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Cemex SAB (CX)
NYSE:CX

Cemex SAB (CX) AI Stock Analysis

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CX

Cemex SAB

(NYSE:CX)

66Neutral
Cemex SAB's overall stock score reflects stable financial performance with growth challenges, mixed technical indicators, and reasonable valuation. The earnings call provided optimism with strategic achievements but also highlighted ongoing challenges, leading to a slightly above-average score.
Positive Factors
Growth Outlook
Cemex's long-term growth outlook is supported by the US manufacturing revival, the US Infrastructure bill, and the Inflation Reduction Act.
Strategic Focus
Recent asset sales and the strategic focus on the US, Mexico, and Europe are viewed as a net positive in the mid to long-term.
Valuation
Cemex is trading at a 20% discount to its 5-year average, indicating an attractive valuation.
Negative Factors
Adverse Weather Impact
Soft results can be mostly explained by adverse weather conditions in both the US and Mexico affecting volumes and causing some cost inefficiencies.
Political and Economic Challenges
Results are likely to be dragged by the political transition in Mexico, uncertainty following the US elections, the spike in mortgage rates, a slowing Mexican economy, and a weak MXN.
Volume Decline
Consolidated volumes are expected to decrease, dragged by Mexico and the US, with Europe potentially surprising to the upside.

Cemex SAB (CX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Cemex SAB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCemex SAB de CV is a global building materials company based in Mexico, primarily engaged in the production, distribution, and sale of cement, ready-mix concrete, and aggregates. The company operates across various sectors, including residential, commercial, and infrastructure construction, with a strong presence in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. Cemex is known for its commitment to sustainable practices and innovation in building solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyCemex makes money by manufacturing and distributing cement, ready-mix concrete, and aggregates, which are essential materials for construction projects worldwide. The company generates revenue through the sale of these products to a diverse customer base, including construction companies, developers, and government entities. Cemex's revenue model is supported by its extensive global network of production facilities and sales operations, allowing it to efficiently supply its products to various markets. Additionally, the company leverages strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its market presence and access new opportunities. Factors such as infrastructure development, urbanization, and economic growth in the regions where Cemex operates significantly contribute to its earnings.

Cemex SAB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cemex SAB shows a stable financial foundation with challenges in revenue and profit growth. The balance sheet is solid, but cash flow growth is inconsistent, necessitating strategic focus on market expansion and cost efficiency.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Cemex SAB has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, implying cost management is effective. However, there has been a decline in both total revenue and net income in the most recent year, resulting in weaker revenue growth. The net profit margin has improved significantly from a low base, but the overall profitability remains a concern. The EBIT and EBITDA margins show a moderate position, indicating operational efficiency challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Cemex SAB reflects a fairly stable financial position with a reasonable equity ratio, suggesting a solid asset base supported by equity. The debt-to-equity ratio indicates moderate leverage, which is typical for the construction materials industry but necessitates careful management to avoid potential risks. Return on equity has seen improvement, showcasing the company's ability to generate profits from shareholders' investments.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges in sustaining free cash flow growth. Although operating cash flow remains robust in relation to net income, the free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, which could impact future investments and strategic initiatives. The company's ability to convert operating profits into cash flow is efficient, but maintaining a positive trajectory in free cash flow is crucial for long-term growth.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
16.20B17.39B15.58B14.55B12.97B
Gross Profit
5.33B5.86B4.82B4.67B4.18B
EBIT
1.82B1.85B1.09B1.62B-436.00M
EBITDA
2.67B3.26B2.42B2.68B595.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
939.00M182.00M858.00M753.00M-1.47B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
864.00M624.00M495.00M613.00M950.00M
Total Assets
27.30B28.43B27.49B27.70B28.07B
Total Debt
7.36B8.16B8.82B9.16B11.19B
Net Debt
6.49B7.54B8.33B8.54B10.23B
Total Liabilities
14.82B16.32B16.58B17.43B19.12B
Stockholders Equity
12.18B11.05B10.50B9.83B8.07B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
894.00M984.00M415.00M862.00M987.00M
Operating Cash Flow
1.89B2.16B1.48B1.85B1.58B
Investing Cash Flow
-328.00M-1.34B-732.00M-285.00M88.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.25B-701.00M-961.00M-1.85B-1.50B

Cemex SAB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.11
Price Trends
50DMA
6.11
Negative
100DMA
5.84
Negative
200DMA
5.96
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
40.68
Neutral
STOCH
18.24
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.84, below the 50-day MA of 6.11, and below the 200-day MA of 5.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.24 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CX.

Cemex SAB Risk Analysis

Cemex SAB disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cemex SAB reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cemex SAB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$530.17M9.3716.44%8.64%1.12%17.25%
73
Outperform
$1.46B7.9924.53%-42.74%242.59%
EXEXP
72
Outperform
$7.23B15.5333.51%0.46%0.64%-1.15%
JHJHX
72
Outperform
$8.90B20.1721.77%1.26%-17.38%
CXCX
66
Neutral
$7.72B8.308.39%1.61%-5.07%417.07%
MLMLM
63
Neutral
$28.04B14.2022.83%0.68%-3.56%70.93%
47
Neutral
$2.35B-2.91-21.55%3.59%4.17%-28.20%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CX
Cemex SAB
5.08
-3.56
-41.20%
CPAC
Cementos Pacasmayo SAA
5.20
0.42
8.79%
EXP
Eagle Materials
205.92
-52.21
-20.23%
JHX
James Hardie
20.27
-18.53
-47.76%
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials
452.51
-154.63
-25.47%
LOMA
Loma Negra Compania Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anonima
9.07
1.55
20.61%

Cemex SAB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 6, 2025 | % Change Since: -14.26% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
CEMEX's earnings call highlighted significant achievements such as regaining investment-grade status, strong decarbonization progress, and record net income. However, challenges remain with volume declines and currency headwinds affecting performance. The sentiment is mixed, with optimism for future growth and strategies to mitigate challenges.
Highlights
Investment-Grade Rating Achieved
CEMEX achieved its long-running goal of recovering its investment-grade rating, providing a runway to pursue growth strategy and sustainable shareholder return programs.
Record Net Income
Net income for 2024 reached $939 million, a record level in recent history, driven by a lower effective tax rate and asset sales.
Decarbonization Efforts
CEMEX reduced its Scope 1 and Scope 2 CO2 emissions by 15% and 17%, respectively, compared to 2020, and received EU innovation funding for carbon capture projects.
Portfolio Rebalancing
Executed $2.2 billion in divestitures, rebalancing the portfolio towards developed markets. Approximately 90% of EBITDA is now generated in the U.S., Europe, and Mexico.
Urbanization Solutions Growth
EBITDA in urbanization solutions increased 4% in 2024 with margin expanding by 1.1 percentage points, driven by high-margin businesses.
Lowlights
Volume Declines
Volumes were stable to lower in all regions, with particular declines in the U.S. due to weather impacts and in Mexico due to a challenging second half.
FX Headwinds
Depreciation of the Mexican peso resulted in an EBITDA effect of $48 million in the quarter and $52 million for the full year.
U.S. Weather Impacts
Extreme weather events in the U.S., including hurricanes and freezes, resulted in an estimated $38 million EBITDA impact.
Company Guidance
During CEMEX's fourth-quarter 2024 conference call, several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives were highlighted. The company reported a leverage ratio of 1.8 times, the lowest since the global financial crisis, following $2.2 billion in divestitures. Approximately 90% of EBITDA is now generated in the U.S., Europe, and Mexico. The company's net income for the year was $939 million. In terms of decarbonization efforts, CEMEX reduced Scope 1 and Scope 2 CO2 emissions by 15% and 17% respectively since 2020. The company also announced a three-year $350 million cost program aimed at delivering $150 million in EBITDA savings by 2025. CEMEX's consolidated EBITDA showed a 9% annual growth rate over the last four years, with a 3% increase in the fourth quarter of 2024. Additionally, the company plans to focus on inorganic growth in the U.S. and reduce strategic CapEx spending over time.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.