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ams-OSRAM (CH:AMS)
:AMS

ams-OSRAM (AMS) AI Stock Analysis

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CH:AMS

ams-OSRAM

(AMS)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
CHF8.50
▼(-3.19% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is mainly weighed down by weak financial performance: multi-year revenue contraction, still-negative net results, and a highly leveraged balance sheet. Technicals provide partial offset with improving short-term momentum, but longer-term trend levels remain a constraint. Valuation is limited by loss-making earnings and no stated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Technology & market leadership
The firm’s leadership in high-performance sensors and photonics, backed by focused R&D, is a durable competitive advantage. Proprietary sensor and LED technologies support long-term product differentiation and integration into OEM platforms, sustaining structural demand across sectors.
Diversified end markets
Exposure across automotive, industrial, consumer and healthcare reduces single-market cyclicality. Critical automotive sensor revenue (ADAS) and established OEM partnerships provide recurring, structural demand and help stabilize revenue mix over multi-quarter horizons.
Operating profit rebound & healthy EBITDA margin
A return to operating profitability and ~21% EBITDA margin signals improved cost structure and operational leverage. Sustained margin recovery enables internal cash generation, supporting reinvestment and gradual repair of earnings quality if revenue stabilizes.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue contraction
Persistent multi-year revenue declines, including a sharp 2025 drop, indicate structural demand weakness or market share loss. Continued top-line erosion impairs operating leverage, limits scale benefits, and makes sustainable margin recovery and reinvestment more difficult.
High leverage and debt burden
A debt-heavy capital structure with D/E ~2.7x raises refinancing and interest coverage risk. High leverage constrains strategic flexibility, increases sensitivity to earnings volatility, and limits the company’s ability to fund R&D or absorb further demand shocks without external capital.
Net losses persist despite operating gains
Although operating profit returned, the company still reports negative net margins. Ongoing net losses hinder equity rebuild, restrict dividend capacity, and complicate access to equity financing, prolonging balance-sheet repair even if operations improve.

ams-OSRAM (AMS) vs. iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL)

ams-OSRAM Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Descriptionams-OSRAM AG designs, manufactures, and sells LED and optical sensor solutions in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia/Pacific. The company operates through Semiconductor and Lamps & Systems segments. The Semiconductor segment offers semiconductor-based products and solutions, such as LEDs, lasers, and optical and image sensors for automotive, consumer, and industrial end markets. The Lamps & Systems segment provides lamps and lighting systems, such as spectral sensing, ambient and smart lighting, horticulture lighting, time-of-flight, presence detection, near-infrared, human-centric lighting, outdoor and indoor lighting solutions for automotive, industrial, and medical end markets. The company was formerly known as ams AG and changed its name to ams-OSRAM AG in January 2022. ams-OSRAM AG was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Premstätten, Austria.
How the Company Makes Moneyams-OSRAM generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor and sensor products, which are used in various applications across multiple industries. Key revenue streams include automotive sensors, which are critical for advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), and industrial sensors that enhance automation and efficiency. Additionally, the company benefits from its lighting solutions, particularly in the automotive sector, where LED technology is increasingly favored. Significant partnerships with leading automotive manufacturers and electronic companies also play a crucial role in driving sales, as these collaborations enable AMS to integrate its technologies into a wide array of products, thus ensuring a steady demand for its offerings.

ams-OSRAM Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted several achievements such as improved profitability, strong sensor business growth, and significant design wins. However, challenges were noted in revenue decline, currency impact, and uncertainty in the supply chain. The overall sentiment leans towards a cautious optimism as positives slightly outweigh the negatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Profitability
Adjusted EBITDA margin improved by more than 2 percentage points to 18.8% quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year.
Strong Sensor Business Growth
Sensors and ASICs business grew by 7% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA increasing to EUR 43 million, showing structural improvement in profitability.
Market Leadership Achieved
The company is now considered the #1 in market share in the LED market according to TrendForce.
Significant Design Wins
Secured designs with a cumulated lifetime value of EUR 2.5 billion, with over 2,000 individual designs won.
Reestablish-the-Base Program Ahead of Schedule
Achieved EUR 160 million in implemented run-rate savings, 6 months ahead of schedule.
Deleveraging and Financing Progress
Extended revolving EUR 800 million credit facility and secured long-term financing until 2029.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenues year-over-year are down 5% due to cyclical inventory correction in automotive LEDs and weaker U.S. dollar.
Challenges in Automotive Lamps
Steep inventory correction in U.S. automotive lamps aftermarket contributed to revenue decline.
Currency Impact
Weaker U.S. dollar resulted in a EUR 35 million top-line reduction compared to the previous quarter.
Uncertainty in Supply Chain
Continued uncertainty in the supply chain with short-term ordering affecting automotive segment.
Industrial Automation Demand Muted
Demand in industrial automation remains muted due to inventories at customers.
Company Guidance
During the call, the company provided extensive guidance on its second-quarter results, emphasizing key financial metrics and strategic progress. Revenues for the quarter were reported at EUR 775 million, aligning with the midpoint of the guidance, and reflected a 5% year-over-year decline mainly due to cyclical inventory corrections and currency impacts. Despite lower revenues, the adjusted EBITDA margin improved by over 2 percentage points to 18.8%, showcasing an enhanced earnings profile facilitated by the Reestablish-the-Base program, which has already achieved its 2025 year-end savings target of EUR 160 million. In the semiconductor segment, revenues increased slightly by 2% quarter-over-quarter, with adjusted EBITDA surging by more than 60% to EUR 79 million, resulting in a 23% margin. The company also highlighted a strong book-to-bill ratio above 1 in the automotive sector, signaling potential stabilization post-inventory corrections. Additionally, the company secured design wins with a cumulative lifetime value of EUR 2.5 billion, maintaining its momentum in the semiconductor market. Looking forward, for the third quarter, revenue is expected to range between EUR 790 million and EUR 890 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin forecasted at 19.5% plus or minus 1.5 percentage points, despite anticipated currency headwinds. For fiscal year 2025, the company remains optimistic about surpassing the previous year's performance, driven by stronger second-half revenues, continued cost savings, and strategic growth initiatives.

ams-OSRAM Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement remains pressured by multi-year revenue declines and still-negative net margin despite a 2025 operating-profit rebound. Balance sheet risk is high with elevated and worsening leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.7x). Cash flow is improving but still thin, with only modest positive free cash flow in 2025.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Revenue has been shrinking for several years (2025: -21% after declines in 2024 and 2023), signaling weak end-demand and/or share loss. Profitability improved meaningfully versus the deep losses in 2023–2024, with 2025 returning to positive operating profit and a solid EBITDA margin (~21%), but net results remain negative (2025 net margin ~-4%). Gross margin has been relatively stable in the mid‑20% range, yet the company still struggles to translate that into consistent bottom-line profitability.
Balance Sheet
33
Negative
Leverage is elevated and has worsened: debt-to-equity moved up to ~2.7x in 2025 as equity declined, limiting financial flexibility. Total debt remains high (~2.6B) relative to the equity base (~0.9B), increasing sensitivity to earnings volatility and refinancing conditions. While assets are sizeable, the capital structure looks increasingly debt-heavy following multiple loss-making years.
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
Operating cash flow stayed positive across the period and remained positive in 2025 (~237M), but it has stepped down materially from 2023–2024 levels, reducing liquidity cushion. Free cash flow was positive but thin in 2025 (~38M) after being negative in 2023–2024, indicating improving but still fragile cash generation. The business is generating cash despite accounting losses, yet the low free-cash-flow level leaves limited room for deleveraging or large reinvestment without external funding.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.32B3.43B3.59B4.82B5.04B
Gross Profit848.00M857.00M1.02B1.26B1.44B
EBITDA693.00M462.00M471.00M855.00M938.00M
Net Income-130.00M-786.00M-1.61B-444.00M-32.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.81B6.90B7.40B8.83B9.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.56B1.12B1.18B1.11B1.34B
Total Debt2.56B2.69B2.67B3.02B3.40B
Total Liabilities5.86B5.67B5.50B6.00B6.49B
Stockholders Equity942.00M1.23B1.90B2.83B3.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow38.00M-67.00M-375.00M62.00M482.00M
Operating Cash Flow237.00M435.00M674.00M599.00M792.00M
Investing Cash Flow299.00M-424.00M-826.00M-183.00M-560.00M
Financing Cash Flow-97.00M-98.00M245.00M-726.00M-534.00M

ams-OSRAM Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.78
Price Trends
50DMA
8.12
Positive
100DMA
9.11
Negative
200DMA
9.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
57.78
Neutral
STOCH
63.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CH:AMS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.37, above the 50-day MA of 8.12, and below the 200-day MA of 9.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CH:AMS.

ams-OSRAM Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
CHF2.97B32.922.14%-0.84%-8.41%
67
Neutral
CHF3.42B46.7611.64%1.32%13.03%20.38%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
CHF1.02B-8.98-20.37%-27.51%-36.15%
54
Neutral
CHF364.62M53.785.19%-11.90%-78.34%
48
Neutral
CHF66.84M-37.46-52.82%-41.32%89.56%
44
Neutral
CHF868.06M-7.03-14.27%-5.48%79.75%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CH:AMS
ams-OSRAM
8.61
-1.38
-13.78%
CH:IFCN
INFICON Holding AG
122.20
7.76
6.78%
CH:HUBN
HUBER+SUHNER AG
185.60
108.80
141.66%
CH:KUD
Kudelski SA
1.17
-0.35
-22.85%
CH:LEHN
LEM Holding SA
312.00
-572.00
-64.71%
CH:UBXN
u-blox Holding AG
135.00
56.00
70.89%

ams-OSRAM Corporate Events

ams-OSRAM boosts cash flow, cuts debt and launches EUR 200 million cost program as it pivots to Digital Photonics
Feb 10, 2026

ams-OSRAM reported 2025 revenue of EUR 3.32 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18.3%, with its core semiconductor business growing 7% at constant exchange rates and free cash flow reaching EUR 144 million. The company exceeded the midpoint of Q4 guidance, improved profitability despite currency headwinds and portfolio pruning, and booked more than EUR 5 billion in semiconductor design wins.

The group advanced its balance sheet repair with a EUR 200 million partial repurchase of its 2027 convertible bond and the EUR 570 million sale of its non-optical sensor business to Infineon, cutting pro-forma leverage to 2.5 times. It also launched the ‘Simplify’ transformation and cost savings program targeting an additional EUR 200 million in annual savings by 2028 and affecting about 2,000 jobs, as it refocuses on Digital Photonics amid expectations for lower 2026 revenue and margin pressure from divestment-related one-offs and cost factors.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:AMS) stock is a Buy with a CHF13.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ams-OSRAM stock, see the CH:AMS Stock Forecast page.

Ams-OSRAM Beats Q4 Targets, Strengthens Balance Sheet and Unveils EUR 200m ‘Simplify’ Program
Feb 10, 2026

Ams-OSRAM reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of EUR 874 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18.4%, exceeding the midpoint of guidance and generating EUR 144 million in comparable free cash flow. The company achieved about 8% underlying growth in its core semiconductor business at constant exchange rates, improved profitability, and cut net debt to EUR 1,078 million, while its earlier ‘Re-establish the Base’ savings program reached EUR 220 million in annual savings a year ahead of schedule.

For full-year 2025, revenue reached EUR 3.323 billion with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18.3%, supported by more than EUR 5 billion in semiconductor design wins and 7% growth in the core semiconductor portfolio. Strategically, ams-OSRAM is sharpening its focus on Digital Photonics with divestments, a EUR 200 million partial buyback of its 2027 convertible bond, a sale of its non-optical sensor business to Infineon, and the launch of a new ‘Simplify’ transformation program targeting an additional EUR 200 million in annual savings by 2028 and impacting around 2,000 jobs.

The transactions and savings measures are expected to reduce pro-forma leverage to 2.5 times and support new 2030 financial targets, including mid to high single-digit revenue CAGR and at least 25% adjusted EBITDA margin in semiconductors, plus group free cash flow above EUR 200 million and leverage below 2. For 2026, management flags a moderate revenue decline and pressure on adjusted EBITDA from divestment-related one-offs, residual overheads, and higher precious metal costs, indicating a transitional year as the company reshapes its portfolio and cost base.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:AMS) stock is a Buy with a CHF13.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ams-OSRAM stock, see the CH:AMS Stock Forecast page.

ams OSRAM Buys Back EUR 199.9 Million of 2027 Convertible Bonds at 96% of Nominal
Jan 19, 2026

ams OSRAM has completed a partial repurchase of its outstanding EUR 760 million convertible bonds due 2027, accepting 1,999 bonds with a total nominal value of EUR 199.9 million in a Dutch auction at 96% of nominal value. Settlement is expected on 21 January 2026, after which EUR 560.1 million in nominal value of the bonds will remain outstanding and continue to trade on the Open Market of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, reflecting a targeted liability management move that modestly reduces the company’s future debt burden while maintaining access to capital markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:AMS) stock is a Hold with a CHF8.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ams-OSRAM stock, see the CH:AMS Stock Forecast page.

ams OSRAM in Advanced Talks to Sell Assets Under Deleveraging Plan
Jan 12, 2026

ams OSRAM has confirmed it is in advanced discussions to sell selected business activities as part of its ongoing deleveraging programme, launched in April 2025 to accelerate debt reduction. The prospective divestments, aimed at raising well over €500 million, are intended to strengthen the balance sheet while safeguarding the long-term future of the company’s main site in Premstätten, Austria; however, management cautioned that there is currently no assurance on the final outcome of the talks, leaving investors and other stakeholders awaiting further details on which assets may be sold and how the portfolio reshaping will affect the group’s future strategic focus.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:AMS) stock is a Hold with a CHF10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ams-OSRAM stock, see the CH:AMS Stock Forecast page.

ams OSRAM in advanced talks to sell units under accelerated deleveraging plan
Jan 12, 2026

ams OSRAM has confirmed that it is in advanced talks to sell selected business activities as part of its accelerated deleveraging strategy, responding to market rumours about potential divestments. The contemplated transactions are intended to contribute to a divestment programme targeting proceeds significantly above €500 million, while the company emphasizes that the long-term future of its main site in Premstätten, Austria, will be secured; however, management cautions that there is currently no assurance on the final outcome or structure of the negotiations, leaving investors and other stakeholders awaiting further details on the scope and financial impact of the planned sales.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:AMS) stock is a Hold with a CHF10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ams-OSRAM stock, see the CH:AMS Stock Forecast page.

ams OSRAM Announces Partial Repurchase Offer for Convertible Bonds
Dec 18, 2025

ams OSRAM has announced a partial repurchase offer for up to 300 million euros of outstanding convertible bonds maturing in 2027, allowing bondholders to sell through a Dutch Auction process at between 94% and 96% of their nominal value. This move could enhance financial flexibility and improve the company’s balance sheet position while potentially impacting the convertible bond market and investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:AMS) stock is a Hold with a CHF7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ams-OSRAM stock, see the CH:AMS Stock Forecast page.

ams-OSRAM Reports Strong Q3 Performance and Strategic Progress
Nov 18, 2025

ams-OSRAM AG reported a strong free cash flow of 43 million EUR in the third quarter, with a 9% growth in its semiconductor core business, indicating the success of its strategic direction. The company is on track with its debt reduction plan and continues to invest in advanced technology platforms, which could enhance its market position and provide significant benefits to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:AMS) stock is a Hold with a CHF10.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ams-OSRAM stock, see the CH:AMS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026