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Fiserv (FI)
NYSE:FI
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Fiserv (FI) AI Stock Analysis

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FI

Fiserv

(NYSE:FI)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$144.00
▲(8.83% Upside)
Fiserv's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, tempered by bearish technical indicators and valuation concerns. The company's recent earnings call and corporate events provide a balanced outlook with both growth opportunities and challenges.
Positive Factors
Competitive Advantage
Clover has a competitive edge due to superior product design and strong value-added services attach, despite slower volume growth.
Earnings Growth
FI is seen as a mid-to-high teens EPS grower that can garner a better multiple.
Revenue Growth
Clover revenue growth accelerated to 30%, and management reiterated its FY25 Clover revenue target of $3.5bn, indicating confidence in this segment.
Negative Factors
Market Positioning
The stock reaction likely accounts for reduced confidence in longer term EPS trajectory and market positioning concerns.
Organic Revenue Growth
Fiserv reported roughly in-line second quarter results and lowered full-year organic revenue growth guidance to about 10%.
Revenue Guidance
FI lowered revenue guidance across the board, with merchant solutions and financial solutions now expected to grow at the low-end of prior outlooks.

Fiserv (FI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fiserv Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFiserv, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides payment and financial services technology worldwide. The company operates through Acceptance, Fintech, and Payments segments. The Acceptance segment provides point-of-sale merchant acquiring and digital commerce services; mobile payment services; security and fraud protection products; Carat, an omnichannel commerce solution; Clover, a cloud-based point-of-sale and business management platform; and Clover Connect, an independent software vendors platform. This segment distributes through various channels, including direct sales teams, strategic partnerships with agent sales forces, independent software vendors, financial institutions, and other strategic partners. The Fintech segment offers customer deposit and loan accounts, as well as manages an institution's general ledger and central information files. This segment also provides digital banking, financial and risk management, professional services and consulting, item processing and source capture, and other products and services. The Payments segment offers card transactions, such as debit, credit, and prepaid card processing and services; security and fraud protection products; card production; print services; and various network services, as well as non-card digital payment software and services, including bill payment, account-to-account transfers, person-to-person payments, electronic billing, and security and fraud protection products. It serves business, banks, credit unions, other financial institutions, merchants, and corporate clients. Fiserv, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Brookfield, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyFiserv generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model and transaction-based fees. Key revenue streams include payment processing services, which account for a significant portion of its earnings by charging fees for each transaction processed. Additionally, Fiserv earns revenue from its software solutions and technology services, which are sold on a subscription basis to financial institutions. Partnerships with banks and credit unions enhance its market reach and provide a steady income stream through long-term contracts. The company's continuous innovation in digital banking and payments also contributes to revenue growth, as it attracts more clients looking for advanced technological solutions.

Fiserv Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -20.28%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue and earnings growth along with significant shareholder returns and strategic partnerships. However, the guidance adjustment and margin decline in Merchant Solutions, along with slower implementations in the banking segment, present challenges. The sentiment is balanced with both positive achievements and areas needing improvement.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Earnings Growth
Fiserv reported an 8% adjusted and organic revenue growth and a strong 16% adjusted EPS growth for the second quarter of 2025. The adjusted operating margin expanded by 120 basis points to 39.6%.
Significant Shareholder Returns
The company returned $2.2 billion to shareholders by repurchasing 12.2 million shares, which is a 26% increase compared to the first quarter. The share repurchase guidance for 2025 has been increased to approximately 130% of free cash flow.
Clover Revenue Growth
Clover revenue grew by 30% in Q2, with volume growth coming in at 8% reported and 11% excluding the gateway conversion. VAS penetration reached 24%, up from 20% a year ago.
Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions
New partnerships and acquisitions were announced, including the agreement with TD Bank Canada and the acquisition of a portion of TD Bank’s existing merchant processing business.
Negative Updates
Guidance Adjustment
The full-year organic revenue growth guidance was refined to approximately 10%, at the low end of the previous 10% to 12% range, due to some product launches and initiatives taking longer than expected.
Merchant Solutions Margin Decline
Adjusted operating margin for the Merchant Solutions segment was down 200 basis points to 34.6% due to multiple factors, including investments in marketing and sales, the impact of the CCV acquisition, and increased investments in new software and hardware.
Slower Implementation in Banking
Banking organic and adjusted revenue was flat in the quarter due to slower-than-expected implementations, less activity in the market, and greater pricing competition.
Company Guidance
In the Fiserv Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported an 8% adjusted and organic revenue growth along with a robust 16% increase in adjusted EPS. The adjusted operating margin expanded by 120 basis points to 39.6%, contributing to strong free cash flow of $1.2 billion for the quarter. The company returned $2.2 billion to shareholders by repurchasing 12.2 million shares, marking a 26% increase from Q1. However, Fiserv revised its full-year organic revenue growth guidance to approximately 10%, citing slower-than-anticipated rollout of strategic initiatives and macroeconomic factors. Despite this, the company maintained its $3.5 billion Clover revenue target and increased its share repurchase guidance to approximately 130% of free cash flow. The Merchant Solutions segment saw a 9% organic revenue growth, while the Financial Solutions segment experienced a 7% growth. The call highlighted several strategic initiatives, including the expansion of Clover into international markets and the introduction of new products, such as FIUSD stablecoin, as key drivers for future growth.

Fiserv Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fiserv exhibits strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, healthy profitability margins, and robust cash flow generation. The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage and strong equity returns, positioning the company well for future growth and stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Fiserv demonstrates strong revenue growth, with a TTM revenue of $21.11 billion, reflecting a 3.21% increase from the previous year. The gross profit margin stands at 61.13%, and the net profit margin is 16.01%, indicating healthy profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 30.13% and 44.04% respectively, showcasing efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a stable balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.18, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is 30.94%, reflecting a balanced capital structure. Return on equity (ROE) is robust at 13.40%, highlighting strong shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Fiserv's cash flow position is strong, with a TTM free cash flow of $5.97 billion, showing a 17.97% growth from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.00, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.77, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.46B19.09B17.74B16.23B14.85B
Gross Profit12.44B11.43B9.74B8.10B7.04B
EBITDA8.84B8.02B6.83B5.56B5.10B
Net Income3.13B3.07B2.53B1.33B958.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets77.18B90.89B83.87B76.25B74.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.24B1.20B902.00M835.00M906.00M
Total Debt24.96B23.90B21.54B21.24B20.68B
Total Liabilities49.49B60.22B52.18B44.30B41.29B
Stockholders Equity27.07B29.86B30.83B30.95B32.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.06B3.77B3.14B2.87B3.25B
Operating Cash Flow6.63B5.16B4.62B4.03B4.15B
Investing Cash Flow-2.40B-1.07B-2.11B-1.63B-341.00M
Financing Cash Flow-4.17B-4.36B-2.48B-761.00M-3.84B

Fiserv Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price132.32
Price Trends
50DMA
158.56
Negative
100DMA
175.96
Negative
200DMA
194.94
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-8.77
Positive
RSI
23.28
Positive
STOCH
13.53
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 132.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 144.39, below the 50-day MA of 158.56, and below the 200-day MA of 194.94, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -8.77 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.28 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.53 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FI.

Fiserv Risk Analysis

Fiserv disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fiserv reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fiserv Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$30.75B36.9934.81%1.34%5.88%20.69%
75
Outperform
$67.67B20.6730.46%3.16%4.52%-0.22%
70
Outperform
$148.62B18.9927.27%2.49%6.21%14.87%
68
Neutral
$11.54B26.9822.49%1.43%6.04%13.36%
66
Neutral
$71.87B22.1012.66%6.73%3.93%
58
Neutral
$36.50B261.591.01%2.12%3.64%102.21%
57
Neutral
HK$14.39B9.80-0.60%4.57%7.08%-37.99%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FI
Fiserv
132.32
-30.14
-18.55%
ACN
Accenture
237.87
-75.69
-24.14%
BR
Broadridge Financial Solutions
262.50
55.84
27.02%
FIS
Fidelity National Info
71.76
-5.02
-6.54%
INFY
Infosys
16.07
-5.06
-23.95%
JKHY
Jack Henry & Associates
159.79
-3.27
-2.01%

Fiserv Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fiserv Enters New Credit Agreement with JPMorgan
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Fiserv, Inc. entered into a new Credit Agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank, replacing its prior agreement from June 16, 2022. This move, involving Fiserv Funding Unlimited Company, signifies a strategic financial restructuring, as the previous $6 billion revolving credit facility was voluntarily terminated, reflecting Fiserv’s evolving financial strategy and operational adjustments.

The most recent analyst rating on (FI) stock is a Buy with a $262.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fiserv stock, see the FI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fiserv Completes $2 Billion Senior Notes Issuance
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Fiserv, Inc. completed the issuance of $2 billion in senior notes, divided equally between 4.550% notes due in 2031 and 5.250% notes due in 2035. This strategic financial move is likely to impact Fiserv’s operational capabilities and market positioning, offering flexibility in managing its debt and potentially enhancing its financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (FI) stock is a Buy with a $262.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fiserv stock, see the FI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fiserv Announces $2 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Fiserv, Inc. entered into an Underwriting Agreement with several underwriters for the sale of $2 billion in senior notes, split between 4.550% Senior Notes due 2031 and 5.250% Senior Notes due 2035. This public offering, expected to close on August 11, 2025, is part of Fiserv’s strategic financial operations, potentially impacting its market position and stakeholder interests by enhancing its capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (FI) stock is a Buy with a $262.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fiserv stock, see the FI Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fiserv Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting with Key Decisions
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Fiserv, Inc. held its annual shareholders meeting where several key decisions were made. The shareholders elected ten directors to serve until the next annual meeting, approved the executive compensation plan, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, and rejected a proposal to amend the Compensation Recoupment Policy. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and operational strategies, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (FI) stock is a Buy with a $262.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fiserv stock, see the FI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 12, 2025