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CERT Stock Chart & Stats
$7.51
$0.40(5.63%)
At close: 4:00 PM EDT
$7.51
$0.40(5.63%)
Day’s Range― - ―
52-Week Range$4.45 - $13.88
Previous CloseN/A
Volume5.62M
Average Volume (3M)4.23M
Market Cap
$1.24B
Enterprise Value$1.13K
Total Cash (Recent Filing)$184.14M
Total Debt (Recent Filing)$291.84M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta1.70
Next Earnings
Nov 11, 2026EPS Estimate
0.09Next Dividend Ex-DateN/A
Dividend YieldN/A
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.44
Shares Outstanding152,538,770
10 Day Avg. Volume2,918,906
30 Day Avg. Volume4,230,726
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio10.16
Price to Book (P/B)1.33
Price to Sales (P/S)3.37
P/FCF Ratio20.25
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$8.08Price Target Upside7.63% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering8
EPS Forecast (FY)0.34
Revenue Forecast (FY)$380.87M
Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Conservative Balance Sheet And Low LeverageCertara’s conservative capital structure — low debt relative to equity and a large equity base — provides durable financial flexibility. That balance-sheet strength supports R&D investment, targeted M&A, buybacks and the ability to absorb cyclical weak patches in revenue without forcing dilutive financing or drastic cuts to core product development.
Consistent Positive Free Cash Flow GenerationRecurring positive operating and free cash flow (~$68M TTM) is a durable fundamental advantage: it funds product development, supports buybacks and working capital, and reduces dependency on external financing despite GAAP losses. Even with recent FCF deceleration, sustained cash conversion underpins strategic optionality and resilience.
Shift To Higher-margin, Recurring Software And AI-driven Product LeadershipA rising software mix (now ~53%), expanding software bookings and deepening AI integration strengthen recurring revenue and gross-margin durability. AI-assisted development boosts engineering throughput and product velocity, improving competitive differentiation and customer lock-in across drug-modeling workflows—a structural tailwind for margin expansion over time.
Bears Say
Revenue Growth Weakness And Recent ContractionA recent TTM revenue decline and modest full-year guidance signal limited top-line momentum, constraining structural growth prospects. With growth under pressure, margin improvement and shareholder returns become more dependent on cost reductions and successful software conversion rather than broad market expansion, raising execution sensitivity over the next several quarters.
Services Business Softness And Go-to-market Execution RiskServices are exhibiting durable demand challenges: declining revenue and bookings indicate weaker, less predictable project flows and client uptake. Because services are labor intensive and less recurring, ongoing go-to-market reorganization and conversion risk may keep revenue lumpy and limit sustainable margin recovery until sales execution and commercialization changes prove effective.
Divestiture Reduced Scale And Created Stranded CostsThe sale removed a meaningful revenue and EBITDA tranche while leaving shared infrastructure obligations, producing stranded costs and a one-time margin headwind. That structural hit narrows near-term profitability levers and increases pressure on operational savings and software growth to offset lost scale and restore prior margin profiles.
CERT FAQ
What was Certara, Inc.’s price range in the past 12 months?
Certara, Inc. lowest stock price was $4.45 and its highest was $13.88 in the past 12 months.
What is Certara, Inc.’s market cap?
Certara, Inc.’s market cap is $1.24B.
When is Certara, Inc.’s upcoming earnings report date?
Certara, Inc.’s upcoming earnings report date is Nov 11, 2026 which is in 88 days.
How were Certara, Inc.’s earnings last quarter?
Certara, Inc. released its earnings results on Aug 04, 2026. The company reported $0.08 earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.089 by -$0.009.
Is Certara, Inc. overvalued?
According to Wall Street analysts Certara, Inc.’s price is currently Undervalued.
Does Certara, Inc. pay dividends?
Certara, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.
What is Certara, Inc.’s EPS estimate?
Certara, Inc.’s EPS estimate is 0.09.
How many shares outstanding does Certara, Inc. have?
Certara, Inc. has 152,538,770 shares outstanding.
What happened to Certara, Inc.’s price movement after its last earnings report?
Certara, Inc. reported an EPS of $0.08 in its last earnings report, missing expectations of $0.089. Following the earnings report the stock price went down -4.645%.
Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Certara, Inc.?
Currently, no hedge funds are holding shares in CERT
What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology
Certara Stock Smart Score
Neutral
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Analyst Consensus
Hold
Average Price Target:
$8.08 (7.63% Upside)
$8.08 (7.63% Upside)
Blogger Sentiment
Bullish
CERT Sentiment 100%
Sector Average ―
Sector Average ―
Hedge Fund Trend
Increased
By 133.2K Shares
Last Quarter.
Last Quarter.
Crowd Wisdom
Very Positive
Last 7 Days ▲ 2.1%
Last 30 Days ▲ 2.0%
Last 30 Days ▲ 2.0%
Technicals
SMA
Negative
20 days / 200 days
Momentum
-31.60%
12-Months-Change
Fundamentals
Return on Equity
―
Trailing 12-Months
Asset Growth
-9.31%
Trailing 12-Months
Company Description
Certara, Inc.
Certara, Inc. provides advanced software solutions and technology-driven services, specializing in biosimulation throughout the entire drug development lifecycle. From initial drug discovery and preclinical research to clinical trials, regulatory submissions, and market entry, the company's core mission is to accelerate the delivery of new medicines to patients by transforming these processes with its innovative biosimulation software and expertise. Its extensive portfolio of technology-enabled services includes mechanistic and empirical biosimulation, strategic guidance for drug development and regulatory affairs, clinical pharmacology, model-based meta-analysis, specialized regulatory writing and medical communications, regulatory operations support, and market access consultation. Furthermore, Certara offers a robust suite of software platforms covering mechanistic and empirical PK/PD biosimulation, data standardization and compliance, scientific informatics, clinical outcomes databases for biosimulation, authoring and management of regulatory submissions, and market access communication. The company's clientele primarily comprises biopharmaceutical firms, academic institutions, and governmental organizations. Established in 2008 and headquartered in Princeton, New Jersey, Certara maintains a significant global presence, with operations spanning numerous countries including the United States, Canada, Spain, Luxembourg, Portugal, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, the Netherlands, Denmark, Switzerland, Italy, Poland, Japan, the Philippines, India, Australia, and China.
CERT Company Deck
CERT Earnings Call
Q2 2026
0:00 / 0:00
Earnings Call Sentiment|Neutral
The call presented a balanced picture: clear, measurable momentum in software, AI integration and product/scientific leadership (strong bookings growth in software, pipeline expansion, cloud wins, regulatory engagement and scientific publications), alongside near-term financial and operational headwinds (service revenue declines, modest overall revenue growth, margin impact from divestiture-related stranded costs, and a GAAP net loss). Management has taken decisive operational actions (RIF, product reprioritization, new CCO, $13M run-rate savings) and is bullish on mid-term growth, but execution risk remains in converting a larger services pipeline and realizing cost savings. On balance the results are cautiously constructive but not yet a decisive turnaround in overall financial performance.View all CERT earnings summariesCERT Stock 12 Month Forecast
All Analysts
Top Analysts
Average Price Target
$8.08
▲(7.63% Upside)
Technical Analysis
1 Day
3 Days
1 Week
1 Month
Omnicell
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Health Catalyst
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Schrodinger
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SOPHiA GENETICS
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Definitive Healthcare Corp
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Ownership Overview
2.57% Insiders
18.04% Mutual Funds
11.26% Other Institutional Investors
47.29% Public Companies and
Individual Investors









