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Stabilus SA (DE:STM)
XETRA:STM

Stabilus (STM) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:STM

Stabilus

(XETRA:STM)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
€20.50
▲(7.22% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:01/28/26
The score is driven primarily by weakened financial performance—sharp margin compression and higher leverage—partly offset by still-solid operating and free cash flow. Technicals further pressure the outlook as the stock trades below key moving averages with negative MACD, while valuation is supported by a high dividend yield but tempered by an elevated P/E.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistent trailing‑12‑month operating cash flow and rising free cash flow provide durable internal funding for capex, working capital and debt reduction. Strong cash conversion supports resilience through cycles and gives management options to stabilize leverage over several quarters.
Market leadership & diversification
A long-established global position in motion control and diversified end markets (automotive, industrial, furniture) reduces single‑market risk. Deep OEM relationships and product specialization create durable revenue streams and structural demand from automation and ergonomic trends.
Operating profitability
Mid‑teens EBITDA margin signals an underlying cost base and pricing power that still generates operating cash even when net margins compress. This operating profitability gives the company capacity to fund operations and invest in product development over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
Material increase in leverage reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest‑rate sensitivity risk. With debt now much higher than historical norms, deleveraging will likely require sustained cash generation or earnings recovery and constrains strategic spending for several quarters.
Thin net margins
Compressed EBIT and very thin net margins limit the company's ability to absorb demand shocks, invest in growth, or accelerate debt paydown. Structural margin pressure from costs or mix reduces retained earnings and heightens reliance on cash flow efficiency to sustain operations.
Revenue decline & weak ROE
Declining revenue and reduced return on equity indicate weaker earnings power and constrained profitability. Over a multi‑quarter horizon this hampers capacity to rebuild equity, slows deleveraging, and increases vulnerability to cyclical downturns in core end markets like automotive.

Stabilus (STM) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Stabilus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStabilus S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells gas springs and dampers, and electric tailgate opening and closing equipment in Europe and internationally. The company offers non-locking, locking, and swivel chair gas springs; motion and vibration dampers; and electric motor drives and CAD-configurators, as well as services and spare parts. Its products are used in automotive, furniture, swivel chair, medical and rehabilitation technology, RV and motorhome, transportation and traffic, agricultural and construction machinery, other commercial vehicle, and machine construction applications, as well as other applications, including leisure, house and building technology, sales and cooling counters, kiosks, and automotive overrun brakes. The company was formerly known as Servus HoldCo S.à r.l. and changed its name to Stabilus S.A. in May 2014. Stabilus S.A. was founded in 1934 and is based in Luxembourg.
How the Company Makes MoneyStabilus generates revenue through the sale of its core products, including gas springs and dampers, to a diverse range of industries, most notably automotive and industrial manufacturing. The company's revenue model is primarily based on product sales, which includes both standard and customized solutions tailored to specific customer needs. Key revenue streams come from long-term contracts with major automotive manufacturers, as well as partnerships with industrial equipment producers and furniture makers. Additionally, Stabilus benefits from a growing demand for motion control solutions driven by trends such as automation and ergonomic design, further solidifying its market position and contributing to its earnings.

Stabilus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: revenue is slightly down (-2.7%) and margins have compressed sharply (TTM EBIT margin ~6.5%, net margin ~1.8%). Leverage has risen materially (debt-to-equity ~1.38) and ROE has fallen (~3–4%), increasing balance-sheet risk. Cash generation is a relative strength (TTM operating cash flow ~184M; free cash flow ~116M, up ~12.9%), but debt coverage suggests deleveraging may take time.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is slightly down (-2.7%) and profitability has compressed meaningfully versus prior years. EBIT margin is ~6.5% and net margin is ~1.8% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), down sharply from 2022–2024 levels, indicating weaker pricing/power, higher costs, or mix pressure. A positive is that the company remains profitable on an operating basis with a mid-teens EBITDA margin (~14%), but the very thin net margin leaves limited cushion if end-markets soften further.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Leverage has increased materially: debt-to-equity is ~1.38 in the latest periods versus ~0.43–0.62 in 2021–2023, reducing balance sheet flexibility. Return on equity has fallen to ~3–4% recently, reflecting weaker earnings power on a now more leveraged capital base. While total assets and equity remain sizeable, the higher debt load elevates refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity risk compared with the company’s earlier profile.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash generation is a relative bright spot. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow (~184M) and free cash flow (~116M) are solid, with free cash flow up ~12.9% versus the prior period shown. However, cash conversion vs accounting earnings is not especially strong (free cash flow is well below net income on the provided ratio), and operating cash flow covers only about half of total debt, so deleveraging would likely take time without a rebound in earnings.
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.26B1.30B1.31B1.22B1.12B937.67M
Gross Profit340.73M318.96M342.29M321.19M311.22M280.26M
EBITDA174.28M184.61M225.60M202.45M226.29M184.97M
Net Income16.96M23.09M70.18M101.78M102.96M73.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.87B1.95B1.91B1.33B1.27B1.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments166.35M164.52M110.19M193.70M168.95M193.79M
Total Debt784.86M833.80M820.97M291.43M290.40M331.85M
Total Liabilities1.22B1.31B1.23B622.30M596.88M622.29M
Stockholders Equity619.50M605.78M649.87M683.73M665.52M539.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow116.06M106.14M113.98M104.36M80.66M88.46M
Operating Cash Flow184.27M163.88M196.98M178.10M125.73M128.98M
Investing Cash Flow-78.90M-86.24M-717.39M-81.44M-67.54M-40.36M
Financing Cash Flow-30.18M-19.69M440.69M-66.42M-91.60M-60.46M

Stabilus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price19.12
Price Trends
50DMA
19.63
Negative
100DMA
20.31
Negative
200DMA
22.49
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
42.56
Neutral
STOCH
8.00
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:STM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19.12 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.69, below the 50-day MA of 19.63, and below the 200-day MA of 22.49, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DE:STM.

Stabilus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
€1.94B16.1411.18%2.84%4.20%-20.71%
75
Outperform
€4.21B14.4814.99%1.95%8.15%16.17%
70
Outperform
€974.46M33.958.47%2.81%21.74%-20.68%
64
Neutral
€1.63B51.925.47%4.66%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
€1.71B-53.47-7.86%3.12%-18.21%-137.62%
46
Neutral
€472.26M27.823.68%5.57%-0.75%-67.10%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:STM
Stabilus
18.92
-11.00
-36.77%
DE:DUE
Durr AG
24.40
-0.30
-1.23%
DE:KRN
Krones AG
132.40
3.21
2.48%
DE:KSB3
KSB AG
1,080.00
440.60
68.91%
DE:PFV
Pfeiffer Vacuum Technology
165.00
15.69
10.51%
DE:JST
JOST Werke AG
64.60
17.10
36.01%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026