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Fiserv (FI)
NYSE:FI
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Fiserv (FI) AI Stock Analysis

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FI

Fiserv

(NYSE:FI)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$151.00
▲(10.40% Upside)
Fiserv's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and strategic corporate actions, offset by mixed technical indicators and valuation concerns. The company's robust earnings growth and shareholder returns are significant strengths, while revised growth guidance and macroeconomic challenges pose risks.
Positive Factors
Clover Revenue Growth
Clover revenue growth accelerated to 30% (from 27% in 1Q25).
Earnings Growth
Still see FI as a mid-to-high teens EPS grower that can garner a better multiple.
Long-term Growth Potential
There is confidence in the long-term growth potential of Clover, with expectations for international growth, back-book conversion opportunities, and significant upside in VAS penetration.
Negative Factors
Investor Confidence
A string of consecutive quarterly surprises, coupled with its ongoing CEO transition, has left investors increasingly uneasy about execution and communication.
Organic Revenue Growth Deceleration
Merchant processing segment experienced sharp organic revenue growth deceleration, to 9% in the first half of 2025 from nearly 20% in the first half of 2024.
Revenue Guidance Reduction
FI lowered revenue guidance across the board.

Fiserv (FI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fiserv Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFiserv, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides payment and financial services technology worldwide. The company operates through Acceptance, Fintech, and Payments segments. The Acceptance segment provides point-of-sale merchant acquiring and digital commerce services; mobile payment services; security and fraud protection products; Carat, an omnichannel commerce solution; Clover, a cloud-based point-of-sale and business management platform; and Clover Connect, an independent software vendors platform. This segment distributes through various channels, including direct sales teams, strategic partnerships with agent sales forces, independent software vendors, financial institutions, and other strategic partners. The Fintech segment offers customer deposit and loan accounts, as well as manages an institution's general ledger and central information files. This segment also provides digital banking, financial and risk management, professional services and consulting, item processing and source capture, and other products and services. The Payments segment offers card transactions, such as debit, credit, and prepaid card processing and services; security and fraud protection products; card production; print services; and various network services, as well as non-card digital payment software and services, including bill payment, account-to-account transfers, person-to-person payments, electronic billing, and security and fraud protection products. It serves business, banks, credit unions, other financial institutions, merchants, and corporate clients. Fiserv, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Brookfield, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyFiserv generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model and transaction-based fees. Key revenue streams include payment processing services, which account for a significant portion of its earnings by charging fees for each transaction processed. Additionally, Fiserv earns revenue from its software solutions and technology services, which are sold on a subscription basis to financial institutions. Partnerships with banks and credit unions enhance its market reach and provide a steady income stream through long-term contracts. The company's continuous innovation in digital banking and payments also contributes to revenue growth, as it attracts more clients looking for advanced technological solutions.

Fiserv Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call showcased strong revenue and earnings growth, significant shareholder returns, and notable achievements in the Clover and Financial Solutions segments. However, the revision of growth guidance, margin decline in Merchant Solutions, and macroeconomic challenges present some concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Earnings Growth
Fiserv reported an 8% adjusted and organic revenue growth for the second quarter and a significant 16% adjusted EPS growth.
Record Shareholder Returns
The company returned $2.2 billion to shareholders by repurchasing 12.2 million shares in the quarter, a 26% increase over Q1.
Clover Revenue Growth
Clover revenue grew by 30% in Q2, driven by strong VAS penetration and new partnerships. The company remains on track to achieve $3.5 billion in Clover revenue for the year.
Expansion in Canada
The agreement with TD Bank Canada significantly increases Fiserv's presence, allowing joint service to new TD merchant clients via the Clover platform.
Financial Solutions Growth
Financial Solutions segment saw 7% organic revenue growth, driven by strong performances in issuing and digital payments business lines.
Negative Updates
Guidance Revision
Fiserv revised its full-year organic revenue growth guidance to approximately 10%, the low end of the previous 10% to 12% range, due to delays in launching new products and initiatives.
Merchant Solutions Margin Decline
The Merchant Solutions segment experienced a 200 basis point decline in adjusted operating margin, attributed to increased investments and acquisition impacts.
Macro Environment Challenges
Economic conditions and slower-than-expected macroeconomic recovery led to adjustments in growth expectations.
Company Guidance
During the Fiserv Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance and performance metrics. Fiserv reported an 8% growth in both adjusted and organic revenue, with a strong 16% increase in adjusted EPS for the quarter. They expanded their adjusted operating margin and generated solid free cash flow, returning $2.2 billion to shareholders through share repurchases—26% more than Q1. The company refined its 2025 guidance, updating their full-year organic revenue growth to approximately 10%, at the low end of the previous 10% to 12% range, due to the slower-than-expected rollout of new products and macroeconomic conditions. Despite this, Fiserv maintained their guidance for $3.5 billion in Clover revenue, highlighting the platform's 30% revenue growth in Q2. The company also increased the bottom end of their adjusted EPS guidance by $0.05 and raised their share repurchase guidance to approximately 130% of free cash flow, underscoring their commitment to delivering shareholder value while staying within their targeted leverage range.

Fiserv Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fiserv exhibits strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, healthy profitability margins, and robust cash flow generation. The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage and strong equity returns, positioning the company well for future growth and stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Fiserv demonstrates strong revenue growth, with a TTM revenue of $21.11 billion, reflecting a 3.21% increase from the previous year. The gross profit margin stands at 61.13%, and the net profit margin is 16.01%, indicating healthy profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 30.13% and 44.04% respectively, showcasing efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a stable balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.18, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is 30.94%, reflecting a balanced capital structure. Return on equity (ROE) is robust at 13.40%, highlighting strong shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Fiserv's cash flow position is strong, with a TTM free cash flow of $5.97 billion, showing a 17.97% growth from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.00, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.77, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.46B19.09B17.74B16.23B14.85B
Gross Profit12.44B11.43B9.74B8.10B7.04B
EBITDA8.84B8.02B6.83B5.56B5.10B
Net Income3.13B3.07B2.53B1.33B958.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets77.18B90.89B83.87B76.25B74.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.24B1.20B902.00M835.00M906.00M
Total Debt24.96B23.90B21.54B21.24B20.68B
Total Liabilities49.49B60.22B52.18B44.30B41.29B
Stockholders Equity27.07B29.86B30.83B30.95B32.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.06B3.77B3.14B2.87B3.25B
Operating Cash Flow6.63B5.16B4.62B4.03B4.15B
Investing Cash Flow-2.40B-1.07B-2.11B-1.63B-341.00M
Financing Cash Flow-4.17B-4.36B-2.48B-761.00M-3.84B

Fiserv Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price136.77
Price Trends
50DMA
150.26
Negative
100DMA
164.29
Negative
200DMA
189.91
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.74
Negative
RSI
37.75
Neutral
STOCH
44.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 136.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 136.42, below the 50-day MA of 150.26, and below the 200-day MA of 189.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.74 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FI.

Fiserv Risk Analysis

Fiserv disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fiserv reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fiserv Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$29.94B35.5134.81%1.41%5.88%20.69%
75
Outperform
$70.71B21.8430.46%3.05%4.52%-0.22%
74
Outperform
$35.29B14.5816.69%1.71%6.34%12.16%
73
Outperform
$29.77B20.7816.50%2.99%-1.95%35.65%
70
Outperform
$75.11B22.8612.66%6.73%3.93%
68
Neutral
$11.90B25.7722.94%1.40%7.21%19.35%
61
Neutral
$35.09B8.26-10.59%1.90%8.56%-9.51%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FI
Fiserv
136.77
-36.85
-21.22%
BR
Broadridge Financial Solutions
249.82
41.14
19.71%
CTSH
Cognizant
71.82
-4.30
-5.65%
INFY
Infosys
16.64
-5.93
-26.27%
JKHY
Jack Henry & Associates
161.59
-10.29
-5.99%
WIT
Wipro
2.77
-0.26
-8.58%

Fiserv Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fiserv Announces Leadership Change in Financial Group
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 25, 2025, Fiserv, Inc. announced a leadership change within its Financial Institutions Group, with John Gibbons transitioning from Co-Head to Senior Advisor, a role he will hold until February 28, 2026. Andrew Gelb, previously Co-Head alongside Gibbons, will take over as the Head of the Financial Institutions Group, signaling a strategic shift in leadership within the company.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fiserv Enters New Credit Agreement with JPMorgan
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Fiserv, Inc. entered into a new Credit Agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank, replacing its prior agreement from June 16, 2022. This move, involving Fiserv Funding Unlimited Company, signifies a strategic financial restructuring, as the previous $6 billion revolving credit facility was voluntarily terminated, reflecting Fiserv’s evolving financial strategy and operational adjustments.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fiserv Completes $2 Billion Senior Notes Issuance
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Fiserv, Inc. completed the issuance of $2 billion in senior notes, divided equally between 4.550% notes due in 2031 and 5.250% notes due in 2035. This strategic financial move is likely to impact Fiserv’s operational capabilities and market positioning, offering flexibility in managing its debt and potentially enhancing its financial stability.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fiserv Announces $2 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Fiserv, Inc. entered into an Underwriting Agreement with several underwriters for the sale of $2 billion in senior notes, split between 4.550% Senior Notes due 2031 and 5.250% Senior Notes due 2035. This public offering, expected to close on August 11, 2025, is part of Fiserv’s strategic financial operations, potentially impacting its market position and stakeholder interests by enhancing its capital structure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025