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Bubs Australia Ltd. (AU:BUB)
ASX:BUB
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Bubs Australia Ltd. (BUB) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:BUB

Bubs Australia Ltd.

(Sydney:BUB)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.00
▼(-100.00% Downside)
Bubs Australia Ltd. demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and a solid balance sheet. However, the stock faces challenges with cash flow consistency and lacks strong market momentum. The valuation is moderate, but the absence of a dividend yield may limit its appeal to certain investors.

Bubs Australia Ltd. (BUB) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Bubs Australia Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBubs Australia Ltd. (BUB) is an Australian-based company specializing in the production and sale of infant formula, baby food, and related nutritional products. Established with a focus on providing premium, organic, and high-quality products for infants and toddlers, Bubs operates primarily in the sectors of food and beverage, particularly within the growing market for baby nutrition. The company's core product offerings include infant formula, toddler snacks, and organic food products, catering to both domestic and international markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyBubs Australia generates revenue primarily through the sale of its infant formula and baby food products. The company operates a multi-channel distribution strategy, including sales through major retailers, online platforms, and direct-to-consumer channels. Significant revenue streams include retail sales in Australia, along with export sales to markets in Asia, particularly China, where demand for Australian-made baby products is high due to perceived quality and safety standards. Bubs also engages in partnerships with distributors and retailers to enhance market penetration and brand visibility. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic alliances and collaborations that facilitate access to international markets, contributing to its overall earnings.

Bubs Australia Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bubs Australia Ltd. has shown strong revenue growth and improved profitability, but faces challenges in maintaining consistent cash flow. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage, providing a solid foundation for future growth. Continued focus on cost management and cash flow optimization will be crucial for sustaining financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Bubs Australia Ltd. has shown a significant improvement in revenue with a 15.45% growth rate in the latest year, indicating strong sales momentum. The gross profit margin is healthy at 47.84%, reflecting efficient production processes. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 5.41%, suggesting that operating expenses are still high. The company has turned around from previous losses, which is a positive sign, but maintaining profitability remains a challenge.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.023, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity is 13.05%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a solid capital structure. Overall, the company is in a good position to manage its obligations and invest in growth opportunities.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow performance is mixed, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -141.07%, indicating potential cash management issues. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.44, showing some ability to convert income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.99, suggesting that most of the net income is being converted into free cash flow, which is a positive aspect.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue102.54M102.54M79.70M60.11M89.30M39.31M
Gross Profit49.06M49.06M38.70M-11.68M26.21M-10.68M
EBITDA4.92M4.92M-19.42M-104.29M-7.82M-73.04M
Net Income5.54M5.54M-20.99M-108.35M-11.38M-74.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets57.17M57.17M66.75M65.60M125.94M105.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.43M17.43M17.52M26.05M16.31M27.88M
Total Debt967.50K967.50K7.00M4.41M4.92M4.16M
Total Liabilities14.69M14.69M29.88M23.92M37.73M18.90M
Stockholders Equity42.48M42.48M36.87M41.68M88.21M87.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.05M6.05M-26.52M-46.74M-9.93M-23.24M
Operating Cash Flow6.13M6.13M-26.33M-46.49M-9.37M-22.63M
Investing Cash Flow-118.11K-118.11K-189.82K-4.25M-1.56M-5.60M
Financing Cash Flow-6.03M-6.03M17.99M60.48M-643.21K30.09M

Bubs Australia Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.15
Price Trends
50DMA
0.15
Positive
100DMA
0.16
Negative
200DMA
0.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
50.48
Neutral
STOCH
8.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:BUB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.15, above the 50-day MA of 0.15, and above the 200-day MA of 0.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:BUB.

Bubs Australia Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
AU$116.06M16.5510.07%2.67%38.25%361.54%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
60
Neutral
AU$134.12M24.1913.97%28.66%
51
Neutral
AU$38.70M-1.68-31.14%-15.07%29.50%
45
Neutral
AU$23.34M-5.75-29.43%102.21%69.47%
40
Underperform
AU$36.02M-0.241.03%-52.56%
38
Underperform
AU$28.25M-20.54%13.92%36.28%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:BUB
Bubs Australia Ltd.
0.15
0.03
25.00%
AU:NOU
Noumi Limited
0.13
-0.07
-35.00%
AU:AHF
Australian Dairy Nutritionals Group
0.04
0.02
66.67%
AU:NUC
Nuchev Pty Ltd
0.16
0.04
33.33%
AU:CLV
Clover Corporation Limited
0.66
0.18
37.50%
AU:MBH
Maggie Beer Holdings Ltd.
0.09
0.03
50.00%

Bubs Australia Ltd. Corporate Events

Bubs Australia Updates on Legal Dispute Resolution
Nov 6, 2025

Bubs Australia Limited has announced an update on its legal dispute involving its subsidiary, The Infant Food Co. Pty Limited, against former customers Alice Trading Limited and Willis Trading Limited. The company expects to recover A$825,000 from Willis through enforcement proceedings in the Federal Court of Australia, but does not anticipate further recoveries from Alice or Willis due to their financial status. This development may impact Bubs’ financial position and stakeholder interests, as it resolves part of the ongoing arbitration issues.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BUB) stock is a Buy with a A$0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bubs Australia Ltd. stock, see the AU:BUB Stock Forecast page.

Bubs Australia Reports Strong Q1 FY26 Growth Amidst Global Challenges
Nov 3, 2025

Bubs Australia Limited announced its unaudited financial results for the quarter ending September 2025, highlighting a 30% increase in net revenue to $25.6 million and a gross profit margin of 46.4%. The company achieved an EBITDA of $0.5 million, a significant improvement from a $4.3 million loss in the previous corresponding period. Despite inventory challenges, particularly in the USA, Bubs maintained strong sales through strategic investments in advertising and airfreight. The company is actively managing inventory rebuilds and anticipates resolving shortages by the end of the current quarter. Bubs also expects FDA approval for its products by the end of 2025, which could further enhance its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BUB) stock is a Buy with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bubs Australia Ltd. stock, see the AU:BUB Stock Forecast page.

Bubs Australia Reports Strong Q1 FY26 Revenue Growth Amid Inventory Challenges
Oct 31, 2025

Bubs Australia Limited reported a 30% increase in net revenue to $25.6 million for Q1 FY26, with a gross profit margin of 46.4% and a positive EBITDA of $0.5 million. Despite challenges in inventory and cash flow, particularly in the USA, the company is optimistic about meeting customer demand and achieving growth targets. The USA market showed strong performance, although other regions like China and Australia experienced revenue declines. The company is actively managing inventory issues and expects improvements by the end of the current quarter. Bubs is also awaiting FDA approval for its products by the end of 2025, which could further enhance its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BUB) stock is a Buy with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bubs Australia Ltd. stock, see the AU:BUB Stock Forecast page.

Bubs Australia Announces New Company Secretary Appointment
Oct 20, 2025

Bubs Australia Limited announced the resignation of Mr. Peter Cope as Company Secretary and the appointment of Ms. Olga Smejkalova from Acclime Corporate Services Australia Pty Ltd, effective October 20, 2025. This change in company secretary is significant as Ms. Smejkalova will manage the company’s communications with the ASX, potentially impacting the company’s regulatory interactions and stakeholder communications.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BUB) stock is a Buy with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bubs Australia Ltd. stock, see the AU:BUB Stock Forecast page.

Bubs Australia Ltd. Announces Key Resolutions for 2025 AGM
Oct 20, 2025

Bubs Australia Ltd. has announced its 2025 Annual General Meeting, which will address several key resolutions. These include the adoption of the remuneration report, re-election of director Paul Jensen, and approval of performance rights for CEO Joe Coote. Additionally, shareholders will vote on granting the company an additional 10% placement capacity and renewing proportional takeover provisions. These resolutions are pivotal for the company’s strategic direction, potentially impacting its governance and financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BUB) stock is a Buy with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bubs Australia Ltd. stock, see the AU:BUB Stock Forecast page.

Bubs Australia Sets Date for 2025 AGM and Director Nominations
Sep 30, 2025

Bubs Australia Ltd. has announced the date for its 2025 Annual General Meeting, which will be held on November 20, 2025. The company also informed stakeholders that the deadline for director nominations is set for October 21, 2025. This announcement is crucial for shareholders and potential board members as it outlines key dates for corporate governance activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BUB) stock is a Buy with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bubs Australia Ltd. stock, see the AU:BUB Stock Forecast page.

Bubs Australia Ltd. Director Increases Shareholding
Sep 18, 2025

Bubs Australia Ltd. announced a change in the director’s interest, with Paul Jensen acquiring an additional 130,890 ordinary shares through an on-market purchase, increasing his indirect holding to 1,130,890 shares. This transaction reflects a strategic move in the company’s leadership, potentially impacting investor confidence and market perception of Bubs Australia’s growth and stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BUB) stock is a Buy with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bubs Australia Ltd. stock, see the AU:BUB Stock Forecast page.

Bubs Australia Director Increases Shareholding, Signaling Confidence
Sep 16, 2025

Bubs Australia Ltd. has announced a change in the interest of its director, Paul Jensen, who has increased his indirect holdings in the company by purchasing an additional 500,000 ordinary shares through Taranaki Holdings Ltd, bringing his total to 1,000,000 shares. This move could signal confidence in the company’s future prospects, potentially impacting investor sentiment and market perception positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BUB) stock is a Buy with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bubs Australia Ltd. stock, see the AU:BUB Stock Forecast page.

Bubs Australia Issues Shares to Former CEO as Performance Rights Vest
Sep 15, 2025

Bubs Australia Ltd. has issued 1,000,000 fully paid ordinary shares to its former CEO and Managing Director, Reg Weine, as part of his sign-on retention performance rights. This issuance was conducted without disclosure under Part 6D.2 of the Corporations Act, and the company confirms compliance with its reporting and disclosure obligations, indicating transparency and adherence to regulatory standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BUB) stock is a Buy with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bubs Australia Ltd. stock, see the AU:BUB Stock Forecast page.

Bubs Australia Ltd. Issues 1 Million New Securities on ASX
Sep 15, 2025

Bubs Australia Ltd. has announced the issuance of 1,000,000 ordinary fully paid securities, which will be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of September 15, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategic efforts to enhance its market presence and potentially increase its capital base, reflecting its ongoing growth and expansion within the competitive infant nutrition sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BUB) stock is a Buy with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bubs Australia Ltd. stock, see the AU:BUB Stock Forecast page.

Bubs Australia Ltd. Announces Director Change
Sep 15, 2025

Bubs Australia Ltd. has announced the cessation of Katrina Rathie as a director, effective September 15, 2025. This change in the board of directors may influence the company’s governance and strategic direction, potentially impacting stakeholders and the company’s position in the infant nutrition market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BUB) stock is a Buy with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bubs Australia Ltd. stock, see the AU:BUB Stock Forecast page.

Bubs Australia Ltd. Appoints New Director Joe Coote
Sep 15, 2025

Bubs Australia Ltd. announced the appointment of Joe Coote as a new director, effective from September 15, 2025. The initial director’s interest notice indicates that Coote currently holds no securities or interests in the company, suggesting a fresh perspective without existing financial ties. This appointment could potentially influence the company’s strategic direction and enhance its governance structure, impacting stakeholders and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BUB) stock is a Buy with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bubs Australia Ltd. stock, see the AU:BUB Stock Forecast page.

Bubs Australia Chair Katrina Rathie Resigns After Transformative Tenure
Sep 15, 2025

Bubs Australia Ltd. announced the resignation of Katrina Rathie as Chair and Non-Executive Director. During her tenure, Rathie led the company through a transformative period, achieving its maiden profit and significant revenue growth. Her leadership was instrumental in overhauling employee policies and spearheading diversity initiatives. Rathie’s departure marks the end of a pivotal era for Bubs, as it transitions from a founder-led company to a profitable, well-governed entity with a strong market presence in the USA and Asia.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BUB) stock is a Buy with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bubs Australia Ltd. stock, see the AU:BUB Stock Forecast page.

Bubs Australia Ltd. Releases 2025 Corporate Governance Statement
Sep 12, 2025

Bubs Australia Ltd. has released its corporate governance statement for the financial year ending June 30, 2025, which is available on their website. The statement outlines the company’s adherence to the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s principles and recommendations, demonstrating its commitment to transparency and accountability in its management and oversight practices. This release is significant as it reinforces Bubs Australia’s dedication to maintaining high governance standards, which is crucial for stakeholder trust and the company’s reputation in the competitive infant nutrition market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BUB) stock is a Buy with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bubs Australia Ltd. stock, see the AU:BUB Stock Forecast page.

Bubs Australia Ltd. Reports FY25 Results Amid Economic Challenges
Aug 29, 2025

Bubs Australia Ltd. has released its FY25 results, highlighting the company’s performance and strategic direction amidst a challenging economic environment. The announcement underscores the company’s cautious approach due to various risk factors, including regulatory approvals, changing consumer behaviors, and international market demands, which may impact its future operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BUB) stock is a Buy with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bubs Australia Ltd. stock, see the AU:BUB Stock Forecast page.

Bubs Australia Achieves First Profit with Strong Overseas Growth
Aug 29, 2025

Bubs Australia Limited reported its first statutory after-tax profit of $5.5 million for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, marking a significant turnaround from a $21 million loss in the previous year. The company achieved a 29% increase in total revenue to $102.5 million, driven by strong growth in the USA and China markets, with revenues up 52% and 22% respectively. Despite a slight decline in the Australian market, Bubs maintained its dominant position in the domestic goat IMF market. The company’s financial performance reflects its successful expansion strategy and improved operational efficiency, offering positive implications for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BUB) stock is a Buy with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bubs Australia Ltd. stock, see the AU:BUB Stock Forecast page.

Bubs Australia Ltd. Reports Strong Financial Turnaround in FY25
Aug 29, 2025

Bubs Australia Ltd. reported a significant financial turnaround for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, with a 29% increase in revenue to $102.5 million and a 124% rise in net profit to $5.17 million. The company’s underlying EBITDA also grew by 103%, indicating improved operational efficiency. This financial performance marks a recovery from a net loss in the previous year, positioning Bubs Australia more robustly in the competitive infant nutrition market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BUB) stock is a Buy with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bubs Australia Ltd. stock, see the AU:BUB Stock Forecast page.

Bubs Australia to Host FY25 Results Webcast
Aug 27, 2025

Bubs Australia Ltd. has announced a webcast for its FY25 results presentation, scheduled for August 29, 2025. This event will provide shareholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, offering an opportunity for questions and engagement, which could impact stakeholder perceptions and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BUB) stock is a Buy with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bubs Australia Ltd. stock, see the AU:BUB Stock Forecast page.

Bubs Australia Ltd. Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Aug 26, 2025

Bubs Australia Ltd. announced the cessation of a significant number of performance rights due to unmet conditions, totaling over 16 million securities. This development may impact the company’s financial structuring and stakeholder confidence, as performance rights are often linked to employee incentives and company performance metrics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BUB) stock is a Buy with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bubs Australia Ltd. stock, see the AU:BUB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025