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Select Harvests (AU:SHV)
ASX:SHV

Select Harvests (SHV) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:SHV

Select Harvests

(Sydney:SHV)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
AU$5.50
▲(11.34% Upside)
Select Harvests is on a positive trajectory with strong financial recovery and bullish technical indicators. The company's strategic focus on debt reduction and operational efficiency is commendable, although challenges such as increased production costs and no dividend payment this year are notable risks.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
Reducing debt levels enhances financial flexibility and lowers interest expenses, allowing for potential reinvestment in growth initiatives.
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Operational Efficiency
Improved cash flow from operations suggests effective cost management and operational efficiency, enhancing profitability and growth potential.
Negative Factors
Increased Production Costs
Higher production costs can compress profit margins, reducing the company's ability to invest in growth and maintain competitive pricing.
Lower Crop Size
A reduced crop size limits product availability and revenue potential, potentially impacting market share and customer relationships.
No Dividend Payment
Suspending dividends may deter income-focused investors, impacting shareholder satisfaction and potentially affecting stock attractiveness.

Select Harvests (SHV) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Select Harvests Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSelect Harvests Limited engages in the processing, packaging, marketing, and distribution of edible nuts, dried fruits, seeds, muesli, and various natural health foods in Australia. It grows, processes, and sells almonds to the food industry from company owned and leased almond orchards, as well as holds a portfolio of approximately 9,262 hectares of almond orchards located in Victoria, New South Wales, and South Australia. The company also exports its products to Asia, Europe, and the Middle East. It offers its products under Renshaw and Alling Farms in the wholesale and industrial markets. Select Harvests Limited was incorporated in 1969 and is based in Richmond, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneySelect Harvests generates revenue primarily through the cultivation, processing, and sale of almonds. The company operates its own almond orchards, which contribute to a significant portion of its revenue by directly producing raw almonds for sale. In addition to raw almonds, Select Harvests also produces and sells a variety of value-added almond products, such as almond meal, almond oil, and snack items. The company benefits from both domestic sales and exports, with key markets including Asia and North America. Significant partnerships with distributors and retailers further enhance its market reach and revenue potential. Additionally, Select Harvests may engage in strategic collaborations or joint ventures to expand its product offerings and distribution networks, contributing to its overall earnings.

Select Harvests Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 25, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial recovery with significant profit increase and debt reduction, driven by improved almond pricing and operational efficiencies. However, challenges such as a reduced crop size, increased production costs, and bee management issues present headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Safety Performance
The company achieved a record TRIFR of 5.5, indicating significant improvements in workplace safety.
Net Profit Increase
Net profit after tax increased to $31.8 million, up from $900,000 in 2024.
Almond Price Improvement
The company achieved an average almond price of $10.18 per kilogram, up 32.4% from 2024.
Operating Cash Flow Growth
Operating cash flow increased by $109.1 million to $118.6 million.
Debt Reduction
Net debt was halved to $79.1 million, and the company refinanced its debt with more favorable terms.
Project Optimus Expansion
Project Optimus Phase 2 is nearing completion, increasing capacity to 50,000 tonnes.
Negative Updates
Lower Crop Size
The crop size decreased by 15.7% to 24,903 metric tons, affecting overall production.
No Dividend Payment
The Board determined no dividend would be paid this year to focus on debt reduction.
Increased Production Costs
Rising costs in areas such as water, bees, and electricity are expected to increase by $20 million.
Challenges with Bees
There were issues with bee availability, particularly in South Australia, due to Varroa mite management.
Company Guidance
In the recent Select Harvests 2025 Half Year Results Presentation, the company outlined several key metrics highlighting robust performance and strategic progress. The net profit after tax showed a significant improvement, reaching $31.8 million, up from $900,000 in 2024, despite a 15.7% reduction in crop size to 24,903 metric tons. This was driven by an increase in almond prices, which averaged $10.18 per kilogram, a 32.4% rise compared to the previous year. The company's safety performance reached a record TRIFR of 5.5. Operating cash flow grew to $118.6 million, and net debt was halved to $79.1 million. The company also reported a 2% to 2.4% price premium over global markets, translating to an $8 million gain. While the Board decided not to pay a dividend this year, they aim to resume dividends as debt levels further decrease.

Select Harvests Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Select Harvests has shown a strong recovery in financial performance, with improvements in revenue growth, profitability margins, and cash flow generation. The balance sheet reflects a healthier leverage position, although historical fluctuations in financial metrics suggest potential risks.
Income Statement
Select Harvests has shown a positive revenue growth rate of 6.38% in the latest period, indicating recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin improved to 17.21%, and the net profit margin increased to 8.00%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, historical volatility in EBIT and EBITDA margins suggests potential risks in maintaining consistent operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.57, indicating a more balanced leverage position compared to previous years. Return on equity is modest at 6.09%, showing moderate profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio stands at 55.78%, suggesting a stable financial structure, but past fluctuations in equity levels pose potential risks.
Cash Flow
Select Harvests has demonstrated significant improvement in free cash flow growth, with a remarkable increase of 146.98%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.83 indicates strong cash generation relative to earnings. However, historical volatility in free cash flow highlights potential risks in sustaining this growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue398.26M397.81M336.84M205.44M235.52M228.26M
Gross Profit58.91M68.45M32.88M-26.99M25.07M44.84M
EBITDA63.90M59.14M30.55M-135.28M33.59M53.72M
Net Income31.84M31.84M1.50M-114.73M4.76M15.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets937.75M937.75M1.01B913.25M1.00B1.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.37M1.37M2.87M1.13M1.14M2.00M
Total Debt296.33M296.33M400.52M420.98M377.78M353.22M
Total Liabilities414.55M414.55M529.31M501.73M494.00M476.85M
Stockholders Equity523.20M523.20M480.76M411.52M520.28M526.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow94.73M79.03M1.34M-31.23M-5.95M-127.34M
Operating Cash Flow118.64M118.64M21.35M-8.25M26.30M38.19M
Investing Cash Flow-29.49M-29.49M-18.39M-26.15M-35.57M-169.72M
Financing Cash Flow-90.65M-90.65M5.09M30.74M10.27M133.25M

Select Harvests Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.94
Price Trends
50DMA
4.39
Positive
100DMA
4.14
Positive
200DMA
4.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Positive
RSI
57.65
Neutral
STOCH
37.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SHV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.97, above the 50-day MA of 4.39, and above the 200-day MA of 4.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:SHV.

Select Harvests Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
AU$1.87B33.0514.44%1.55%6.09%166.89%
74
Outperform
AU$702.01M22.026.00%18.08%1680.16%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
60
Neutral
AU$982.11M19.4710.88%3.74%3.15%7.29%
51
Neutral
AU$1.83B-214.34-0.68%1.95%0.49%-127.84%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:SHV
Select Harvests
4.94
0.35
7.63%
AU:RIC
Ridley Corporation Limited
2.62
0.05
1.99%
AU:BGA
Bega Cheese Limited
5.98
0.52
9.52%
AU:CBO
Cobram Estate Olives Ltd.
3.92
1.90
94.06%

Select Harvests Corporate Events

Select Harvests Sets Out 2025 Sustainability Strategy and Reporting Framework
Dec 19, 2025

Select Harvests Limited has released its 2025 Sustainability Report, outlining its updated sustainability strategy, materiality assessment and mitigation framework aimed at building a more resilient business. The report highlights the company’s focus on environmental stewardship, including measuring and reporting sustainability results, and sets out how it plans to integrate emerging reporting standards such as AASB requirements into its operations, signalling an increased emphasis on transparency and long-term sustainability for investors, customers and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SHV) stock is a Buy with a A$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Select Harvests stock, see the AU:SHV Stock Forecast page.

Perpetual Limited Ceases to be Substantial Holder in Select Harvests
Dec 1, 2025

Perpetual Limited and its related bodies corporate have ceased to be substantial holders in Select Harvests Limited as of November 27, 2025. This change in substantial holding may impact the company’s shareholder structure and could have implications for its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SHV) stock is a Buy with a A$5.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Select Harvests stock, see the AU:SHV Stock Forecast page.

Select Harvests Releases 2025 Corporate Governance Statement
Nov 25, 2025

Select Harvests Limited has released its corporate governance statement for the financial year ending 30 September 2025, which is available on their website. The statement, approved by the board, outlines the company’s adherence to ASX Corporate Governance Council’s recommendations, highlighting their commitment to transparency and accountability. This disclosure is crucial for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s governance practices and its compliance with industry standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SHV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Select Harvests stock, see the AU:SHV Stock Forecast page.

Select Harvests Announces 2025 Full-Year Results
Nov 25, 2025

Select Harvests has announced its full-year results for 2025, with a presentation led by Managing Director and CEO David Surveyor and Chief Financial Officer Liam Nolan. The webcast, scheduled for November 26, 2025, aims to provide insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its operations and positioning in the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SHV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Select Harvests stock, see the AU:SHV Stock Forecast page.

Select Harvests Reports Strong FY2025 Financial Results Amid Strategic Advancements
Nov 25, 2025

Select Harvests reported a significant financial turnaround for FY2025 with a net profit after tax of $31.8 million, a substantial increase from the previous year. The company achieved this despite a lower almond crop, benefiting from a favorable almond price and strategic initiatives in processing and sales. The reduction in net debt and improvements in safety performance further underscore the company’s strengthened position. Challenges such as climatic conditions affecting bee availability were managed effectively, and the company continues to focus on expanding its processing capacity.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SHV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Select Harvests stock, see the AU:SHV Stock Forecast page.

Select Harvests Reports Robust Financial Growth in 2025
Nov 25, 2025

Select Harvests Limited has reported a significant financial performance for the year ending 30 September 2025, with revenues increasing by 35.3% to A$398,258,000 and net profit surging by 3,445.8% to A$31,841,000. This remarkable growth in profitability and revenue underscores the company’s strong market positioning and operational efficiency, although no dividends were declared for the period.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SHV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Select Harvests stock, see the AU:SHV Stock Forecast page.

Select Harvests Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Nov 21, 2025

Select Harvests Limited announced the cessation of 425,351 performance rights due to unmet conditions, impacting the company’s issued capital. This development may influence the company’s financial structuring and stakeholder interests, as performance rights are often linked to employee incentives and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SHV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Select Harvests stock, see the AU:SHV Stock Forecast page.

Select Harvests Updates on 2025 Crop and Financial Performance
Oct 3, 2025

Select Harvests Limited has announced a 2025 crop size estimate of 24,700MT, which is below the midpoint of its forecast range. Despite initial softening, global almond prices are recovering, with the company strategically selling its remaining 2025 crop. The company has reduced its net debt to $80 million and maintained flat production costs, reflecting strong financial management. The 2026 crop bloom has been positive despite challenges, and the company is optimistic about future almond prices due to global demand and structural changes in the US industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SHV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Select Harvests stock, see the AU:SHV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025