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Circle Internet Group, Inc. Class A (CRCL)
NYSE:CRCL
US Market
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Circle Internet Group, Inc. Class A (CRCL) AI Stock Analysis

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CRCL

Circle Internet Group, Inc. Class A

(NYSE:CRCL)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$75.00
▲(12.06% Upside)
Circle Internet Group, Inc. shows strong financial recovery and positive earnings call highlights, which are offset by bearish technical indicators and lack of valuation metrics. The company's strategic growth initiatives and market expansion are promising, but technical weaknesses and valuation uncertainties warrant caution.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates effective business expansion and increased market demand for Circle's services, supporting long-term financial health.
Market Share Gains
Gaining market share in the stablecoin sector enhances Circle's competitive position and strengthens its influence in the cryptocurrency market.
Balance Sheet Health
A strong balance sheet with low leverage reduces financial risk and provides flexibility for future investments and growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Declining Gross Margins
Declining gross margins may indicate rising costs or pricing pressures, which could impact profitability if not addressed.
Reserve Return Rate Decline
A declining reserve return rate can reduce income from reserves, potentially affecting overall profitability and financial stability.
Cash Flow Management
Inefficient cash flow management could limit the company's ability to reinvest in growth and manage financial obligations effectively.

Circle Internet Group, Inc. Class A (CRCL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Circle Internet Group, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCircle Internet Group, Inc. Class A (CRCL) is a financial technology company that operates within the cryptocurrency and blockchain sectors. The company provides a platform for businesses and consumers to transact in digital currencies, primarily focusing on facilitating peer-to-peer payments and digital asset management. Circle's core products include its digital wallet, payment processing services, and cryptocurrency trading features, enabling users to buy, sell, and store various cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and Ethereum.
How the Company Makes MoneyCircle generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, it earns money from transaction fees charged for the buying, selling, and transferring of cryptocurrency on its platform. Additionally, the company may receive revenues from its payment processing services, where it charges businesses for processing cryptocurrency payments. Circle also benefits from market-making activities and trading services, where it may earn profits from the spread between buying and selling prices. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and payment networks enhance its service offerings and expand its user base, contributing to its overall earnings.

Circle Internet Group, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a robust financial performance, impressive growth in USDC circulation, and strong expansion of the Circle Payments Network. Despite a decline in reserve return rates, the company's strategic initiatives, including the launch of Arc and market share gains, contributed to a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Growth in USDC Circulation
USDC in circulation grew 108% year-over-year to $73.7 billion, alongside a 580% increase in onchain transactions to $9.6 trillion, reflecting strong network growth.
Financial Performance and Revenue Growth
Circle reported $740 million in total revenue and reserve income, representing 66% year-on-year growth. Adjusted EBITDA grew 78% year-on-year to $166 million with a 57% margin.
Expansion of Circle Payments Network (CPN)
CPN saw significant growth with 100x increase in trailing 30-day payment volumes and an annualized transaction volume reaching $3.4 billion by early November.
Launch of Arc Public Testnet
Arc launched with over 100 major participants, including AWS, BlackRock, HSBC, Mastercard, and Visa, demonstrating strong interest in Circle’s new operating system layer.
Market Share Gains
Circle's share in the stablecoin market increased to 29% in Q3, with USDC's share in stablecoin transaction volumes expanding to 40%.
Negative Updates
Decline in Reserve Return Rate
Reserve return rate fell 96 basis points year-on-year to 4.15%, reflecting a decline in SOFR during the period.
Company Guidance
During the Circle Internet Group's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided strong guidance and metrics reflecting significant growth and expansion in its operations. Circle reported that USDC in circulation grew by 108% year-over-year, reaching $73.7 billion, and onchain transactions using USDC surged by 580% to $9.6 trillion. Total revenue and reserve income increased by 66% to $740 million, while adjusted EBITDA grew by 78% to $166 million, with a 57% adjusted EBITDA margin, marking a 737 basis point expansion. The company also highlighted the progress of its Arc Network, which recently launched into public testnet with over 100 major participants, and is exploring the possibility of launching a native token on the Arc Network. Furthermore, Circle's Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP) volume grew approximately 640% year-over-year to $31.3 billion, and the Circle Payments Network (CPN) saw significant expansion with 29 financial institutions onboard, contributing to a 100x growth in monthly total payment volume over the past five months, reaching an annualized transaction volume of $3.4 billion. The company remains optimistic about its future growth and is actively investing in expanding its platform capabilities and global partnerships.

Circle Internet Group, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Circle Internet Group, Inc. has shown significant improvement in its financial health. The company has transitioned from losses to profitability, reduced its leverage, and strengthened its cash flow position. However, there are areas for improvement, such as managing gross margins and enhancing cash flow efficiency.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Circle Internet Group, Inc. has shown significant improvement in its income statement metrics over the years. The company has achieved a positive net profit margin of 9.29% in 2024, up from a negative margin in 2021, indicating a turnaround in profitability. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from 29.42% in 2023 to 23.59% in 2024, suggesting potential cost management issues. Revenue growth is strong, with a notable increase from 2023 to 2024. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory but needs to address declining gross margins.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Circle Internet Group, Inc. reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07 in 2024, indicating low leverage and reduced financial risk. The return on equity is robust at 27.28%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a healthy balance between equity and total assets. The company has improved its financial stability significantly since 2021, when it had negative equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow metrics for Circle Internet Group, Inc. demonstrate strong free cash flow growth, with a substantial increase from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.89 in 2024 suggests that the company is generating ample free cash flow relative to its net income, although there is room for improvement in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.98B1.68B1.45B772.05M84.88M15.44M
Gross Profit65.90M395.48M426.69M249.74M-25.91M-7.10M
EBITDA-190.95M274.33M355.75M-742.55M-495.14M-9.34M
Net Income-202.92M155.67M267.56M-768.85M-508.21M3.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets76.78B45.83B26.00B46.73B43.90B4.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.35B765.31M520.81M45.41B161.56M40.05M
Total Debt149.09M40.72M60.27M81.89M928.16M57.17M
Total Liabilities73.76B45.26B24.53B45.85B44.66B4.47B
Stockholders Equity3.02B570.53M1.47B879.16M-768.41M-286.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow277.39M305.48M106.71M-91.01M-100.20M-22.01M
Operating Cash Flow293.03M344.58M139.57M-72.69M-92.33M-14.92M
Investing Cash Flow-66.45M186.30M8.51B-8.49B-28.85M-17.93M
Financing Cash Flow30.31B19.45B-20.33B2.58B38.72B3.53B

Circle Internet Group, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$16.42B
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
47
Neutral
$40.82M-0.90-313.72%-39.75%-89.61%
43
Neutral
$29.49M-10.83-19.02%16.60%70.20%
41
Neutral
$13.96M-0.27-268.12%-9.05%77.41%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRCL
Circle Internet Group, Inc. Class A
66.93
-40.77
-37.86%
VRAR
Glimpse Group
1.02
0.34
50.00%
CISO
Cerberus Cyber Sentinel Corp
0.55
-0.64
-53.78%
SURG
SurgePays
1.89
0.14
8.00%
WLDS
Wearable Devices Ltd.
1.89
-5.63
-74.87%

Circle Internet Group, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Circle Internet Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Growth
Nov 13, 2025

Circle Internet Group, Inc. is a financial technology company that facilitates the use of digital currencies and public blockchains for global payments and commerce, primarily through its widely-used stablecoin network, USDC and EURC. In its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, Circle announced significant growth in key financial metrics, highlighting a 108% year-over-year increase in USDC circulation to $73.7 billion and a 66% rise in total revenue and reserve income to $740 million. The company also reported a substantial 202% increase in net income, reaching $214 million.

Circle Internet Group’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth
Nov 13, 2025

Circle Internet Group, Inc. Class A recently held its earnings call, showcasing a robust financial performance and an optimistic future outlook. The company reported impressive growth in USDC circulation and a strong expansion of the Circle Payments Network. Despite a decline in reserve return rates, strategic initiatives like the launch of Arc and market share gains contributed to a positive sentiment among stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025