The adoption of lithium-ion technology over conventional lead-acid batteries due to its efficiency and environmental benefits significantly contributes to the company's earnings.

Flux Power Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Flux Power Holdings exhibits strong revenue growth, but persistent net losses and negative equity remain concerns. Improved cash flow management is a positive sign, yet high financial leverage and reliance on debt increase risk. Focus on cost control and achieving profitability is crucial.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Flux Power Holdings has shown robust revenue growth from $16.8M in 2020 to $60.6M in TTM 2024. However, profitability remains a challenge, with negative EBIT and Net Income across the periods. The Gross Profit Margin is improving, reaching approximately 30% in TTM 2024, but Net Profit Margin is still negative, indicating that costs need to be managed better to achieve profitability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company's financial leverage is concerning, with a negative Stockholders' Equity of $-2.74M in TTM 2024, leading to a negative Debt-to-Equity Ratio. This indicates potential financial instability. The Equity Ratio has also declined, suggesting increased reliance on debt financing which poses a risk if revenue growth does not translate into profitability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Flux Power Holdings has improved its Free Cash Flow in TTM 2024 to $4.24M from negative numbers in prior periods, indicating better cash management. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is positive in TTM 2024, showing operational cash generation despite net losses. However, reliance on financing activities in previous years highlights ongoing liquidity challenges.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
60.64M60.82M66.34M42.33M26.26M16.84M
Gross Profit
18.20M17.23M17.10M7.30M5.79M2.19M
EBIT
-7.23M-6.62M-5.41M-15.36M-13.48M-12.55M
EBITDA
-6.71M-6.62M-4.50M-14.78M-11.50M-12.41M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-8.96M-8.33M-6.74M-15.86M-14.45M-16.12M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
0.001.58M2.38M485.00K4.71M726.00K
Total Assets
0.0035.09M35.70M30.88M26.26M13.97M
Total Debt
0.0016.16M13.03M7.75M3.30M12.26M
Net Debt
0.0015.51M10.65M7.27M-1.41M11.54M
Total Liabilities
52.98K32.11M26.16M16.95M13.26M20.39M
Stockholders Equity
-52.98K4.40M9.55M13.93M13.01M-6.42M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.24M-4.80M-4.61M-24.69M-19.46M-8.67M
Operating Cash Flow
4.49M-4.80M-3.57M-23.89M-18.36M-8.34M
Investing Cash Flow
-765.00K-853.00K-1.02M-797.00K-1.10M-323.00K
Financing Cash Flow
-3.90M3.92M6.49M20.46M23.45M9.29M

Flux Power Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.54
Price Trends
50DMA
1.59
Negative
100DMA
1.71
Negative
200DMA
2.46
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Negative
RSI
48.34
Neutral
STOCH
32.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLUX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.70, below the 50-day MA of 1.59, and below the 200-day MA of 2.46, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FLUX.

Flux Power Holdings Risk Analysis

Flux Power Holdings disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Flux Power Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Flux Power Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$7.10B73.3311.30%-41.92%-76.24%
62
Neutral
$25.69M-385.84%-5.96%-50.28%
62
Neutral
$7.67B13.253.04%3.47%3.63%-13.99%
BEBE
59
Neutral
$4.12B-5.49%10.53%90.76%
49
Neutral
$76.84M-97.10%-10.24%37.82%
45
Neutral
$85.42M-18.96%11.09%0.41%
43
Neutral
$1.18B-90.88%-29.45%-10.79%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLUX
Flux Power Holdings
1.54
-3.30
-68.18%
ENPH
Enphase Energy
54.13
-67.57
-55.52%
FCEL
Fuelcell Energy
4.04
-30.16
-88.19%
PLUG
Plug Power
1.21
-1.75
-59.12%
BLNK
Blink Charging Co
0.76
-1.81
-70.43%
BE
Bloom Energy
17.87
6.49
57.03%

Flux Power Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 20, 2025 | % Change Since: -4.94% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a challenging quarter with revenue decline and increased losses, but highlights ongoing initiatives to expand sales and product offerings, maintain gross margin stability, and explore new market opportunities.
Highlights
Expansion of Sales and Marketing Initiatives
Flux Power is expanding its sales force and marketing initiatives to increase revenue growth and secure new customer relationships, especially focusing on Fortune 100 customers.
New Product Launches and Partnerships
The company is launching new heavy-duty models, introducing a private label program with a top-tier forklift OEM, and advancing fast-charging technology and modularization of battery cells.
Gross Margin Stability
Despite reduced revenue, gross margin held steady at 30% in fiscal Q3 2024, with long-term goals of exceeding 40% through strategic supply chain and cost improvement initiatives.
Lowlights
Revenue Decline
Revenue decreased by 4% to $14.5 million in fiscal Q3 2024, compared to $15.1 million in the same quarter of 2023, due to lower capital spending and shipment delays.
Increased Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Adjusted EBITDA loss increased to $1.4 million in fiscal Q3 2024 from a loss of $700,000 in the year-ago quarter, primarily due to lower revenue and higher warranty expenses.
Backlog Reduction
The backlog decreased to $18.5 million from $25 million a year ago, affected by delays in forklift deliveries and economic uncertainty.
Net Loss Increase
Net loss increased to $2.6 million in fiscal Q3 2024, compared to a loss of $1.4 million in the same quarter of 2023, due to decreased gross profit and increased operating and interest expenses.
Company Guidance
During the Flux Power Holdings Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2024 Earnings Call, the company discussed several key metrics and business strategies. Revenue for the fiscal third quarter decreased to $14.5 million, down from $15.1 million the previous year, largely due to lower capital spending and shipment delays. The gross margin slightly decreased to 30% from 31% last year, with a gross profit of $4.4 million. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $1.4 million compared to a $0.7 million loss in the same quarter of 2023. The open order backlog was noted at $18.5 million, down from $25 million a year ago. To address these challenges, Flux Power is focusing on initiatives to stimulate revenue growth and improve profitability, including the expansion of its sales force, new product launches, and cost reduction strategies. Additionally, the company is working on enhancing its gross margin with a long-term target of exceeding 40%, and it has also emphasized the importance of building scale through strategic partnerships and technology advancements.

Flux Power Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Flux Power Holdings Finalizes CEO Separation Agreement
Neutral
Apr 2, 2025

On March 31, 2025, Flux Power Holdings, Inc. finalized a separation and release agreement with Ronald F. Dutt, its former CEO, President, and Director, following his departure from the company. The agreement includes severance benefits comprising a cash payment of $386,250.02 distributed in twelve installments and a monthly health insurance payment for a year, reflecting standard industry practices for executive transitions.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Flux Power Holdings Reports Strong H1 2025 Results
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Flux Power Holdings reported financial results for the first half of fiscal year 2025, showing revenue and gross margin growth driven by increased demand for their innovative products. Despite some delays in customer orders due to higher interest rates, the company maintains a positive outlook with a significant order backlog and ongoing strategic initiatives to enhance sales and profitability. Key developments include launching a private label program with a major forklift OEM, expanding product lines, and forming partnerships to improve battery recycling processes.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Flux Power Holdings Announces Leadership Changes in 2025
Neutral
Mar 10, 2025

On March 10, 2025, Flux Power Holdings announced the retirement of Ronald F. Dutt from his roles as director, Chairman, CEO, and President, with Dale T. Robinette and Krishna Vanka appointed as the new Chairman and CEO, respectively. Vanka, with extensive experience in renewable energy and technology sectors, is expected to lead the company towards growth and innovation. The company also set May 28, 2025, for its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, advancing the date by more than 30 days from the previous year, and outlined new deadlines for stockholder proposals.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Flux Power Holdings Faces Nasdaq Compliance Deadline
Neutral
Feb 25, 2025

On February 21, 2025, Flux Power Holdings received a notice from Nasdaq indicating non-compliance with the Nasdaq Listing Rule 5250(c)(1) due to delayed filing of its quarterly reports for periods ending September 30, 2024, and December 31, 2024. The company has until March 10, 2025, to submit an updated compliance plan. If accepted, Nasdaq may grant an extension until April 14, 2025, to file the delinquent reports. This notice does not immediately affect the company’s stock listing, and Flux Power is actively working to address the issue.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Flux Power Holdings Reports 2024 Financial Results
Neutral
Jan 30, 2025

Flux Power Holdings reported its fiscal year 2024 financial results, highlighting a decrease in revenue to $60.8 million from $66.5 million in the previous year, but an improved gross profit of $17.2 million. The company completed the restatement of past financials, identifying $5.2 million in cumulative adjustments, primarily from excess and obsolete inventory, without impacting cash flow. Despite delays in order shipments due to higher interest rates and geopolitical uncertainties, Flux Power remains optimistic about future growth and profitability, supported by a $17.5 million order backlog as of December 31, 2024.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.