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TrivarX Limited (AU:TRI)
ASX:TRI

TrivarX Limited (TRI) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:TRI

TrivarX Limited

(Sydney:TRI)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.02
▲(10.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/14/26
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance: ongoing losses, negative operating cash flow/free cash flow, and no reported revenue in the provided periods. Technicals provide some support with price trading above key moving averages and positive momentum indicators, but valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no indicated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
Extremely low leverage and a sizeable equity base provide durable financial flexibility. With modest debt and growing assets, the company can fund operations, R&D or strategic initiatives without immediate refinancing pressure, supporting multi‑month resilience.
Improving cash and loss trajectory
Material reduction in free cash outflow and narrower net loss in 2025 suggests operational progress and lower burn. This trend reduces near‑term financing needs and signals a move toward cash stabilization if sustained over subsequent quarters.
Rising asset base
Year‑over‑year asset growth indicates ongoing investment in the business and a larger capital base to support development or commercialization. A growing asset base can underpin scale and long‑term capability to generate future revenue if monetization succeeds.
Negative Factors
No reported revenue
Absence of reported revenue is a structural concern: without demonstrated sales the business model and product‑market fit remain unproven. This forces dependence on external funding and makes sustainable profitability and cash self‑sufficiency uncertain over months.
Negative cash generation
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow indicate the company is consuming liquidity rather than generating it. This structural cash deficit constrains reinvestment, increases dilution or debt risk, and requires sustained financing to continue operations.
Ongoing net losses and negative returns
Consecutive annual losses and negative returns on equity show capital is not yet producing profits. Continued negative profitability erodes shareholder value and limits ability to self‑fund growth, making a durable path to positive returns uncertain.

TrivarX Limited (TRI) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

TrivarX Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrivarX Limited, a health technology company, engages in the development of AI-driven, scientifically-based devices for screening and diagnosis of behavioral health conditions in Australia and the United States. The company offers mental well-being solutions for businesses through corporate health product; and develops products for healthcare provider market. The company was formerly known as Medibio Limited and changed its name to TrivarX Limited in October 2023. TrivarX Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Mount Lawley, Australia.
How the Company Makes Money

TrivarX Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating performance is weak: net losses in both 2025 (-943k) and 2024 (-1.24m), negative operating income (EBIT -2.04m), and no reported revenue in the provided periods. Cash generation is also negative (FCF -190k in 2025 after -3.70m in 2024). The main offset is a relatively solid balance sheet structure with very low leverage and a sizeable equity base, plus an improved loss/FCF profile in 2025.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Profitability is weak across the last two annual periods, with net losses in both 2025 (-943k) and 2024 (-1.24m). The 2025 result also shows a sizable operating loss (EBIT -2.04m) and negative gross profit, indicating the cost base is not supported by the current revenue level (reported revenue is 0 in both years). While the net loss narrowed year over year, the lack of demonstrated revenue generation and persistently negative earnings keep the income statement score low.
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
The balance sheet looks comparatively stable due to very low leverage: debt-to-equity is ~0.013 in 2025 and ~0.002 in 2024, with modest total debt (169k in 2025) against a sizeable equity base (12.65m in 2025). Total assets increased to 13.48m in 2025 from 10.81m in 2024. The key weakness is ongoing negative returns on equity (about -7.5% in 2025 and -12.5% in 2024), meaning capital is not currently generating profits.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation is a major concern. Operating cash flow was negative in 2025 (-190k) and free cash flow was also negative (-190k), following a very large free cash outflow in 2024 (-3.70m). While the 2025 free cash outflow is far smaller than 2024, free cash flow growth is still negative and operating cash flow remains below net income in 2025 (operating cash flow to net income is negative due to outflows). Overall, the company is consuming cash rather than producing it.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.00
Gross Profit-52.47K0.00
EBITDA-1.89M-1.13M
Net Income-943.23K-1.24M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.48M10.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.25M848.10K
Total Debt169.03K15.90K
Total Liabilities831.22K1.18M
Stockholders Equity12.65M9.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-189.74K-3.70M
Operating Cash Flow-189.74K0.00
Investing Cash Flow-2.09M-2.85M
Financing Cash Flow2.68M4.32M

TrivarX Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
AU$17.00M-2.07-67.78%37.78%
47
Neutral
AU$24.23M-6.11-8.06%
44
Neutral
AU$13.06M-4.38241.34%44.19%
42
Neutral
AU$4.12M-5.07-9.90%34.07%
40
Underperform
AU$7.43M-0.97-40.05%-49.57%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:TRI
TrivarX Limited
0.03
<0.01
56.25%
DE:UV7
Tali Digital
0.02
-0.03
-60.00%
AU:GLH
Global Health Limited
0.07
-0.06
-43.08%
AU:PKY
Opyl Ltd.
0.03
<0.01
47.37%
AU:HIQ
HitIQ Limited
0.02
-0.02
-58.33%
AU:ICR
InteliCare Holdings Limited
0.02
0.01
100.00%

TrivarX Limited Corporate Events

TrivarX Flags Sharp Revenue Fall and Wider Loss as Auditor Raises Going-Concern Uncertainty
Feb 24, 2026

TrivarX Limited reported a collapse in revenue from ordinary activities to $2,270 for the half-year ended 31 December 2025, compared with $1.13 million a year earlier, while its net loss attributable to members widened sharply to $1.26 million from $91,083. The company did not declare an interim dividend, though net tangible assets per share rose to 0.248 cents, and its auditor highlighted a material uncertainty over TrivarX’s ability to continue as a going concern, underscoring ongoing financial pressure despite the accounts being prepared on a going concern basis.

The board confirmed no dividends were paid or recommended for the period, and there were no changes in control, associates, or joint ventures, suggesting a relatively static corporate structure. The auditor’s emphasis of matter, while not a qualification, signals heightened risk for stakeholders as the company navigates sustained losses and relies on its existing capital base to support operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TRI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TrivarX Limited stock, see the AU:TRI Stock Forecast page.

TrivarX Expands into Brain Cancer Imaging as Veteran Trial Validates Depression Diagnostic
Jan 29, 2026

TrivarX has exercised its option to acquire 100% of the Stabl-Im brain imaging intellectual property from Nucleics Pty Ltd, expanding its portfolio beyond ECG-based diagnostics into neuro-oncology. Stabl-Im is designed to use stable isotope labelling with standard MRI to detect active tumour growth earlier and more safely than conventional imaging, potentially enabling non-invasive monitoring of brain cancers and brain metastases in a global neuro-oncology market valued at hundreds of millions of dollars, with related treatment markets projected in the billions. Alongside this strategic move, the company reported clinically meaningful results from a US Veterans Affairs-backed trial using its single-lead ECG algorithm to screen for current major depressive episodes in veterans with suspected sleep apnoea, demonstrating sensitivity and specificity broadly comparable to its more complex multi-biomarker MEB-001 algorithm. Together with a recently completed A$4.2 million placement to fund development and near-term plans for regulatory engagement and Phase 1 trials, these developments support TrivarX’s bid to strengthen its position in neurological and mental health diagnostics and open new partnering and commercialisation avenues.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TRI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TrivarX Limited stock, see the AU:TRI Stock Forecast page.

TrivarX Discloses Final Director Interest Following Resignation of John Mathias
Jan 1, 2026

TrivarX Limited has announced a change to its board, with director John Mathias ceasing to serve as a director effective 31 December 2025. At the time of his departure, Mathias held 2.5 million options in TrivarX, expiring in December 2028 at an exercise price of $0.025, as well as a beneficial interest in 84,850 fully paid ordinary shares held through National Financial Services, and no interests in relevant contracts were disclosed, providing investors with clarity on his residual exposure to the company following his exit.

FIL Limited Cuts Stake in TrivarX Below Substantial Holder Threshold
Dec 23, 2025

FIL Limited and its associated entities have notified TrivarX Limited that they have ceased to be a substantial holder in the company as of 19 December 2025, in accordance with substantial shareholding disclosure requirements. Following recent transactions, FIL’s holding in TrivarX stands at 42,502,362 common shares, representing 3.68% of the company’s voting power, indicating a reduction below the substantial shareholder threshold and signalling a shift in the company’s institutional investor base that may affect perceptions of its shareholder structure but does not alter control of the company.

TrivarX Raises $3.5m to Advance Stabl-Im Brain Tumour Imaging Platform Toward Clinical Trials
Dec 22, 2025

TrivarX Limited has secured $3.5 million from the second tranche of a strategic placement, bolstering its balance sheet and giving it greater financial flexibility to advance its Stabl-Im imaging platform for brain tumour detection. The funds will support manufacturing scale-up, quality-control validation of stable isotope compounds, and regulatory pre-submission activities in the US and EU as the company moves Stabl-Im toward the clinic. Stabl-Im uses stable isotope labelling and standard MRI to safely and non-invasively visualise replicating tumour cells in the brain, potentially offering a breakthrough alternative to radiation-based or surgical methods. The work will be guided by experienced regulatory and medical consultants alongside Stabl-Im founder Dr Daniel Tillett, with a first-in-human Phase 1 trial planned for 2026 to assess safety, imaging precision and reproducibility in patients with confirmed brain tumours, laying the groundwork for broader multi-site trials and strengthening TrivarX’s position in advanced neuro-oncology diagnostics.

TrivarX Director Boosts Indirect Shareholding Through Placement
Dec 19, 2025

TrivarX Limited has disclosed a change in director David Trimboli’s indirect interest in the company’s securities via Seefeld Investments Pty Ltd, an entity through which he holds his stake. Following a tranche-two placement approved by shareholders at a general meeting on 12 December 2025, Seefeld Investments acquired 6,250,000 additional ordinary shares for $50,000, increasing Trimboli’s indirect holding to 25,881,639 ordinary shares alongside a substantial suite of options, signalling strengthened director alignment with shareholders and a modest capital injection to support the company’s ongoing funding needs.

TrivarX Director Lifts Stake Through Placement and Nucleics Acquisition Facilitation Options
Dec 19, 2025

TrivarX Limited has disclosed a significant increase in director Christopher Ntoumenopoulos’s equity exposure following shareholder-approved capital raisings and incentive issuances. The director, through direct holdings and indirectly via Sobol Capital Pty Ltd, has acquired 11.25 million new ordinary shares and 75 million long-dated options as part of a placement and as facilitation fees for services linked to TrivarX’s acquisition of Nucleics, materially lifting his stake and aligning his interests more closely with the company’s future performance.

TrivarX Confirms Compliance as It Issues 437.7 Million New Shares Under Placement
Dec 18, 2025

TrivarX Limited has issued 437,725,337 new fully paid ordinary shares at $0.008 per share as part of a placement previously announced in October and approved by shareholders in December. The company has confirmed that these shares were issued without a prospectus under the Corporations Act disclosure exemptions, while affirming its ongoing compliance with financial reporting and continuous disclosure obligations and stating that there is no withheld price-sensitive information, providing investors with reassurance about transparency and regulatory adherence around the capital raising.

TrivarX Issues 20 Million Unquoted Options in Capital Structure Move
Dec 18, 2025

TrivarX Ltd has notified the market of a new issue of unquoted equity securities, comprising 20 million options exercisable at $0.015 and expiring on 19 December 2028. The options, which form part of a previously announced transaction and are not intended to be quoted on the ASX, signal an expansion of the company’s equity-based instruments that could affect future capital structure and potential dilution for existing shareholders if exercised.

TrivarX Seeks ASX Quotation for 437.7 Million New Shares
Dec 18, 2025

TrivarX Ltd has applied to the ASX for quotation of 437,725,337 new fully paid ordinary shares under its ticker code TRI, expanding its listed securities on the exchange. The issuance, tied to previously flagged transactions, significantly increases the company’s quoted share base, which may affect its capital structure, liquidity, and ownership dynamics once the new shares commence trading on 19 December 2025.

TrivarX Achieves Breakthrough in Veteran Mental Health Diagnostics with Single-Lead ECG Success
Dec 17, 2025

TrivarX Limited reported positive results from a clinical trial evaluating its single-lead ECG algorithm designed to detect major depressive episodes (cMDE) in U.S. veterans. The trial, conducted in collaboration with the Greater Los Angeles Research and Education Foundation and the VA Greater Los Angeles Healthcare System, showcased the algorithm’s impressive sensitivity of 97%, underlining its potential to improve early detection of mental health conditions in veterans. The technology’s ability to integrate into existing clinical workflows supports efficient adoption and aligns with the VA’s priorities, strengthening TrivarX’s market position and paving the way for broader clinical and commercial opportunities.

TrivarX Limited Announces Resignation of Director John Mathias
Dec 5, 2025

TrivarX Limited announced the resignation of John Mathias as a non-executive director, effective December 31, 2025, as he plans to reduce his workload in preparation for retirement. His departure marks a significant change for the company, as he played a crucial role in promoting TrivarX’s technology to a broader market since joining the board in October 2024. The company continues to focus on its strategy to unlock value for shareholders.

TrivarX Limited Announces Director’s Interest Change
Dec 2, 2025

TrivarX Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest in securities, specifically involving Tony Keating. The company has increased its holdings through Littles Brook Consulting Pty Ltd, acquiring 2,739,726 ordinary fully paid shares and 7,000,000 options expiring in December 2028. This change was approved by members at the AGM on November 21, 2025, and reflects a strategic move to align director compensation with company performance, potentially impacting shareholder value and market perception.

TrivarX Limited Director Acquires New Options
Dec 2, 2025

TrivarX Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically for Director John Mathias, who has acquired 2,500,000 options expiring on December 2, 2028, at an exercise price of $0.025. This acquisition, approved as incentive options at the AGM on November 21, 2025, reflects a strategic move to align the director’s interests with the company’s long-term goals, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence and market perception positively.

TrivarX Limited Announces Director’s Interest Changes
Dec 2, 2025

TrivarX Limited has announced a change in the interests of its director, David Trimboli, involving the acquisition of additional shares and options. The director’s indirect interest through Seefeld Investments Pty Ltd now includes 19,631,639 ordinary fully paid shares and various options with different expiration dates. This change was primarily due to the issuance of shares in lieu of director fees and incentive options approved at the company’s AGM, reflecting a strategic move to align director incentives with company performance.

TrivarX Limited Announces Director’s Interest Changes
Dec 2, 2025

TrivarX Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Christopher Ntoumenopoulos. The change includes the acquisition of 2,739,726 ordinary fully paid shares and 7,000,000 options expiring in December 2028, which were issued as incentive options. This adjustment in holdings reflects a strategic move approved by members at the recent AGM, potentially impacting the company’s governance and aligning director interests with company performance.

TrivarX Limited Issues Shares to Settle Director Fees
Dec 2, 2025

TrivarX Limited has issued 8,767,123 ordinary fully paid shares at $0.0219 per share to settle outstanding director fees, as announced under section 708A of the Corporations Act. This move, authorized by the Board of Directors, indicates compliance with relevant legal provisions and suggests a strategic financial management approach, potentially impacting the company’s financial standing and stakeholder interests.

TrivarX Limited Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Dec 2, 2025

TrivarX Limited has announced the quotation of 8,767,123 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), effective December 2, 2025. This move is part of previously announced transactions and is expected to bolster the company’s market position by increasing its liquidity and investor base.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 14, 2026