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Theta Gold Mines Ltd. (AU:TGM)
ASX:TGM
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Theta Gold Mines (TGM) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:TGM

Theta Gold Mines

(Sydney:TGM)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.19
▲(14.12% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:02/04/26
The score is held down primarily by very weak financial performance (no revenue, recurring losses, and ongoing cash burn with high leverage). Technicals provide some support with price above key moving averages and positive MACD, but valuation remains unattractive/unclear due to continued losses and no stated dividend.
Positive Factors
Attractive Asset Location
Theta’s assets sit in the historically productive Transvaal Goldfields, a structural advantage for a gold developer. This endowment improves the long-term odds of discovering economic resources and supports project economics if exploration and permitting progress, providing durable optionality.
Negative Factors
No Revenue / Recurring Losses
The company generates no operating revenue and posts persistent net losses, meaning it cannot self-fund development or demonstrate commercial mining economics yet. This structural lack of operating income raises dilution risk and makes long-term viability contingent on successful project advancement or external funding.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Attractive Asset Location
Theta’s assets sit in the historically productive Transvaal Goldfields, a structural advantage for a gold developer. This endowment improves the long-term odds of discovering economic resources and supports project economics if exploration and permitting progress, providing durable optionality.
Read all positive factors

Theta Gold Mines (TGM) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Theta Gold Mines Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Theta Gold Mines Ltd. (TGM) is a gold exploration and mining company primarily focused on developing and operating its flagship Theta Project located in the Eastern Transvaal Gold Fields of South Africa. The company is engaged in exploring, mining...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Theta Gold Mines Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals: no revenue reported across periods provided, persistent net losses and negative EBIT/EBITDA, and ongoing cash burn (negative operating and free cash flow). Balance sheet stress remains with high leverage (debt-to-equity ~3.0x) despite equity turning positive in 2025 and debt moderating versus 2023–2024.
Income Statement
8
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
12
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.00-116.00K-1.15M-605.36K306.98K
EBITDA2.08M-4.47M-3.58M-4.66M-5.11M-3.52M
Net Income-1.09M-6.89M-6.39M-10.45M-10.53M-4.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets44.47M29.31M23.80M29.45M28.87M19.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.48M5.62M2.59M2.88M31.99K200.01K
Total Debt11.64M15.41M17.74M20.07M17.31M7.34M
Total Liabilities24.97M24.16M25.92M30.48M21.87M10.68M
Stockholders Equity19.50M5.15M-2.12M-1.03M7.01M8.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-604.66K-4.81M-6.18M-5.61M-10.69M-6.25M
Operating Cash Flow1.34M-2.48M-4.45M-4.16M-6.44M-4.04M
Investing Cash Flow-7.54M-2.54M-2.59M-786.44K-5.07M-2.15M
Financing Cash Flow17.37M8.05M7.71M7.77M11.27M6.20M

Theta Gold Mines Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.17
Price Trends
50DMA
0.21
Negative
100DMA
0.21
Negative
200DMA
0.20
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
40.84
Neutral
STOCH
55.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:TGM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.21, below the 50-day MA of 0.21, and below the 200-day MA of 0.20, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:TGM.

Theta Gold Mines Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
AU$300.38M2.5816.50%3.30%22.05%256.19%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
55
Neutral
AU$180.01M-17.50-26.45%-3250.00%
53
Neutral
AU$262.47M-21.44-5.27%7.64%
50
Neutral
AU$270.83M-26.94-5.45%-176.00%
49
Neutral
AU$225.57M-4.78-8.87%99.23%
45
Neutral
AU$213.15M-9.22-87.62%-100.00%-2337.50%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:TGM
Theta Gold Mines
0.21
0.09
82.61%
AU:TBR
Tribune Resources Limited
5.50
0.89
19.38%
AU:STN
Saturn Metals Ltd.
0.51
0.24
85.45%
AU:BGD
Barton Gold Holdings Limited
0.91
0.24
35.82%
AU:AS1
Golden Rim Resources Ltd
0.13
0.08
170.83%
AU:VTM
Victory Goldfields Limited
1.31
0.19
16.96%

Theta Gold Mines Corporate Events

Theta Gold Secures Key Crushing Plant Contract for TGME Project
Mar 19, 2026
Theta Gold Mines has signed a manufacturing contract with NMS Africa for a three-stage crushing and screening plant at its TGME Gold Project in South Africa, marking a key step toward first production. The plant is designed to meet initial ore pro...
Theta Gold Mines Releases Half-Year Financial Report and Corporate Update
Mar 15, 2026
Theta Gold Mines Limited has released its half-year financial report for the six months ended 31 December 2025, outlining its corporate structure and regulatory disclosures. The report highlights the company’s leadership team, auditor, stock...
Resource Stocks Drive Major Reshuffle in S&P/ASX Indices for March 2026
Mar 6, 2026
SP Dow Jones Indices has announced a broad reshuffle of its SP/ASX index family, effective before the market opens on 23 March 2026, with multiple additions and removals across the SP/ASX 20, 50, 100, 200 and 300 benchmarks. The changes, which ele...
Theta Gold advances TGME Project with key construction contracts
Mar 3, 2026
Theta Gold Mines has entered Phase 2 of construction at its TGME Gold Project, awarding structural, mechanical, platework and piping contracts to engineering firms PICM and RM Process. The partners will fabricate steelworks off-site using a modula...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026