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Barings BDC (BBDC)
NYSE:BBDC

Barings BDC (BBDC) AI Stock Analysis

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Barings BDC

(NYSE:BBDC)

73Outperform
Barings BDC possesses a solid financial foundation with strong revenue growth and profitability. The valuation is attractive due to its low P/E ratio and high dividend yield, offering income potential. However, technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, and past leverage levels require caution. Despite regulatory uncertainties, the company maintains a positive outlook, bolstered by strategic dividends and portfolio stability.

Barings BDC (BBDC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Barings BDC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBarings BDC, Inc. (NYSE: BBDC) is a publicly traded, externally managed investment company that has elected to be treated as a business development company under the Investment Company Act of 1940. It seeks to invest primarily in senior secured loans, first lien debt, unitranche, second lien debt, subordinated debt, equity co-investments and senior secured private debt investments in private middle-market companies that operate across a wide range of industries. It specializes in mezzanine, leveraged buyouts, management buyouts, ESOPs, change of control transactions, acquisition financings, growth financing, and recapitalizations in lower middle market, mature, and later stage companies. It invests in manufacturing and distribution; business services and technology; transportation and logistics; consumer product and services. It invests in United States. It invests in companies with EBITDA of $10 million to $75 million, typically in private equity sponsor backed. Barings BDC, Inc. Barings BDC, Inc. was incorporated on October 10, 2006 and is based in Charlotte, North Carolina with an additional office in Raleigh, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyBarings BDC generates revenue primarily through interest income from its portfolio of debt investments. The company invests in middle-market businesses, providing them with necessary capital while earning interest on the loans extended. Additionally, BBDC may earn income from equity investments through dividends or capital gains. The company's earnings are also influenced by its ability to efficiently manage its portfolio and potentially benefit from market conditions that affect loan demand and interest rates. Barings BDC relies on its external manager, Barings LLC, for investment advisory services, leveraging the manager's expertise and resources to make informed investment decisions.

Barings BDC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Barings BDC demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet reflects stability, though past leverage levels warrant caution. Improved cash flow metrics highlight better cash management, but historical volatility requires ongoing attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Barings BDC shows a strong revenue base with substantial growth in total revenue over the years. The net profit margin has improved significantly, indicating strong profitability. However, fluctuations in EBIT suggest some volatility in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity base, with a favorable equity ratio suggesting stability. Despite a reduction in total debt, high leverage in previous years suggests potential risk. The return on equity remains healthy, supporting shareholder value creation.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The operating cash flow has improved over the years, but historical negative cash flows indicate past cash management challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting effective cash conversion, but historical volatility poses a concern.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
211.26M289.20M219.13M135.34M71.03M
Gross Profit
211.26M289.20M219.13M135.34M71.03M
EBIT
59.75M214.52M173.13M91.98M50.87M
EBITDA
0.00214.52M173.13M91.98M50.87M
Net Income Common Stockholders
110.29M128.00M4.68M77.69M8.18M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
-10.42M57.19M139.41M84.25M89.00M
Total Assets
2.70B2.68B2.71B2.16B1.68B
Total Debt
0.001.44B1.45B1.37B944.00M
Net Debt
-77.85M1.37B1.31B1.29B855.00M
Total Liabilities
1.51B1.48B1.52B1.42B959.23M
Stockholders Equity
1.19B1.20B1.19B741.93M717.80M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
122.16M76.94M86.27M-396.55M-218.13M
Operating Cash Flow
122.16M76.94M86.27M-396.55M-218.13M
Investing Cash Flow
0.000.00-120.88M-451.63B-262.35B
Financing Cash Flow
-101.35M-145.83M-31.11M388.32M288.63M

Barings BDC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.54
Price Trends
50DMA
9.74
Negative
100DMA
9.54
Positive
200DMA
9.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
44.82
Neutral
STOCH
76.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BBDC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.57, below the 50-day MA of 9.74, and above the 200-day MA of 9.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BBDC.

Barings BDC Risk Analysis

Barings BDC disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Barings BDC reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Barings BDC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$15.13B9.0612.40%8.68%19.95%-10.57%
74
Outperform
$5.02B9.6819.26%5.24%51.80%12.05%
73
Outperform
$1.01B9.229.24%10.82%3.82%-12.74%
72
Outperform
$1.42B22.093.96%14.86%-28.04%-69.52%
63
Neutral
$14.20B10.119.01%4.34%16.34%-11.27%
58
Neutral
$679.77M-8.57%17.02%8.24%-207.60%
FSFSK
58
Neutral
$5.88B10.058.69%13.34%-16.13%-15.88%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BBDC
Barings BDC
9.54
1.26
15.22%
MAIN
Main Street Capital
56.56
13.11
30.17%
ARCC
Ares Capital
22.16
3.42
18.25%
TCPC
BlackRock TCP Capital
8.01
-0.64
-7.40%
FSK
FS KKR Capital
20.95
4.33
26.05%
GSBD
Goldman Sachs BDC
11.63
-1.43
-10.95%

Barings BDC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 20, 2025 | % Change Since: -6.29% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with strong shareholder returns, portfolio stability, and high credit quality, despite regulatory uncertainties and a slight decrease in NAV. The positive aspects of the portfolio's performance and strategic dividend payouts outweigh the concerns about market uncertainty.
Highlights
Strong Shareholder Returns
Total shareholder return during 2024 exceeded 24%, placing BBDC in the top quartile among publicly traded peers.
Stability and Growth in Portfolio
Net asset value per share remained stable at $11.29, with net investment income out-earning the dividend per share.
High Credit Quality
The portfolio's non-accrual rate decreased to 0.3% on a fair value basis, one of the lowest in the industry.
High Deployment Activity
BBDC deployed $298 million of capital during the quarter, reflecting one of the most active deployment quarters in recent history.
Special Dividend Declaration
The board declared a $0.15 supplemental dividend to be paid in three quarterly installments, equating to an 11% yield based on December's net asset value.
Lowlights
Regulatory and Trade Uncertainty
Uncertainty, particularly regulatory and trade uncertainties, have given private markets a pause, impacting new buyout opportunities.
Decrease in NAV
NAV per share decreased by 0.2% over the prior quarter, reflecting net realized losses on the portfolio and FX.
Uncertainty in M&A Activity
There is a cautious outlook for M&A activity in 2025, with a reduction in anticipated sales processes due to uncertainty.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter of 2024, Barings BDC, Inc. reported robust financial performance, highlighted by a net investment income of $0.28 per share, which outpaced the declared dividend of $0.26 per share. The net asset value per share remained stable at $11.29, showcasing the portfolio's resilience. The company achieved a total shareholder return exceeding 24% for the year, ranking in the top quartile among its peers. Barings BDC's portfolio demonstrated strong credit performance, with non-accruals at a low 0.3% on a fair value basis. The firm deployed $298 million in capital, leading to net sales and deployment of $76 million. The weighted average yield stood at 10.4%, and the leverage ratio was 1.16 times, within their target range. The board declared a supplemental dividend of $0.15 per share, to be paid in three installments in 2025, alongside the regular dividend, bringing the total yield to 11% based on December's NAV. Despite a positive economic outlook, Barings BDC remains cautious due to regulatory and trade uncertainties affecting private markets.

Barings BDC Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Barings BDC Reports Record Income and Dividend Announcement
Positive
Feb 20, 2025

On February 20, 2025, Barings BDC, Inc. released their financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, reporting a record net investment income and a decrease in net asset value per share from $11.32 to $11.29 due to realized losses. The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.26 per share and special dividends totaling $0.15 per share, citing a strong performance in 2024 with reduced non-accrual rates and significant investments across various industries, highlighting their strategic focus and positive momentum heading into 2025.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.