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Vault Minerals Limited (VAU) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:VAU

Vault Minerals Limited

(Sydney:VAU)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
AU$1.00
▲(38.89% Upside)
Vault Minerals Limited demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and improved profitability, which are the most significant factors driving the score. The technical analysis supports a bullish trend, although caution is advised due to the RSI nearing overbought levels. The valuation is reasonable, but the lack of a dividend yield may deter some investors. Overall, the stock is positioned well but requires attention to potential volatility in margins and cash flows.

Vault Minerals Limited (VAU) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Vault Minerals Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVault Minerals Limited (VAU) is an Australian mining and exploration company focused on the discovery and development of mineral resources, particularly in the sectors of lithium and other strategic minerals. The company is dedicated to advancing its projects through exploration, drilling, and feasibility studies to uncover valuable mineral deposits that cater to the growing demand for battery metals and sustainable energy solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyVault Minerals Limited generates revenue primarily through the exploration and eventual production of lithium and other minerals. The company typically makes money by identifying and developing mineral resources into economically viable projects, which can then be sold to larger mining companies or developed further for direct extraction. Key revenue streams include the sale of mining rights, partnerships with other mining firms for joint ventures, and potential off-take agreements which allow for the sale of minerals at predetermined prices. Additionally, VAU may benefit from grants or funding for exploration activities, as well as strategic partnerships that enhance its operational capabilities and market reach.

Vault Minerals Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Red 5 Limited is showing promising revenue growth and operational improvements. Despite negative net profit margin and return on equity, the strong balance sheet and positive cash flow trends provide a solid foundation for future growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Red 5 Limited demonstrated significant revenue growth from the previous year with a 46.6% increase in total revenue, indicating strong top-line performance. The gross profit margin improved to 36.4%, reflecting better cost management and operational efficiencies. However, the net profit margin remains negative, at -0.9%, due to high operational costs. The company showed improved profitability with an EBIT margin of 9.1% and an EBITDA margin of 24.1%, indicating potential for future profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13, suggesting a conservative approach to leverage. The equity ratio stands at 74.8%, indicating a solid equity base. However, the return on equity is negative at -0.3%, which suggests that the company is not currently generating sufficient returns on shareholder investments.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow statements reveal a robust free cash flow growth, turning positive to $98.35 million, demonstrating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high, at -36.2, indicating strong operational cash flow despite net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is -18.1, showing operational improvements but highlighting ongoing challenges in converting income into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.02B1.43B620.00M422.75M162.90M189.71M
Gross Profit155.92M319.71M90.40M110.87M-4.21M41.83M
EBITDA330.94M574.70M149.78M77.26M-6.12M9.65M
Net Income84.89M236.98M-5.44M-8.73M-28.53M-42.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.30B2.44B2.17B670.48M577.37M345.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments564.39M674.24M428.81M20.11M32.53M17.41M
Total Debt108.08M98.36M207.84M209.11M272.36M10.15M
Total Liabilities413.71M444.26M546.79M340.41M394.57M114.61M
Stockholders Equity1.88B2.00B1.62B330.09M182.81M234.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow158.09M239.26M182.40M-79.50M-182.66M-102.72M
Operating Cash Flow344.81M540.06M206.63M46.66M-5.09M14.18M
Investing Cash Flow320.22M-300.81M270.03M-126.17M-160.10M-138.44M
Financing Cash Flow-129.05M6.10M-67.98M67.18M176.86M25.92M

Vault Minerals Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.72
Price Trends
50DMA
0.57
Positive
100DMA
0.49
Positive
200DMA
0.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
69.58
Neutral
STOCH
88.45
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:VAU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.68, above the 50-day MA of 0.57, and above the 200-day MA of 0.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:VAU.

Vault Minerals Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$7.79B9.9028.58%1.98%36.34%110.55%
76
Outperform
AU$5.03B20.9813.09%130.98%
74
Outperform
$3.27B38.1614.25%17.59%0.98%
73
Outperform
$3.47B10.4826.84%23.87%92.57%
63
Neutral
$5.21B143.122.43%0.55%89.86%-81.65%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:VAU
Vault Minerals Limited
0.72
0.40
125.00%
AU:WAF
West African Resources Ltd
3.04
1.62
113.33%
AU:EMR
Emerald Resources NL
5.24
1.35
34.70%
AU:RMS
Ramelius Resources Limited
4.04
1.93
91.47%
AU:WGX
Westgold Resources
5.50
2.99
119.21%

Vault Minerals Limited Corporate Events

Vault Minerals Reports Positive Drilling Results at Leonora and Sugar Zone
Aug 3, 2025

Vault Minerals Limited has reported promising exploration results from its Leonora and Sugar Zone sites. At Leonora, underground drilling has identified potential extensions to current mining areas, suggesting an opportunity to extend peak production periods at the King of the Hills facility. The results have also opened new exploration opportunities in underexplored areas, indicating potential mineral resource growth. At the Sugar Zone, surface drilling continues to intersect high-grade gold mineralization, with significant results along a 5km strike. These findings could enhance Vault’s operational capabilities and strengthen its market position in the gold mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VAU) stock is a Buy with a A$0.55 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Red 5 Limited stock, see the AU:VAU Stock Forecast page.

Vault Minerals Reports Strong Q2 2025 Performance and Strategic Growth Initiatives
Jul 28, 2025

Vault Minerals Limited reported a strong June 2025 quarter with gold production of 98,459 ounces and sales of 95,976 ounces at an average realized price of A$4,219 per ounce. The company is advancing its growth strategy with significant investments in plant upgrades and exploration drilling, particularly in the Leonora District, to enhance production capacity and extend peak production periods. Vault’s financial position remains robust with a free cash flow of $92.3 million and cash reserves of $685.9 million, positioning it well for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VAU) stock is a Hold with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Red 5 Limited stock, see the AU:VAU Stock Forecast page.

Vault Minerals Reports FY25 Sales and Financial Strength Post-Merger
Jul 2, 2025

Vault Minerals Limited reported preliminary Q4 and FY25 sales results, with gold sales slightly below guidance at 385,230 ounces. The company made substantial investments in its operations, including new developments and upgrades, and paid a $30.9 million stamp duty from its merger. Despite these expenses, Vault strengthened its balance sheet, ending FY25 with $685.9 million in cash and bullion and no debt.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VAU) stock is a Hold with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Red 5 Limited stock, see the AU:VAU Stock Forecast page.

Regal Funds Management Adjusts Stake in Vault Minerals Ltd
Jul 1, 2025

Regal Funds Management Pty Ltd and its associates have adjusted their substantial holding in Vault Minerals Ltd, a company involved in the mining sector. The recent change in their voting power reflects a decrease from 8.24% to 7.01%, indicating a shift in their investment strategy or portfolio management. This adjustment may impact Vault Minerals Ltd’s shareholder dynamics and could influence future corporate decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VAU) stock is a Hold with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Red 5 Limited stock, see the AU:VAU Stock Forecast page.

Vault Minerals Confirms Stability in Ore Reserves and Resources
May 7, 2025

Vault Minerals Limited has released an investor presentation detailing its current ore reserves and mineral resources, which remain unchanged from a previous announcement. The company emphasizes the reliability of its resource estimates and the competence of its personnel in managing exploration results, which is crucial for maintaining investor confidence and positioning in the competitive mining industry.

Van Eck Associates Reduces Stake in Vault Minerals Limited
May 5, 2025

Van Eck Associates Corporation has reduced its voting power in Vault Minerals Limited from 8.29% to 7.28%, as indicated by a change in the number of ordinary shares held. This adjustment in holdings reflects a strategic decision by Van Eck, potentially impacting its influence in the company and signaling a shift in investment strategy.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 03, 2025