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Flex Ltd (FLEX)
NASDAQ:FLEX

Flex (FLEX) AI Stock Analysis

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Flex

(NASDAQ:FLEX)

78Outperform
Flex demonstrates robust financial health and growth potential, especially highlighted by record margins and strategic expansions in the data center sector. While valuation remains attractive, technical indicators point to bearish trends, which could indicate near-term volatility. Earnings call insights add confidence, despite some market and geopolitical concerns.

Flex (FLEX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Flex Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFlex Ltd. provides design, engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain services and solutions to original equipment manufacturers in Asia, the Americas, and Europe. It operates through three segments: Flex Agility Solutions (FAS), Flex Reliability Solutions (FRS), and Nextracker. The company provides cross-industry technologies, including human-machine interface, internet of things platforms, power, sensor fusion, and smart audio. It also offers integrated solar tracker and software solutions used in utility-scale and ground-mounted distributed generation solar projects. In addition, the company provides value-added design and engineering services; and systems assembly and manufacturing services that include enclosures, testing services, and materials procurement and inventory management services. Further, it offers chargers for smartphones and tablets; adapters for notebooks and gaming systems; power supplies for the server, storage, and networking markets; and power solutions, such as switchgear, busway, power distribution, modular power systems, and monitoring solutions and services. Additionally, the company provides after-market and forward supply chain logistics services to computing, consumer digital, infrastructure, industrial, mobile, automotive, and medical industries; and reverse logistics and repair solutions, including returns management, exchange programs, complex repair, asset recovery, recycling, and e-waste management. It serves to cloud, communications, enterprise, automotive, industrial, consumer devices, lifestyle, healthcare, and energy industries. The company was formerly known as Flextronics International Ltd. and changed its name to Flex Ltd. in September 2016. Flex Ltd. was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Singapore.
How the Company Makes MoneyFlex makes money primarily through its manufacturing and supply chain solutions, which are offered to businesses across diverse industries. The company generates revenue by providing end-to-end services that include product design, engineering, component sourcing, assembly, and logistics. Flex's key revenue streams include contract manufacturing services, where it produces products for clients under their brand names, and supply chain management services, which optimize the logistics and distribution processes for its clients. Significant partnerships with major companies in the automotive, healthcare, and technology sectors further bolster its earnings by providing steady contracts and collaborative opportunities for innovation.

Flex Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Flex exhibits strong growth and profitability in the income statement with robust revenue figures and profit margins. The balance sheet shows solid financial leverage management, though the decrease in total assets and equity poses potential risks. Cash flow management is excellent, with significant free cash flow improvement and efficient cash generation.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Flex has shown strong revenue growth over the years, with a recent TTM revenue of $23.94 billion, indicating a stable demand in the hardware and equipment industry. The gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 8.29%, and the net profit margin stands at 4.07%, highlighting operational efficiency. However, there was a slight decline in revenue from the previous year. EBITDA and EBIT margins are robust, supporting good operational performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is solid with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20, showcasing strong financial leverage management. The equity ratio of 27.32% suggests a balanced approach to funding operations through equity. ROE is impressive at 19.52%, indicating effective use of equity. However, the decrease in total assets and equity over the years may pose future risks.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Flex demonstrates strong cash flow management with a free cash flow of $1.35 billion, reflecting a significant improvement. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.80 indicates efficient cash generation relative to profit. The free cash flow growth rate is substantial, pointing to an effective capital expenditure strategy. The company maintains a healthy liquidity position.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
23.94B26.41B30.35B26.04B24.12B24.21B
Gross Profit
1.98B1.95B2.27B1.93B1.69B1.34B
EBIT
1.06B1.03B1.18B972.00M821.00M348.19M
EBITDA
1.13B1.32B1.49B1.46B1.43B790.98M
Net Income Common Stockholders
974.70M1.01B793.00M936.00M613.00M88.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.93B2.47B3.29B2.96B2.64B1.92B
Total Assets
10.64B18.26B21.39B19.32B15.84B13.69B
Total Debt
2.26B3.75B4.35B4.75B4.34B3.37B
Net Debt
329.25M1.28B1.05B1.78B1.71B1.44B
Total Liabilities
8.66B12.93B15.69B15.12B12.40B10.86B
Stockholders Equity
1.98B5.33B5.35B4.13B3.44B2.83B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.35B796.00M315.00M581.00M-207.00M-2.00B
Operating Cash Flow
1.76B1.33B950.00M1.02B144.00M-1.53B
Investing Cash Flow
-722.00M-492.00M-604.00M-951.00M-202.00M2.28B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.42B-1.66B2.00M280.00M743.00M-508.00M

Flex Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price27.80
Price Trends
50DMA
37.14
Negative
100DMA
38.38
Negative
200DMA
35.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.18
Positive
RSI
37.14
Neutral
STOCH
15.98
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLEX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 27.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.39, below the 50-day MA of 37.14, and below the 200-day MA of 35.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.98 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FLEX.

Flex Risk Analysis

Flex disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Flex reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Flex Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ESESE
80
Outperform
$3.67B33.399.22%0.22%8.94%18.56%
78
Outperform
$10.75B11.2518.45%-12.94%47.70%
74
Outperform
$3.84B17.2410.55%-8.92%-12.11%
73
Outperform
$3.37B28.869.27%-3.53%-3.90%
JBJBL
63
Neutral
$13.28B29.0224.10%0.26%-14.45%-64.32%
BHBHE
62
Neutral
$1.31B21.135.78%2.05%-6.44%-2.60%
57
Neutral
$18.45B9.41-13.97%2.74%5.04%-23.56%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLEX
Flex
31.58
3.13
11.00%
BHE
Benchmark Electronics
36.41
8.02
28.25%
ESE
Esco Technologies
139.86
37.89
37.16%
JBL
Jabil
137.38
1.37
1.01%
PLXS
Plexus
124.45
28.77
30.07%
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
77.79
19.34
33.09%

Flex Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 29, 2025 | % Change Since: -31.51% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call revealed significant positive developments, including record margins and data center growth, along with strategic acquisitions. However, there are concerns regarding the automotive market, geopolitical risks, and tax impacts. Overall, highlights notably outweigh the lowlights.
Highlights
Record Quarterly Operating Margin and EPS
Flex achieved a record quarterly operating margin of 6.1% and EPS of $0.77, marking the first quarter with an operating margin above 6%. This is attributed to strong execution on strategy, mix improvement, and efficiency across all business units.
Data Center Business Growth
The data center business grew 45% year-over-year in the quarter, driven by AI-driven cloud expansion and increased demand for hyperscale cloud integration programs and power portfolio. Flex expects similar growth in the next quarter.
Strong Medical Device Demand
There was very strong medical device demand in Q3, with Flex having exceptional capabilities in FDA-regulated medical technology design and manufacturing. This includes a recent win with GLP-1 injectors.
Acquisition of JetCool and Crown Systems
Flex closed on acquisitions of JetCool and Crown Systems, which add key technologies to its data center portfolio, including direct to chip liquid cooling and data center critical power capabilities.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow in the quarter was $306 million, with a fiscal year-to-date delivery of $757 million, positioning Flex to exceed its full-year target of $800 million.
Lowlights
Soft Automotive Market
Flex noted softer near-term trends in the automotive market due to a weak macro environment, although they remain confident in the longer-term trends towards advanced compute and powertrain modernization.
Potential Impact of Tariffs and Geopolitical Events
Flex acknowledged the dynamic environment and potential risks associated with tariffs and geopolitical events, which could impact manufacturing strategies and volumes.
Tax Rate Impact on EPS
Adjusted EPS for the next quarter is anticipated to be lower than the current quarter, primarily due to changes in the tax rate.
Company Guidance
During Flex's Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported strong financial results with revenue reaching $6.6 billion, operating margins at 6.1%, and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.77, marking the first quarter with an operating margin above 6%. The data center business grew by 45% year-over-year, driven by the transition towards dense compute technologies, and the health solutions and consumer-related markets also showed positive trends. The company completed acquisitions of JetCool and Crown Systems, enhancing capabilities in data center cooling and power solutions. For the fourth quarter, Flex anticipates revenue between $6 billion and $6.4 billion, with adjusted EPS ranging from $0.65 to $0.73. For the full Fiscal Year 2025, Flex expects revenue between $25.4 billion and $25.8 billion, with an adjusted operating margin of 5.6% to 5.7%, and adjusted EPS between $2.57 and $2.65. The company also highlighted its strong cash flow management and stock repurchase activities, with $306 million in free cash flow for the quarter and $950 million in stock repurchases year-to-date.

Flex Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Flex Appoints Kevin S. Krumm as New CFO
Positive
Nov 22, 2024

Flex Ltd. has appointed Kevin S. Krumm as Chief Financial Officer, effective January 6, 2025, as part of its strategic push to enhance shareholder value and achieve long-term financial success. Krumm, with over 20 years of experience in various industries, will replace interim CFO Jaime Martinez. He aims to leverage his expertise in driving the company’s financial strategy, ensuring Flex remains at the forefront of innovation and operational excellence.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.