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Jaxsta Limited (AU:VNL)
ASX:VNL

Jaxsta Limited (VNL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:VNL

Jaxsta Limited

(Sydney:VNL)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.08
▼(-10.00% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—deep losses and worsening negative free cash flow despite strong revenue growth and improving gross margin. Technicals add modest pressure with price below major moving averages and a negative MACD. Valuation is also constrained because the negative P/E reflects ongoing unprofitability and there is no dividend yield support.

Jaxsta Limited (VNL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Jaxsta Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVinyl Group Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, focuses on delivering technology and media solutions that connect music creators, fans and brands in Australia, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates vinyl.com, an e-commerce platform with music titles; Vampr, a social-professional network and talent marketplace with creators; Serenade, a Web3 pioneer in physical and digital artists collectibles; and Jaxsta, a database of official music credits. It offers Vinyl Media that operates as a media arm and publisher of titles, including Rolling Stone Australia, Variety Australia, Concrete Playground, Mediaweek, Tone Deaf, The Music Network, Refinery29, and TheBrag.com. The company was formerly known as Jaxsta Limited and changed its name to Vinyl Group Ltd in December 2023. Vinyl Group Ltd is based in South Yarra, Australia.
How the Company Makes Money

Jaxsta Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite very strong recent revenue growth and improved gross margin (~39%), the company remains deeply unprofitable (net margin around -110%) and free cash flow is consistently negative with a larger outflow in 2025, indicating elevated cash-burn risk. A low-leverage balance sheet helps but does not offset weak profitability and cash generation.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Revenue growth is very strong in the latest annual period (2025 revenue up sharply versus 2024), and gross margin improved to ~39% (from ~35% in 2024). However, profitability remains weak: the company is still deeply loss-making with negative operating and net margins (2025 net margin around -110%), indicating costs continue to materially exceed revenue despite the top-line rebound.
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
The balance sheet shows low leverage in the most recent year, with minimal debt relative to equity (debt-to-equity near zero in 2025) and a sizable equity base versus total assets. The key weakness is persistent losses driving very negative returns on equity, which can pressure equity quality over time if losses continue.
Cash Flow
14
Very Negative
Cash generation is a major concern: operating cash flow is reported at zero across periods and free cash flow is consistently negative, with a large outflow in 2025 that worsened versus 2024. This implies ongoing cash burn and a continued need for external funding or materially improved operating performance to sustain operations.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.40M4.97M582.21K104.94K
Gross Profit5.59M1.72M541.63K103.75K
EBITDA-13.95M-16.47M-6.13M-5.94M
Net Income-15.84M-17.06M-7.15M-6.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.22M19.22M9.42M4.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.86M4.13M2.97M3.12M
Total Debt74.17K111.32K2.11M966.71K
Total Liabilities5.15M10.74M7.57M4.48M
Stockholders Equity18.07M8.46M1.87M594.28K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.97M-4.52M-3.23M-5.54M
Operating Cash Flow0.000.000.000.00
Investing Cash Flow-5.77M-7.88M-50.00K-27.32K
Financing Cash Flow12.40M13.57M3.07M5.20M

Jaxsta Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
AU$143.75M58.105.84%10.40%-32.96%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
48
Neutral
AU$92.03M-31.2544.80%7.69%
46
Neutral
AU$127.96M-16.91-140.76%-41.24%75.68%
46
Neutral
AU$329.04M-21.68-89.84%127.89%-107.34%
44
Neutral
AU$116.75M-6.27-130.94%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:VNL
Jaxsta Limited
0.08
-0.01
-13.40%
IREHF
Integrated Research Limited
0.21
-0.03
-13.88%
AU:IOD
IODM Ltd.
0.15
<0.01
7.14%
AU:HPG
hipages Group Holdings Ltd.
1.04
-0.34
-24.64%
AU:YOJ
Yojee Ltd.
0.35
0.24
218.18%
AU:EIQ
EchoIQ Limited
0.49
0.22
84.91%

Jaxsta Limited Corporate Events

Vinyl Group Seeks Quotation of 5.8 Million New Shares on ASX
Jan 8, 2026

Vinyl Group Ltd, listed on the ASX under the code VNL, has applied for quotation of 5,783,021 new fully paid ordinary shares, issued on 7 January 2026, under the ASX Appendix 2A process. The additional securities, linked to a previously announced transaction, will increase the company’s quoted share capital, potentially affecting existing shareholders’ dilution and enhancing the company’s capacity to fund its strategic and operational activities through the equity markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VNL) stock is a Hold with a A$0.08 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jaxsta Limited stock, see the AU:VNL Stock Forecast page.

Vinyl Group’s Funkified Unit Smashes Earn-Out, Underscoring Acquisition Strategy
Jan 6, 2026

Vinyl Group’s media events subsidiary Funkified Entertainment has exceeded its CY25 earn-out target, delivering 155% of the AUD 500,000 EBIT threshold agreed at acquisition, driven by strong performance in end-to-end events and brand activations, including large-scale experiential and automotive programs in late 2025. The earn-out will be settled through AUD 500,000 in Vinyl Group shares, subject to 12 months’ escrow, and the result is being positioned by management as evidence that the group’s vertical acquisition strategy—focused on integrating profitable, complementary businesses—can translate into higher margins, enhanced capabilities and scalable earnings growth for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VNL) stock is a Hold with a A$0.08 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jaxsta Limited stock, see the AU:VNL Stock Forecast page.

Vinyl Group Boosts Director Equity Stake with 30 Million New Options
Dec 19, 2025

Vinyl Group Limited has disclosed a change in director Joshua Simons’ interests, with Simons being granted 30 million additional unlisted options in the company at no cash consideration following shareholder approval at the 28 November 2025 annual general meeting. The issue lifts Simons’ holdings to 972 fully paid ordinary shares in his own name, 24,502,514 fully paid ordinary shares held via Guildford Holdings (Aust) Pty Ltd as trustee for the Simons Family Account, and a total of 50 million unlisted options, signalling an increased equity-based incentive that further aligns the director’s interests with those of shareholders.

Vinyl Group Issues 30 Million Unquoted Options Expiring 2032
Dec 19, 2025

Vinyl Group Ltd has notified the market that it will issue 30 million unquoted options, exercisable at $0.01 and expiring on 28 November 2032. The new options, which are part of a previously flagged transaction and will not be quoted on the ASX, represent a fresh equity-based incentive or funding mechanism that may lead to future dilution for existing shareholders if exercised, while potentially aligning recipients’ interests with the company’s long‑term performance.

Vinyl Group Ltd Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Dec 9, 2025

Vinyl Group Ltd has announced the application for quotation of 1,692,105 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code VNL. This move is part of a previously announced transaction and is set to enhance the company’s market presence and liquidity, potentially impacting its stakeholders positively by increasing the availability of its shares in the market.

Vinyl Group Ltd Completes Significant Share Issuance
Dec 8, 2025

Vinyl Group Ltd has completed the issuance of 22,459,742 fully paid ordinary shares, with the majority allocated to Songtradr Inc following an equity conversion and shareholder approval. This strategic move is likely to enhance the company’s financial standing and operational capabilities, potentially strengthening its market position in the music and technology sectors.

Vinyl Group Ltd Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Dec 8, 2025

Vinyl Group Ltd has announced the quotation of 19,959,742 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of December 8, 2025. This move is part of a previously announced transaction, potentially impacting the company’s market presence and offering stakeholders an opportunity to engage with its securities.

Vinyl Group Ltd Announces New Securities Quotation
Dec 8, 2025

Vinyl Group Ltd has announced a new issuance of 2,500,000 ordinary fully paid securities to be quoted on the ASX, with an issue date of December 8, 2025. This move is part of previously announced transactions and reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to expand its market presence and enhance its financial standing, potentially impacting its stakeholders and market positioning.

Vinyl Group to Release Shares from Escrow Following Funkified Acquisition
Dec 2, 2025

Vinyl Group Ltd announced the release of 1,692,105 fully paid ordinary shares from escrow on December 9, 2025, following the acquisition of Funkified Entertainment Pty Ltd. This move is in line with ASX Listing Rule 3.10A, and the company will apply for quotation of these shares. The release of these shares marks a significant step in the integration of Funkified Entertainment, potentially enhancing Vinyl Group’s market position and offering stakeholders new opportunities for growth.

Vinyl Group Ltd Amends Constitution to Update Share Capital Provisions
Nov 28, 2025

Vinyl Group Ltd has amended and adopted its constitution by a special resolution of its members, effective November 28, 2025. This amendment includes various provisions related to share capital, rights attaching to shares, and the issuance of shares, which could impact the company’s governance and shareholder rights.

Vinyl Group Ltd Secures Shareholder Approval at AGM
Nov 28, 2025

Vinyl Group Ltd announced that all resolutions proposed at its Annual General Meeting were passed by the required majority. This includes resolutions on remuneration, director re-elections, and share issuances, reflecting strong shareholder support and potentially enhancing the company’s strategic initiatives and governance. The successful approval of these resolutions is likely to positively influence Vinyl Group’s operational capabilities and market positioning, reinforcing its commitment to growth and innovation in the music industry.

Vinyl Group Ltd Achieves Revenue Surge and Targets Profitability
Nov 27, 2025

Vinyl Group Ltd announced a significant financial turnaround in FY25, with a 190% increase in revenue to $14.4 million, driven by organic growth and strategic acquisitions. The company is focused on achieving profitability through margin optimization and cost control, while leveraging AI to expand content output. Vinyl Group aims to reach its first cash-positive quarter by December FY26, signaling a major operational milestone. The company remains committed to diversifying revenue streams and scaling operations globally, supported by a strong foundation in the music and culture segments.

Vinyl Group Ltd Issues Informational AGM Presentation
Nov 27, 2025

Vinyl Group Ltd has issued a presentation for its Annual General Meeting, emphasizing that the document is for informational purposes only and not a solicitation or offer for securities. The company highlights that the presentation contains forward-looking statements subject to significant uncertainties and advises stakeholders to conduct their own analysis.

Vinyl Group Ltd Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Oct 28, 2025

Vinyl Group Ltd announced a proposed issue of securities, including 30 million options expiring in November 2032 and 2.5 million fully paid ordinary shares. This move is part of a placement or other type of issue, with the proposed issue date set for December 19, 2025, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Vinyl Group Limited Schedules Hybrid Annual General Meeting
Oct 28, 2025

Vinyl Group Limited has announced its Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for November 28, 2025, which will be held in a hybrid format, allowing both in-person and online participation. The meeting will address various resolutions, including an acquisition under Resolution 11, which an Independent Expert has deemed not fair but reasonable for non-associated shareholders. Shareholders are encouraged to participate and vote, either in person or online, to influence decisions that affect their shareholding.

Vinyl Group Ltd Announces Hybrid Annual General Meeting
Oct 28, 2025

Vinyl Group Ltd (ASX: VNL) is set to hold its Annual General Meeting on November 28, 2025, as a hybrid event, allowing shareholders to participate either online or in person. The meeting will address several resolutions, including the approval of a substantial asset acquisition from Songtradr Inc., which an Independent Expert has deemed not fair but reasonable for non-associated shareholders. Shareholders are encouraged to vote by proxy and submit questions in advance to facilitate a smooth meeting process.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026