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Stabilus SA (DE:STM)
XETRA:STM

Stabilus (STM) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:STM

Stabilus

(XETRA:STM)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
€18.50
▼(-4.64% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by weakened financial performance—sharp margin compression and higher leverage—partly offset by still-solid operating and free cash flow. Technicals further pressure the outlook as the stock trades below key moving averages with negative MACD, while valuation is supported by a high dividend yield but tempered by an elevated P/E.
Positive Factors
Market leadership & diversified end markets
Longstanding leadership in motion-control hardware and exposure to automotive, industrial and furniture markets provide durable demand diversification. Deep OEM relationships and customized product lines create structural revenue visibility and make market share recoveries more likely when end markets normalize.
Solid operating and free cash flow
Consistent positive operating and rising free cash flow support internal investment, dividend funding and gradual deleveraging. Cash generation cushions earnings volatility, funds capex for product development and gives management flexibility to address higher leverage without immediate external financing.
Resilient operating profitability (mid‑teens EBITDA)
A mid-teens EBITDA margin indicates underlying product-level economics and pricing power in engineered components. This operating profitability supports reinvestment and cash conversion even as net margin fluctuates, helping preserve capacity to serve OEM contracts and invest in product enhancements.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage increases balance-sheet risk
A materially higher debt-to-equity ratio elevates refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity, limiting strategic flexibility. Even with solid cash flow, the company will need sustained FCF or asset sales to deleverage; elevated leverage reduces resilience to prolonged market weakness or cyclical downturns in key end markets.
Sharp margin compression; very thin net margin
Significant compression from prior margin levels weakens the firm's ability to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure. A sub-2% net margin leaves little cushion for operational disruption, reducing free cash flow upside potential and increasing the risk that modest demand slumps translate to profit declines or margin-driven covenant stress.
Revenue decline trend
A declining revenue trend undermines scale benefits and may indicate weakening order momentum with OEMs or end-market softness. Continued revenue contraction would slow margin recovery and extend the time required to deleverage, pressuring ROE and limiting capacity to fund strategic initiatives without external capital.

Stabilus (STM) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Stabilus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStabilus S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells gas springs and dampers, and electric tailgate opening and closing equipment in Europe and internationally. The company offers non-locking, locking, and swivel chair gas springs; motion and vibration dampers; and electric motor drives and CAD-configurators, as well as services and spare parts. Its products are used in automotive, furniture, swivel chair, medical and rehabilitation technology, RV and motorhome, transportation and traffic, agricultural and construction machinery, other commercial vehicle, and machine construction applications, as well as other applications, including leisure, house and building technology, sales and cooling counters, kiosks, and automotive overrun brakes. The company was formerly known as Servus HoldCo S.à r.l. and changed its name to Stabilus S.A. in May 2014. Stabilus S.A. was founded in 1934 and is based in Luxembourg.
How the Company Makes MoneyStabilus generates revenue through the sale of its core products, including gas springs and dampers, to a diverse range of industries, most notably automotive and industrial manufacturing. The company's revenue model is primarily based on product sales, which includes both standard and customized solutions tailored to specific customer needs. Key revenue streams come from long-term contracts with major automotive manufacturers, as well as partnerships with industrial equipment producers and furniture makers. Additionally, Stabilus benefits from a growing demand for motion control solutions driven by trends such as automation and ergonomic design, further solidifying its market position and contributing to its earnings.

Stabilus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: revenue is slightly down (-2.7%) and margins have compressed sharply (TTM EBIT margin ~6.5%, net margin ~1.8%). Leverage has risen materially (debt-to-equity ~1.38) and ROE has fallen (~3–4%), increasing balance-sheet risk. Cash generation is a relative strength (TTM operating cash flow ~184M; free cash flow ~116M, up ~12.9%), but debt coverage suggests deleveraging may take time.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is slightly down (-2.7%) and profitability has compressed meaningfully versus prior years. EBIT margin is ~6.5% and net margin is ~1.8% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), down sharply from 2022–2024 levels, indicating weaker pricing/power, higher costs, or mix pressure. A positive is that the company remains profitable on an operating basis with a mid-teens EBITDA margin (~14%), but the very thin net margin leaves limited cushion if end-markets soften further.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Leverage has increased materially: debt-to-equity is ~1.38 in the latest periods versus ~0.43–0.62 in 2021–2023, reducing balance sheet flexibility. Return on equity has fallen to ~3–4% recently, reflecting weaker earnings power on a now more leveraged capital base. While total assets and equity remain sizeable, the higher debt load elevates refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity risk compared with the company’s earlier profile.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash generation is a relative bright spot. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow (~184M) and free cash flow (~116M) are solid, with free cash flow up ~12.9% versus the prior period shown. However, cash conversion vs accounting earnings is not especially strong (free cash flow is well below net income on the provided ratio), and operating cash flow covers only about half of total debt, so deleveraging would likely take time without a rebound in earnings.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.30B1.31B1.22B1.12B937.67M
Gross Profit318.96M342.29M321.19M311.22M280.26M
EBITDA184.61M225.60M202.45M226.29M184.97M
Net Income23.09M70.18M101.78M102.96M73.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.95B1.91B1.33B1.27B1.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments164.52M110.19M193.70M168.95M193.79M
Total Debt833.80M820.97M291.43M290.40M331.85M
Total Liabilities1.31B1.23B622.30M596.88M622.29M
Stockholders Equity605.78M649.87M683.73M665.52M539.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow106.14M113.98M104.36M80.66M88.46M
Operating Cash Flow163.88M196.98M178.10M125.73M128.98M
Investing Cash Flow-86.24M-717.39M-81.44M-67.54M-40.36M
Financing Cash Flow-19.69M440.69M-66.42M-91.60M-60.46M

Stabilus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price19.40
Price Trends
50DMA
19.94
Negative
100DMA
21.40
Negative
200DMA
23.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.37
Positive
RSI
47.46
Neutral
STOCH
51.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:STM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 19.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.65, below the 50-day MA of 19.94, and below the 200-day MA of 23.23, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DE:STM.

Stabilus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
€1.85B15.9211.18%2.84%4.20%-20.71%
75
Outperform
€4.29B15.2514.99%1.95%8.15%16.17%
70
Outperform
€934.23M32.508.47%2.81%21.74%-20.68%
64
Neutral
€1.62B51.735.47%4.66%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
€1.56B-48.81-7.86%3.12%-18.21%-137.62%
46
Neutral
€479.18M28.203.68%5.57%-0.75%-67.10%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:STM
Stabilus
19.40
-11.33
-36.88%
DE:DUE
Durr AG
22.50
-0.67
-2.90%
DE:KRN
Krones AG
135.80
6.22
4.80%
DE:KSB3
KSB AG
1,075.00
452.98
72.82%
DE:PFV
Pfeiffer Vacuum Technology
164.00
15.84
10.69%
DE:JST
JOST Werke AG
62.70
17.49
38.68%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026