Red 5 Limited (AU:VAU)
ASX:VAU
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Vault Minerals Limited
(Sydney:VAU)
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Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
AU$5.50
▲(18.79% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/08/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance improvements (growth, profitability turnaround, and higher free cash flow). Technicals are supportive but not strongly bullish, and valuation is weaker due to a negative P/E despite a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Profitability Turnaround
Sustained 41% revenue growth alongside a shift to positive net margin reflects meaningful operational improvement in core gold production. Over the next 2-6 months this supports internal funding for sustaining capex, strengthens operating leverage, and improves the consistency of earnings when production remains stable.
Negative Factors
Volatile Margins and Cash Flows
Prior swings in margins and free cash flow highlight sensitivity to ore grade, recovery rates and cost inflation. This volatility impairs planning reliability, can force emergency cost measures or higher-cost financing in downturns, and makes multi-quarter investment timing and dividend sustainability less predictable.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & Profitability Turnaround
Sustained 41% revenue growth alongside a shift to positive net margin reflects meaningful operational improvement in core gold production. Over the next 2-6 months this supports internal funding for sustaining capex, strengthens operating leverage, and improves the consistency of earnings when production remains stable.
Read all positive factors
Vault Minerals Limited (VAU) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$4.80B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)62.47M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.73
Revenue Growth54.70%
EPS Growth58.35%
CountryAU
Employees732
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryGold
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.08
Shares Outstanding1,034,565,900
10 Day Avg. Volume48,361,439
30 Day Avg. Volume62,474,116
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio>-0.01
Price to Book (P/B)1.44
Price to Sales (P/S)2.01
P/FCF Ratio12.02
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$6.93Price Target Upside49.57% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering8
EPS Forecast (FY)0.42
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$1.97B
Vault Minerals Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Vault Minerals Limited engages in the exploration, production, and mining of gold and gold/copper concentrates in Canada and Australia. The company was formerly known as Red 5 Limited and changed its name to Vault Minerals Limited in September 202...
How the Company Makes Money
Vault Minerals primarily makes money by producing and selling gold (typically as doré or refined bullion) from its mining operations. Its core revenue stream is gold sales, with revenue largely determined by (1) the volume of gold produced and sol...
Vault Minerals Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.57B | 1.43B | 620.00M | 422.75M | 162.90M | 189.71M |
| Gross Profit | 413.07M | 319.71M | 90.40M | 110.87M | -4.21M | 41.83M |
| EBITDA | 700.38M | 574.70M | 149.78M | 77.26M | -6.12M | 9.65M |
| Net Income | 82.46M | 236.98M | -5.44M | -8.73M | -28.53M | -42.92M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.36B | 2.44B | 2.17B | 670.48M | 577.37M | 345.49M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 529.99M | 674.24M | 428.81M | 20.11M | 32.53M | 17.41M |
| Total Debt | 113.47M | 98.36M | 207.84M | 209.11M | 272.36M | 10.15M |
| Total Liabilities | 411.92M | 444.26M | 546.79M | 340.41M | 394.57M | 114.61M |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.95B | 2.00B | 1.62B | 330.09M | 182.81M | 234.79M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 211.16M | 239.26M | 182.40M | -79.50M | -182.66M | -102.72M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 587.52M | 540.06M | 206.63M | 46.66M | -5.09M | 14.18M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -526.58M | -300.81M | 270.03M | -126.17M | -160.10M | -138.44M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -95.44M | 6.10M | -67.98M | 67.18M | 176.86M | 25.92M |
Vault Minerals Limited Technical Analysis
Neutral
4.63
Price Trends
4.90
Negative
5.12
Negative
4.41
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.05
Negative
52.08
Neutral
88.66
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:VAU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.24, below the 50-day MA of 4.90, and above the 200-day MA of 4.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.66 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:VAU.
Vault Minerals Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | AU$3.98B | 14.26 | 14.62% | ― | 4.59% | 3.65% | |
69 Neutral | AU$4.80B | -40.43 | 4.18% | ― | 54.70% | 58.35% | |
67 Neutral | AU$3.74B | 2.97 | 42.00% | ― | 111.74% | 100.58% | |
67 Neutral | AU$5.00B | 7.97 | 12.35% | 0.46% | 101.97% | 237.66% | |
66 Neutral | AU$6.36B | -160.00 | 9.94% | 1.92% | 13.34% | -15.96% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
AU:VAU
Vault Minerals Limited
4.64
1.88
68.36%
AU:WAF
West African Resources Ltd
3.07
0.78
34.06%
AU:EMR
Emerald Resources NL
5.89
1.64
38.59%
AU:RMS
Ramelius Resources Limited
3.21
0.71
28.61%
AU:WGX
Westgold Resources
5.14
2.56
99.30%
Vault Minerals Limited Corporate Events
Regis Resources Moves to Acquire Vault Minerals via Scheme of Arrangement
May 4, 2026
Regis Resources Limited has agreed to acquire all issued shares of Vault Minerals Limited via a scheme of arrangement under Australian corporations law. Under the proposal, Regis will obtain 100% of Vault’s fully paid ordinary shares in exch...
Regis–Vault Merger to Forge New A$10.7bn Senior Gold Producer
May 4, 2026
Regis Resources and Vault Minerals have agreed to a merger-of-equals under a scheme of arrangement that will see Regis acquire all Vault shares in an all-scrip deal, with Vault investors receiving 0.6947 Regis shares for each Vault share. The comb...
Regis–Vault Merger to Forge New A$10.7bn Senior Gold Producer
May 4, 2026
Regis Resources and Vault Minerals have agreed to a merger-of-equals under a scheme of arrangement in which Regis will acquire all Vault shares, creating a combined group expected to produce more than 700,000 ounces of gold per year. The all-scrip...
Macquarie Group Exits Substantial Holder Position in Vault Minerals
May 1, 2026
Macquarie Group Limited and its controlled entities have filed a notice stating they have ceased to be a substantial holder in Vault Minerals Limited. The filing, made under Australia’s Corporations Act, records changes in Macquarie’s ...
UBS Exits Substantial Holder Position in Vault Minerals
Apr 30, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has disclosed that UBS Group AG and its related bodies corporate have ceased to be substantial shareholders in the company, effective 28 April 2026. The change, formally notified on 30 April 2026, indicates that UBS’s ...
Vault Minerals posts cash surge as Leonora upgrades drive growth and payouts
Apr 21, 2026
Vault Minerals reported March quarter gold production of 78,578 ounces and sales of 77,707 ounces at an average realised price of A$6,987 per ounce and all-in sustaining costs of A$3,006, keeping the company on track to meet its FY26 production an...
Macquarie Corrects Substantial Holding Figures in Vault Minerals Without Changing Voting Power
Apr 8, 2026
Macquarie Group Limited has corrected an earlier substantial holder notice relating to its stake in Vault Minerals Limited, disclosing that an omitted sell trade of 51,070 shares by Macquarie Investment Management Limited on 14 October 2025 reduce...
Vault Minerals Halts King of the Hills Operations After Fatal Site Incident
Apr 7, 2026
Vault Minerals has reported a fatal incident at its King of the Hills mine site in Western Australia, where an employee of subcontractor DeltaFM died after the light vehicle in which he was a passenger left a 40km/h section of the site access road...
Vault Minerals Cancels 6.6 Million Shares in On-Market Buy-Back
Apr 6, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has announced the cessation of 6,609,972 ordinary fully paid shares following their cancellation under an on-market buy-back completed on April 2, 2026. The reduction in issued capital signals an effort by the ASX-listed min...
Vault Minerals Reports Lapse of 276,614 Performance Rights
Apr 2, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has reported the lapse of 276,614 performance rights, which ceased on 13 February 2026 after their conditions were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. The change slightly reduces the company’s potential fut...
Vault Minerals Updates Market on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 30, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares. The company reported that a total of 11,624,448 shares had been repurchased before th...
Vault Minerals Issues 262,233 Unquoted Performance Rights Under Employee Incentive Plan
Mar 30, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has issued 262,233 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, with the new securities recorded as being issued on March 27, 2026. The move underscores the company’s continued use of equity incenti...
Vault Minerals Issues Daily Update on Ongoing Share Buy-back
Mar 27, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited, an ASX-listed minerals company trading under ticker VAU, conducts its business through ordinary fully paid shares listed on the Australian Securities Exchange. The group participates in share repurchase programs as a tool t...
Vault Minerals Updates Market on Progress of Ongoing Share Buy-Back
Mar 26, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited, the ASX-listed minerals company trading under code VAU, continues to manage its capital structure through an on-market share buy-back program involving its ordinary fully paid shares. The firm has been progressively reducin...
Vault Minerals Provides Daily Update on Ongoing Share Buy-Back
Mar 25, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited, an ASX-listed minerals company trading under ticker VAU, has ordinary fully paid shares that form the basis of its current capital management activities. The firm reports its actions under Australian market rules, providing...
Vault Minerals Updates Market on Ongoing On-Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 24, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX on 24 March 2026 regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares. The company reported that it has repurchased a cumulative total of 9...
Vault Minerals Updates Market on Progress of Ongoing Share Buy-Back
Mar 23, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited, an ASX-listed resources company trading under the code VAU, operates through ordinary fully paid shares and uses on-market buy-backs as part of its capital management strategy. The firm’s focus on repurchasing stock s...
Vault Minerals Updates Daily On‑Market Share Buy‑Back
Mar 20, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has disclosed an update to its on‑market share buy‑back program, confirming that it is continuing to repurchase its ordinary fully paid shares on the ASX. The company reported that a total of 7,925,977 shares had...
Vault Minerals Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back Program
Mar 19, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has been actively undertaking an on-market share buy-back of its ordinary fully paid shares on the ASX. The company has disclosed that, as of the latest daily update, it has repurchased a cumulative total of 7,468,004 shares...
Vault Minerals Provides Daily Update on Ongoing On‑Market Share Buy‑Back
Mar 18, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited, listed on the ASX under ticker VAU, has ordinary fully paid shares and is undertaking an on-market share buy-back as part of its capital management strategy. While the announcement does not detail its operating assets or sp...
Vault Minerals Issues Daily Update on On‑Market Share Buy‑Back
Mar 17, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited, which trades on the ASX under the code VAU with ordinary fully paid shares, has provided an updated notification concerning its ongoing on‑market share buy‑back program. The latest filing identifies the company ...
Vault Minerals Reaffirms 2025 Resource and Reserve Estimates in Investor Presentation
Mar 16, 2026
Vault Minerals has released an investor presentation for the Euroz Hartleys Institutional Conference scheduled for March 2026, outlining its current resource and reserve position and reaffirming that there have been no material changes to its 2025...
Vault Minerals Reports Ongoing Daily On‑Market Share Buy‑Backs
Mar 16, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has issued an updated notice to the ASX confirming ongoing on‑market share buy‑backs of its ordinary fully paid shares. The update, dated March 16, 2026, reports that a total of 6,303,981 shares had been repurcha...
Vault Minerals Continues Daily On-Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 15, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited, an ASX-listed minerals company, continues to actively manage its capital structure through an on-market share buy-back of its ordinary fully paid shares. The program forms part of the company’s broader strategy to opt...
Vault Minerals Issues Daily Update on Ongoing Share Buy-Back
Mar 12, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited, listed on the ASX under the code VAU, has ordinary fully paid shares and operates within the minerals industry, though this disclosure focuses exclusively on its equity structure and capital management actions. The notifica...
Vault Minerals Cancels Shares Following On-Market Buy-Back
Mar 12, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has updated the market on changes to its issued capital, confirming the cessation of 482,671 ordinary fully paid shares listed under ASX code VAU. The shares were cancelled following an on‑market buy‑back complet...
Vault Minerals Cuts Share Count via On‑Market Buy‑Back
Mar 11, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has cancelled 231,271 ordinary fully paid shares following the completion of an on‑market buy‑back, as disclosed in its Appendix 3H notification to the ASX dated 11 March 2026. The reduction in issued capital sig...
Vault Minerals Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back Program
Mar 11, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX confirming ongoing activity under its on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares. The company reported that a cumulative 5,575,294 shares had been repu...
Vault Minerals Cancels Shares Under On-Market Buy-Back
Mar 10, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has cancelled 246,736 ordinary fully paid shares as part of an on-market buy-back, effective 10 March 2026. The reduction in the number of shares on issue reflects the company’s ongoing capital management strategy, whi...
Vault Minerals Updates Market on Ongoing On‑Market Share Buy‑Back
Mar 10, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has been conducting an on-market share buy-back of its ordinary fully paid shares on the ASX, as part of a program first notified in August 2025. The company reported that, as of 10 March 2026, a total of 5,369,628 shares ha...
Vault Minerals Cancels Shares in On‑Market Buy‑Back Move
Mar 9, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has cancelled 325,165 ordinary fully paid shares as part of an on‑market buy‑back, effective 9 March 2026. The reduction in issued capital signals ongoing capital management by the company, which may marginally i...
Vault Minerals Updates Investors on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 9, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited, an ASX-listed resources company trading under the code VAU, operates through ordinary fully paid shares that form the basis of its presence in public equity markets. Its capital management activities include on-market buy-b...
Vault Minerals Cancels Shares Following On-Market Buy-Back
Mar 6, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has announced the cancellation of 232,368 ordinary fully paid shares following completion of an on-market buy-back, as disclosed in its Appendix 3H notification to the ASX. The reduction in issued capital reflects an active ...
Vault Minerals Updates Market on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 6, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited, an ASX-listed minerals company trading under ticker VAU, has its ordinary fully paid shares as the subject of an ongoing on-market share buy-back program. The company operates in the mining sector, where such corporate acti...
Vault Minerals Cancels Shares Following On‑Market Buy‑Back
Mar 5, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has cancelled 622,715 ordinary fully paid shares on 5 March 2026 following completion of an on‑market share buy‑back. The reduction in issued capital is part of the company’s active capital management and m...
Vault Minerals Updates Market on Progress of On‑Market Share Buy‑Back
Mar 5, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has updated the market on its on‑market share buy‑back program for its ordinary fully paid shares listed on the ASX under ticker VAU. The company reported that, as of 5 March 2026, a cumulative 4,408,950 shares h...
Vault Minerals Updates Daily On‑Market Share Buy‑Back Activity
Mar 4, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited, listed on the ASX under ticker VAU, is an Australian minerals company with ordinary fully paid shares. While the release does not specify its particular mineral focus or operating assets, the group is engaged in managing it...
Vault Minerals Reports Daily Progress on On-Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 3, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has updated the market on its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares traded under the ASX code VAU. The company has so far repurchased a total of 3,851,417 shares prior to the latest repo...
Vault Minerals Reports Ongoing Daily On‑Market Share Buy‑Back
Feb 27, 2026
Vault Minerals Limited has updated the market on the progress of its on‑market share buy‑back, confirming that a total of 3,228,702 ordinary fully paid shares had been repurchased prior to the latest reporting day. The company disclose...
Vault Minerals posts strong half-year, declares maiden dividend and accelerates growth plans
Feb 25, 2026
Vault Minerals has reported a strong first-half FY26 performance, with group gold production of 168,607 ounces and sales of 169,274 ounces generating revenue of $817.3 million, up 20% on the prior period. Despite a statutory net loss after tax of ...
UBS Exits Substantial Shareholder Position in Vault Minerals
Feb 24, 2026
UBS Group AG and its related bodies corporate have ceased to be a substantial shareholder in Vault Minerals Limited as of 20 February 2026. The change, detailed in a regulatory Form 605 notice, indicates that UBS’s voting power in the compan...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.