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Select Harvests (AU:SHV)
ASX:SHV
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Select Harvests (SHV) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:SHV

Select Harvests

(Sydney:SHV)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
AU$4.00
▼(-10.91% Downside)
Select Harvests' overall score is driven by its financial recovery and reasonable valuation. The company's leveraged balance sheet and neutral technical indicators present potential risks. The absence of a dividend yield and lack of earnings call data limit further insights.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for Select Harvests' products, enhancing its market position and potential for future expansion.
Positive Operating Cash Flow
Positive operating cash flow improves financial stability, allowing Select Harvests to reinvest in growth opportunities and manage debt.
Improved Profit Margins
Improved profit margins reflect better cost management and pricing power, contributing to long-term profitability and competitiveness.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can constrain financial flexibility, increasing risk in volatile markets and potentially limiting growth and investment capacity.
Tight Free Cash Flow
Limited free cash flow restricts the company's ability to reduce debt or fund new projects, impacting long-term strategic initiatives.
Operational Inefficiencies
Low EBIT margin suggests inefficiencies in operations, which could hinder profitability and competitiveness if not addressed.

Select Harvests (SHV) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Select Harvests Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSelect Harvests Limited engages in the processing, packaging, marketing, and distribution of edible nuts, dried fruits, seeds, muesli, and various natural health foods in Australia. It grows, processes, and sells almonds to the food industry from company owned and leased almond orchards, as well as holds a portfolio of approximately 9,262 hectares of almond orchards located in Victoria, New South Wales, and South Australia. The company also exports its products to Asia, Europe, and the Middle East. It offers its products under Renshaw and Alling Farms in the wholesale and industrial markets. Select Harvests Limited was incorporated in 1969 and is based in Richmond, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneySelect Harvests generates revenue primarily through the cultivation, processing, and sale of almonds. The company operates its own almond orchards, which contribute to a significant portion of its revenue by directly producing raw almonds for sale. In addition to raw almonds, Select Harvests also produces and sells a variety of value-added almond products, such as almond meal, almond oil, and snack items. The company benefits from both domestic sales and exports, with key markets including Asia and North America. Significant partnerships with distributors and retailers further enhance its market reach and revenue potential. Additionally, Select Harvests may engage in strategic collaborations or joint ventures to expand its product offerings and distribution networks, contributing to its overall earnings.

Select Harvests Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 25, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial recovery with significant profit increase and debt reduction, driven by improved almond pricing and operational efficiencies. However, challenges such as a reduced crop size, increased production costs, and bee management issues present headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Safety Performance
The company achieved a record TRIFR of 5.5, indicating significant improvements in workplace safety.
Net Profit Increase
Net profit after tax increased to $31.8 million, up from $900,000 in 2024.
Almond Price Improvement
The company achieved an average almond price of $10.18 per kilogram, up 32.4% from 2024.
Operating Cash Flow Growth
Operating cash flow increased by $109.1 million to $118.6 million.
Debt Reduction
Net debt was halved to $79.1 million, and the company refinanced its debt with more favorable terms.
Project Optimus Expansion
Project Optimus Phase 2 is nearing completion, increasing capacity to 50,000 tonnes.
Negative Updates
Lower Crop Size
The crop size decreased by 15.7% to 24,903 metric tons, affecting overall production.
No Dividend Payment
The Board determined no dividend would be paid this year to focus on debt reduction.
Increased Production Costs
Rising costs in areas such as water, bees, and electricity are expected to increase by $20 million.
Challenges with Bees
There were issues with bee availability, particularly in South Australia, due to Varroa mite management.
Company Guidance
In the recent Select Harvests 2025 Half Year Results Presentation, the company outlined several key metrics highlighting robust performance and strategic progress. The net profit after tax showed a significant improvement, reaching $31.8 million, up from $900,000 in 2024, despite a 15.7% reduction in crop size to 24,903 metric tons. This was driven by an increase in almond prices, which averaged $10.18 per kilogram, a 32.4% rise compared to the previous year. The company's safety performance reached a record TRIFR of 5.5. Operating cash flow grew to $118.6 million, and net debt was halved to $79.1 million. The company also reported a 2% to 2.4% price premium over global markets, translating to an $8 million gain. While the Board decided not to pay a dividend this year, they aim to resume dividends as debt levels further decrease.

Select Harvests Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Select Harvests shows signs of recovery with revenue and profitability improvements. The balance sheet remains leveraged, posing potential risks in volatile markets. Positive operating cash flow is a favorable sign, yet free cash flow remains tight, limiting strategic flexibility.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Select Harvests has shown a positive turnaround in its income statement with revenues increasing from the previous year by 64%. The gross profit margin improved significantly from a negative value to 9.76%, and the net profit margin also turned positive to 0.45%. Despite improvements, the company still faces challenges with its EBIT margin at 0.13%, indicating some operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity position, with an equity ratio of 47.59%. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 0.83, indicating a significant level of leverage. The return on equity has improved but remains modest at 0.31%.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow has recovered to a positive $21.35 million, from a negative position in the prior year. This positive cash flow supports a slightly positive free cash flow, though it remains low relative to net income, indicating limited cash reserves for expansion or debt reduction.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue373.96M336.84M205.44M235.52M228.26M247.88M
Gross Profit72.63M32.88M-26.99M25.07M44.84M61.91M
EBITDA85.68M30.55M-135.28M33.59M53.72M57.79M
Net Income32.30M1.50M-114.73M4.76M15.12M25.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.02B1.01B913.25M1.00B1.00B824.89M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.79M2.87M1.13M1.14M2.00M1.45M
Total Debt396.14M400.52M420.98M377.78M353.22M323.76M
Total Liabilities507.35M529.31M501.73M494.00M476.85M419.88M
Stockholders Equity514.46M480.76M411.52M520.28M526.96M405.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.00M1.34M-31.23M-5.95M-127.34M-12.95M
Operating Cash Flow57.33M21.35M-8.25M26.30M38.19M13.15M
Investing Cash Flow-22.16M-18.39M-26.15M-35.57M-169.72M-35.26M
Financing Cash Flow-29.93M5.09M30.74M10.27M133.25M9.38M

Select Harvests Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.49
Price Trends
50DMA
3.85
Positive
100DMA
3.80
Positive
200DMA
4.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Negative
RSI
73.75
Negative
STOCH
86.10
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SHV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.79, above the 50-day MA of 3.85, and above the 200-day MA of 4.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.75 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:SHV.

Select Harvests Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
AU$1.53B27.0714.44%1.45%6.09%166.89%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$638.06M20.026.00%18.08%1680.16%
60
Neutral
$985.86M19.5410.88%3.69%3.15%7.29%
51
Neutral
€1.62B-189.61-0.68%2.00%0.49%-127.84%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:SHV
Select Harvests
4.49
0.44
10.86%
AU:RIC
Ridley Corporation Limited
2.63
0.01
0.54%
AU:BGA
Bega Cheese Limited
6.00
0.82
15.92%
AU:CBO
Cobram Estate Olives Ltd.
3.10
1.14
58.16%

Select Harvests Corporate Events

Select Harvests Updates on 2025 Crop and Financial Performance
Oct 3, 2025

Select Harvests Limited has announced a 2025 crop size estimate of 24,700MT, which is below the midpoint of its forecast range. Despite initial softening, global almond prices are recovering, with the company strategically selling its remaining 2025 crop. The company has reduced its net debt to $80 million and maintained flat production costs, reflecting strong financial management. The 2026 crop bloom has been positive despite challenges, and the company is optimistic about future almond prices due to global demand and structural changes in the US industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SHV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Select Harvests stock, see the AU:SHV Stock Forecast page.

Select Harvests Detects Varroa Mite in South Australia, Ensures No Impact on Almond Crop
Sep 3, 2025

Select Harvests Limited has detected varroa mite in bees at its Jubilee Orchard in South Australia following annual pollination. The company has isolated the affected hives and is working with the Department of Primary Industries and Regions to prevent further spread. Despite the detection, there is no expected impact on the pollination or the 2026 almond crop’s quality and quantity. The company is actively sourcing bees for the 2027 crop, considering the potential spread of varroa mite, and remains committed to supporting the horticultural sector in South Australia.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SHV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Select Harvests stock, see the AU:SHV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025