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TrivarX Limited (AU:TRI)
ASX:TRI

TrivarX Limited (TRI) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:TRI

TrivarX Limited

(Sydney:TRI)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.02
▼(-10.00% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/20/26
The score is held down primarily by persistently negative profitability and cash flow with no reported revenue, despite a low-leverage balance sheet. Technical indicators are mildly bearish (negative MACD and price below key moving averages), with only a small offset from oversold Stoch. Valuation provides limited support because the negative P/E reflects losses and no dividend data is available.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
Very low debt levels and a sizeable equity base provide structural financial flexibility. This reduces near-term bankruptcy risk, lowers interest burdens and gives management time to execute strategic initiatives or raise capital on better terms, supporting durability over months.
Material reduction in cash burn
A large year‑over‑year reduction in free cash outflow signals improved cost control or lower investment intensity. Sustained lower cash consumption extends runway, reduces immediate financing needs and increases the chance management can reach commercialization or revenue inflection points.
Narrowing net loss trend
A narrower net loss indicates progress toward operational stabilization. If the trend continues, it suggests improving operational discipline and margin trajectory, which are durable precursors to eventual profitability once revenue is established or costs are further optimized.
Negative Factors
No reported revenue
Zero reported revenue over multiple years is a fundamental concern: the business lacks demonstrated product-market monetization. Without recurring sales, the firm remains reliant on external funding and has limited proof that cost reductions can substitute for sustainable top-line growth.
Persistent negative cash generation
Ongoing negative operating and free cash flow means the company is consuming capital rather than generating it. Over a multi-month horizon this raises financing and dilution risk, constrains investment in product development or commercialization, and limits optionality for strategic moves.
Negative returns on equity
Consistently negative ROE shows shareholder capital is not producing returns and indicates poor capital efficiency. Even with low leverage this raises structural questions about business viability and the ability to create long‑term shareholder value absent a clear path to revenue.

TrivarX Limited (TRI) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

TrivarX Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrivarX Limited, a health technology company, engages in the development of AI-driven, scientifically-based devices for screening and diagnosis of behavioral health conditions in Australia and the United States. The company offers mental well-being solutions for businesses through corporate health product; and develops products for healthcare provider market. The company was formerly known as Medibio Limited and changed its name to TrivarX Limited in October 2023. TrivarX Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Mount Lawley, Australia.

TrivarX Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating performance is very weak: no reported revenue in 2024–2025, negative gross profit, and ongoing net losses (2025: -943k; 2024: -1.24m). Cash flow is also negative (2025 FCF: -190k; 2024 FCF: -3.70m), indicating continued cash consumption. The main offset is a comparatively stable balance sheet with very low leverage and a sizeable equity base, plus improvement versus 2024 in net loss and free cash outflow.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Profitability is weak across the last two annual periods, with net losses in both 2025 (-943k) and 2024 (-1.24m). The 2025 result also shows a sizable operating loss (EBIT -2.04m) and negative gross profit, indicating the cost base is not supported by the current revenue level (reported revenue is 0 in both years). While the net loss narrowed year over year, the lack of demonstrated revenue generation and persistently negative earnings keep the income statement score low.
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
The balance sheet looks comparatively stable due to very low leverage: debt-to-equity is ~0.013 in 2025 and ~0.002 in 2024, with modest total debt (169k in 2025) against a sizeable equity base (12.65m in 2025). Total assets increased to 13.48m in 2025 from 10.81m in 2024. The key weakness is ongoing negative returns on equity (about -7.5% in 2025 and -12.5% in 2024), meaning capital is not currently generating profits.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation is a major concern. Operating cash flow was negative in 2025 (-190k) and free cash flow was also negative (-190k), following a very large free cash outflow in 2024 (-3.70m). While the 2025 free cash outflow is far smaller than 2024, free cash flow growth is still negative and operating cash flow remains below net income in 2025 (operating cash flow to net income is negative due to outflows). Overall, the company is consuming cash rather than producing it.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.00
Gross Profit-52.47K0.00
EBITDA-1.89M-1.13M
Net Income-943.23K-1.24M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.48M10.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.25M848.10K
Total Debt169.03K15.90K
Total Liabilities831.22K1.18M
Stockholders Equity12.65M9.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-189.74K-3.70M
Operating Cash Flow-189.74K0.00
Investing Cash Flow-2.09M-2.85M
Financing Cash Flow2.68M4.32M

TrivarX Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
44
Neutral
AU$21.92M-11.02-7.84%
44
Neutral
AU$9.49M-0.96152.58%-40.05%-49.57%
44
Neutral
AU$11.19M-2.48-578.72%241.34%44.19%
42
Neutral
AU$4.12M-1.9820.02%-9.90%34.07%
40
Underperform
AU$13.96M-1.71-1268.85%-67.78%37.78%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:TRI
TrivarX Limited
0.02
<0.01
46.15%
DE:UV7
Tali Digital
0.02
-0.03
-60.00%
AU:GLH
Global Health Limited
0.07
-0.04
-36.36%
AU:PKY
Opyl Ltd.
0.02
<0.01
15.00%
AU:HIQ
HitIQ Limited
0.02
>-0.01
-34.78%
AU:ICR
InteliCare Holdings Limited
0.02
<0.01
80.00%

TrivarX Limited Corporate Events

TrivarX reshapes leadership and governance to drive digital health commercialisation
Mar 4, 2026

TrivarX has terminated the employment of Chief Medical Officer Dr Archie Defillo, who played a key role in developing its MEB-001 and single-channel ECG algorithms, as the company shifts toward a more commercially focused phase. To drive this transition, directors and ResApp Health co-founders Tony Keating and Chris Ntoumenopoulos will take more active roles in commercialisation, drawing on their experience in scaling digital health firms to acquisition.

The company is also searching for a Chief Scientific Officer to bolster its clinical and regulatory leadership, while reshaping its governance team with the resignation of Company Secretary Stephen Buckley and appointment of Cameron Jones and Nova Taylor as joint company secretaries. Director remuneration has been restructured, with Keating and Ntoumenopoulos moving from equity-based to cash-based packages for expanded strategic and regulatory roles, and Chair David Trimboli receiving equity-based fees, underscoring a stronger focus on execution, governance and shareholder value alignment as TrivarX pursues growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TRI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TrivarX Limited stock, see the AU:TRI Stock Forecast page.

TrivarX Flags Sharp Revenue Fall and Wider Loss as Auditor Raises Going-Concern Uncertainty
Feb 24, 2026

TrivarX Limited reported a collapse in revenue from ordinary activities to $2,270 for the half-year ended 31 December 2025, compared with $1.13 million a year earlier, while its net loss attributable to members widened sharply to $1.26 million from $91,083. The company did not declare an interim dividend, though net tangible assets per share rose to 0.248 cents, and its auditor highlighted a material uncertainty over TrivarX’s ability to continue as a going concern, underscoring ongoing financial pressure despite the accounts being prepared on a going concern basis.

The board confirmed no dividends were paid or recommended for the period, and there were no changes in control, associates, or joint ventures, suggesting a relatively static corporate structure. The auditor’s emphasis of matter, while not a qualification, signals heightened risk for stakeholders as the company navigates sustained losses and relies on its existing capital base to support operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TRI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TrivarX Limited stock, see the AU:TRI Stock Forecast page.

TrivarX Expands into Brain Cancer Imaging as Veteran Trial Validates Depression Diagnostic
Jan 29, 2026

TrivarX has exercised its option to acquire 100% of the Stabl-Im brain imaging intellectual property from Nucleics Pty Ltd, expanding its portfolio beyond ECG-based diagnostics into neuro-oncology. Stabl-Im is designed to use stable isotope labelling with standard MRI to detect active tumour growth earlier and more safely than conventional imaging, potentially enabling non-invasive monitoring of brain cancers and brain metastases in a global neuro-oncology market valued at hundreds of millions of dollars, with related treatment markets projected in the billions. Alongside this strategic move, the company reported clinically meaningful results from a US Veterans Affairs-backed trial using its single-lead ECG algorithm to screen for current major depressive episodes in veterans with suspected sleep apnoea, demonstrating sensitivity and specificity broadly comparable to its more complex multi-biomarker MEB-001 algorithm. Together with a recently completed A$4.2 million placement to fund development and near-term plans for regulatory engagement and Phase 1 trials, these developments support TrivarX’s bid to strengthen its position in neurological and mental health diagnostics and open new partnering and commercialisation avenues.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TRI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TrivarX Limited stock, see the AU:TRI Stock Forecast page.

TrivarX Discloses Final Director Interest Following Resignation of John Mathias
Jan 1, 2026

TrivarX Limited has announced a change to its board, with director John Mathias ceasing to serve as a director effective 31 December 2025. At the time of his departure, Mathias held 2.5 million options in TrivarX, expiring in December 2028 at an exercise price of $0.025, as well as a beneficial interest in 84,850 fully paid ordinary shares held through National Financial Services, and no interests in relevant contracts were disclosed, providing investors with clarity on his residual exposure to the company following his exit.

FIL Limited Cuts Stake in TrivarX Below Substantial Holder Threshold
Dec 23, 2025

FIL Limited and its associated entities have notified TrivarX Limited that they have ceased to be a substantial holder in the company as of 19 December 2025, in accordance with substantial shareholding disclosure requirements. Following recent transactions, FIL’s holding in TrivarX stands at 42,502,362 common shares, representing 3.68% of the company’s voting power, indicating a reduction below the substantial shareholder threshold and signalling a shift in the company’s institutional investor base that may affect perceptions of its shareholder structure but does not alter control of the company.

TrivarX Raises $3.5m to Advance Stabl-Im Brain Tumour Imaging Platform Toward Clinical Trials
Dec 22, 2025

TrivarX Limited has secured $3.5 million from the second tranche of a strategic placement, bolstering its balance sheet and giving it greater financial flexibility to advance its Stabl-Im imaging platform for brain tumour detection. The funds will support manufacturing scale-up, quality-control validation of stable isotope compounds, and regulatory pre-submission activities in the US and EU as the company moves Stabl-Im toward the clinic. Stabl-Im uses stable isotope labelling and standard MRI to safely and non-invasively visualise replicating tumour cells in the brain, potentially offering a breakthrough alternative to radiation-based or surgical methods. The work will be guided by experienced regulatory and medical consultants alongside Stabl-Im founder Dr Daniel Tillett, with a first-in-human Phase 1 trial planned for 2026 to assess safety, imaging precision and reproducibility in patients with confirmed brain tumours, laying the groundwork for broader multi-site trials and strengthening TrivarX’s position in advanced neuro-oncology diagnostics.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 20, 2026