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Bastei Luebbe AG (DE:BST)
XETRA:BST

Bastei Luebbe (BST) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:BST

Bastei Luebbe

(XETRA:BST)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
€7.00
▼(-13.58% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial strength (high margins, strong ROE, and very low leverage), supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are offset by weak technicals (price below key moving averages, negative MACD) and fundamental risks around negative revenue growth and challenged cash flow (negative free cash flow).
Positive Factors
High margins & profitability
Sustained high gross (53.75%) and healthy net margins (9.94%) indicate durable pricing power and efficient production in publishing. These margins provide structural ability to fund author advances, marketing and dividends, and to absorb cyclical revenue dips without immediate margin erosion.
Very low financial leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio of ~0.09 and ROE of 16.5% show the company operates with minimal leverage while delivering strong equity returns. This financial flexibility reduces bankruptcy risk, supports strategic investment in content rights, and preserves optionality during industry downturns.
Diversified IP monetization model
Revenue from multiple IP channels—print/digital book sales, audiobooks and rights/licensing—creates durable, multi-year revenue tails. Backlist and licensing amplify lifetime value per title, diversify revenue streams across formats and geographies, and lower reliance on single bestsellers.
Negative Factors
Negative revenue trend
A persistent top-line decline (-2.11%) signals difficulty growing sales of new releases or monetizing the catalog faster. In publishing, sustained revenue contraction limits investments in author acquisition and marketing, reducing long-term catalog renewal and future revenue growth potential.
Weak cash-flow conversion
Negative free cash flow and poor operating cash conversion indicate earnings are not reliably translating to cash. This undermines the company’s ability to self-fund content investments, pay dividends or build reserves, increasing reliance on external financing for strategic moves.
Earnings pressure (EPS decline)
An EPS decline of ~11.7% reflects deteriorating profitability on a per-share basis and may stem from softer sales or cost pressure. Continued EPS contraction reduces retained earnings and hampers the firm’s capacity to invest organically or pursue acquisitions without diluting shareholders.

Bastei Luebbe (BST) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Bastei Luebbe Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBastei Lübbe AG, a media company, publishes books, audio books, e-books, and other digital products in the genres of fiction and popular science content in Germany, Austria, Luxembourg, and Switzerland. It operates through Books and Novel Booklets segments. The Books segment offers a range of printed products under the Lübbe, Lübbe Life, Quadriga, Eichborn, Baumhaus, Boje, ONE, LYX, LYX.audio, be-books, and Lübbe Audio labels. The Novel Booklets segment provides novel booklets under the Der Bergdoktor, Jerry Cotton, Geisterjäger John Sinclair, and the westerns names. The company is also involved in the licensing of its rights. Bastei Lübbe AG was founded in 1953 and is based in Cologne, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyBastei Luebbe generates revenue primarily through the sale of books in both print and digital formats. Key revenue streams include direct sales through retail partnerships, online platforms, and its own eCommerce site. Additionally, the company earns income from licensing agreements for its content, allowing third-party publishers and platforms to distribute its works. Significant partnerships with major retailers and digital platforms enhance its market reach. The increasing demand for audiobooks also contributes to revenue, as the company expands its offerings in this growing segment.

Bastei Luebbe Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and balance sheet (gross margin 53.75%, net margin 9.94%, ROE 16.51%, very low debt-to-equity 0.09) support a solid financial base, but the score is tempered by negative revenue growth (-2.11%) and cash flow concerns including negative free cash flow and a negative operating cash flow to net income ratio.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Bastei Luebbe has shown a consistent improvement in profitability metrics over the years, with a strong gross profit margin of 53.75% and a net profit margin of 9.94% in the latest year. However, the revenue growth rate has turned negative at -2.11%, indicating challenges in expanding sales. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient cost management.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09, indicating low financial leverage and reduced risk. The return on equity is robust at 16.51%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is also strong, highlighting a solid financial position.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow metrics indicate some concerns, with negative free cash flow and a decline in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting potential cash flow management issues. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is high, indicating that the company is generating cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Mar 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue114.01M110.33M100.02M94.51M92.69M
Gross Profit61.27M55.45M50.52M49.02M44.85M
EBITDA19.81M15.60M10.20M17.53M13.73M
Net Income11.34M8.72M3.92M10.96M7.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets114.34M103.94M107.91M104.29M90.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.45M18.39M19.48M17.97M14.47M
Total Debt6.40M8.25M9.66M11.50M13.23M
Total Liabilities45.43M42.38M52.92M48.00M47.51M
Stockholders Equity68.68M61.34M54.78M56.09M42.52M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.17M1.63M9.55M12.30M15.53M
Operating Cash Flow-648.00K2.66M10.42M12.85M16.88M
Investing Cash Flow-1.18M1.55M-761.00K-2.78M-5.33M
Financing Cash Flow-7.28M-5.27M-8.18M-6.63M16.00K

Bastei Luebbe Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price8.10
Price Trends
50DMA
7.38
Negative
100DMA
8.05
Negative
200DMA
8.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Negative
RSI
46.08
Neutral
STOCH
37.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:BST, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 8.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.80, above the 50-day MA of 7.38, and below the 200-day MA of 8.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DE:BST.

Bastei Luebbe Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
€89.76M9.9511.70%4.16%-1.26%-11.97%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
45
Neutral
€36.77M-117.72%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:BST
Bastei Luebbe
6.80
-4.00
-37.05%
DE:ECF
Mountain Alliance AG
2.24
-0.44
-16.42%
DE:H9W
Hans-Werner Aufrecht AG
3.52
0.48
15.79%
DE:RTV
Your Family Entertainment AG
0.48
-1.41
-74.81%
DE:WFA
Weng Fine Art AG
4.96
0.65
15.08%
DE:EDD3
Edding AG Pref
33.60
-4.86
-12.64%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026