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Widgie Nickel Limited (AU:WIN)
ASX:WIN
Australian Market

Widgie Nickel Limited (WIN) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:WIN

Widgie Nickel Limited

(Sydney:WIN)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.02
▼(-47.50% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance (pre-revenue, widening losses, ongoing cash burn and equity erosion). Technicals add further downside pressure with a clear downtrend and negative momentum. Valuation provides limited support because losses make P/E not meaningful and there is no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Low leverage
Sustained very low leverage materially reduces near-term solvency risk and preserves strategic flexibility. For a development-stage miner, limited debt lowers mandatory cash outflows, enabling management to prioritise exploration and project studies without immediate debt servicing pressure.
Improving cash burn
Year-on-year reduction in cash burn indicates improving cost control and operational discipline. A narrower cash deficit extends runway from existing resources and reduces near-term financing frequency, making the project's path to development more manageable if the trend continues.
Focused nickel development pipeline
A clear, concentrated asset base focused on the Widgie Nickel Project provides strategic clarity and operational focus. Dedicated tenements and structured development activities (resource definition and approvals) support a coherent path toward eventual production and revenue generation if milestones are met.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue operations
No operating revenue creates intrinsic execution and funding risk: project outcomes must convert to sales before self-sustaining cash flows exist. Until commercial production, the company remains dependent on external capital and subject to milestone delivery risk and financing cycles.
Widening net losses
A sharp increase in net losses signals either elevated project spend or impairments and rapidly depletes shareholders' capital. Persistent and growing losses weaken stakeholder confidence and increase the likelihood of dilutive funding or asset write-downs before revenues materialise.
Equity erosion
Material decline in equity reduces the balance-sheet buffer available for setbacks, limiting the company’s ability to absorb further losses or secure non-dilutive financing. A thinner equity cushion increases insolvency risk and can force more frequent, dilutive capital raises.

Widgie Nickel Limited (WIN) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Widgie Nickel Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWidgie Nickel Limited operates as a mineral exploration and development company in Australia. The company explores for nickel. It owns the Mt Edwards nickel project that's covers an area of 240 square kilometers located in Western Australia. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes Moneynull

Widgie Nickel Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile is weak: the company is pre-revenue with persistent losses, and net loss widened sharply in the latest year. Cash flow remains negative despite improved burn, implying ongoing funding needs. The main offset is very low leverage, but equity has eroded materially, reducing the balance-sheet cushion.
Income Statement
8
Very Negative
The company remains pre-revenue (revenue is 0 across the period), with persistent operating losses and negative gross profit. Losses widened materially in the latest year (net loss of ~-33.8M in 2025 vs ~-2.3M in 2024), indicating a sharp deterioration in profitability and cost control. With no demonstrated revenue base yet, earnings visibility is weak despite some year-to-year variability in operating losses.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Leverage is very low, with debt-to-equity staying below ~1% in recent years, which limits solvency risk. However, equity has fallen sharply (from ~41.5M in 2024 to ~14.1M in 2025) alongside ongoing losses, and returns on equity are deeply negative in the latest year, signaling rapid capital erosion. Overall, the balance sheet is not debt-stressed, but the shrinking equity cushion is a key risk.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation is consistently negative, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both below zero each year shown, reflecting ongoing cash burn. While cash burn improved versus 2024 (operating cash flow about -3.9M in 2025 vs -10.6M in 2024; free cash flow about -5.1M vs -11.0M), the business still requires external funding to sustain operations. Cash flow quality remains weak given the lack of underlying revenue and continued negative operating cash flow.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue-21.50K0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-890.73K-1.73M-490.19K-387.99K-92.31K0.00
EBITDA-3.75M-3.91M-1.80M-1.65M-2.63M-27.26K
Net Income-3.27M-33.77M-2.30M-2.06M-2.04M-27.26K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.77M17.03M42.78M46.96M36.77M2.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.93M2.34M1.69M11.84M16.44M166.81K
Total Debt87.07K130.71K113.07K278.37K358.37K2.21M
Total Liabilities3.69M2.94M1.24M4.05M3.53M2.25M
Stockholders Equity20.08M14.09M41.54M42.91M33.24M-60.80K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.79M-5.07M-11.00M-15.89M-7.42M-519.10K
Operating Cash Flow-5.24M-3.90M-10.62M-14.74M-6.76M-27.26K
Investing Cash Flow1.01M940.55K-102.07K-955.93K-616.14K-491.83K
Financing Cash Flow7.27M3.61M572.52K11.29M23.81M597.39K

Widgie Nickel Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.04
Price Trends
50DMA
0.03
Negative
100DMA
0.03
Negative
200DMA
0.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
35.57
Neutral
STOCH
-33.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:WIN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.03, above the 50-day MA of 0.03, and above the 200-day MA of 0.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -33.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:WIN.

Widgie Nickel Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
47
Neutral
AU$12.53M-2.58-11.39%-28.07%-29.81%
45
Neutral
AU$19.81M-2.31-137.88%-15.38%
45
Neutral
AU$15.65M-3.54-14.48%
45
Neutral
AU$21.20M-9.14-2.36%84.36%
42
Neutral
AU$18.86M-2.74-19.15%-1034.67%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:WIN
Widgie Nickel Limited
0.02
<0.01
22.22%
AU:AZI
Altamin Limited
0.03
>-0.01
-19.35%
AU:AKO
Akora Resources Ltd.
0.09
-0.03
-26.83%
AU:NC1
NICO Resources Limited
0.16
0.07
91.36%
AU:MGL
Magontec Limited
0.22
0.00
0.00%

Widgie Nickel Limited Corporate Events

WIN Metals Accelerates Gold Strategy with Radio Acquisition and Butchers Creek Progress
Mar 13, 2026

WIN Metals Ltd has intensified its focus on gold exploration, completing the acquisition of the Radio Gold Project in September 2025 on favourable terms, aiming to restart production by leveraging existing mine infrastructure and a partially built processing plant. Initial drilling at Radio delivered encouraging results and underpinned a Mineral Resource Estimate announced shortly after the period, supporting the strategic rationale for the purchase.

At its Butchers Creek Gold Project, WIN advanced early technical work and an initial scoping study, reporting promising outcomes in November 2025 and progressing permitting activities alongside a planned drill program at the Golden Crown deposit to feed into an updated feasibility study. The company completed two well-supported capital raisings to fund these initiatives and continues a low-expenditure strategy at the Mt Edwards nickel and lithium project, where improving commodity prices and sentiment, partly driven by Indonesian supply tightening, reinforce management’s confidence in the underlying asset value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WIN) stock is a Sell with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Widgie Nickel Limited stock, see the AU:WIN Stock Forecast page.

WIN Metals Director Increases Stake Through Capital Raising
Feb 9, 2026

WIN Metals Ltd has disclosed a change in director Andrew James Parker’s interests following his participation in the company’s December 2025 capital placement. Parker acquired 285,714 fully paid ordinary shares at $0.035 per share and 142,857 free attaching listed options, increasing his and associated entities’ holdings in the company.

The transaction, approved by shareholders at a general meeting on 28 January 2026, lifts Parker’s direct and indirect equity exposure and underscores board support for the company’s latest fundraising. The updated holdings span fully paid shares and various listed and unlisted options, signalling continued alignment between management and investors as WIN Metals advances its corporate and project funding strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WIN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Widgie Nickel Limited stock, see the AU:WIN Stock Forecast page.

Win Metals Seeks ASX Quotation for 78.7 Million New Options
Feb 3, 2026

Win Metals Ltd has lodged an application with the ASX for quotation of 78,714,253 new listed options, exercisable at $0.07 per share and expiring two years from their issue date of 3 February 2026. The options, issued on a one-for-two free attaching basis to recent placement shares and contingent on shareholder approval obtained at a 28 January 2026 general meeting, enhance the company’s capital structure and provide an additional potential source of future funding, which may support ongoing exploration and development initiatives and influence shareholder leverage to any future share price appreciation.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WIN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Widgie Nickel Limited stock, see the AU:WIN Stock Forecast page.

Win Metals Seeks ASX Quotation for Additional Ordinary Shares
Feb 3, 2026

Win Metals Ltd, listed on the ASX under the code WIN, has applied for quotation of an additional 285,714 fully paid ordinary shares. The company lodged a new Appendix 2A with the ASX on 3 February 2026, confirming that these securities were issued as part of a previously announced transaction, a routine step that modestly increases its quoted share capital and may slightly enhance liquidity for existing and new investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WIN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Widgie Nickel Limited stock, see the AU:WIN Stock Forecast page.

Win Metals Launches Options Offer Linked to Recent Placement
Feb 2, 2026

Win Metals Ltd has released a transaction-specific options prospectus dated 2 February 2026 for an offer of up to 78,571,429 new options to participants in a recent placement and a further 142,857 new options to director Andrew Parker or his nominees. The highly speculative options will only be offered to eligible participants in Australia via application forms and are subject to standard ASIC and ASX regulatory frameworks, with the company emphasising that the document does not constitute financial advice and that investors should rely on the company’s broader continuous disclosure record when assessing the offer.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WIN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Widgie Nickel Limited stock, see the AU:WIN Stock Forecast page.

WIN Metals Lifts Radio Gold Resource by 46% and Moves into Mine Planning
Jan 28, 2026

WIN Metals has significantly upgraded the Mineral Resource Estimate at its wholly owned Radio Gold Project in Western Australia to 345,000 tonnes at 3.70 grams per tonne for 41,000 ounces of gold, marking a 46% increase in contained metal over the prior 2018 estimate. Around half of the resource, or 21,000 ounces, is now classified as Indicated, while maiden resources at the Repeater, Radio South and Green Harp domains have added roughly 12,900 ounces and highlighted the broader camp’s scale and optionality, including potential high-margin starter pits. Backed by about 9,000 metres of 2025 drilling and leveraging existing underground infrastructure and largely unmined near-surface material, WIN has commenced detailed mine design, scheduling and development studies, with further drilling and approvals work planned as it targets a potential development decision in 2026, subject to successful technical, economic and regulatory outcomes and with no Ore Reserves yet declared.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WIN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Widgie Nickel Limited stock, see the AU:WIN Stock Forecast page.

WIN Metals shareholders back capital-raising resolutions at general meeting
Jan 28, 2026

WIN Metals Ltd has confirmed that all resolutions put to shareholders at its 28 January 2026 general meeting were passed by poll, including the ratification of prior share placements under Listing Rules 7.1 and 7.1A, approval to issue free attaching placement options, and approval to issue placement securities to director Andrew Parker. The strong poll support across all resolutions, with each carried by more than 97% of votes cast in favour, effectively validates the company’s recent capital-raising activities and provides additional flexibility for future funding, reinforcing its capital structure and governance backing from shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WIN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Widgie Nickel Limited stock, see the AU:WIN Stock Forecast page.

WIN Metals advances gold growth strategy with robust Butchers Creek study and high-grade Radio drilling
Jan 27, 2026

WIN Metals reported a pivotal December quarter marked by the completion of a transformational Scoping Study for its 100%-owned Butchers Creek Gold Project, outlining a technically and financially viable standalone open pit and underground operation with a nine-year mine life, forecast recovered production of about 200,000 ounces of gold and strong project economics underpinned by high-grade feed and a conventional 600ktpa CIL processing plant. In parallel, the company delivered strong drilling results at the Radio Gold Project, extending high-grade mineralisation at the Repeater prospect and along strike at Radio Main and paving the way for a maiden Mineral Resource and potential near-term development options, while a A$5.5 million capital raising has strengthened the balance sheet to fund ongoing drilling, the advancement of Butchers Creek and general working capital, positioning WIN to progress its growth strategy and enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WIN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Widgie Nickel Limited stock, see the AU:WIN Stock Forecast page.

WIN Metals Confirms Shallow Gold at Radio Project, Eyes 2026 Restart
Jan 20, 2026

WIN Metals has reported remaining assay results from its maiden 2025 drilling program at the 100%-owned Radio Gold Project in Western Australia, confirming shallow gold mineralisation at the historic Radio South and Green Harp mines and identifying near-surface ore-grade intercepts around the old Radio Mill. Surface sampling at the Repeater area has also confirmed outcropping main lode mineralisation, reinforcing the potential for low-cost, near-surface extraction and supporting the company’s strategy to advance Radio as a near-term production restart option in 2026, subject to studies and approvals, with work now focused on expanding Mineral Resources and optimising both open-pit and underground mine designs.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WIN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Widgie Nickel Limited stock, see the AU:WIN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026