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Conduent Inc (CNDT)
NASDAQ:CNDT

Conduent (CNDT) AI Stock Analysis

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Conduent

(NASDAQ:CNDT)

45Neutral
Conduent's overall stock score reflects its significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and cash flow issues, despite some positive aspects such as improved leverage and a potentially undervalued P/E ratio. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and while the earnings call highlighted some strategic improvements, the overall outlook remains cautious.

Conduent (CNDT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Conduent Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConduent Incorporated provides business process services with capabilities in transaction-intensive processing, analytics, and automation in the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Commercial Industries, Government Services, and Transportation. The Commercial Industries segment offers business process services and customized solutions to clients in various industries; and end-user customer experience management, transaction processing services, healthcare and human resource, and learning services. The Government Services segment provides government-centric business process services to the United States federal, state, local, and foreign governments for public assistance, program administration, transaction processing, and payment services; medical management and fiscal agent care management services; and government healthcare, payment solutions, child support, and federal services. The Transportation segment offers systems and support comprising mission-critical mobility and payment solutions to government clients. This segment also provides electronic tolling, urban congestion management, and mileage-based user solutions; transit solutions; citation and permit administration, parking enforcement, and curbside demand management solutions; and computer-aided dispatch/automatic vehicle location solutions. Conduent Incorporated was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Florham Park, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyConduent makes money primarily through providing business process outsourcing services and solutions to various industries and government entities. The company's revenue model is based on long-term contracts with clients, which often include fixed fees or transaction-based pricing structures. Key revenue streams include digital payment solutions, healthcare claims processing, customer service operations, and transportation systems management. Conduent also benefits from strategic partnerships with technology and service providers, enhancing its offerings and expanding its market reach. The company's focus on digital transformation and automation further drives its profitability by improving operational efficiencies and delivering value-added services to clients.

Conduent Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Conduent faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues, inconsistent profitability, and cash flow issues. While leverage ratios have improved, the negative free cash flow and declining revenue pose substantial risks.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Conduent's TTM gross profit margin stands at 33.7%, a healthy level, but the net profit margin is concerning at 12.7% due to past negative net incomes. Revenue has been on a declining trend, dropping from $4.16 billion in 2020 to $3.35 billion TTM, indicating challenges in maintaining sales growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins show some improvement, but overall profitability remains under pressure.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio improved to 0.90 in TTM, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. However, the ROE is positive at 50.8% TTM, but this reflects volatility rather than sustainable profitability. The equity ratio is at 32.3%, suggesting moderate financial stability, but the past high liabilities remain a concern.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The free cash flow is negative at -$112 million TTM, highlighting cash generation issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to negative operating cash flow, raising alarm on cash efficiency. The free cash flow trajectory has been erratic, and financing cash flows are heavily negative, pointing to liquidity challenges.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.36B3.72B3.86B4.14B4.16B
Gross Profit
626.00M570.00M840.00M1.00B954.00M
EBIT
2.90B105.00M164.00M96.00M25.00M
EBITDA
783.00M43.00M187.00M382.00M380.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
426.00M-296.00M-182.00M-28.00M-118.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
366.00M498.00M582.00M415.00M450.00M
Total Assets
2.60B3.16B3.57B4.04B4.26B
Total Debt
753.00M1.49B1.47B1.60B1.72B
Net Debt
387.00M995.00M890.00M1.18B1.27B
Total Liabilities
1.76B2.39B2.65B2.90B3.07B
Stockholders Equity
839.00M771.00M917.00M1.13B1.19B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-50.00M-4.00M-9.00M96.00M22.00M
Operating Cash Flow
-50.00M89.00M144.00M243.00M161.00M
Investing Cash Flow
795.00M-93.00M173.00M-142.00M-134.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-877.00M-81.00M-131.00M-132.00M-74.00M

Conduent Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.70
Price Trends
50DMA
3.59
Negative
100DMA
3.81
Negative
200DMA
3.73
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Positive
RSI
22.62
Positive
STOCH
7.16
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNDT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.05, below the 50-day MA of 3.59, and below the 200-day MA of 3.73, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.62 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.16 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CNDT.

Conduent Risk Analysis

Conduent disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Conduent reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Conduent Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GG
80
Outperform
$8.78B17.5622.15%1.22%6.46%-16.94%
79
Outperform
$7.60B38.9621.80%12.74%9.92%
ACACN
75
Outperform
$190.52B25.1127.26%1.82%4.10%9.78%
69
Neutral
$17.19B14.5429.12%1.15%7.93%541.97%
57
Neutral
$20.97B10.32-14.01%2.49%4.45%-23.43%
DXDXC
47
Neutral
$3.09B267.98-2.46%-5.65%78.20%
45
Neutral
$449.89M1.2948.63%-9.83%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNDT
Conduent
2.70
-0.57
-17.43%
ACN
Accenture
312.04
-21.56
-6.46%
EXLS
Exlservice Holdings
47.21
15.85
50.54%
G
Genpact
50.38
18.26
56.85%
LDOS
Leidos Holdings
134.94
5.91
4.58%
DXC
DXC Technology
17.05
-3.98
-18.93%

Conduent Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 12, 2025 | % Change Since: -38.50% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call showcased significant achievements such as debt reduction, improved client retention, and growth in the transportation segment. However, these were offset by revenue declines in key segments, a decrease in adjusted EBITDA, and flat new business sales. Overall, the sentiment is a mix of cautious optimism and challenges ahead.
Highlights
Debt Reduction and Share Repurchase
Through divestitures, the company repaid $639 million of term loans and repurchased 52 million shares, significantly reducing debt and strengthening the balance sheet.
Transportation Segment Growth
The transportation segment's adjusted revenues grew 5% year over year, driven by a 15-point revenue growth from the Australia transit project.
Improved Client Retention
Client retention improved, contributing positively to the net ARR activity metric, which was $92 million for the year.
Expansion in Offshore Capacity
The company added around 2,500 additional seats of capacity in offshore geographies, expected to become available in the first half of 2025.
Lowlights
Decline in Government Segment Revenue
Government segment adjusted revenue was down 10% for the year, with adjusted EBITDA down 35% year over year, due to contract terminations and pricing adjustments.
Overall Revenue Decline
Revenue for 2024 was $3.176 billion, down 4.3% from 2023, slightly below expectations due to discrete drivers.
Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA was $124 million for the full year 2024, compared to $247 million in 2023, with margins at 3.9%.
Flat New Business ACV
New business ACV for Q4 was flat year over year at $137 million, with a 20% decline for the full year compared to 2023.
Company Guidance
During the Conduent Incorporated Q4 2024 earnings call, management provided guidance on several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. For 2025, the company anticipates adjusted revenues to range between $3.1 billion and $3.25 billion, with expectations of a decrease in the first half and growth in the latter half of the year. Adjusted EBITDA margin is projected to improve to between 4.5% and 5.5%, with an exit rate around 8%. The company aims to achieve net ARR growth through enhanced retention and increased add-on sales, despite a challenging start in 2024. Notably, commercial revenue is expected to grow by 2%, while the government segment is projected to decline by 4%, and transportation to increase by 1%. Capital expenditures are forecasted at approximately $80 million, equating to 2.5% of revenue, and adjusted free cash flow is estimated to be between $0 million and $40 million. The company also plans to continue optimizing its portfolio through divestitures and efficiency initiatives, focusing on strategic assets that align with its growth objectives.

Conduent Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Conduent Reports Strong Q4 and 2024 Financial Results
Positive
Feb 12, 2025

On February 12, 2025, Conduent announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024. The company reported a revenue of $800 million for Q4 and $3.356 billion for the full year, with notable improvements in adjusted revenue and EBITDA over the last three quarters. Despite a slightly weaker top line due to timing issues, Conduent achieved a high-end EBITDA margin and reported significant gains from divestitures, including a 50% debt reduction compared to 2023. Key strategic moves included divesting several business units and leveraging proceeds to strengthen its financial position. The company also completed a $75 million share repurchase program, indicating confidence in its growth trajectory. Conduent’s industry recognition and leadership were bolstered by multiple accolades, reflecting its commitment to innovation and operational excellence.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.