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Paragon AG (DE:PGN)
XETRA:PGN
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Paragon (PGN) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:PGN

Paragon

(XETRA:PGN)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
€1.50
▼(-41.63% Downside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:01/23/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—negative profitability, declining revenue, deteriorating free cash flow, and especially balance-sheet risk from negative equity and high leverage. Technicals provide some support due to positive momentum and price strength versus moving averages, but overbought indicators increase near-term risk. Valuation is also a constraint given the negative P/E and lack of dividend data.
Positive Factors
High gross margin
A 45.79% gross margin signals durable product or service-level pricing power and operational efficiency. Over the medium term this margin buffer helps absorb SG&A and R&D spend, supporting the firm's ability to invest in product development and maintain competitive offerings.
Negative Factors
Balance-sheet leverage and negative equity
Negative equity and inverted debt-to-equity indicate high leverage and solvency risk that constrain financing options. Over months this elevates refinancing, covenant, and liquidity vulnerability, limiting strategic flexibility and increasing cost or scarcity of capital for investments.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High gross margin
A 45.79% gross margin signals durable product or service-level pricing power and operational efficiency. Over the medium term this margin buffer helps absorb SG&A and R&D spend, supporting the firm's ability to invest in product development and maintain competitive offerings.
Read all positive factors

Paragon (PGN) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Paragon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Paragon (PGN) is a multifaceted company operating primarily in the technology and digital services sectors. With a focus on delivering innovative solutions, PGN specializes in software development, cloud computing, and data analytics services. The...
How the Company Makes Money
Paragon generates revenue through a combination of service fees, subscription models, and project-based contracts. Key revenue streams include software licensing fees from proprietary applications, ongoing support and maintenance contracts, and co...

Paragon Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial health is weak: revenue declined (-3.4% TTM) and net margin is negative (-4.63%). The balance sheet is the biggest risk with negative equity and very high leverage (debt-to-equity -6.87). Cash generation is also deteriorating (free cash flow growth -44.28% TTM) with low cash conversion (operating cash flow to net income 0.15).
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Dec 2022Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue118.33M139.03M173.71M164.96M151.24M150.49M
Gross Profit54.18M71.76M84.57M75.84M86.04M67.48M
EBITDA17.45M17.82M17.62M9.91M12.65M6.37M
Net Income-5.48M-6.11M-3.81M-8.68M-5.50M-44.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets98.35M98.32M108.52M172.54M159.67M200.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.28M5.38M3.21M18.11M1.46M5.66M
Total Debt66.91M69.35M72.50M120.13M115.88M135.62M
Total Liabilities106.61M108.27M112.60M171.88M156.37M187.26M
Stockholders Equity-9.73M-9.95M-4.08M662.00K3.30M7.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.24M5.20M-13.76M8.26M-2.73M5.94M
Operating Cash Flow9.70M15.96M-6.16M15.98M14.81M18.75M
Investing Cash Flow-8.86M-10.43M38.14M-3.88M1.68M-12.62M
Financing Cash Flow-1.46M-4.35M-46.88M4.54M-20.53M-9.93M

Paragon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.57
Price Trends
50DMA
1.74
Negative
100DMA
1.81
Negative
200DMA
2.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
49.70
Neutral
STOCH
32.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:PGN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.70, above the 50-day MA of 1.74, and above the 200-day MA of 2.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DE:PGN.

Paragon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
€83.13M63.034.00%5.91%-5.90%-39.62%
57
Neutral
€123.67M2.6811.78%-3.07%
55
Neutral
$13.29B17.4210.03%0.93%7.13%-12.93%
47
Neutral
€108.64M-16.95-15.50%1.38%-14.82%44.17%
43
Neutral
€7.74M-8.5559.13%-22.60%40.38%
43
Neutral
€36.78M-102.37-10.01%-40.37%-406.54%
41
Neutral
€82.50M-26.53-43.62%10.96%-12.94%-94.55%
* Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:PGN
Paragon
1.71
-0.52
-23.54%
DE:BDT
Bertrandt
10.05
-8.81
-46.71%
DE:ED4
EDAG Engineering
3.31
-2.69
-44.83%
DE:GMM
Grammer
8.35
0.80
10.60%
DE:MSAG
MS Industrie
1.24
-0.31
-20.00%
DE:PWO
Progress Werk Oberkirch
25.60
>-0.01
-0.01%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 23, 2026