Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$10.27M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 2.30M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.90
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: 44.90%
• Country: AU
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Industrial Materials
• EPS (TTM): >-0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 684,786,400
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,841,350
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,299,269
• PEG Ratio: 0.03
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.83
• Price to Sales (P/S): 65.18
• P/FCF Ratio: -1.24
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 40 Underperform
• Price Target: AU$0.02 ▼(-25.00% Downside)
• Action: Downgraded Date: 03/04/26
• Date: Action: Downgraded 03/04/26

The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, negative ROE, and negative operating cash flow) despite improving revenue and low leverage. Technical indicators also lean bearish with the price below key longer-term moving averages and a negative MACD. Valuation is constrained by a negative P/E (loss-making) and no dividend support.

Positive Factors

Low leverage / balance sheet flexibility

Minimal leverage reduces fixed financing costs and preserves funding flexibility for multi-stage exploration programs. This balance-sheet conservatism helps the company withstand commodity cycles, supports the ability to fund or farm-out projects without heavy interest burdens, and improves strategic optionality over 2-6 months.

Improving revenue trend

A sustained revenue increase signals improving operational traction or monetization of project activity, which can reduce reliance on equity raises. Over the medium term, rising top-line metrics enhance partner interest for JV/farm-out deals and provide incremental runway to progress targets toward resource definition or sale.

Focus on copper and gold targets

Concentration on copper and gold aligns the portfolio with long-term structural demand drivers: copper for electrification/energy infrastructure and gold as a store of value. This commodity focus can attract strategic partners and financing, increasing the likelihood that discoveries translate into durable value.

Negative Factors

Persistent unprofitability

Ongoing negative profitability erodes shareholder value and necessitates external funding to continue exploration. Persistent losses reduce internal funding capacity, can dilute existing holders via future raises, and make it harder to invest steadily in discovery-to-resource workflows without partner funding.

Negative operating cash flow

Negative operating cash flow is a structural constraint for an explorer: it forces recurrent capital raises or dependence on farm-outs, increasing dilution risk and potentially slowing multi-year drilling and evaluation programs. This limits ability to self-fund value-accretive milestones.

Exploration-stage, no recurring revenue

As a non-producing explorer the business model is binary and capital intensive: value depends on successful discovery, partnerization, or asset sale. This structural profile implies higher outcome volatility and longer timelines to cash generation compared with producing peers.

Stavely Minerals Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Stavely Minerals Limited, a mineral resource company, engages in the exploration and development of mineral projects in Australia. The company explores for copper, gold, zinc, and silver deposits. It holds 100% interests in the Stavely project covering an area of approximately 1,000 square kilometers located west of Melbourne; the Ararat project that covers an area of approximately 26 square kilometers situated in western margin of the Stawell-Bendigo zone; and the Yarram Park project located in western Victoria. The company was formerly known as Northern Platinum Pty Ltd. Stavely Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Nedlands, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

Stavely Minerals Ltd does not operate producing mines and, based on publicly available information, does not generate recurring operating revenue from mineral sales. The company’s business model is primarily exploration-stage: it deploys capital to acquire and maintain exploration tenements, conduct exploration programs, and, if successful, define mineral resources that can be monetized in the future. Potential monetization pathways typically include selling a project/tenement package, farming out interests to a partner in exchange for cash payments and/or the partner funding exploration and development (joint venture), or advancing a discovery toward development and production; however, specific agreements, producing assets, or disclosed recurring revenue streams cannot be confirmed from the information available here and are therefore null. Significant partnerships or project-level commercial arrangements contributing to current earnings: null.

Stavely Minerals Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue increased strongly (+27.36%) and leverage is minimal (debt-to-equity 0.02), but the company remains loss-making with negative net profit/EBIT/EBITDA margins, negative ROE, and negative operating cash flow—overall financial health is still weak.

Income Statement

Stavely Minerals Ltd has shown a significant improvement in revenue growth, with a 27.36% increase in the latest year. However, the company continues to face substantial profitability challenges, as indicated by negative net profit, EBIT, and EBITDA margins. The gross profit margin has improved to 100%, but the overall financial health remains weak due to persistent losses.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.02, indicating minimal leverage, which is a positive aspect. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses and poor returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting a solid asset base, but the negative ROE highlights profitability issues.

Cash Flow

Stavely Minerals Ltd has shown some improvement in free cash flow growth, but the operating cash flow remains negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting that the company is generating some cash relative to its net losses, but overall cash flow health is weak.

Breakdown	TTM	Jun 2025	Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	48.26K	79.45K	66.89K	59.10K	42.19K	40.89K
Gross Profit	-45.16K	79.45K	-2.66M	-156.66K	-104.32K	-85.30K
EBITDA	-3.39M	-4.09M	-6.76M	-8.49M	-13.82M	-22.65M
Net Income	-3.45M	-4.12M	-5.59M	-8.86M	-13.97M	-21.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	6.31M	6.94M	9.38M	8.99M	6.33M	19.97M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	489.29K	1.17M	3.73M	1.65M	922.22K	15.31M
Total Debt	80.81K	126.07K	209.99K	1.60M	94.29K	180.03K
Total Liabilities	417.11K	732.40K	896.83K	2.79M	1.28M	1.76M
Stockholders Equity	5.90M	6.21M	8.48M	6.20M	5.05M	18.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-3.91M	-4.16M	-4.51M	-9.93M	-12.05M	-22.25M
Operating Cash Flow	-3.69M	-3.86M	-4.39M	-7.26M	-11.95M	-21.49M
Investing Cash Flow	-222.61K	-334.04K	1.75M	-2.56M	-846.85K	-171.46K
Financing Cash Flow	1.73M	1.64M	4.71M	10.56M	-96.17K	26.06M

Stavely Minerals Ltd Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 0.02
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SVY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.01, above the 50-day MA of 0.02, and above the 200-day MA of 0.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 233.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:SVY.

Stavely Minerals Ltd Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
GRE	45 Neutral	AU$20.59M	-3.24	-104.93%	―	―	-69.98%
MTL	44 Neutral	AU$7.23M	-2.49	-49.11%	―	―	50.00%
G88	43 Neutral	AU$5.22M	-0.44	-85.25%	―	―	-58.49%
LU7	42 Neutral	AU$16.16M	-0.32	-9999.00%	―	―	18.79%
SVY	40 Underperform	AU$10.27M	-1.36	-57.07%	―	―	44.90%

Stavely Minerals Ltd Corporate Events

Stavely Minerals Lifts Stavely Project Prospects With High-Grade Gold Hits and Revived Study

Stavely Minerals reported strong half-year exploration results from its Stavely Project in western Victoria, with reverse circulation drilling at the Fairview North and Fairview South prospects returning multiple shallow, high-grade gold intercepts over broad intervals. The extent of shallow mineralisation at Fairview North now exceeds 300 metres and remains open, while early work at Fairview South suggests a potential second parallel gold zone, and reconnaissance drilling at Freddy’s Find has identified extensive altered breccia hosting epithermal gold-silver mineralisation.

The company has also re-evaluated its previously neutral 2022 Scoping Study in light of significantly higher copper, gold, and silver prices and a weaker Australian dollar, concluding that updated economics now indicate strongly positive financial outcomes even after factoring in higher capital and operating costs. On this basis, Stavely Minerals has commenced an updated 2026 Scoping Study, aiming to refine project economics and potentially enhance the development case for its Stavely Project, which could improve its strategic position and value proposition for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Hold with a A$0.01 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals Revives Scoping Study as Gold and Copper Drilling Delivers Strong Results in Victoria

Stavely Minerals has restarted and upgraded its economic assessment of the Cayley Lode deposit at the Stavely Project, updating its earlier 2022 Scoping Study to reflect substantially higher copper, gold and silver prices, a weaker Australian dollar and revised capital and operating cost benchmarks, which now point to strongly positive financial outcomes. The new 2026 Scoping Study will incorporate an updated mineral resource estimate, further metallurgical testwork to improve recoveries, pit and underground mine re-optimisation and evaluation of a smaller high-grade underground-only development option, signaling a potential shift towards more commercially robust development scenarios. In parallel, the company has reported encouraging exploration results across several gold prospects: Phase 2 drilling at Fairview North has extended shallow gold mineralisation over more than 300 metres and remains open along strike and at depth, soil auger work at Fairview South has identified a possible second parallel gold zone, and reconnaissance drilling at Freddy’s Find has intersected broad zones of altered, sulphide-rich breccia with multiple significant epithermal gold-silver intervals, collectively enhancing the project pipeline and exploration upside for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Sell with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals Flags Ongoing Cash Outflows in December Quarter

Stavely Minerals Limited, an Australian mineral exploration company, has reported its quarterly cash flow for the period ended 31 December 2025, highlighting its continued focus on exploration and evaluation activities funded largely through equity capital. The company recorded net operating cash outflows of A$1.21 million for the quarter and A$2.48 million for the six months to date, driven mainly by exploration, exploration staff, and corporate administration costs, while investing cash flows were minimal and financing inflows earlier in the half-year, primarily from equity issues, helped sustain its cash position. After these movements, Stavely’s cash balance declined from A$1.72 million at the beginning of the quarter, underlining the typical cash‑burn profile of early‑stage explorers and reinforcing its dependence on capital markets to support ongoing project work and corporate overheads.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Sell with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals Accelerates 2026 Scoping Study for Victorian Copper-Gold Project

Stavely Minerals has reported strong early progress on an updated 2026 Scoping Study for its Thursday’s Gossan and Cayley Lode deposits at the Stavely Copper-Gold Project in western Victoria, moving toward a development case targeting around 20,000 tonnes per annum of copper-equivalent production and an aspirational mine life of more than 10 years. The company has held its first project meeting with an independent study manager, is advancing updated Mineral Resource estimates and mine optimisations, and is revisiting metallurgical, processing, transport and marketing parameters in light of substantially higher copper, gold and silver prices and a more favourable exchange rate than in its incomplete 2022 Scoping Study, aiming to better demonstrate the project’s value and improve its appeal to institutional investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Sell with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals Drilling Points to Large-Scale Gold-Silver Potential at Freddy’s Find

Stavely Minerals has reported encouraging assay results from a reconnaissance reverse circulation drilling program at the Freddy’s Find breccia-hosted gold prospect, part of its 100%-owned Stavely Copper-Gold Project in western Victoria. Wide-spaced 200m drilling across only about a quarter of the large, 2km by 750m hydrothermal breccia system intercepted multiple zones of epithermal gold-silver mineralisation over broad intervals, including up to 16m at gold-equivalent grades above 1g/t. Together with earlier 400m-spaced air-core drilling that also returned high-grade gold-equivalent intercepts more than 600m away, the latest results strengthen the case for a potentially large-scale epithermal gold-silver system at Freddy’s Find, underscoring significant exploration upside and suggesting substantial untested volume that could materially enhance the project’s longer-term development prospects if further drilling is successful.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals Revives Stavely Copper-Gold Project with Stronger Economics in 2026 Scoping Study

Stavely Minerals has launched an updated 2026 Scoping Study for the Thursday’s Gossan and Cayley Lode deposits after a review of its incomplete 2022 study showed that materially higher copper, gold and silver prices, combined with a weaker Australian dollar, transform the project’s economics from neutral to strongly positive even after factoring in escalated capital and operating costs. The new work will incorporate an updated mineral resource estimate that better captures high-grade continuity at Cayley Lode, additional metallurgical testwork to lift recoveries, re-optimised open-pit and underground mine designs, and assessment of a smaller high-grade underground-only scenario, while the company simultaneously advances deeper copper exploration at Cayley Lode, the nearby Junction Porphyry prospect and regional targets to potentially increase project scale and enhance future development outcomes.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals Cleans Up Capital Structure as Director Options Expire

Stavely Minerals has announced the lapse of a tranche of listed options held by several directors, including Managing Director Christopher Cairns, following their expiry on 31 December 2025. The change, disclosed via Appendix 3Y notices, reduces the number of options on issue but does not involve any cash consideration, reflecting a routine clean-up of directors’ expiring equity incentives and a marginal simplification of the company’s capital structure for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.