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Tribune Resources Limited (AU:TBR)
ASX:TBR

Tribune Resources Limited (TBR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:TBR

Tribune Resources Limited

(Sydney:TBR)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
AU$7.50
▲(25.84% Upside)
The score is primarily supported by strong financial resilience (near-zero leverage) and an improved 2025 profitability backdrop, plus attractive valuation (low P/E and solid dividend yield). These positives are tempered by weaker near-term technical signals and historically volatile earnings/free cash flow typical of a commodity-exposed business.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
Near-zero leverage gives Tribune durable financial flexibility: it can fund exploration, sustain operations through gold price troughs, pursue opportunistic M&A or return capital without relying on markets. Low debt materially reduces solvency risk over the medium term.
Improved profitability and margins
Higher margins and a strong 2025 net margin improve internal capital generation and the firm’s ability to finance sustaining/growth capex. Durable margin improvement increases return on invested capital and strengthens the company’s ability to absorb cyclical revenue swings.
Strong operating cash conversion
Operating cash flow materially exceeding reported earnings indicates high cash quality and better liquidity to support operations and investments. This durable cash generation reduces reliance on external funding during down cycles and supports steady capital allocation.
Negative Factors
Earnings & FCF volatility
Historic swings in earnings and free cash flow reflect commodity exposure and production variability. This persistent volatility complicates multi-period planning, dividend predictability and capital allocation, increasing execution risk across 2–6 month horizons and beyond.
Modest free cash flow share
FCF equal to roughly a quarter of net income limits the company’s net capacity to reinvest, pay sustained dividends, or pursue large acquisitions without drawing on reserves. This structural constraint makes growth or higher shareholder returns contingent on improved cash conversion.
High revenue exposure to gold price and volumes
Business model dependence on produced gold and prevailing bullion prices creates structural cyclicality. Revenue and margins remain sensitive to commodity moves and output changes, so long-term stability depends on sustained production, commodity hedging or diversification strategies.

Tribune Resources Limited (TBR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Tribune Resources Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTribune Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, exploration, and production of mineral properties in Australia. The company explores for gold and silver deposits. It holds 36.75% interest in the East Kundana joint venture and 24.5% interest in the West Kundana joint venture located in Western Australia; and 100% interest in the Seven Mile Hill project situated in Western Australia and the Japa concession located in Ghana, West Africa. The company also holds an interest in Diwalwal Gold Project situated in Mindanao, Philippines. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is based in South Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyTribune Resources Limited generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of gold from its mining operations. The company is involved in the entire lifecycle of mining activities, including exploration to identify and assess potential mining sites, development of mining infrastructure, and production where gold is extracted and processed. The company sells its gold output to refineries and commodity traders, which constitutes the main revenue stream. Tribune Resources may also engage in joint ventures or strategic partnerships with other mining entities to optimize resource extraction and share operational risks and costs. Additionally, the company may generate ancillary revenue from the sale of by-products or through leasing or selling mining rights for certain tenements.

Tribune Resources Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet with essentially no debt and improved returns in 2025 supports financial flexibility. Profitability rebounded sharply in 2025 with high margins, but earnings and free cash flow have been volatile across years, lowering consistency.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Profitability rebounded sharply in the latest annual period (2025) with strong revenue growth (up ~18%) and very high gross and EBITDA margins, lifting net margin to ~21% versus ~4% in 2024. However, earnings have been volatile across the cycle (near-breakeven in 2022–2023, very strong in 2020–2021), which is typical for gold but still reduces consistency/quality of the run-rate.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Balance sheet is exceptionally conservative with essentially no debt in 2024–2025 (and de minimis leverage in prior years), supporting strong financial flexibility. Equity base is sizeable and stable, and returns improved materially in 2025 versus very low levels in 2022–2024. The main weakness is that shareholder returns have been inconsistent year-to-year, reflecting commodity-driven earnings variability rather than balance-sheet strain.
Cash Flow
66
Positive
Cash generation is solid in the latest year with operating cash flow well above net income (coverage ~2.9x in 2025), indicating good cash conversion in the current period. Free cash flow is positive but comparatively modest versus earnings (about 24% of net income in 2025) and slightly down year over year, and the history shows variability including a negative free-cash-flow year (2020), pointing to capex/working-capital swings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue160.34M160.84M107.90M92.05M124.06M177.57M
Gross Profit105.35M105.85M61.46M25.78M20.07M104.70M
EBITDA91.82M107.76M28.16M20.82M26.89M110.92M
Net Income33.24M33.24M4.33M522.82K1.80M50.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets350.22M350.22M313.23M306.35M330.09M353.72M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.45M12.45M8.91M7.10M6.84M4.16M
Total Debt0.000.000.0045.93K865.57K3.32M
Total Liabilities35.32M35.32M26.80M16.36M31.18M48.12M
Stockholders Equity258.37M258.37M233.87M237.95M248.22M257.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.92M16.92M15.39M14.35M18.44M12.82M
Operating Cash Flow71.75M71.75M46.76M28.30M37.82M44.38M
Investing Cash Flow-54.70M-54.70M-31.36M-13.79M-19.24M-30.95M
Financing Cash Flow-13.52M-13.52M-13.57M-14.25M-15.89M-23.29M

Tribune Resources Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.96
Price Trends
50DMA
6.30
Positive
100DMA
6.35
Positive
200DMA
5.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Negative
RSI
64.94
Neutral
STOCH
61.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:TBR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.96 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.69, below the 50-day MA of 6.30, and above the 200-day MA of 5.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:TBR.

Tribune Resources Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
AU$367.28M11.0513.71%3.30%48.57%666.83%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
57
Neutral
€627.30M-34.42-11.99%1.60%
52
Neutral
AU$495.29M-119.57-4.34%28.13%
50
Neutral
AU$1.27B-63.83-183.07%70.81%
45
Neutral
AU$649.25M-106.41-9.13%-5.41%
45
Neutral
AU$391.43M-4.10-42.80%3078.36%-93.66%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:TBR
Tribune Resources Limited
6.97
2.28
48.49%
AU:AUC
Ausgold Limited
1.06
0.58
120.83%
AU:AAR
Astral Resources NL
0.28
0.14
96.43%
AU:WIA
WIA Gold Limited
0.42
0.27
176.67%
AU:DTR
Dateline Resources Limited
0.30
0.29
2900.00%
AU:BTR
Brightstar Resources Limited
0.53
0.03
5.00%

Tribune Resources Limited Corporate Events

Tribune Resources Lifts EKJV Gold Output and Completes Ghana Drilling Campaign
Jan 28, 2026

Tribune Resources reported a strong December 2025 quarter, with its share of ore mined from the East Kundana Joint Venture rising to 116,768 tonnes at 2.6 g/t for 9,757 ounces of gold, contributing to a 96% increase in gold mined for the Rand-Tribune group versus the prior quarter. Processing at Evolution Mining’s Mungari plant delivered 6,720 ounces of gold for Rand and Tribune, of which Tribune’s 75% share was 5,040 ounces, while the company simultaneously advanced its growth pipeline by completing 8,412 metres of exploration drilling at the Japa and Adiembra projects in Ghana and reporting no safety or environmental incidents, underscoring both operational momentum and a continued push to expand its resource base.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TBR) stock is a Buy with a A$7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tribune Resources Limited stock, see the AU:TBR Stock Forecast page.

Tribune Releases Q2 FY2026 Exploration Update for East Kundana Joint Venture
Jan 14, 2026

Tribune Resources has released the exploration report for the East Kundana Joint Venture for the second quarter of FY2026, covering activities up to 31 December 2025 at the gold project located near Kalgoorlie and Coolgardie in Western Australia. The update confirms ongoing exploration under the EKJV structure, in which Tribune holds a 36.75% stake alongside Evolution Mining’s 51% and Rand Mining’s 12.25%, underscoring Tribune’s continued participation in a significant regional gold venture and the alignment of its exploration strategy with its joint venture partners.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TBR) stock is a Buy with a A$7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tribune Resources Limited stock, see the AU:TBR Stock Forecast page.

Tribune Resources Updates EKJV Exploration Report for FY2026 Q1
Dec 10, 2025

Tribune Resources Limited has replaced its previous EKJV Exploration Report for FY2026 Quarter 1 with a new version that includes additional disclosures for clarity, following discussions with the ASX. The updated report now features detailed information on cut-off grades and a revised plan view map showing all drillhole collars. The company has also removed any visual estimates from the report to comply with ASX listing rules, advising investors not to base decisions on the removed information.

Tribune Resources Appoints New Joint Company Secretary
Dec 7, 2025

Tribune Resources Limited has appointed Maddison Cramer as Joint Company Secretary, following Stephen Buckley’s resignation. Ms. Cramer’s extensive experience as a corporate lawyer and company secretary is expected to enhance the company’s communication with the ASX and strengthen its corporate governance.

Tribune Resources Announces Resignation of Company Secretary
Nov 28, 2025

Tribune Resources Limited announced the resignation of Stephen Buckley from his role as Company Secretary, effective at the end of November 30, 2025. The board expressed gratitude for his seven years of service and wished him success in future endeavors, indicating a transition in the company’s administrative team.

Tribune Resources AGM: Key Resolutions and Outcomes
Nov 28, 2025

Tribune Resources Limited held its Annual General Meeting where several resolutions were voted upon, including the adoption of the remuneration report and the re-election of a director. Notably, the renewal of proportional takeover provisions was passed as a special resolution, while the election of a non-board endorsed director was defeated. These outcomes may influence the company’s governance and strategic direction, impacting stakeholders’ interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025