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ams-OSRAM (CH:AMS)
:AMS
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ams-OSRAM (AMS) AI Stock Analysis

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CH:AMS

ams-OSRAM

(OTC:AMS)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
CHF11.00
▲(3.00% Upside)
The overall stock score of 52 reflects a challenging financial performance with declining revenue and high leverage, which is partially offset by positive sentiment from the latest earnings call. Technical analysis provides mixed signals, and valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation concerns. The company's strategic initiatives and improved profitability are positive, but financial stability remains a concern.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Q4 results were above consensus with a beat on adjusted EBITDA.
Financial Performance
Growth is expected in the second half of the year with positive free cash flow over €100m.
Financial Strategy
Disposals are expected to raise the margin and cash flow profile into 2025.
Negative Factors
Demand Environment
The ongoing weak demand environment in auto and industrial applications negatively impacts Ams-Osram's semiconductor business.
Earnings Forecast
Reduced earnings forecasts have led to a decrease in the price target from CHF 15.00 to CHF 9.50.
Inventory Management
Inventory corrections in the industrial business are likely to continue, impacting future performance.

ams-OSRAM (AMS) vs. iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL)

ams-OSRAM Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Descriptionams-OSRAM (AMS) is a global leader in optical solutions, specializing in advanced sensor technology, lighting solutions, and power management. The company operates primarily in the semiconductor industry and serves various sectors, including automotive, consumer electronics, industrial applications, and healthcare. AMS is renowned for its innovative products such as light sensors, camera modules, and high-performance LED components, which enhance the functionality and performance of electronic devices.
How the Company Makes Moneyams-OSRAM generates revenue through the sale of its semiconductor products, which include sensors, LED modules, and other electronic components. The company's revenue model is primarily based on direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and distributors, with a focus on high-margin products in growing markets. Key revenue streams include automotive lighting solutions, consumer electronics sensors, and industrial applications, with significant contributions from partnerships with major technology firms and car manufacturers. Additionally, AMS benefits from recurring revenue through long-term contracts and collaborations, enhancing its financial stability and growth prospects.

ams-OSRAM Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -5.82%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment overall, with several significant achievements in profitability, strategic divestments, and new business wins, despite some notable challenges in revenue decline, currency impacts, and market-specific issues.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Profitability
Adjusted EBITDA margin improved by more than 2 percentage points to 18.8% year-over-year, despite revenue being down.
Successful New Business Wins
Secured EUR 2.5 billion of future semiconductor business in the first half of the year, maintaining a similar run rate as the past two years.
Reestablish-the-Base Program Progress
Achieved EUR 160 million in run rate savings, 6 months ahead of the 2025 target.
Strategic Divestment
Sold Entertainment & Industrial Lamps business to Ushio for EUR 114 million, with further asset disposals planned to generate over EUR 500 million.
High Yield Bond Market Success
Successfully tapped into the high yield bond market, raising EUR 500 million, indicating strong market trust.
Recognition in LED Market
Achieved a leading position in the global LED market, tying with Nichia as share #1.
New Product Development
Developed new emergency lights for the Spanish market, with potential for expansion across Europe.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Year-over-year revenue decreased by 5%, impacted by cyclical inventory corrections and currency effects.
Challenges with Currency Fluctuations
The weaker U.S. dollar resulted in a EUR 35 million reduction in revenue for the quarter.
Inventory Issues in Automotive Lamps
Faced steep inventory corrections in the automotive lamps aftermarket, particularly in the U.S.
Industrial Market Challenges
Demand in industrial automation remains muted due to customer overstocking, delaying orders.
Softness in Chinese Market
China market was muted with some softness in demand quarter-on-quarter.
Company Guidance
During the call, the company provided extensive guidance and metrics on their financial performance and strategic initiatives. Revenues for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025 were reported at EUR 775 million, aligning with the midpoint of their guidance, while profitability improved with an adjusted EBITDA margin rising by more than 2 percentage points to 18.8%. The Reestablish-the-Base savings program has already achieved the 2025 year-end target, contributing approximately EUR 160 million in run rate savings by the end of June. The semiconductor business experienced a 2% quarter-over-quarter revenue increase, with an adjusted EBITDA jumping by over 60% to EUR 79 million, representing a 23% margin. The Sensors and ASICs segment showed a 7% year-over-year growth, driven by new sensor products, resulting in an 18% adjusted EBITDA margin. The company also highlighted a successful divestment of the Entertainment & Industrial Lamps business for EUR 114 million and reported a robust liquidity position of EUR 1.6 billion, bolstered by recent bond market activity. Looking ahead, they expect third-quarter revenues between EUR 790 million to EUR 890 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 19.5% plus or minus 1.5 percentage points, despite headwinds from a weaker U.S. dollar, which is anticipated to impact revenues by a middle double-digit million figure.

ams-OSRAM Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ams-OSRAM faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues, persistent net losses, and a high leverage. However, there are some positive signs with improvements in cash flow and efforts toward deleveraging.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
The income statement reveals a challenging environment for ams-OSRAM, with declining revenue and persistent net losses. The TTM gross profit margin stands at 24.92%, which is relatively stable compared to prior periods, but the company is struggling with negative net profit margins, currently at -4.61% TTM. Revenue growth is negative, with a decrease of approximately 6.26% compared to the previous year. Additionally, EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown signs of improvement but remain a concern due to ongoing losses.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet highlights a high debt burden with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.89 TTM, indicating significant leverage. However, the company's equity ratio is relatively low at 17.62% TTM, suggesting a modest level of financial stability. Return on Equity (ROE) is negative, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. Despite these concerns, the reduction in total liabilities year-over-year signals some efforts toward deleveraging.
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows volatility, with the TTM free cash flow remaining negative at -44 million. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to ongoing losses, while the free cash flow to net income ratio demonstrates the company's struggle to convert earnings into cash. The free cash flow growth rate is positive compared to the previous period, indicating some improvement in cash generation, although capital expenditures remain significant.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.36B3.43B3.59B4.82B5.04B3.50B
Gross Profit820.00M857.00M1.02B1.26B1.44B1.03B
EBITDA652.00M462.00M471.00M855.00M938.00M613.00M
Net Income-114.00M-786.00M-1.61B-444.00M-32.00M-90.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.04B6.90B7.40B8.83B9.64B9.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments602.00M1.12B1.18B1.11B1.34B1.62B
Total Debt2.08B2.69B2.67B3.02B3.40B3.59B
Total Liabilities5.04B5.67B5.50B6.00B6.49B6.94B
Stockholders Equity994.00M1.23B1.90B2.83B3.14B3.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow62.00M-67.00M-375.00M62.00M482.00M525.00M
Operating Cash Flow360.00M435.00M674.00M599.00M792.00M702.00M
Investing Cash Flow-213.00M-424.00M-826.00M-183.00M-560.00M-1.49B
Financing Cash Flow-516.00M-98.00M245.00M-726.00M-534.00M1.95B

ams-OSRAM Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.68
Price Trends
50DMA
10.28
Positive
100DMA
8.83
Positive
200DMA
8.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
47.52
Neutral
STOCH
16.57
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CH:AMS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.37, above the 50-day MA of 10.28, and above the 200-day MA of 8.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.57 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CH:AMS.

ams-OSRAM Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
CHF2.06B28.8611.32%1.70%5.03%11.32%
75
Outperform
CHF2.39B26.47
2.15%-0.84%-8.41%
62
Neutral
CHF796.14M-20.37%1.09%-27.51%-36.15%
61
Neutral
$36.04B6.25-9.40%2.02%7.67%-3.03%
60
Neutral
CHF81.70M8.51-52.12%-49.83%
52
Neutral
$1.06B-9.68%-5.11%88.12%
45
Neutral
$679.10M80.915.60%5.57%-24.36%-87.16%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CH:AMS
ams-OSRAM
10.68
0.68
6.76%
CH:IFCN
INFICON Holding AG
97.60
-18.98
-16.28%
CH:KUD
Kudelski SA
1.46
-0.18
-11.28%
CH:HUBN
HUBER+SUHNER AG
111.60
39.08
53.89%
CH:LEHN
LEM Holding SA
596.00
-574.00
-49.06%
CH:UBXN
u-blox Holding AG
107.40
29.00
36.99%

ams-OSRAM Corporate Events

ams OSRAM Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results Amid Debt Reduction Efforts
Jul 31, 2025

ams OSRAM reported a solid performance in Q2 2025, achieving an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18.8% and revenue of €775 million, despite facing challenges such as negative currency effects. The company confirmed its 2025 free cash flow outlook of over €100 million and took initial steps in its accelerated debt reduction plan, including the sale of its Entertainment & Industrial Lamps business for €114 million. The company extended its revolving credit facility and issued private placement bonds to manage its debt effectively. These strategic moves are aimed at strengthening its financial position and reducing interest expenses, with expectations of a stronger second half of the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:AMS) stock is a Hold with a CHF15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ams-OSRAM stock, see the CH:AMS Stock Forecast page.

ams OSRAM Sells Lamp Business to Ushio Inc. for EUR 114 Million
Jul 29, 2025

ams OSRAM has announced the sale of its Entertainment and Industry Lamps business to Ushio Inc. for EUR 114 million as part of its debt reduction plan. This transaction marks the first step in a broader strategy to streamline operations and focus on core markets, with the aim of achieving proceeds significantly over EUR 500 million. The sale is expected to close by the first quarter of 2026, transferring approximately 500 employees to Ushio Inc., a global leader in optical technologies.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:AMS) stock is a Hold with a CHF25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ams-OSRAM stock, see the CH:AMS Stock Forecast page.

ams OSRAM Issues €500M Bonds for Strategic Debt Management and Reports Strong Q2 Results
Jul 23, 2025

ams OSRAM has successfully placed €500 million in bonds maturing in 2029 to pre-finance outstanding OSRAM shares and repurchase €150 million of the 2027 convertible bond. This strategic move aims to manage debt effectively and prepare for potential exercises of put options by OSRAM minority shareholders. The company also reported solid preliminary Q2 results with revenue of €775 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18.8%. Looking ahead, ams OSRAM expects improved profitability and positive free cash flow for the fiscal year 2025, indicating a strong financial position and strategic focus on efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:AMS) stock is a Hold with a CHF25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ams-OSRAM stock, see the CH:AMS Stock Forecast page.

ams-OSRAM AG Announces 2025 Ordinary General Meeting
May 28, 2025

ams-OSRAM AG has announced the convening of its Ordinary General Meeting for June 26, 2025, where shareholders will discuss and vote on several key resolutions, including financial statements, remuneration policies, and the introduction of new authorized capital. This meeting is significant as it will address the company’s strategic financial decisions and governance, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:AMS) stock is a Hold with a CHF25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ams-OSRAM stock, see the CH:AMS Stock Forecast page.

ams OSRAM Announces 2025 General Meeting Proposals
May 27, 2025

ams OSRAM has announced the proposals for its 2025 General Meeting, including a resolution on a 10% Authorized Capital 2025 and a share buyback authorization. These proposals aim to enhance the company’s capital management and shareholder value, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:AMS) stock is a Hold with a CHF25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ams-OSRAM stock, see the CH:AMS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2025