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Flutter Entertainment PLC (FLUT)
NYSE:FLUT

Flutter Entertainment PLC (FLUT) AI Stock Analysis

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Flutter Entertainment PLC

(NYSE:FLUT)

60Neutral
Flutter Entertainment PLC's stock score of 60 reflects robust revenue growth and strong market presence, especially in the U.S. However, the company faces challenges with profitability and leverage, and the stock appears overvalued with a high P/E ratio. Technical indicators suggest caution, though the recent earnings call highlighted positive strategic initiatives and market share gains.
Positive Factors
Business Performance
Flutter delivered a strong full-year performance, with AMPs increasing 13% YoY and revenue growing 19% YoY, driven by the rapid scaling of its U.S. business.
Financial Strategy
Flutter reduced its leverage ratio to 2.2x from 3.1x, supported by strong cash flow, and announced a $1B share repurchase program for 2025.
Stock Valuation
Post sell-off, shares trade on 24x 2025E P/E, attractive given expectations for 32% 2025-27E EPS CAGR.
Negative Factors
Earnings Impact
Adverse sports results during March Madness prompt a cut in 1Q25 revenue to $1.8bn.
Legislative Challenges
Concerns around recent tax hike proposals offset positive commentary on U.S. OSB handle re-acceleration.
Market Challenges
Foreign currency headwinds are expected to reduce 2025 revenue by $220M.

Flutter Entertainment PLC (FLUT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Flutter Entertainment PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFlutter Entertainment plc operates as a sports betting and gaming company in the United Kingdom, Ireland, Australia, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: UK & Ireland, Australia, International, and US. It offers sportsbooks and exchange sports betting products, daily fantasy sports products, and pari-mutuel betting products; fixed odds games betting products; online games and casinos; peer-to-peer games, including online bingo, rummy, and poker; and business-to-business services. The company also operates HRTV, a horseracing television network, as well as offers treasury; risk management; and horse racing broadcasting and advanced deposit wagering services. It provides sports betting and gaming services through paddypower.com, betfair.com, sportsbet.com.au, tvg.com, us.betfair.com, fanduel.com, pokerstars.com, Skybet.com, tombola.com, and adjarabet.com websites under the Paddy Power, Betfair, Sportsbet, TVG, FanDuel, Sky Betting & Gaming, PokerStars, Tombola, and Adjarabet brands, as well as BetStars, Sky Bet, Sky Vegas, FOX Bet, Stardust, Sky Bingo, and Junglee Games brands; and betting shops, and live poker tours and events. The company was formerly known as Paddy Power Betfair plc and changed its name to Flutter Entertainment plc in May 2019. Flutter Entertainment plc was incorporated in 1958 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyFlutter Entertainment PLC generates revenue primarily through its diversified portfolio of leading brands in the sports betting and gaming industry. The company operates several key divisions, including its Online division, which covers internet-based betting and gaming services, and its Retail division, which encompasses physical betting shops. Notable brands under Flutter's umbrella include Paddy Power, Betfair, FanDuel, PokerStars, and Sky Betting & Gaming. Revenue streams include sports betting, where the company earns money from the bets placed by its customers; gaming activities, which involve online casino games, poker, and lotteries; and daily fantasy sports, primarily through its FanDuel brand. Additionally, Flutter benefits from strategic partnerships and sponsorships that enhance its market reach and brand recognition, as well as joint ventures that expand its geographical footprint and access to new markets.

Flutter Entertainment PLC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Flutter Entertainment PLC shows strong revenue growth and cash generation, but faces profitability challenges and rising leverage. Operational improvements are seen in EBIT and EBITDA margins, and the company maintains a strong equity base. Focus needed on sustainable profitability and debt management.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Flutter Entertainment PLC has shown impressive revenue growth, increasing from $2.83 billion in 2019 to $14.05 billion in 2024. However, the company has faced challenges with profitability, recording net losses over the past few years, including a $130 million loss in 2024. While gross profit margins have improved, net profit margins remain negative. The company has improved its EBIT and EBITDA margins in 2024, which reflects operational improvements.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's financial position shows a stable equity base with stockholders' equity at $9.29 billion in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased over the years, indicating rising leverage, which poses potential risks. However, the equity ratio remains strong, reflecting a solid asset base relative to equity. Return on equity is currently negative due to net losses.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow has been consistently positive, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities, with $1.6 billion in 2024. Free cash flow has also shown significant growth, indicating improved cash management. The ratio of operating cash flow to net income highlights operational efficiency, despite net losses.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
14.05B11.79B9.46B8.31B6.04B
Gross Profit
6.70B5.59B4.65B4.43B3.93B
EBIT
869.00M-549.00M-88.00M-449.00M141.54M
EBITDA
1.60B653.00M987.00M561.00M1.18B
Net Income Common Stockholders
109.00M-1.22B-432.00M-923.00M51.83M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.58B3.42B2.70B2.31B1.74B
Total Assets
24.51B24.64B24.77B22.68B23.23B
Total Debt
7.28B7.53B7.24B5.19B4.52B
Net Debt
5.70B4.28B4.71B2.98B2.89B
Total Liabilities
13.24B13.27B12.27B8.77B8.20B
Stockholders Equity
9.29B10.04B12.35B13.86B14.99B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
941.00M344.10M558.14M339.44M920.64M
Operating Cash Flow
1.60B937.00M1.03B736.87M1.21B
Investing Cash Flow
-811.00M-602.00M-2.76B-324.97M-1.79B
Financing Cash Flow
-469.00M-113.00M1.87B79.35M1.24B

Flutter Entertainment PLC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price227.18
Price Trends
50DMA
249.48
Negative
100DMA
258.22
Negative
200DMA
238.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.32
Negative
RSI
45.66
Neutral
STOCH
76.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLUT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 227.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 229.15, below the 50-day MA of 249.48, and below the 200-day MA of 238.37, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FLUT.

Flutter Entertainment PLC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.52B28.7521.14%3.97%18.10%
LNLNW
71
Outperform
$6.79B21.2647.97%9.82%109.44%
RSRSI
66
Neutral
$2.70B591.503.61%33.70%
60
Neutral
$7.23B11.553.67%4.04%2.96%-13.54%
60
Neutral
£40.96B1,052.50-1.40%
60
Neutral
$30.56B-54.81%30.07%39.93%
44
Neutral
$2.18B-10.27%3.38%38.18%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLUT
Flutter Entertainment PLC
227.18
45.88
25.31%
PENN
Penn National Gaming
14.27
-1.99
-12.24%
LNW
Light & Wonder
78.36
-10.11
-11.43%
DKNG
DraftKings
33.62
-8.59
-20.35%
RSI
Rush Street Interactive
11.83
5.50
86.89%
SGHC
Super Group (SGHC)
7.45
4.55
156.90%

Flutter Entertainment PLC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 4, 2025 | % Change Since: -14.64% | Next Earnings Date: May 20, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with significant growth in both revenue and market share, particularly in the U.S. and international markets. However, challenges such as adverse sports results and regulatory concerns were noted. The sentiment is balanced with strong highlights but notable lowlights.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance
Flutter reported a revenue growth of 19% and adjusted EBITDA increased by 26% in 2024. The net income was $156 million, and earnings per share increased by $5.59 to $0.45 in Q4.
U.S. Market Leadership
Flutter maintained its number 1 position in the U.S. online sportsbook market with a GGR market share of 43% and became the number 1 iGaming operator with a 26% market share.
Successful International Expansion
Significant progress was made in international markets, including the successful launch of FanDuel in North Carolina and Vermont, and the acquisition of MaxBet.
Innovative Product Development
The introduction of the Flutter Edge and further product innovations like the Same Game Parlay and FanDuel Reward Machine drove strong customer engagement and growth.
Lowlights
Adverse Sports Results Impact
Customer-friendly NFL results led to a significant adverse impact on Q4 sports results, costing approximately $550 million in revenue and $360 million of adjusted EBITDA.
Challenges in Australia
The Australian market faced challenges with an 8% decline in revenue, attributed to softness in the racing market.
Regulatory Challenges and Tax Increases
Potential state gaming tax increases in the U.S. were highlighted as a concern, with ongoing efforts to mitigate impacts.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Flutter provided guidance for 2025, highlighting significant achievements and strategic plans. The company reported a 19% revenue growth and a 26% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $482 million for 2024. In the U.S., Flutter maintained a sportsbook GGR market share of 43% and an iGaming GGR market share of 26%, solidifying its position as the leading online sportsbook and iGaming operator. For 2025, Flutter anticipates U.S. revenue and adjusted EBITDA midpoints of $7.72 billion and $1.4 billion, respectively, representing substantial year-over-year growth. The company plans to continue organic investments and acquisitions, including the Snai and NSX acquisitions, and expects up to $1 billion in share repurchases. Flutter's strategic focus on product innovation and disciplined customer acquisition is expected to drive further market leadership and shareholder value.

Flutter Entertainment PLC Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Flutter Entertainment Aligns Shares with UK Regulations
Neutral
Oct 30, 2024

Flutter Entertainment plc announced a block listing application for its ordinary shares to align with UK regulatory requirements. This move involves their Deferred Share Incentive Plan and other schemes, adjusting the balance of unissued shares through a regular update. Key figures include an increase and allotment of shares under various incentive plans, showcasing active management of their equity incentives.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.