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Centerpoint Energy (CNP)
NYSE:CNP

Centerpoint Energy (CNP) AI Stock Analysis

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Centerpoint Energy

(NYSE:CNP)

66Neutral
CenterPoint Energy scores strongly due to robust earnings growth and strategic investments in system resiliency, supporting long-term growth. However, challenges such as fluctuating revenues, negative free cash flow, and increased liabilities weigh on the financial performance. The technical analysis reflects a positive trend, while the valuation is fair with a reasonable P/E ratio and dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
Confidence in the 8.3% EPS growth forecast is supported by CNP’s track record of meeting or exceeding its earnings guidance in recent years.
Regulatory Clarity
CNP's regulatory clarity improves with four constructive rate case settlements and a successful mobile gen asset transfer.
Negative Factors
Equity Layer Implications
Concerns remain about the company's decision to potentially settle on a higher equity layer and the implications for distribution customers.
Revenue Concerns
There is a question about whether the $46m revenue reduction will satisfy the Lt. Governor and his constituents.

Centerpoint Energy (CNP) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Centerpoint Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCenterPoint Energy, Inc. operates as a public utility holding company in the United States. The company operates through Electric and Natural Gas segments. The Electric segment includes electric transmission and distribution services to electric customers and electric generation assets, as well as assets in the wholesale power market. The Natural Gas segment provides natural gas distribution services, as well as home appliance maintenance and repair services to customers in Minnesota; and home repair protection plans to natural gas customers in Arkansas, Indiana, Mississippi, Ohio, Oklahoma, and Texas and Louisiana through a third party. This segment also engages in the sale of regulated intrastate natural gas, and transportation and storage of natural gas for residential, commercial, industrial, and transportation customers. As of December 31, 2021, it served approximately 2.7 million metered customers; owned 239 substation sites with a total installed rated transformer capacity of 71,241 megavolt amperes; operated approximately 1,00,000 linear miles of natural gas distribution and transmission mains; and owned and operated 285 miles of intrastate pipeline in Louisiana, Texas, and Oklahoma. The company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCenterPoint Energy makes money through its electric and natural gas utility operations. The company earns revenue by charging customers for the distribution of electricity and natural gas, which includes fixed service fees and variable charges based on usage. As a regulated utility, its rates are determined and approved by state regulatory commissions, ensuring a stable revenue stream. Additionally, CenterPoint Energy may generate income from infrastructure investments and energy-related services, such as construction and maintenance of utility infrastructure. Key partnerships with local governments and regulatory bodies, alongside strategic investments in grid modernization and renewable energy initiatives, also contribute to its earnings by enhancing operational efficiency and expanding service offerings.

Centerpoint Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CenterPoint Energy's financial performance shows resilience with strong EBIT margins but faces challenges with inconsistent revenue growth and negative free cash flow. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, but increased liabilities and high capital expenditures need careful management.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The income statement shows a mixed performance. While the company has maintained a strong EBIT margin, the net profit margin has been volatile, with a recent strong recovery from negative profits in 2020. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, showing fluctuations over the years. The gross profit margin is notably missing for the latest period, which impacts the clarity of profitability analysis.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a relatively stable financial structure. The debt-to-equity ratio indicates moderate leverage, typical for a regulated utility company. Stockholders' equity has been growing, which is a positive sign. However, the equity ratio is not available for the most recent period, limiting a full analysis. The company's liabilities have increased, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flows reveal some concerns, particularly with negative free cash flow over multiple years due to high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests solid cash generation relative to profits, but the negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights ongoing cash usage for investments, which could affect liquidity if not balanced with financing activities.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
8.64B8.70B9.32B8.35B7.42B
Gross Profit
3.98B3.69B3.40B3.21B2.93B
EBIT
1.99B1.76B1.57B1.36B-168.00M
EBITDA
3.49B3.19B3.23B2.62B2.28B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.02B917.00M1.06B668.00M-591.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
585.00M631.00M584.00M1.67B147.00M
Total Assets
43.77B39.72B38.55B37.68B33.47B
Total Debt
564.00M18.62B16.86B16.10B13.44B
Net Debt
564.00M18.53B16.78B15.87B13.29B
Total Liabilities
33.10B30.05B28.50B28.26B25.12B
Stockholders Equity
10.67B9.67B10.04B9.41B8.35B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-2.37B-524.00M-2.61B-3.14B-601.00M
Operating Cash Flow
2.14B3.88B1.81B22.00M2.00B
Investing Cash Flow
-4.49B-4.23B-1.63B-1.85B-1.26B
Financing Cash Flow
2.27B374.00M-345.00M1.92B-834.00M

Centerpoint Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.19
Price Trends
50DMA
34.45
Positive
100DMA
33.06
Positive
200DMA
30.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.70
Negative
RSI
73.63
Negative
STOCH
81.54
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.98, above the 50-day MA of 34.45, and above the 200-day MA of 30.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.63 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.54 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CNP.

Centerpoint Energy Risk Analysis

Centerpoint Energy disclosed 15 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Centerpoint Energy reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Centerpoint Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CMCMS
78
Outperform
$21.28B21.3712.72%2.93%0.71%11.07%
EIEIX
70
Outperform
$21.58B16.938.83%5.65%7.72%6.49%
FEFE
70
Outperform
$22.73B23.238.54%4.32%4.68%-11.66%
PPPPL
68
Neutral
$25.25B28.536.33%3.06%1.80%19.78%
CNCNP
66
Neutral
$23.63B22.9210.02%2.33%-0.61%15.54%
ESES
66
Neutral
$20.67B24.805.56%5.14%-0.08%
65
Neutral
$11.78B15.576.20%4.58%5.53%-8.93%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNP
Centerpoint Energy
36.19
9.36
34.89%
CMS
CMS Energy
71.55
15.46
27.56%
EIX
Edison International
55.40
-10.36
-15.75%
FE
FirstEnergy
40.09
4.02
11.14%
ES
Eversource Energy
55.69
-0.75
-1.33%
PPL
PPL
34.20
8.33
32.20%

Centerpoint Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 20, 2025 | % Change Since: 6.85% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
CenterPoint Energy demonstrated robust financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, including significant investments in system resiliency and strong regulatory outcomes. However, challenges remain with increased operational costs and uncertainties around mobile generation deployment.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance
CenterPoint reported non-GAAP EPS growth of 8% over 2023, with $1.62 per share for the full year 2024. This marks the fourth consecutive year of meeting or exceeding annual non-GAAP EPS guidance.
Reaffirmed Growth Guidance
CenterPoint reaffirmed its 2025 non-GAAP EPS guidance range of $1.74 to $1.76, representing 8% growth at the midpoint from 2024's non-GAAP EPS of $1.62.
Significant Investment in System Resiliency
Announced a $5.75 billion system resiliency plan for Houston Electric from 2026 through 2028, aiming to improve system resiliency with $5.5 billion related to capital expenditures.
Regulatory and Rate Case Success
Reached settlements in the Houston Electric and Minnesota Gas rate cases, with final orders received in two out of five recent rate cases, representing over 80% of the enterprise rate base.
Temporary Generation Transaction
CenterPoint proposed a transaction with ERCOT to transfer temporary generation units for up to two years, providing peak reliability in San Antonio and expecting higher market rates post-transfer.
Houston Area Load Growth
Forecasted a 50% increase in peak demand from 21 GW to nearly 31 GW by 2031 in the Greater Houston area, driven by diverse economic activities including logistics, medical, and energy sectors.
Lowlights
Increased Vegetation Management Costs
Transitioning from a five-year to a three-year vegetation management cycle, leading to near-term O&M level reset.
Uncertain Resolution on Mobile Generation
Ongoing discussions with ERCOT and stakeholders regarding the temporary generation units, with potential impacts on customer costs and company revenues.
High Capital Expenditure Needs
Increased capital investment target to $47.5 billion through 2030, requiring efficient funding and potential equity needs despite current balance sheet challenges.
Company Guidance
During CenterPoint Energy's earnings call, the company provided guidance based on non-GAAP EPS, reporting $0.40 for the fourth quarter and $1.62 for the full year 2024. This represents an 8% growth over 2023's results. The company reaffirmed its 2025 non-GAAP EPS guidance range of $1.74 to $1.76, which equates to an 8% growth at the midpoint from the 2024 results. CenterPoint also highlighted its long-term growth expectations, projecting annual non-GAAP EPS growth at the mid- to high end of a 6% to 8% range through 2030. The company plans to align dividend growth with earnings growth over the same period. Additionally, CenterPoint outlined a $5.5 billion capital investment plan to improve system resiliency from 2026 through 2028, expecting to save customers more than one billion outage minutes in extreme weather events and reduce storm-related costs by an estimated $50 million per year starting in 2029.

Centerpoint Energy Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
CenterPoint Energy Releases CEI South’s Audited Financials
Neutral
Mar 18, 2025

CenterPoint Energy has released audited financial statements for its subsidiary, Southern Indiana Gas and Electric Company (CEI South), for the years ended December 31, 2024, and 2023. The financial statements, which include balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements, have been audited in accordance with generally accepted auditing standards in the United States. The release of these statements provides stakeholders with a comprehensive view of CEI South’s financial health and operations, although they are not intended to comply with certain regulatory requirements and will not be incorporated into CenterPoint Energy’s registration statements unless specified.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CenterPoint Energy Reports Strong Q4 2024 Earnings Growth
Positive
Feb 20, 2025

CenterPoint Energy reported its fourth quarter and full-year 2024 financial results, showing a 25% increase in non-GAAP earnings per share for Q4 compared to 2023. The company plans to increase its capital investment to $47.5 billion by 2030 to enhance grid resilience in the Houston region and anticipates a nearly 50% rise in electric load demand by 2031, which supports its growth strategy and positioning in the utility industry.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.