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Definium Therapeutics (DFTX)
NASDAQ:DFTX

Definium Therapeutics (DFTX) AI Stock Analysis

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DFTX

Definium Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:DFTX)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(8.00% Upside)
The score is held back mainly by weak financial performance (no revenue, sizeable ongoing losses, and heavy cash burn), partially offset by a stronger near-term setup from the earnings call (financing runway and clear Phase III catalysts) and supportive technical momentum. Valuation remains challenging due to negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Near-term funding / runway
A strong cash balance and multi-year runway materially reduce near-term financing pressure and allow sustained investment in pivotal trials. This supports multi-year clinical programs and strategic planning, lowering immediate dilution risk and preserving optionality for partnerships or commercialization planning.
Late-stage pipeline catalysts
Multiple late-stage readouts provide clear, durable binary value drivers that can materially reshape commercial prospects. Successful Phase III outcomes would create long-lived revenue potential and de-risk the R&D roadmap; strong enrollment trends support timelines and execution probability.
Clinical validation and credibility
Peer-reviewed publication in a leading medical journal strengthens scientific credibility and regulatory discussions, improving partner/investor confidence. This durable validation aids recruitment, label discussions, and business development, raising the long-term probability of commercialization or strategic deals.
Negative Factors
No revenue; widening losses
The company remains pre-revenue and loss-making, with losses materially increasing year-over-year. Absent successful clinical outcomes or partnerships, the path to sustainable earnings is uncertain; persistent deficits will drive ongoing funding needs and potential equity dilution over the medium term.
Sustained negative cash flow
Large, sustained negative operating and free cash flow raises structural financing risk. Even with current cash, continued high burn rates make the business sensitive to trial delays or cost inflation and increase the likelihood of future capital raises that could dilute shareholders or constrain strategic options.
Eroding equity / funding dependence
A meaningful drop in shareholders' equity over a short period signals capital erosion and reliance on external financing. This weakens the balance-sheet buffer against adverse clinical or regulatory outcomes and increases the company's vulnerability to funding market conditions when additional capital is needed.

Definium Therapeutics (DFTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Definium Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDefinium Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, develops novel products to treat brain health disorders. The company’s lead product candidates include MM120, which is in phase 3 for the treatment of generalized anxiety disorder and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder; and MM402, a R-enantiomer of 3,4-methylenedioxymethamphetamine, which is in phase I clinical trials for the treatment of core symptoms of autism spectrum disorder. Mind Medicine (MindMed) Inc. is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyMind Medicine makes money through a revenue model that primarily involves research and development activities aimed at creating marketable psychedelic-inspired therapeutics. The company's key revenue streams are anticipated to come from the successful commercialization of its drug candidates, which are currently under various stages of clinical trials. Additional revenue could be generated through strategic partnerships with pharmaceutical companies, licensing agreements, and collaborations with research institutions. MindMed may also explore opportunities for grants and government funding to support its research initiatives. However, as a biotech company still in the development phase, substantial revenue generation is contingent upon regulatory approval and market acceptance of its therapeutic products.

Definium Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow are weak (no revenue, persistent and widening losses, and large sustained free-cash-flow burn). Balance sheet risk is tempered by low leverage and zero debt, but equity has declined meaningfully, underscoring ongoing funding dependence.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Across the available annual periods and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), the company reports no revenue and consistently large operating and net losses, indicating it remains in a pre-commercial, cash-consuming phase. Losses widened in TTM versus 2024 (net loss of about $168M vs. $109M), and profitability is not yet inflecting. A modest positive is that losses have fluctuated (not a straight-line deterioration every year), but the overall earnings profile remains weak with no demonstrated revenue scale.
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
The balance sheet shows low leverage overall, including zero total debt in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), which reduces financial risk versus many loss-making peers. However, equity has declined meaningfully from 2024 to TTM (about $241M to $131M), consistent with ongoing losses and cash burn, and returns on equity are strongly negative. Assets remain sizable, but continued losses could further pressure equity and funding needs.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Cash generation is a key weakness: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in every period, including TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow of roughly -$114M. Cash burn increased versus 2024 (about -$79M), implying higher spending or lower working-capital benefit. The one constructive signal is that free cash flow growth is positive in TTM versus the prior comparison point provided, but absolute cash burn remains large and sustained, keeping financing risk elevated over time.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.00-527.00K-3.16M0.000.000.00
EBITDA-163.22M-105.87M-92.57M-63.15M-91.24M-33.57M
Net Income-168.10M-108.68M-95.73M-56.80M-93.04M-34.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets236.92M302.15M124.54M169.99M164.00M81.52M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments209.07M273.74M99.70M142.14M133.54M80.09M
Total Debt40.38M21.85M14.13M72.00K0.000.00
Total Liabilities106.32M60.70M46.41M19.08M12.34M5.65M
Stockholders Equity130.60M241.45M78.13M150.92M151.66M75.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-113.94M-79.13M-64.36M-50.14M-45.82M-23.60M
Operating Cash Flow-113.94M-79.13M-64.36M-50.14M-45.82M-23.60M
Investing Cash Flow-186.59M0.000.000.00-297.00K0.00
Financing Cash Flow25.21M253.20M21.85M59.05M98.82M96.70M

Definium Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.13
Price Trends
50DMA
15.10
Positive
100DMA
13.66
Positive
200DMA
11.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.49
Positive
RSI
55.29
Neutral
STOCH
75.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DFTX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.07, above the 50-day MA of 15.10, and above the 200-day MA of 11.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DFTX.

Definium Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Definium Therapeutics disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Definium Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Definium Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
57
Neutral
$1.57B-16.67-34.75%-17.01%
56
Neutral
$1.71B-8.76-85.59%0.69%
56
Neutral
$1.56B-14.17-25.43%3.18%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$1.52B-19.67-308.02%196.42%53.92%
49
Neutral
$1.19B-7.92-144.07%
48
Neutral
$1.68B-1.50-522.08%18.76%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DFTX
Definium Therapeutics
17.13
9.95
138.58%
ANAB
AnaptysBio
54.19
36.99
215.06%
ELVN
Enliven Therapeutics
26.02
4.67
21.87%
TYRA
Tyra Bioscience
31.58
18.76
146.33%
BHVN
Biohaven Ltd.
11.23
-24.30
-68.39%
INBX
Inhibrx Biosciences Inc
78.64
66.15
529.62%

Definium Therapeutics Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Definium Therapeutics Expands Board, Appoints New Director
Neutral
Jan 29, 2026

On January 28, 2026, Definium Therapeutics, Inc. expanded its board of directors from six to seven members and appointed Roger Adsett to the newly created seat, with his term effective January 29, 2026 and running until the company’s 2026 annual general meeting or until a successor is chosen. Adsett, who was not assigned to any board committees at the time of appointment, will receive annual cash compensation of $40,000 under the company’s non-employee director compensation policy and an option to purchase 50,000 common shares that vests over time subject to his continued board service, reflecting a standard governance and incentive structure with no related-party arrangements or disclosable transactions reported in connection with his selection.

The most recent analyst rating on (DFTX) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Definium Therapeutics stock, see the DFTX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026