Bega Cheese Limited (BGA) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$1.80B
• Dividend Yield: 1.95%
• Average Volume (3M): 561.18K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 9.9
• Beta (1Y): 1.02
• Revenue Growth: 0.49%
• EPS Growth: -127.84%
• Country: AU
• Employees: 3,900
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Packaged Foods
• EPS (TTM): 0.17
• Shares Outstanding: 305,377,400
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 620,121
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 561,182
• PEG Ratio: 1.53
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.70
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.47
• P/FCF Ratio: 23.59
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: AU$6.75
• Price Target Upside: 14.53% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 5
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.23
• Revenue Forecast (FY): AU$3.71B

• Rating: 51 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$6.50 ▲(10.36% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 11/13/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 11/13/25

Bega Cheese Limited's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance challenges, including declining revenue and profitability issues. The technical analysis shows bullish momentum, but the valuation suggests the stock may be overvalued. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits additional insights.

Positive Factors

Diversified revenue streams

A multi-pronged revenue model across branded consumer goods, private-label manufacturing, food-service ingredients and exports reduces single-channel dependency. This structural diversification supports steadier demand, smoother cash conversion and resilience to localized retail or commodity shocks over months.

Negative Factors

Sharp recent revenue decline

A pronounced revenue contraction undermines scale economics and can lead to underutilised manufacturing capacity and higher unit costs. If sustained, this reduces bargaining power with retailers, pressures margins and limits ability to absorb input-cost volatility, posing medium-term strategic risk.

Bega Cheese Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Bega Cheese Limited receives, processes, manufactures, and distributes dairy and other food-related products in Australia. The company operates in two segments, Branded and Bulk. The Branded segment manufactures value added consumer products for o...

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Bega Cheese Limited receives, processes, manufactures, and distributes dairy and other food-related products in Australia. The company operates in two segments, Branded and Bulk. The Branded segment manufactures value added consumer products for o...

How the Company Makes Money

Bega Cheese generates revenue primarily through the sale of its dairy products to both domestic and international markets. Key revenue streams include the sale of cheese products, which constitute a significant portion of its offerings, as well as...

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Bega Cheese generates revenue primarily through the sale of its dairy products to both domestic and international markets. Key revenue streams include the sale of cheese products, which constitute a significant portion of its offerings, as well as...

Bega Cheese Limited Financial Statement Overview

Breakdown	TTM	Jun 2025	Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.63B	3.55B	3.52B	3.38B	3.01B	2.07B
Gross Profit	756.00M	741.30M	698.50M	656.40M	689.40M	465.20M
EBITDA	132.60M	107.90M	151.80M	-130.00M	146.00M	178.50M
Net Income	8.20M	-8.50M	30.50M	-229.90M	24.20M	72.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.19B	2.04B	2.14B	2.15B	2.36B	2.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	75.20M	120.90M	65.60M	66.40M	44.90M	87.20M
Total Debt	654.20M	439.60M	418.90M	467.10M	422.80M	496.50M
Total Liabilities	1.18B	1.06B	1.12B	1.15B	1.10B	1.24B
Stockholders Equity	1.01B	980.20M	1.01B	1.00B	1.26B	1.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	37.50M	70.60M	59.70M	-59.90M	86.40M	79.20M
Operating Cash Flow	135.60M	165.00M	134.30M	8.20M	158.20M	111.40M
Investing Cash Flow	-89.40M	-76.30M	-52.30M	99.90M	-63.80M	-546.70M
Financing Cash Flow	-28.80M	-33.40M	-82.80M	-86.60M	-136.70M	499.60M

Bega Cheese Limited Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 5.89
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:BGA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.89 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.91, below the 50-day MA of 5.99, and above the 200-day MA of 5.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:BGA.

Bega Cheese Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
BUB	59 Neutral	AU$89.41M	17.11	13.97%	―	28.66%	―
BGA	51 Neutral	AU$1.80B	9.86	0.82%	1.95%	0.49%	-127.84%
NUC	50 Neutral	AU$28.23M	-2.06	-41.69%	―	102.21%	69.47%
NOU	40 Underperform	AU$30.48M	-0.37	19.78%	―	1.03%	-52.56%
AHF	40 Underperform	AU$26.02M	-5.27	-19.17%	―	13.92%	36.28%

Bega Cheese Limited Corporate Events