tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Salesforce.com (CRM)
NYSE:CRM

Salesforce (CRM) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
31,045 Followers

Top Page

CRM

Salesforce

(NYSE:CRM)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$219.00
▲(12.13% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/17/26
The score is driven primarily by strong cash-flow generation and improved profitability, reinforced by upbeat guidance and accelerating AI/data-platform momentum. These positives are tempered by weak technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD) and a valuation that is not cheap, plus incremental balance-sheet risk from debt-funded buybacks.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow and cash conversion
Salesforce’s free cash flow scaled materially (≈$4.1B in 2021 to ≈$14.4B in 2026) and FCF tracks ~96% of net income. Durable high cash generation underpins reinvestment, buybacks, and dividend capacity, providing long-term financial flexibility and earnings quality.
Large, growing backlog and contract visibility (RPO/CRPO)
Expanded CRPO and RPO give multi-period revenue visibility: CRPO $35.1B and RPO $72B signal durable recurring demand and a sizable contracted backlog that supports near-term revenue realization and reduces top-line volatility versus purely transactional models.
Strong product momentum in Agentforce/Data 360 and large deals
Rapid ARR growth for Agentforce/Data 360, strong large-deal traction and high cross-sell rates show durable competitive advantage in AI/data-driven offerings. This supports scalable upsell into existing customers and a structural shift toward higher-value, consumption-based revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Debt-funded accelerated buybacks increase leverage
Financing aggressive share repurchases with a large senior notes issuance materially increases long-dated indebtedness. Even with strong cash flow, higher leverage reduces financial flexibility, raises interest expense sensitivity, and elevates refinancing and covenant risk over the medium term.
Revenue growth deceleration and business unevenness
Although scale is large, recent year-on-year revenue growth has slowed materially to ~3% in 2026, and management flagged pockets of weakness (Marketing/Commerce/Tableau). Sustaining past growth rates will require broader reacceleration beyond a few high-growth product lines.
AI monetization uncertainty and partner competitive risk
New consumption metrics (AWUs/tokens) and evolving pricing (AELAs/credits) introduce long-term monetization uncertainty. Additionally, reliance on foundational model partners risks strategic displacement if those providers enter the enterprise stack, pressuring pricing and margin sustainability.

Salesforce (CRM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Salesforce Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSalesforce, Inc. provides customer relationship management technology that brings companies and customers together worldwide. Its Customer 360 platform empowers its customers to work together to deliver connected experiences for their customers. The company's service offerings include Sales to store data, monitor leads and progress, forecast opportunities, gain insights through analytics and relationship intelligence, and deliver quotes, contracts, and invoices; and Service that enables companies to deliver trusted and highly personalized customer service and support at scale. Its service offerings also comprise flexible platform that enables companies of various sizes, locations, and industries to build business apps to bring them closer to their customers with drag-and-drop tools; online learning platform that allows anyone to learn in-demand Salesforce skills; and Slack, a system of engagement. In addition, the company's service offerings include Marketing offering that enables companies to plan, personalize, and optimize one-to-one customer marketing journeys; and Commerce offering, which empowers brands to unify the customer experience across mobile, web, social, and store commerce points. Further, its service offerings comprise Tableau, an end-to-end analytics solution serving various enterprise use cases; and MuleSoft, an integration offering that allows its customers to unlock data across their enterprise. The company provides its service offering for customers in financial services, healthcare and life sciences, manufacturing, and other industries. It also offers professional services; and in-person and online courses to certify its customers and partners on architecting, administering, deploying, and developing its service offerings. The company provides its services through direct sales; and consulting firms, systems integrators, and other partners. Salesforce, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySalesforce makes money primarily by selling subscriptions to its cloud software products and related support services. The core of its revenue model is recurring subscription revenue: customers pay per-user and/or usage-based fees (depending on the product) for access to Salesforce’s CRM applications (e.g., Sales Cloud and Service Cloud), industry-specific solutions, and platform capabilities used to build and run custom business applications. A meaningful portion of revenue also comes from professional services and other services, including implementation, consulting, training, and advisory work, which often supports adoption of its subscription products (though these services are generally intended to drive long-term subscription relationships rather than be the primary profit center). Additional revenue is generated through support and success plans, add-on products and platform services (such as analytics, integration, automation, and data products), and ecosystem-related activity via partners and independent software vendors that implement and extend Salesforce solutions (partnerships can drive subscription growth through system integrators, consulting partners, and app marketplace offerings). Overall, Salesforce’s earnings are driven mainly by renewals, expansions (customers buying more seats/products), and new customer acquisition across its cloud portfolio.

Salesforce Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Salesforce is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsSalesforce's revenue growth is robust across all regions, with the Americas and EMEA showing steady increases. However, the Asia Pacific region faces challenges, particularly in Australia and India, which could hinder its growth momentum. The recent earnings call highlights strong overall financial performance, driven by the successful integration of Informatica and significant growth in AgentForce. Despite these strengths, the unpredictability in MuleSoft and Tableau revenues and weaknesses in marketing and commerce segments could pose risks to sustained growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Salesforce Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple material positive developments: healthy top-line growth, sizable backlog and RPO expansion, rapid traction for Agentforce and Data 360 (large ARR growth and deal wins), strong usage metrics (19T tokens, 2.4B AWUs), upgraded FY30 target to $63B, and aggressive shareholder returns (dividend increase and $50B buyback). Challenges were acknowledged around Marketing/Commerce and Tableau performance, more modest organic CRPO beats in places, evolving monetization models (AWU/AELAs) with short-term margin neutrality but longer-term uncertainty, and partner-competitive risk. Overall, the positives — particularly the clear product and commercial momentum in Agentforce/Data 360, recurring revenue strength and capital allocation — substantially outweigh the isolated weaknesses, though execution on cross-sell and margin management will be important to sustain the momentum.
Q4-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Full-Year and Q4 Revenue Growth
FY26 revenue of $41.5B, up 10% year-over-year (9% constant currency). Q4 revenue of $11.2B, up 12% year-over-year (10% constant currency). Subscription and support grew slightly above 10% Y/Y.
Growing Backlog and Contract Metrics
CRPO ended Q4 at $35.1B, up ~16% Y/Y (13% constant currency). Total RPO reached $72B, up 14% year-over-year.
Agentforce and Data 360 Momentum
Agentforce + Data 360 ARR (including Informatica) exceeded $2.9B, up over 200% Y/Y. Agentforce ARR ~ $800M (up ~169% Y/Y). Agentforce closed 29,000 deals in its first 15 months (up 50% quarter-over-quarter); customers in production grew ~50% in Q4.
Large Deal Strength
Wins > $1M were up 26% Y/Y and wins > $10M were up 33% Y/Y. Company reported a record quarter with 12 deals above $10M (including one > $50M and three > $20M). More than 75% of top 100 wins included both Agentforce and Data 360.
New Performance Metrics & Usage Scale
Introduced Agentic Work Unit (AWU) metric: 2.4B AWUs to date and ~771M AWUs in Q4. Platform consumption scale: over 19 trillion tokens consumed to date.
Updated Long-Term Targets and Near-Term Guidance
Updated FY30 revenue target to $63B (implies ~11% CAGR FY26–FY30). FY27 revenue guidance initiated at $45.8B–$46.2B (~10%–11% growth). Q1 FY27 revenue guidance $11.03B–$11.08B (~12%–13% nominal growth; 10%–11% cc).
Capital Allocation & Shareholder Returns
Returned >$14B (99% of free cash flow) to shareholders in FY26. Board approved 5.8% dividend increase to $0.44/sh and increased share repurchase authorization to $50B.
Commercial Momentum & Cross-sell
More than 60% of Agentforce & Data 360 bookings in the quarter came from expansions of existing customers. Informatica contributed ~$1.1B of cloud ARR and featured in 6 of the top 10 wins, evidencing improved cross-sell and data-platform traction.
Margin Expansion & Operational Discipline
Delivered 60 basis points of margin expansion in FY26. FY27 non-GAAP operating margin guide of 34.3% (up ~20 bps) and GAAP operating margin guide of 20.9% (up ~80 bps). Company plans targeted investments partially funded by efficiency gains.
Negative Updates
Weakness in Marketing, Commerce and Tableau
Management cited continued weakness in Marketing and Commerce businesses and weaker-than-expected Tableau performance, including on‑prem timing impacts affecting Q4 results.
CRPO Growth Slightly Below Some Expectations (Organic Basis)
Organic CRPO growth was ~9% on an organic basis (management noted this was roughly in line with guidance but below some investors' expectations for a modest beat), prompting investor questions about breadth of reacceleration across the portfolio.
Revenue Concentration & Reliance on Agentforce Upsell
A material portion of recent growth is driven by Agentforce/Data 360 and Informatica; management must sustain cross-sell into legacy clouds to reaccelerate overall organic revenue (risk if adoption is uneven across customer base).
Token Costs and Monetization Uncertainties
Short‑term margin impact from model/token consumption is expected to be roughly neutral but token pricing could commoditize; AWU is a new metric and long-term monetization/pricing (AELAs, credits, consumption) remains evolving and still being standardized.
Partner Competitive Risk
Management acknowledged the theoretical risk that foundational model providers (e.g., Anthropic, OpenAI, others) could evolve into competitive platforms or shift dynamics, creating strategic uncertainty in long run.
Revenue Disclosure Changes & Transition
Company will reevaluate revenue-by-cloud disclosures in FY27, which introduces a transition in reporting that may temporarily reduce transparency into cloud-level performance until new disclosures are provided.
Company Guidance
Salesforce guided fiscal 2027 revenue of $45.8 billion to $46.2 billion (≈10–11% growth nominal and constant currency), subscription & support growth of ~11% YoY (cc), non‑GAAP operating margin of 34.3% (up 20 bps) and GAAP operating margin of 20.9% (up 80 bps); Q1 revenue is guided to $11.03–$11.08 billion (≈12–13% nominal, 10–11% cc) with Q1 CRPO growth ~14% nominal (~13% cc). The company raised its FY2030 revenue target to $63 billion (an 11% CAGR from FY26–FY30), increased its share‑repurchase authorization to $50 billion, raised the quarterly dividend 5.8% to $0.44, and expects continued investment to drive adoption while remaining margin‑disciplined; for context FY26 results included $41.5B revenue (+10% YoY, 9% cc), Q4 revenue $11.2B (+12% YoY, 10% cc), CRPO $35.1B (+16% YoY, 13% cc), total RPO $72B (+14% YoY), Agentforce & Data 360 ARR >$2.9B (+200% YoY), >19 trillion tokens consumed and 2.4 billion Agentic Work Units to date.

Salesforce Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and growing free cash flow (to ~$14.4B in 2026) with good cash conversion supports earnings quality, and profitability has improved materially (net margin ~18% in 2026). Offsetting factors are decelerating recent revenue growth and some margin volatility (including a notable EBITDA margin step-down in 2026 vs 2025).
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Salesforce shows solid top-line expansion over the period (revenue rising from ~$21.3B in 2021 to ~$41.5B in 2026), but growth has clearly decelerated in the most recent year (2026 revenue growth ~3.0%). Profitability has strengthened meaningfully versus 2022–2023, with net margin improving to ~18.0% in 2026 (vs ~0.7% in 2023) and gross margin holding strong in the mid-to-high 70% range. A notable watch item is margin volatility year-to-year (including a sharp dip in 2023) and a large step-down in EBITDA margin in 2026 versus 2025, suggesting earnings quality/mix is still moving around.
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively levered overall: debt has come down meaningfully from 2023–2024 levels to ~$6.7B in 2026, supported by a large equity base (~$59.1B). Total assets have expanded steadily to ~$112.3B, indicating scale and capacity to invest. The main concern is that returns on equity have been uneven historically (very low in 2022–2023 before improving in 2024–2025), pointing to some inconsistency in how efficiently equity capital has been translated into profits.
Cash Flow
91
Very Positive
Cash generation is a standout strength. Operating cash flow and free cash flow have climbed strongly over time (free cash flow from ~$4.1B in 2021 to ~$14.4B in 2026), and free cash flow growth remains robust in 2026 (~11.7%). Free cash flow tracks closely to net income (free cash flow is ~96% of net income in 2026), supporting earnings quality. The main weakness is that the provided cash-flow coverage metric is not consistently strong across earlier years, but overall cash conversion and absolute cash flow are very healthy.
BreakdownJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue41.52B37.90B34.86B31.35B26.49B
Gross Profit32.26B29.25B26.32B22.99B19.47B
EBITDA13.15B11.14B9.22B5.64B3.85B
Net Income7.46B6.20B4.14B208.00M1.44B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets112.31B102.93B99.82B98.85B95.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.56B14.03B14.19B12.51B10.54B
Total Debt17.18B11.39B12.59B14.09B13.98B
Total Liabilities53.16B41.76B40.18B40.49B37.08B
Stockholders Equity59.14B61.17B59.65B58.36B58.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.40B12.43B9.50B6.31B5.28B
Operating Cash Flow15.00B13.09B10.23B7.11B6.00B
Investing Cash Flow-8.59B-3.16B-1.33B-1.99B-14.54B
Financing Cash Flow-8.08B-9.43B-7.48B-3.56B7.84B

Salesforce Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price195.31
Price Trends
50DMA
207.47
Negative
100DMA
228.64
Negative
200DMA
240.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.30
Negative
RSI
46.75
Neutral
STOCH
30.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 195.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 194.16, below the 50-day MA of 207.47, and below the 200-day MA of 240.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CRM.

Salesforce Risk Analysis

Salesforce disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Salesforce reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Salesforce Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$118.48B90.8815.42%21.05%28.67%
71
Outperform
$179.98B27.0512.37%0.63%8.41%22.92%
70
Outperform
$13.83B458.502.30%19.21%75.32%
69
Neutral
$210.68B34.2516.82%1.07%11.85%167.23%
69
Neutral
$34.28B66.227.97%13.35%-60.76%
67
Neutral
$3.79B63.939.88%28.62%186.67%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRM
Salesforce
194.99
-82.23
-29.66%
SAP
SAP AG
185.01
-84.98
-31.47%
WDAY
Workday
133.38
-117.09
-46.75%
NOW
ServiceNow
113.27
-51.55
-31.28%
HUBS
HubSpot
262.32
-335.90
-56.15%
MNDY
Monday.com
74.73
-189.83
-71.75%

Salesforce Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Salesforce Launches Massive Accelerated Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Mar 16, 2026

On March 16, 2026, Salesforce announced it had begun prepayment and initial delivery of about 103 million shares under its previously disclosed $25 billion accelerated share repurchase agreements, entered into on March 11, 2026. The transaction, described as the largest ASR in history, immediately executes half of the $50 billion buyback program approved by the board in February 2026, signaling strong confidence from leadership in the company’s growth and cash flow profile.

Salesforce has arranged the ASR with a syndicate of major global banks and expects final settlement in the third or fourth quarter of its fiscal 2027, with the ultimate share count tied to the stock’s volume-weighted average price over the program’s term. The move is poised to materially shrink the share count and underscores management’s commitment to shareholder returns, reinforcing Salesforce’s positioning and signaling conviction in its performance in what it calls the “Agentic Era.”

The most recent analyst rating on (CRM) stock is a Buy with a $250.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Salesforce stock, see the CRM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
Salesforce Completes Large Senior Notes Offering for Buybacks
Positive
Mar 13, 2026

On March 13, 2026, Salesforce completed a massive $25 billion multi-tranche offering of unsecured, unsubordinated senior notes, with maturities ranging from 2028 to 2066 and coupons between 4.500% and 6.700%. Interest on the notes will accrue from March 13, 2026 and be paid semi-annually, and the instruments rank pari passu with the company’s other unsecured, unsubordinated debt.

The company used the net proceeds of the offering to repurchase its common stock through accelerated share repurchase agreements, signaling a focus on shareholder returns financed via long-dated debt. The transaction further extends Salesforce’s maturity profile while embedding standard default and acceleration provisions, underscoring its continued reliance on public debt markets to manage capital structure and balance sheet optimization.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRM) stock is a Buy with a $221.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Salesforce stock, see the CRM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
Salesforce Launches Massive Debt-Funded Accelerated Share Repurchase
Positive
Mar 12, 2026

On March 11, 2026, Salesforce entered into accelerated share repurchase agreements with several major banks to buy back $25 billion of its common stock under its existing share repurchase program, with initial share delivery and cash payments scheduled for March 16, 2026 and final settlement expected in the fourth quarter of 2026. The move significantly scales up capital returns to shareholders and is structured so that the ultimate share count depends on the stock’s volume-weighted average price over the contract period.

Also on March 11, 2026, Salesforce agreed to issue multiple tranches of senior notes maturing between 2028 and 2066 in a registered public offering totaling tens of billions of dollars, with pricing slightly below par and closing expected on March 13, 2026, and it plans to use the roughly $24.9 billion in net proceeds entirely to fund the share repurchases. In a parallel balance sheet move, the company secured a new $6 billion five-year senior unsecured term loan facility to refinance two existing term loans maturing under 2025 credit agreements, extending its debt maturities while maintaining financial flexibility through customary covenants and prepayment options.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRM) stock is a Hold with a $229.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Salesforce stock, see the CRM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Salesforce Streamlines Finance Leadership With New Accounting Role
Neutral
Mar 6, 2026

On March 6, 2026, Salesforce announced an internal finance reorganization under which Robin Washington, the company’s Chief Operating and Financial Officer, will become its principal accounting officer effective March 9, 2026. The move consolidates key financial and accounting responsibilities under a single senior executive, potentially streamlining oversight without changing Washington’s existing compensation.

Sundeep Reddy, who previously served as principal accounting officer, will remain in his role as Chief Accounting Officer, signaling continuity in the company’s core accounting function. Salesforce disclosed that Washington’s appointment involves no special arrangements, family relationships, or material related-party transactions, underscoring an emphasis on governance transparency and regulatory compliance in its leadership changes.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRM) stock is a Hold with a $200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Salesforce stock, see the CRM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 17, 2026