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Conmed (CNMD)
NYSE:CNMD

Conmed (CNMD) AI Stock Analysis

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CNMD

Conmed

(NYSE:CNMD)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$38.00
▼(-14.32% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/14/26
The score is driven primarily by solid cash generation but tempered by volatile profitability and meaningful leverage. Technicals are a significant near-term drag (downtrend and negative momentum), while valuation is fair and management’s guidance is constructive but weighed down by tariffs, GI-exit dilution, and higher spending.
Positive Factors
Cash generation resilience
CONMED’s consistent operating and free cash flow (~$150M range) has held up even as GAAP earnings fell, providing durable internal funding for R&D, capital needs, and buybacks. Strong cash conversion supports strategic reinvestment and cushions near-term execution risks.
Orthopedics and steady revenue growth
Orthopedics is a durable growth engine: above-market Q4 growth and sustained full-year gains show expanding clinical adoption. Procedure-driven consumables tied to ortho volume create recurring revenue, supporting predictable top-line expansion and margin leverage over time.
Buffalo Filter / smoke-evacuation tailwind
Regulatory and legislative trends (smoke-free OR laws) plus a differentiated new product (PlumeSafe x5) position Buffalo Filter for structural adoption. Large TAM, clinical/regulatory tailwinds and product upgrades underpin sustainable mid-term growth and attachment sales.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Material debt and modest cash reduce financial flexibility. With leverage near 3x and only limited cash on hand, CONMED has less room to absorb extended margin pressure or fund large M&A without increasing leverage or cutting spend, constraining strategic optionality.
Volatile profitability and earnings quality
Significant GAAP swings and inconsistent operating/net margins undermine earnings predictability. Even with healthy gross margins, operating profitability has been uneven, raising execution risk that temporary shocks or higher costs could more readily erode cash generation.
Strategic actions and tariff headwinds compress near-term EPS
Management is prioritizing long-term repositioning but accepts near-term EPS dilution from the GI exit and tariff costs while raising SG&A to accelerate platforms. These structural choices heighten short-to-medium term margin pressure and require execution to realize promised returns.

Conmed (CNMD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Conmed Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCONMED Corporation, a medical technology company, develops, manufactures, and sells surgical devices and related equipment for surgical procedures worldwide. It offers orthopedic surgery products, including TruShot with Y-Knot All-In-One Soft Tissue Fixation System, Y-knot All-Suture Anchors, and PopLok Knotless Suture Anchors, which provide unique clinical solutions to orthopedic surgeons for the repair of soft tissue injuries, as well as supporting products that enable surgeons to perform minimally invasive sports medicine surgeries. The company markets orthopedic surgery products under the Hall, CONMED Linvatec, Concept, and Shutt brands. It also offers general surgery products, such as clinical insufflation, smoke evacuation, electrosurgical, and endomechanical products; and endoscopic technologies, including diagnostic and therapeutic products for use in gastroenterology procedures, and products for the treatment of diseases of the biliary structures, as well as cardiac monitoring products comprising ECG and EEG electrodes, and cardiac defibrillation pads. The company markets its products directly to hospitals, surgery centers, and other healthcare institutions, as well as through medical specialty distributors. CONMED Corporation was incorporated in 1970 and is headquartered in Largo, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyCONMED makes money primarily by selling medical devices and related consumables used in surgical procedures. Its revenue model is largely product-sales driven: (1) single-use/disposable items and procedure-based consumables (e.g., accessories and implants/consumables used during arthroscopy and other surgeries) that generate recurring revenue tied to surgical case volume, and (2) capital equipment sales (e.g., electrosurgical generators, visualization/surgical systems, and other durable surgical equipment) that create upfront revenue and can pull through ongoing demand for compatible disposables and accessories. The company typically sells through a combination of direct sales representatives and distribution partners, depending on geography and product line; revenue is generated when products are shipped/sold to healthcare providers (or to distributors who then sell to end customers). Key factors influencing earnings include adoption of its surgical technologies by surgeons and facilities, procedure volumes (especially in orthopedics and minimally invasive surgery), pricing and reimbursement dynamics, product innovation and new product launches, and expansion of its installed base of capital equipment that can drive repeat purchases of higher-margin consumables. Specific material partnership terms or customer concentration details are not available here and are therefore null.

Conmed Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced clear operational and strategic progress—strong adjusted results, meaningful growth in orthopedics, momentum in AirSeal/Buffalo Filter/BioBrace platforms, supply-chain improvements, and solid cash generation—against notable near-term headwinds: a sizeable GAAP earnings decline, tariff-driven margin pressure, and near-term dilution from the GI exit. Management provided constructive 2026 guidance but flagged increased SG&A and R&D investments and tariff impacts that compress near-term EPS. Overall the company appears to be executing a deliberate repositioning for longer-term, higher‑margin growth while accepting short-term earnings trade-offs.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth (Q4 and Full Year)
Total sales for Q4 were $373.2M, up 7.9% reported and 7.1% in constant currency. Full-year sales were $1.375B, up 5.2% reported and 5.1% in constant currency.
Adjusted EPS and Adjusted Net Income Expansion
Q4 adjusted EPS was $1.43, a 6.7% increase year-over-year; Q4 adjusted net income was $44.4M, up 6.2%. Full-year adjusted EPS was $4.59, up 10.1%, and full-year adjusted net income was $143.1M, up 10.1%.
Orthopedics Outperformance and Supply Chain Progress
Worldwide orthopedic sales grew 12.1% in Q4 and 5.5% for the full year (constant currency). U.S. ortho grew 6.6% in Q4 and international ortho grew 15.7% in Q4. Management reported meaningful supply-chain improvements with backorder value and SKUs on backorder at a three-year low.
AirSeal Traction and Long-Term Opportunity
AirSeal was used in ~1.6M procedures in 2025. Penetration in U.S. laparoscopy is only ~6%–7%, implying sizable white space. Management expects AirSeal to deliver high single-digit to low double-digit growth over the long term and noted a 10%–20% attachment rate to certain robotic platforms.
Buffalo Filter (Smoke Evacuation) Momentum
Company cites surgical smoke evacuation as a >$1B global market in early adoption; 20 U.S. states (≈51% of population) have enacted smoke-free OR laws. Launched PlumeSafe x5 in 2025 with product performance and noise improvements to strengthen market position.
BioBrace Clinical Adoption and Pipeline
BioBrace is used in >70 unique procedures and adoption is expanding (rotator cuff, foot & ankle). A 268-patient randomized controlled trial is on track to complete enrollment in 2026 with publication expected in 2027; AAOS guidelines (2025) recommend augmentation for rotator cuff repair.
Cash Generation, Leverage and Capital Allocation Flexibility
Operating cash flow for FY2025 was $170.7M (Q4 cash flow $46.3M). Cash balance $40.8M; long-term debt $834.2M and leverage 2.9x at year-end. Board approved $150M share repurchase authorization and suspended dividend (historically ~$25M annually), providing flexibility to redeploy capital.
2026 Financial Guidance and Margin Improvement Targets
Guidance for FY2026 revenue $1.345B–$1.375B (constant currency organic growth 4.5%–6%). Management targets adjusted gross margin net improvement of 50–100 bps for 2026 despite tariff headwinds, adjusted EPS guidance $4.30–$4.45, projected operating cash flow $145M–$155M, and adjusted EBITDA $255M–$265M.
Negative Updates
Material GAAP Earnings Decline
Q4 GAAP net income was $16.7M versus $33.8M a year ago; Q4 GAAP EPS $0.54 vs $1.00. Full-year GAAP net income was $47.1M vs $132.4M in 2024; full-year GAAP EPS $1.51 vs $4.25, reflecting significant GAAP deterioration (impact of special items and portfolio actions).
Tariffs and Margin Pressure
Adjusted gross margin fell 100 bps in Q4 (to 56.6%) driven by expected tariff impact. Management expects incremental tariffs to represent ~100–110 bps headwind in 2026, with an estimated EPS hit of $0.30–$0.35.
Gastroenterology Exit Causes Near-Term Dilution
Decision to exit GI product lines is strategic but will create near-term earnings dilution; management estimates the GI exit will reduce 2026 adjusted EPS by roughly $0.45–$0.50.
U.S. General Surgery Softness and Portfolio Cuts
U.S. general surgery sales declined 0.4% in Q4. Management attributed part of the decline to de-emphasis on OEM smoke evacuation SKUs and strategic exits within energy platforms, reflecting tradeoffs from portfolio management.
Higher Operating Spend and Near-Term SG&A Pressure
Guided adjusted SG&A to 38%–38.5% of sales in 2026 (an increase driven by lower sales from the GI exit and higher investments to accelerate key growth drivers). Q1 expected to be the highest SG&A percentage of the year.
Investor Confusion Around Presentation and Organic Metrics
Analysts noted discrepancies between prior JPMorgan presentation and current slides around organic revenue bases and GI accounting, prompting follow-up clarifications—an execution/communication issue that created some near-term market confusion.
Debt Levels and Working Capital Dynamics
Long-term debt remains elevated at $834.2M. Inventory days rose to 207 at year-end (from 191 at quarter-end), which may impact working capital efficiency even as backorders improve.
Dividend Suspension Could Deter Income Investors
Board suspended the dividend (historically ~$25M annually) and shifted toward share repurchases; while intended to boost EPS via repurchases, the suspension may be viewed negatively by dividend-focused investors in the near term.
Company Guidance
For 2026 management guided reported revenue of $1.345–$1.375 billion (constant‑currency organic growth 4.5%–6%, FX tailwind 0–50 bps) and a net adjusted gross‑margin improvement of 50–100 bps despite incremental tariffs expected to cost ~100–110 bps; they expect adjusted SG&A of 38.0%–38.5% of sales (Q1 to be the highest quarter and above the full‑year range), adjusted R&D of 4.5%–5.0% of sales, adjusted interest expense of $25–$27 million, and an adjusted effective tax rate in the mid‑24% range, targeting adjusted EPS of $4.30–$4.45 (including headwinds of $0.45–$0.50 from the GI exit and $0.30–$0.35 from tariffs, partially offset by ~+$0.10 from currency); they also forecast full‑year operating cash flow of $145–$155 million, capex of $20–$30 million (free cash flow ~ $125 million), adjusted EBITDA of $255–$265 million, and Q1 revenue of $308–$313 million with Q1 adjusted EPS of $0.80–$0.83 (no selling‑day differences called out).

Conmed Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Healthy and consistent free cash flow is a key strength, but earnings quality is uneven: margins and net income have been volatile, with a notable 2025 step-down after a strong 2024. Leverage remains meaningful despite improvement, limiting flexibility if profitability stays pressured.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Revenue has grown steadily off the 2020 base (down year), with 2023 a strong rebound and 2024–2025 showing continued but slower growth. Profitability is mixed: gross margin has been consistently healthy (~54–56%), but operating and net margins have been volatile—2022 swung to a loss, 2024 recovered strongly, and 2025 saw a sharp step-down in earnings (net margin fell to ~3.4% from ~10.1% in 2024). Overall, the top-line profile is constructive, but recent margin compression and earnings variability weigh on the score.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Leverage is meaningful, though trending better: debt relative to equity improved from elevated levels in 2022–2023 to ~0.81 in 2025 as equity increased and debt declined. Returns on shareholder capital have also been volatile, swinging negative in 2022, improving in 2023–2024, and then moderating in 2025 alongside weaker earnings. The balance sheet is not distressed, but the debt load and uneven return profile reduce financial flexibility versus stronger peers.
Cash Flow
71
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength. Operating cash flow and free cash flow are solid and have remained positive across the period, with free cash flow in the ~$150M range in both 2024 and 2025. Free cash flow has consistently tracked net income well, and 2025 free cash flow held up despite the sharp drop in earnings—supporting cash resiliency. The main weakness is that operating cash flow has not consistently covered a large portion of total debt (coverage remained modest across years), which matters given the leverage profile.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.37B1.31B1.24B1.05B1.01B
Gross Profit750.48M733.03M676.25M571.25M568.04M
EBITDA176.49M272.18M192.48M7.80M179.33M
Net Income47.05M132.42M64.46M-80.58M62.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.33B2.31B2.30B2.30B1.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments40.82M24.46M24.30M28.94M20.85M
Total Debt834.94M905.78M991.25M1.05B684.66M
Total Liabilities1.29B1.34B1.47B1.55B980.58M
Stockholders Equity1.03B962.68M834.22M745.54M785.43M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow150.88M153.88M106.32M11.58M96.90M
Operating Cash Flow170.69M166.97M125.35M33.37M111.77M
Investing Cash Flow-20.96M-13.08M-20.03M-249.53M-14.87M
Financing Cash Flow-135.82M-151.00M-110.43M225.00M-101.55M

Conmed Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price44.35
Price Trends
50DMA
41.53
Negative
100DMA
42.07
Negative
200DMA
46.67
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.51
Positive
RSI
28.59
Positive
STOCH
17.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNMD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 44.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.71, above the 50-day MA of 41.53, and below the 200-day MA of 46.67, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.59 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CNMD.

Conmed Risk Analysis

Conmed disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Conmed reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Conmed Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$1.52B25.0417.36%29.47%23.24%
59
Neutral
$1.75B211.682.44%9.81%-1067.00%
56
Neutral
$1.13B26.784.68%2.02%4.69%-51.57%
56
Neutral
$1.37B-3.28-4.63%-0.23%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$693.64M-1.85-39.90%4.99%-7151.40%
47
Neutral
$1.45B-18.34-25.13%50.07%21.22%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNMD
Conmed
36.80
-21.72
-37.12%
AORT
Artivion
36.53
12.33
50.95%
IART
Integra Lifesciences
8.90
-13.81
-60.81%
UFPT
Ufp Technologies
196.98
-15.64
-7.36%
AHCO
AdaptHealth
10.08
0.07
0.70%
PRCT
PROCEPT BioRobotics
25.68
-32.19
-55.62%

Conmed Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Conmed Names Andrew Moller Interim Principal Financial Officer
Positive
Mar 13, 2026

On March 13, 2026, CONMED Corporation announced that Andrew Moller, 51, will be appointed Interim Principal Financial Officer effective March 15, 2026, following his prior roles as Vice President, Corporate Controller and Principal Accounting Officer since joining the company in early 2025. Moller, a certified public accountant with prior senior finance positions at Smith & Nephew and Stanley Black & Decker, assumes the interim finance leadership role without changes to his compensation, and the company confirmed there are no related-party transactions or family ties with the board, underscoring an emphasis on governance and continuity in its financial oversight.

The appointment highlights CONMED’s reliance on experienced internal talent to maintain financial stability and regulatory compliance during a leadership transition. Stakeholders are likely to view the move as a signal of operational continuity, given Moller’s extensive background in global finance roles and internal audit, as well as the company’s explicit disclosure of the absence of conflicts of interest.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNMD) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Conmed stock, see the CNMD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CONMED Highlights Growth Outlook at J.P. Morgan Conference
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, CONMED presented an investor deck at the J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference that outlined preliminary 2026 financial guidance and highlighted its expectation for mid‑term revenue growth of roughly 4% to 9% at the company level, underpinned by 4% to 8% growth in orthopedics and 5% to 11% in general surgery. The materials emphasized the firm’s track record of consistent revenue and adjusted EPS expansion, driven by high‑growth platforms such as the AirSeal insufflation system, Buffalo Filter smoke evacuation products, and BioBrace reinforced bioinductive implants, all positioned in large and growing markets with clinical differentiation and regulatory or legislative tailwinds, signaling management’s confidence in sustained long‑term growth and reinforcing CONMED’s competitive positioning in minimally invasive surgery and sports medicine.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNMD) stock is a Buy with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Conmed stock, see the CNMD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
CONMED Announces Planned CFO Transition and Successor Search
Neutral
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, CONMED Corporation announced that Chief Financial Officer Todd Garner will separate from his CFO role effective on the earlier of March 15, 2026, or the appointment of a new permanent CFO, as the company initiates a comprehensive external search for his successor. The company emphasized that Garner’s departure is not due to any disagreement over operations, policies, financial results, or accounting practices, and detailed a transition arrangement under which he will remain with CONMED through November 2, 2026 in a consulting capacity, continue to receive his current base salary, remain eligible for certain cash bonuses and benefits, and have his outstanding equity awards continue to vest through the end of the consulting period, underscoring a structured and orderly leadership transition for financial stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNMD) stock is a Hold with a $44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Conmed stock, see the CNMD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 14, 2026