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Astral Resources NL (AU:AAR)
ASX:AAR
Australian Market

Astral Resources NL (AAR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:AAR

Astral Resources NL

(Sydney:AAR)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.27
â–¼(-4.29% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by the pre-revenue, loss-making profile and ongoing cash burn, despite a strong low-debt balance sheet. Technicals provide a modest tailwind with the price trending above major moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation remains constrained by negative earnings and no stated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Low-debt balance sheet
Minimal debt and materially expanded equity provide durable financial flexibility for an exploration company. Low leverage reduces bankruptcy risk and preserves optionality to fund drilling or studies via equity or project financing without heavy interest burdens, supporting multi‑month project development.
Gold-focused asset base in Western Australia
AAR’s focused business model—gold exploration and development with assets concentrated in Western Australia—gives clear strategic alignment and operational focus. Concentration in a major gold jurisdiction preserves exploration upside and allows management to prioritize resource definition and permitting efficiency.
Improving cash burn in FY2025
Narrowing free cash flow losses indicate management is moderating spending or achieving operating efficiencies, extending runway. This durable improvement reduces near-term funding pressure and potential dilution, improving the company’s ability to advance projects before additional capital raises.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue business model
With no revenue to date, the company relies entirely on exploration value creation and external capital. This structural lack of operating income means progress depends on successful discoveries and project advancement, extending timeline and execution risk for realizing shareholder returns.
Consistent negative operating cash flow
Persistent negative operating cash flow creates a structural funding requirement: the company must access capital markets or partners to fund exploration and studies. That dependence can lead to dilution, timing risk, and constrained ability to pursue multiple high‑cost programs simultaneously.
Negative returns on deployed equity
Despite growing equity and assets, the company has produced negative ROE each year, signaling capital has yet to translate into profitable operations or value-realizing projects. This structural shortfall raises the bar for future drilling success to justify prior capital injections.

Astral Resources NL (AAR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Astral Resources NL Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAstral Resources NL engages in the exploration of gold and base metal projects in Western Australia. The company's principal property is the 100% owned Mandilla gold project located in the northern Widgiemooltha greenstone belt in the western part of the Kalgoorlie geological domain. It also holds 100% interest in Feysville gold project located in the Archean Kambalda Domain; Carnilya Hill gold project located approximately 40 kilometers south-east of Kalgoorlie; Koongie Park gold and base metals projects, which is located to the north-eastern Western Australia; and Leonora base metal project located in the Western Australia. The company also explores for copper, zinc, and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Anglo Australian Resources NL and changed its name to Astral Resources NL in April 2022. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is based in South Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAstral Resources NL makes money primarily through the exploration and potential future production of mineral resources, particularly gold and base metals. The company's revenue model involves the discovery and development of mineral deposits, which can be monetized through several avenues. These include selling or leasing exploration rights, entering joint ventures with larger mining companies, or progressing projects to the production phase to directly extract and sell minerals. Additionally, Astral Resources may generate income from government grants or incentives designed to support mining exploration and development, as well as through strategic partnerships with other companies in the mining sector.

Astral Resources NL Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: a strong, low-debt balance sheet (Balance Sheet Score 72) is offset by a pre-revenue profile with persistent net losses (Income Statement Score 18) and ongoing negative operating/free cash flow despite some FY2025 improvement (Cash Flow Score 35).
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
The company remains pre-revenue (revenue is zero across all reported years), with persistent operating losses and net losses each year (net income ranging roughly from -A$2.4m to -A$3.7m). Losses improved versus FY2023 (net loss narrowed in FY2024 and stayed similar in FY2025), but profitability is still firmly negative and there is no evidence of a revenue ramp yet—typical for an early-stage gold explorer, but still a key earnings risk.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is a clear strength: debt is minimal (debt-to-equity consistently near zero), and equity and assets have expanded materially by FY2025 (equity ~A$87.4m vs ~A$11.5m in FY2020). The main weakness is that returns on equity are negative in every year due to ongoing losses, meaning shareholder capital is being deployed without near-term earnings support.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash generation is weak with consistently negative operating cash flow and free cash flow each year, reflecting ongoing exploration and corporate spend. A positive sign is improved cash burn in FY2025 versus FY2024 (free cash flow loss narrowed substantially), but cash flows still do not cover accounting losses in a sustainable way and funding needs likely remain dependent on external capital until revenue begins.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-140.81K-140.81K-102.34K-101.82K-90.41K-77.58K
EBITDA-2.49M-2.49M-1.95M-3.61M-2.26M-3.59M
Net Income-1.30M-2.64M-2.58M-3.71M-2.35M-3.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets91.88M91.88M35.54M27.01M22.82M23.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.60M18.60M5.77M1.32M3.18M9.81M
Total Debt124.67K124.67K119.81K50.52K117.07K63.96K
Total Liabilities4.49M4.49M1.03M1.50M2.00M693.86K
Stockholders Equity87.39M87.39M34.51M25.50M20.82M22.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.21M-2.36M-6.59M-9.11M-6.57M-6.80M
Operating Cash Flow-1.20M-2.29M-1.53M-1.86M-919.32K-1.23M
Investing Cash Flow-8.52M-8.52M-5.04M-7.18M-5.63M-5.21M
Financing Cash Flow23.65M23.65M11.02M7.18M-85.61K12.84M

Astral Resources NL Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.28
Price Trends
50DMA
0.24
Positive
100DMA
0.23
Positive
200DMA
0.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
57.53
Neutral
STOCH
72.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AAR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.26, above the 50-day MA of 0.24, and above the 200-day MA of 0.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:AAR.

Astral Resources NL Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
AU$367.28M11.0513.71%3.30%48.57%666.83%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
57
Neutral
AU$627.30M-34.42-11.99%――1.60%
55
Neutral
AU$515.55M-55.38-3.24%――30.85%
52
Neutral
AU$495.29M-119.57-4.34%――28.13%
50
Neutral
AU$1.27B-63.83-183.07%――70.81%
45
Neutral
AU$391.43M-4.10-42.80%―3078.36%-93.66%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AAR
Astral Resources NL
0.28
0.14
96.43%
AU:AUC
Ausgold Limited
1.06
0.58
120.83%
AU:TBR
Tribune Resources Limited
6.97
2.28
48.49%
AU:DTR
Dateline Resources Limited
0.30
0.29
2900.00%
AU:BTR
Brightstar Resources Limited
0.53
0.03
5.00%
AU:WC8
Wildcat Resources Ltd.
0.36
0.10
41.18%

Astral Resources NL Corporate Events

Astral Resources Director Increases Indirect Shareholding Via Placement Participation
Jan 29, 2026

Astral Resources NL has disclosed a change in director David Varcoe’s indirect holdings in the company, reflecting his participation in a previously announced share placement. The transaction, carried out via his spouse and the San Lorenzo Super Fund in which he is a beneficiary, involved the acquisition of 100,000 additional ordinary shares at $0.20 per share, lifting his indirect shareholding position while leaving his options unchanged; the move modestly increases director-aligned ownership and signals ongoing insider support for the company’s capital-raising efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AAR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astral Resources NL stock, see the AU:AAR Stock Forecast page.

Astral Resources Issues New Shares and Lodges Cleansing Notice After $65m Placement
Jan 28, 2026

Astral Resources NL has issued 8.5 million new fully paid ordinary shares as the second tranche of a previously announced $65 million capital raising, including director participation, at an issue price of $0.20 per share, following shareholder approval at a 23 January 2026 general meeting. The company has also issued a further 1 million shares upon exercise of unlisted options priced at $0.075, and has lodged a cleansing notice confirming the new securities were issued without a prospectus under the Corporations Act and that it remains compliant with its continuous disclosure and financial reporting obligations, thereby facilitating secondary trading of the new shares and reinforcing transparency for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AAR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astral Resources NL stock, see the AU:AAR Stock Forecast page.

Astral Resources Seeks ASX Quotation for 1 Million New Shares
Jan 28, 2026

Astral Resources NL, listed on the ASX under the code AAR, has applied for quotation of an additional 1,000,000 ordinary fully paid shares. The new securities, issued on 27 January 2026 through the exercise or conversion of existing instruments, will expand the company’s quoted capital base and may provide additional liquidity for shareholders once admitted to trading.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AAR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astral Resources NL stock, see the AU:AAR Stock Forecast page.

Astral Resources Seeks ASX Quotation for 8.5 Million New Shares
Jan 28, 2026

Astral Resources NL has applied to the ASX for quotation of 8.5 million new fully paid ordinary shares, to be traded under its existing ticker AAR. The securities, issued on 27 January 2026 pursuant to a previously announced transaction, will increase the company’s quoted share capital and may broaden its investor base and funding flexibility, though the notice provides no further details on the underlying transaction or use of proceeds.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AAR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astral Resources NL stock, see the AU:AAR Stock Forecast page.

Astral Resources Shareholders Approve All Resolutions at General Meeting
Jan 23, 2026

Astral Resources NL reported that all resolutions put to shareholders at its 23 January 2026 General Meeting were passed by poll, including ratification of Tranche 1 placement shares and approval for the issue of Tranche 2 placement shares. Shareholders also approved the issuance of placement shares to key individuals, including David Varcoe, Marc Ducler and Justin Osborne, underscoring strong investor support for the company’s recent capital-raising initiatives and providing a mandate to proceed with its funding and growth plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AAR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astral Resources NL stock, see the AU:AAR Stock Forecast page.

Astral Resources Unveils High-Grade Gold Hits and Secures Key Mining Licence at WA Projects
Jan 20, 2026

Astral Resources has reported strong high-grade drilling results from the Kamperman prospect at its Feysville Gold Project and from the Theia deposit at its Mandilla Gold Project, both in Western Australia. At Feysville, assays from 17 reverse circulation holes confirmed previously interpreted high-grade zones, identified new north-west striking high-grade mineralisation not yet included in the Kamperman resource model, and extended mineralisation at depth and in the footwall of the southern lode, highlighting potential for both resource growth and grade increases. The company has also secured the grant of a mining licence over areas of Feysville, a key step toward a mining proposal and a joint venture to develop the Think Big Gold Mine, which is expected to provide early cash flow to support funding of Mandilla’s development. At Mandilla’s Theia deposit, two diamond drilling programs intersected multiple high-grade zones, including very high-grade intervals within the main deposit and along the eastern flank, confirming the presence of discrete, narrow high-grade shear structures and potential additional sub-parallel mineralised zones. Backed by a recent capital raising, Astral has ramped up exploration in 2026 with three drill rigs on site and is progressing a definitive feasibility study for Mandilla ahead of a final investment decision, underscoring an accelerated push toward production and enhanced project economics amid strong gold prices.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AAR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astral Resources NL stock, see the AU:AAR Stock Forecast page.

Astral Resources Advances Mandilla Gold Study and Drilling as Cash Reserves Surge
Jan 12, 2026

Astral Resources reported a busy December 2025 quarter marked by intensive drilling across its Mandilla and Feysville gold projects, further de-risking and expanding key deposits such as Theia, Hestia, Eos and Kamperman, and progressing the Mandilla Definitive Feasibility Study and permitting work streams. The company signed a development partnership LOI for the Think Big deposit, secured a land use agreement and a key mining licence at Feysville, and materially strengthened its balance sheet through a $65 million placement, option exercises and continued funding from KOMIR for the Lefroy Lithium Project, lifting cash to about $76 million and bolstering its capacity to advance the Mandilla development plan outlined in its high-NPV Preliminary Feasibility Study.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AAR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.28 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astral Resources NL stock, see the AU:AAR Stock Forecast page.

Astral Resources Secures Key Mining Lease at Feysville to Advance Early Gold Production
Jan 11, 2026

Astral Resources has secured the grant of Mining Lease M26/846 over part of its Feysville Gold Project, covering the Think Big and Rogan Josh deposits, enabling the company to progress an early production opportunity at Think Big. The company plans to promptly seek a separate mining lease for the Kamperman deposit, expected to be finalised by the June 2026 quarter, strengthening Feysville’s role as a satellite ore source to Mandilla, where prefeasibility work has already demonstrated the project’s contribution to a 1.41Moz production target and reinforces Astral’s strategy of building a regional gold operation in the highly endowed Kambalda-Kalgoorlie belt.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AAR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.28 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astral Resources NL stock, see the AU:AAR Stock Forecast page.

Astral Resources Sets January 2026 General Meeting, Moves to Digital Meeting Materials
Dec 23, 2025

Astral Resources NL has called a General Meeting of shareholders to be held as a physical, in-person event on 23 January 2026 in Perth, Western Australia. In line with updated Corporations Act provisions, the company will not mail physical copies of the Notice of Meeting except to those who have specifically elected to receive hard copies, instead directing investors to access meeting materials via its website, ASX announcements page or email, and urging shareholders to review the documentation and seek professional advice if needed before voting.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AAR) stock is a Buy with a A$0.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astral Resources NL stock, see the AU:AAR Stock Forecast page.

Astral Resources Secures $63.3 Million in Capital Raise
Dec 18, 2025

Astral Resources NL has announced the completion of Tranche 1 of its two-tranche placement, successfully raising $63.3 million from institutional, professional, and sophisticated investors through the issuance of 316.5 million shares priced at $0.20 each. This capital raise supports Astral Resources’ growth and operational plans, marking a significant step in advancing its strategic objectives and potentially strengthening its position within the mining and exploration industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AAR) stock is a Buy with a A$0.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astral Resources NL stock, see the AU:AAR Stock Forecast page.

Astral Resources NL Applies for Quotation of New Securities
Dec 18, 2025

Astral Resources NL has officially applied for the quotation of 316.5 million fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as part of a previously announced transaction. This aligns with its strategic efforts to bolster capital and support exploration activities, signaling a step forward in strengthening its portfolio and operational capabilities in the resource sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AAR) stock is a Buy with a A$0.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astral Resources NL stock, see the AU:AAR Stock Forecast page.

Astral Resources Secures A$65 Million to Propel Gold Project Development
Dec 9, 2025

Astral Resources NL has successfully raised approximately A$65 million through a two-tranche share placement, receiving strong support from both existing and new institutional investors. The funds will be used to accelerate exploration and evaluation activities at its gold projects, particularly the Mandilla Gold Project, which is expected to reach a Final Investment Decision following the completion of a Definitive Feasibility Study in June 2026. This strategic financial move positions Astral Resources to advance its project financing discussions and progress towards becoming a leading gold producer in the Kalgoorlie region.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AAR) stock is a Buy with a A$0.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astral Resources NL stock, see the AU:AAR Stock Forecast page.

Astral Resources Completes Successful In-Fill Drilling at Mandilla Gold Project
Dec 1, 2025

Astral Resources NL has completed a 99-hole in-fill drilling program at the Theia Deposit within its Mandilla Gold Project, yielding high-grade assay results that confirm the geological interpretation and potential of the Stage 1 starter pit. The drilling program, which averaged 52.2 gram x metres per hole and 1.93g/t Au across all reported intervals, aims to de-risk the Theia Stage 1 starter pit and enhance the project’s feasibility. The results, including significant gold intersections, bolster Astral’s position in the gold mining sector and provide a positive outlook for stakeholders as the company progresses with further exploration and feasibility studies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AAR) stock is a Buy with a A$0.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astral Resources NL stock, see the AU:AAR Stock Forecast page.

Astral Resources NL Announces Director’s Interest Changes
Nov 20, 2025

Astral Resources NL has announced a change in the director’s interest notice, with Marc Ducler acquiring additional ordinary shares and performance rights. This change reflects the issuance of shares in lieu of a cash award and performance rights under the Employee Incentive Plan, indicating a strategic move to align management interests with company performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AAR) stock is a Buy with a A$0.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astral Resources NL stock, see the AU:AAR Stock Forecast page.

Astral Resources NL Issues Shares as Incentive to Managing Director
Nov 20, 2025

Astral Resources NL has issued 640,161 fully paid ordinary shares to its Managing Director as part of a short-term incentive plan, replacing cash payments with shares valued at $0.155 each. This move, approved at the company’s Annual General Meeting, aligns with regulatory compliance and aims to strengthen the company’s financial strategy by leveraging equity incentives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AAR) stock is a Buy with a A$0.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astral Resources NL stock, see the AU:AAR Stock Forecast page.

Astral Resources Issues Unquoted Performance Rights
Nov 20, 2025

Astral Resources NL has announced the issuance of 2,121,212 performance rights under an employee incentive scheme. These unquoted securities are subject to transfer restrictions and will not be quoted on the ASX until these restrictions end, potentially impacting employee retention and motivation strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AAR) stock is a Buy with a A$0.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astral Resources NL stock, see the AU:AAR Stock Forecast page.

Astral Resources NL Announces Quotation of New Securities
Nov 20, 2025

Astral Resources NL has announced the quotation of 640,161 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code AAR. This move is part of a previously announced transaction, and it signifies the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance its market presence and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AAR) stock is a Buy with a A$0.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astral Resources NL stock, see the AU:AAR Stock Forecast page.

Astral Resources NL Successfully Passes All Resolutions at AGM
Nov 20, 2025

Astral Resources NL announced the results of its Annual General Meeting held on 20 November 2025, where all proposed resolutions were successfully carried. The resolutions included the re-election of a director, renewal of the employee incentive plan, issuance of shares and performance rights to key personnel, and approval of a 10% placement facility. These approvals are expected to support the company’s strategic initiatives and enhance its operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AAR) stock is a Buy with a A$0.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astral Resources NL stock, see the AU:AAR Stock Forecast page.

Astral Resources Unveils Promising High-Grade Gold Discoveries at Mandilla
Nov 17, 2025

Astral Resources has announced significant results from its in-fill drilling program at the Theia Deposit, part of the Mandilla Gold Project. The drilling has confirmed multiple zones of high-grade gold mineralization, with notable intercepts that reinforce the potential profitability of the Theia Stage 1 open pit. Additionally, a new high-grade target has been discovered west of Theia, indicating further exploration potential. These developments are expected to enhance Astral’s market position and provide substantial returns for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AAR) stock is a Buy with a A$0.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astral Resources NL stock, see the AU:AAR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026