Strong Irish balance sheet momentum
Irish loans and deposits each grew 6% in 2025, supporting balance-sheet growth and underpinning guidance of 4% annual loan growth and 3% annual deposit growth over the 2026–2028 cycle.
Record wealth assets under management and fee income growth
Wealth & Insurance AUM reached a record EUR 60 billion (up 9% in 2025) and fee income overall rose 7% in 2025, with Wealth & Insurance fees up 12% and now accounting for nearly half of total fees; guidance targets AUM CAGR ~10% to >EUR 75 billion by 2028.
Material capital generation and distributions
Organic capital generation was 270 basis points in 2025 (920 bps over the cycle, ~EUR 5 billion). Total 2025 distributions of EUR 1.2 billion (100% payout) comprised a EUR 0.70 DPS (up 11%) and a EUR 530 million buyback; guidance expects average organic cap gen ~260 bps and net cap generation ~EUR 3.7 billion over the plan.
Upgraded net interest income (NII) trajectory
NII guidance upgraded to ~EUR 3.4 billion for 2026 (above prior high‑3.3s), >EUR 3.6 billion for 2027, and >EUR 3.85 billion for 2028, with potential to reach EUR 4 billion after 2028 driven by balance‑sheet growth and a structural hedge tailwind.
Structural hedge providing revenue tailwind
Structural hedge average yield rose 16 bps to 1.89% in 2025 with exit yield 1.98%; management expects fixed‑leg income to increase ~10% in 2026 and a gross hedge tailwind of ~EUR 0.5 billion over the next three years as reinvestment yields trend toward ~2.5%.
Improving asset quality and low impairment charge
2025 impairment charge was EUR 193 million (23 bps cost of risk), better than anticipated with net writebacks in H2; NPE ratio ended 2025 at 2.2% (improved by 40 bps), and cost of risk guidance is low‑to‑mid‑20 bps.
Clear operating‑leverage and returns targets
Management targets income CAGR >4%, cost/income ratio to fall to the mid‑40s by 2028 (≈6 percentage‑point improvement) and statutory ROTE to increase by >500 bps to >16% by 2028, with EPS CAGR in the mid‑to‑high teens (EPS guidance excludes buybacks).
Active digital, AI and efficiency initiatives
Investments in digital (SME lending platform, mobile app, payments) and AI (reduced contact‑centre transfers >40%, fraud monitoring of >1 billion card transactions) plus a EUR 250 million cost‑reduction target (≈20% from AI) support efficiency and customer experience goals.