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Fuelcell Energy (FCEL)
NASDAQ:FCEL
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Fuelcell Energy (FCEL) AI Stock Analysis

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FCEL

Fuelcell Energy

(NASDAQ:FCEL)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▼(-3.96% Downside)
Fuelcell Energy's overall stock score is driven by significant financial challenges, including persistent losses and negative cash flows, which weigh heavily on the score. While technical indicators show short-term bullish momentum, valuation concerns and financial inefficiencies remain critical issues. The earnings call provides some optimism with revenue growth and strategic partnerships, but financial hurdles persist.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The substantial revenue growth indicates strong demand for FuelCell Energy's products and services, suggesting a positive trajectory for market expansion and increased adoption of their technology.
Strategic Partnerships
These partnerships enhance FuelCell Energy's global presence and revenue potential, providing a stable foundation for future growth and market penetration in key regions.
Supportive US Policy
Favorable US policy tailwinds, such as the ITC, bolster FuelCell Energy's growth prospects by incentivizing the adoption of their clean energy solutions, enhancing long-term competitiveness.
Negative Factors
Increased Net Loss
The rising net loss reflects ongoing financial challenges, which could strain resources and hinder the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives and innovation.
Negative Cash Flow
Persistent negative cash flow undermines FuelCell Energy's financial stability, limiting its ability to fund operations and strategic projects without external financing.
Ongoing Gross Loss
Continued gross losses indicate challenges in achieving cost efficiency and profitability, which could impact long-term financial health and operational sustainability.

Fuelcell Energy (FCEL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fuelcell Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFuelCell Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, sells, installs, operates, and services stationary fuel cell power plants for distributed baseload power generation. It offers SureSource1500, a 1.4-megawatt (MW) platform; SureSource 3000, a 2.8 MW platform; SureSource 4000, a 3.7 MW platform; SureSource 250, a 250- kilowatt (kW) platform; SureSource 400, a 400-kW platform; and SureSource Hydrogen, a 2.3 MW platform that is designed to produce up to 1,200 kilograms of hydrogen per day for multi-megawatt utility, microgrid, and distributed hydrogen applications, as well as on-site heat and chilling applications. It also provides SureSource Capture system that separates and concentrates carbon dioxide from the flue gases of natural gas, biomass, or coal-fired power plants, as well as industrial facilities; solid oxide fuel cell/solid oxide electrolysis cell stack technology. The company's SureSource power plants generate clean electricity, usable heat, water, and hydrogen. In addition, it provides engineering, procurement, and construction services; project financing services; and real-time monitoring and remote operation, online support system, preventative maintenance, parts and supplies, on-site and classroom training, and power plant refurbishment/recycling services, as well as technical services in the areas of plant operation and performance, and fuel processing. It serves various markets, including utilities and independent power producers, industrial and process applications, education and health care, data centers and communication, wastewater treatment, government, microgrids, food and beverage, and commercial and hospitality. The company primarily operates in the United States, South Korea, England, Germany, and Switzerland. FuelCell Energy, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyFuelCell Energy generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from the sale and installation of its fuel cell power plants and systems. The company engages in long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) which provide stable revenue by selling the electricity generated by their systems to utilities and other customers. Additionally, FuelCell Energy earns money through service agreements that involve the maintenance and operation of their fuel cell facilities. The company also benefits from government grants and incentives aimed at promoting clean energy technologies, which can enhance its financial position. Significant partnerships with various energy and utility companies further bolster its revenue potential by expanding market access and enabling joint projects.

Fuelcell Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth for Fuelcell Energy. This breakdown reveals strategic strengths and potential vulnerabilities in the company's business model.
Chart InsightsFuelCell Energy's recent revenue trends show a notable resurgence in the Product segment, driven by strategic restructuring and a focus on the molten carbonate platform. This aligns with the company's earnings call highlighting a 67% revenue increase and a significant backlog growth. However, challenges persist with operational losses and underperformance in Advanced Technologies. The company's partnerships and cost management efforts are crucial as they aim to capitalize on distributed power generation demand, but achieving production targets remains critical for future profitability.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Fuelcell Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 09, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights significant revenue growth and strategic partnerships, supported by favorable US policy tailwinds and a strong cash position, suggesting positive momentum. However, the increased net loss and ongoing gross loss indicate financial challenges that need to be addressed. The sentiment is balanced by both positive developments and notable financial hurdles.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Reported total revenues of $46.7 million in FY2025 Q3, representing a 97% increase compared to $23.7 million in the prior year quarter.
Strategic Partnerships and Global Scale
Entered into a long-term service agreement with CGN in South Korea and delivered eight replacement modules to GGE, with expectations to drive product revenue through fiscal year 2025 and 2026. Additionally, MoU with Inuverse to deploy up to 100 megawatts of fuel cell-based power.
Supportive US Policy Tailwinds
The reinstatement of the investment tax credit (ITC) supports fuel cell technology deployment, aiding FuelCell Energy's growth potential in the US market.
Strong Financial Position
Closed the quarter with approximately $237 million in total cash and cash equivalents, providing ample runway to execute business plans.
Decreased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses reduced by 30% on an annualized basis compared to fiscal year 2024, contributing to a stronger financial foundation.
Negative Updates
Increased Net Loss
Reported a net loss of $92.5 million for the quarter, compared to $33.5 million in the prior year, driven by noncash impairment expenses and restructuring costs.
Decreased Generation and Advanced Technology Contract Revenues
Generation revenues decreased to $12.4 million from $13.4 million, and advanced technology contract revenues decreased to $5.3 million from $8.6 million.
Ongoing Gross Loss
Gross loss was $5.1 million, slightly improved from $6.2 million in the prior year, but still reflecting challenges in achieving positive gross margins.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, FuelCell Energy, Inc. provided guidance highlighting their robust strategic progress and financial positioning. The company reported a significant revenue increase of 97% to $46.7 million for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, compared to $23.7 million in the same quarter of the previous year. Despite a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $92.5 million, up from $33.5 million in 2024, the company emphasized the positive effects of their restructuring efforts, which are projected to reduce operating expenses by 30% on an annualized basis compared to fiscal year 2024. FuelCell Energy's backlog grew by 4% to $1.24 billion, reflecting new long-term service agreements in South Korea. They closed the quarter with cash and cash equivalents totaling approximately $237 million, providing a solid foundation to execute their business plans. The company aims to reach adjusted EBITDA breakeven once their Torrington manufacturing facility achieves a production rate of 100 megawatts per year.

Fuelcell Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fuelcell Energy faces significant financial challenges, with persistent losses and negative cash flows. Despite revenue growth, the company struggles with profitability and cash generation. The balance sheet shows a strong equity position, but inefficiencies in generating returns remain a concern.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Fuelcell Energy's income statement shows a challenging financial position with negative margins across the board. The TTM gross profit margin is -24.54%, indicating significant cost challenges. The net profit margin is also deeply negative at -109.14%, reflecting substantial losses. Despite a revenue growth rate of 17.81% in the TTM period, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins of -103.94% and -73.90%, respectively.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -20.06%, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio stands at 66.95%, showing a strong equity base relative to total assets, which is a positive aspect.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights significant challenges, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow. The free cash flow growth rate is -27.85% in the TTM period, indicating worsening cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is -1.95, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.30, reflecting cash flow issues despite some alignment with net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue152.47M112.13M123.39M130.48M69.58M70.87M
Gross Profit-30.69M-35.92M-10.54M-29.57M-15.64M-7.72M
EBITDA-167.68M-110.87M-74.85M-118.75M-73.79M-54.99M
Net Income-201.05M-126.01M-107.57M-147.23M-101.03M-89.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets830.53M944.12M955.52M939.72M875.25M523.54M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments190.75M257.26M353.71M458.06M432.21M149.87M
Total Debt29.22M141.36M139.25M104.29M97.84M182.77M
Total Liabilities205.46M216.66M195.22M185.33M169.92M269.13M
Stockholders Equity556.17M716.78M742.35M744.25M702.29M254.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-124.78M-200.63M-232.61M-158.82M-143.67M-68.69M
Operating Cash Flow-96.58M-152.91M-140.25M-112.17M-70.44M-36.78M
Investing Cash Flow48.90M-60.05M-192.37M-46.65M-73.23M-32.52M
Financing Cash Flow66.45M122.15M151.07M180.58M411.91M221.67M

Fuelcell Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.33
Price Trends
50DMA
4.97
Positive
100DMA
5.08
Positive
200DMA
6.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.78
Negative
RSI
83.78
Negative
STOCH
96.13
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCEL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.17, above the 50-day MA of 4.97, and above the 200-day MA of 6.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.78 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 83.78 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.13 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FCEL.

Fuelcell Energy Risk Analysis

Fuelcell Energy disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fuelcell Energy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fuelcell Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
18.64B17,227.663.98%22.72%0.00%
58
Neutral
696.13M-7.53-25.23%14.82%-19.27%
56
Neutral
2.37B-1.7277.98%128.49%-697.81%
50
Neutral
2.31B-0.99-117.21%-1.70%9.93%
45
Neutral
18.52M-0.07431.89%4.80%16.72%
42
Neutral
$212.83M-29.51%78.82%-20.81%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FCEL
Fuelcell Energy
8.33
-4.62
-35.68%
PLUG
Plug Power
2.10
0.16
8.25%
BE
Bloom Energy
80.97
70.06
642.16%
EOSE
Eos Energy Enterprises
9.00
6.61
276.57%
SLDP
Solid Power
3.91
2.45
167.81%
DFLI
Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp
0.29
-4.33
-93.72%

Fuelcell Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
FuelCell Energy Reports 97% Revenue Increase in Q3 2025
Neutral
Sep 9, 2025

FuelCell Energy reported a significant revenue increase of 97% for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, reaching $46.7 million, largely driven by its long-term service agreement with Gyeonggi Green Energy Co., Ltd. Despite this growth, the company faced a net loss of $92.5 million, attributed to restructuring and non-cash impairment expenses. The company is focusing on expanding its carbonate technology and distributed power generation capabilities to capitalize on the rising energy demands from data centers, aiming for future profitability and market leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (FCEL) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fuelcell Energy stock, see the FCEL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 19, 2025