tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
US Masters Residential Property Fund (AU:URF)
ASX:URF
Australian Market

US Masters Residential Property Fund (URF) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
6 Followers

Top Page

AU:URF

US Masters Residential Property Fund

(Sydney:URF)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
AU$0.28
â–²(0.00% Upside)
The overall stock score of 40 reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenue and negative cash flow, compounded by bearish technical indicators. The negative P/E ratio further highlights valuation concerns, although the dividend yield offers a slight positive aspect. The absence of earnings call data and notable corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Business model exposure
URF's core model targets U.S. residential property and mortgage-related assets, giving it exposure to multiple income streams (rental, capital appreciation, mortgage income). That structural alignment to residential real estate demand supports durable cash‑flow opportunities over time.
Equity ratio buffer
A relatively healthy equity ratio provides a capital buffer versus creditors, reducing immediate solvency risk and supporting the fund’s ability to hold assets through cycles. This structural balance-sheet strength improves resilience and borrowing capacity for medium-term portfolio repositioning.
Income distribution potential
A recurring dividend yield, even if modest, indicates the fund can generate distributable returns and attract income-focused investors. Over months, this steady income characteristic can stabilize investor base and support secondary market liquidity independent of short-term price moves.
Negative Factors
Falling revenue trend
A steep revenue decline constrains the fund’s ability to cover fixed operating costs and finance maintenance or acquisitions. Persistently negative top-line trends erode margins, reduce reinvestment capacity, and can force asset sales or capital raises that impair long-term value creation.
Negative operating and free cash flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow undermine liquidity and force reliance on external financing or asset dispositions. Over months this limits the fund’s ability to fund capex, maintain properties, or service debt, increasing refinancing and covenant risks.
High leverage and negative returns
High leverage combined with negative ROE heightens solvency and interest‑burden risk, reducing financial flexibility. In a multi-month horizon this structural leverage pressure can magnify downturns, constrain strategic options, and increase the likelihood of dilutive capital measures.

US Masters Residential Property Fund (URF) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

US Masters Residential Property Fund Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUS Masters Residential Property Fund (Fund) was established in 2011 and is listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (URF.ASX). The Fund was established to give investors exposure to US residential property and is the largest Australian-listed property trust with a primary strategy of investing in freestanding and multi-tenant US residential property in the New York metropolitan area. The Fund is focused on seeking to achieve long-term returns through a combination of income from rental yields along with potential long-term capital growth. Since 2011, the Fund's portfolio has grown to 982 housing units across 551 freestanding properties, with a gross asset value of approximately $1.2 billion (as at 30 June 2020). The Fund conducts all its New York metropolitan area residential investment through its controlled entity US Masters Residential Property (USA) Fund, a Maryland Real Estate Investment Trust (US REIT). A dedicated team of highly-skilled professionals based in New York manages every aspect of the real estate investment process – from acquiring the properties and rehabilitating the assets, to leasing the homes and ongoing tenant management.
How the Company Makes MoneyURF generates revenue primarily through rental income from its residential properties. The fund leases out single-family homes to tenants, creating a steady cash flow stream. Additionally, URF may earn revenue from property appreciation as the value of its real estate holdings increases over time. The company may also benefit from strategic partnerships with property management firms to optimize operations and reduce costs. Furthermore, the fund's financial structure may involve leveraging debt financing, enhancing returns on equity through strategically timed acquisitions and divestitures.

US Masters Residential Property Fund Financial Statement Overview

Summary
US Masters Residential Property Fund faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue, negative profitability metrics, and cash flow difficulties. The high leverage and negative cash flow position suggest potential risks, but a stable equity ratio provides some balance. The company needs strategic adjustments to improve profitability and cash flow management.
Income Statement
40
Negative
The company has seen declining revenue with a notable drop in net income, indicating struggles in profitability. The net profit margin is negative, reflecting operational challenges and potential inefficiencies. The gross profit remains stable, but the EBITDA margin is negative, highlighting significant expenses relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating potential leverage risks. However, the equity ratio is relatively healthy, suggesting that equity forms a reasonable portion of the total assets. Return on equity is negative, reflecting challenges in generating profits from shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The company struggles with negative operating cash flow, highlighting potential liquidity risks. Free cash flow is also negative, indicating difficulties in generating cash after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, further emphasizing cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.80M36.74M46.19M45.78M39.57M45.09M
Gross Profit30.80M19.22M44.57M27.51M23.60M25.99M
EBITDA2.87M-36.14M2.92M10.08M8.68M5.30M
Net Income-21.58M-44.56M-18.97M6.91M21.14M-95.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets611.75M811.61M936.56M1.02B975.36M1.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments117.35M84.51M43.54M55.03M57.51M75.34M
Total Debt229.03M360.59M459.09M505.02M482.95M568.61M
Total Liabilities238.88M411.24M515.32M565.96M530.56M623.54M
Stockholders Equity372.68M399.36M419.33M453.21M444.80M409.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-11.62M-10.77M-5.84M-4.94M-8.89M-8.04M
Operating Cash Flow-11.62M-10.77M-5.84M-4.94M-8.89M-8.04M
Investing Cash Flow298.34M206.94M67.31M27.59M116.12M80.39M
Financing Cash Flow-216.00M-154.84M-68.96M-39.28M-127.99M-78.05M

US Masters Residential Property Fund Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.28
Price Trends
50DMA
0.29
Negative
100DMA
0.29
Negative
200DMA
0.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
40.46
Neutral
STOCH
-33.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:URF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.29, below the 50-day MA of 0.29, and below the 200-day MA of 0.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -33.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:URF.

US Masters Residential Property Fund Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
AU$1.91B14.988.27%1.81%6.96%815.99%
67
Neutral
AU$206.89M9.2610.17%3.11%11.30%18.93%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
AU$373.32M9.527.93%7.46%-3.97%1057.09%
54
Neutral
AU$390.62M-4.41-10.44%11.21%-16.67%-1419.67%
49
Neutral
AU$60.82M-1.71-23.55%15.14%-68.24%42.03%
40
Underperform
AU$196.21M-9.13-5.60%2.62%-35.85%35.27%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:URF
US Masters Residential Property Fund
0.28
-0.02
-6.35%
AU:EGH
Eureka Group Holdings Limited
0.50
-0.09
-16.10%
AU:DXC
Dexus Convenience Retail REIT
2.68
0.01
0.37%
AU:AOF
Australian Unity Office Fund
0.38
-0.09
-20.21%
AU:HCW
HealthCo Healthcare & Wellness REIT
0.71
-0.27
-27.55%
AU:INA
Ingenia Communities Group
4.72
-0.96
-16.90%

US Masters Residential Property Fund Corporate Events

US Masters Residential Maintains Preliminary NAV at $0.395 Ahead of Portfolio Revaluation
Jan 21, 2026

US Masters Residential Property Group has reported an estimated unaudited net asset value of $0.395 per unit after tax as at 16 January 2026, unchanged from its most recent monthly reference NAV at 31 December 2025. The weekly NAV update reflects an AUD:USD exchange rate of 0.6683 and is based on preliminary figures ahead of the fund’s half-yearly property portfolio revaluation, with final audited valuations to be included in the 31 December 2025 full-year financial report due in late February 2026. The manager cautions that the weekly estimate does not capture all intra-month accruals and that ongoing property disposals will naturally cause NAV per security to decline as transaction costs are realised, a key consideration for securityholders assessing the fund’s value trajectory.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:URF) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on US Masters Residential Property Fund stock, see the AU:URF Stock Forecast page.

US Masters Residential Property Group Repatriates US$40m from US Operations
Jan 21, 2026

US Masters Residential Property Group has repatriated US$40 million of available cash from its US-based US Masters Residential Property (USA) Fund back to the Australian-listed US Masters Residential Property Fund as of 21 January 2026. The board indicated it will update securityholders on future capital management decisions in due course, signalling potential changes in how capital is deployed or returned to investors following this cash transfer.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:URF) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on US Masters Residential Property Fund stock, see the AU:URF Stock Forecast page.

US Masters Residential Property Group Posts Lower NAV, Accelerates US Property Sell-Down
Jan 14, 2026

US Masters Residential Property Group reported an unaudited net asset value of $0.395 per unit as at 31 December 2025, noting that this estimate does not yet reflect the outcome of its half-yearly property revaluation, which will be incorporated into its full-year financial report due by the end of February. The group continued to accelerate its orderly sell-down of its US residential portfolio, closing the sale of 28 properties in December for US$26.72 million and 179 properties over calendar 2025 for US$244.19 million, with significant associated repayments made on its GA loan facility; it also ended the year with a substantial sales pipeline of US$151.47 million across assets under contract, on the market and in earlier-stage discussions, underscoring ongoing balance-sheet de-leveraging and a progressive reduction in portfolio size.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:URF) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on US Masters Residential Property Fund stock, see the AU:URF Stock Forecast page.

US Masters Residential Property Fund Cancels 2.43 Million Units in On-Market Buy-Back
Jan 1, 2026

US Masters Residential Property Fund has cancelled 2,430,717 fully paid stapled units as part of its on-market buy-back program, effective 31 December 2025. The reduction in securities on issue is expected to modestly enhance value per remaining unit holder and signals ongoing capital management by the fund as it adjusts its capital structure in line with market conditions and strategic objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:URF) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on US Masters Residential Property Fund stock, see the AU:URF Stock Forecast page.

US Masters Residential Property Group Extends Term Loan and Accepts Higher Interest Rate
Dec 31, 2025

US Masters Residential Property Group has amended its existing term loan facility, lifting the interest rate from 4.0% to 6.0% per annum from 1 January 2026, applying an amendment fee of 0.125% to the outstanding principal, and extending the loan’s maturity to 31 December 2026. The board says the revised terms, with all other material conditions unchanged, are intended to provide the group with continued capital management flexibility, potentially supporting its capacity to manage its US residential property portfolio and funding profile over the extended term.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:URF) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on US Masters Residential Property Fund stock, see the AU:URF Stock Forecast page.

US Masters Residential Property Group Releases Final 2025 NAV Estimate
Dec 17, 2025

The US Masters Residential Property Group announced its estimated unaudited net asset value (NAV) per unit as of December 12, 2025, at $0.406, reflecting a slight decrease from the previous month’s NAV due to currency exchange rate adjustments. The company highlighted that the NAV does not account for transaction costs associated with property sales, which may lead to a gradual decline in NAV as properties are disposed of. This announcement marks the final NAV estimate for 2025, with the next update scheduled for January 21, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:URF) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on US Masters Residential Property Fund stock, see the AU:URF Stock Forecast page.

US Masters Residential Property Group Reports November Sales and NAV Update
Dec 12, 2025

US Masters Residential Property Group reported an estimated unaudited net asset value (NAV) of $0.412 per unit as of November 30, 2025. In November, the company closed sales of 12 assets totaling $16.48 million, contributing to a year-to-date total of 151 assets sold for $217.47 million. The sales activity reflects the company’s ongoing strategy to dispose of properties, which impacts the NAV due to transaction costs. The company also has a robust sales pipeline with $75.57 million under contract or in attorney review, $50.77 million listed for sale, and $46.52 million in the sales pipeline, indicating continued focus on asset liquidation.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:URF) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on US Masters Residential Property Fund stock, see the AU:URF Stock Forecast page.

US Masters Residential Property Group Reports Updated NAV
Dec 10, 2025

US Masters Residential Property Group announced its estimated unaudited net asset value (NAV) per unit as of December 5, 2025, was $0.414, reflecting a slight decrease from the previous monthly estimate due to foreign exchange rate adjustments. The NAV is calculated following ASX listing rules and does not account for transaction costs associated with property sales, which may cause a gradual decline in NAV as properties are disposed of.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:URF) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on US Masters Residential Property Fund stock, see the AU:URF Stock Forecast page.

US Masters Residential Property Group Reports Estimated NAV for November 2025
Dec 3, 2025

US Masters Residential Property Group announced its estimated unaudited net asset value (NAV) per unit as of November 28, 2025, at $0.419. This figure is calculated based on the most recent monthly NAV and adjusted for changes in the AUD:USD exchange rate. The NAV does not account for transaction costs associated with property sales, which may cause a slight decrease in NAV as properties are sold. This update provides stakeholders with a snapshot of the fund’s financial health, though it is subject to fluctuations due to currency exchange rates and property sales.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:URF) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on US Masters Residential Property Fund stock, see the AU:URF Stock Forecast page.

US Masters Residential Property Group Reports Updated NAV
Nov 26, 2025

The US Masters Residential Property Group announced an estimated unaudited net asset value (NAV) of $0.425 per unit as of November 21, 2025. This figure reflects adjustments for changes in the AUD:USD exchange rate and does not account for intra-monthly accruals or transaction costs associated with property sales. As the group continues to sell properties, the NAV is expected to decrease slightly due to these costs, impacting the overall valuation of the group’s assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:URF) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on US Masters Residential Property Fund stock, see the AU:URF Stock Forecast page.

US Masters Residential Property Fund Reports Q3 2025 Sales and Financial Update
Nov 20, 2025

US Masters Residential Property Fund reported the sale of 40 properties for $60.79 million in Q3 2025, contributing to a total of $179.78 million in sales for the year. The proceeds were used to repay part of the Global Atlantic Term Loan, with significant funds repatriated to Australia for distributions to security holders. Despite no security buybacks this quarter, the company remains committed to capital returns based on market conditions. The sales pipeline stands at $157.50 million, and operational performance showed a 5.2% increase in Net Operating Income. However, the company recorded a Funds From Operations loss, attributed to ongoing property sales and associated holding costs.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:URF) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on US Masters Residential Property Fund stock, see the AU:URF Stock Forecast page.

US Masters Residential Property Group Reports Weekly NAV Update
Nov 19, 2025

US Masters Residential Property Group announced its weekly estimated unaudited net asset value (NAV) per unit as of November 14, 2025, at $0.420, slightly up from the previous month’s NAV of $0.419. The NAV calculations are influenced by the AUD:USD exchange rate and do not account for intra-monthly accruals or transaction costs from property sales, which may cause the NAV to decrease as properties are sold.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:URF) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on US Masters Residential Property Fund stock, see the AU:URF Stock Forecast page.

US Masters Residential Property Group Reports October Sales and NAV Update
Nov 14, 2025

US Masters Residential Property Group reported an estimated unaudited net asset value (NAV) of $0.419 per unit as of October 31, 2025. In October, the group closed the sale of 13 assets totaling $21.20 million, contributing to a year-to-date total of 139 assets sold for $200.98 million. The company has a robust sales pipeline with $73.61 million in attorney review or under contract, $50.48 million of inventory listed for sale, and $60.00 million in the sales pipeline. These activities indicate a strategic focus on liquidating assets, which may impact the NAV as transaction costs are realized, and highlight the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its property portfolio effectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:URF) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on US Masters Residential Property Fund stock, see the AU:URF Stock Forecast page.

US Masters Residential Property Group Reports Updated NAV
Nov 12, 2025

US Masters Residential Property Group announced its estimated unaudited net asset value (NAV) as of 7 November 2025, which stands at $0.429 per unit. This valuation reflects adjustments for changes in the AUD:USD exchange rate and does not account for intra-monthly accruals, which are included in monthly NAV updates. The company notes that as properties are sold, the NAV per security is expected to decrease slightly due to transaction costs. This update provides stakeholders with insights into the financial health and operations of the Group, highlighting the impact of currency fluctuations and property sales on asset valuation.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:URF) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on US Masters Residential Property Fund stock, see the AU:URF Stock Forecast page.

US Masters Residential Property Fund Updates on Buy-Back Program
Nov 10, 2025

US Masters Residential Property Fund has announced an update regarding its ongoing buy-back program. The company reported the purchase of 262,445 securities on the previous day, adding to a total of 2,168,272 securities bought back before that day. This buy-back initiative reflects the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:URF) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on US Masters Residential Property Fund stock, see the AU:URF Stock Forecast page.

US Masters Residential Property Fund Updates on Buy-Back Program
Nov 9, 2025

US Masters Residential Property Fund has announced a daily update on its ongoing buy-back program, which includes both the US Masters Residential Property Fund and US Masters Residential Property Fund II, collectively known as the US Masters Residential Property Group. The buy-back involves the repurchase of fully paid units stapled securities, with a total of 73,889 securities bought back on the previous day, adding to the cumulative total of 2,094,383 securities. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value by reducing the number of outstanding securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:URF) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on US Masters Residential Property Fund stock, see the AU:URF Stock Forecast page.

US Masters Residential Property Group Reports October NAV
Nov 5, 2025

The US Masters Residential Property Group reported an estimated unaudited net asset value (NAV) of $0.425 per unit as of October 31, 2025. This figure reflects adjustments based on the AUD:USD exchange rate and does not account for intra-monthly accruals, which are included in monthly updates. As the company continues to sell properties, the NAV is expected to decrease slightly due to transaction costs, impacting the overall value of the group’s securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:URF) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on US Masters Residential Property Fund stock, see the AU:URF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025