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Ragnar Metals Limited (AU:RAG)
ASX:RAG
Australian Market

Ragnar Metals Limited (RAG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:RAG

Ragnar Metals Limited

(Sydney:RAG)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.03
▲(3.33% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/22/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—ongoing losses and persistent, worsening cash burn—despite a debt-free balance sheet and strong revenue growth. Technicals are supportive of an uptrend but appear overextended, and valuation metrics offer limited support given the negative P/E and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
A debt-free balance sheet materially reduces financial risk and interest obligations, giving durable flexibility to fund operations, capital expenditures or strategic M&A. This structural strength improves survival odds and underwriting capacity over multiple months without reliance on cash flows.
Rapid revenue scaling
Material top-line growth in FY2025 demonstrates improving commercial traction and expanding market adoption from a low base. Sustained revenue momentum provides a structural runway to achieve operating leverage, dilute fixed costs, and support a path toward sustainable margins over the medium term.
Sizeable equity cushion
A strong equity base relative to assets creates a buffer that absorbs operating losses and reduces solvency risk. This capital cushion supports continued operations and strategic investment without immediate recourse to debt, preserving optionality for management over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Chronic cash burn
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow, worsening in FY2025, indicates structural cash burn. This forces reliance on external funding, increases dilution and funding risk, and limits the firm's ability to self-finance growth or absorb shocks in the 2–6 month horizon without new capital.
Weak, inconsistent profitability
Return to net losses with negative operating earnings and persistently negative margins shows profitability is not yet achieved. Combined with an anomalous prior-year profit, this inconsistent earnings quality undermines predictability and limits management's ability to deliver sustained ROI.
Negative returns on capital
Consistently negative return on equity indicates capital deployed is not generating shareholder returns. Over time this constrains the company's ability to attract new investment, pressures governance and strategy choices, and signals the need for structural changes to business economics.

Ragnar Metals Limited (RAG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Ragnar Metals Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRagnar Metals Limited engages in the exploration and evaluation of mineral properties. The company explores for nickel, gold, silver, copper, and base metals. It holds a 100% interest in the Tullsta Nickel prospect; and Gaddebo Nickel project in the Bergslagen district of Sweden. The company also owns the Leeds Gold project, as well as holds 100% interest in Kenya Gold project. Ragnar Metals Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyRagnar Metals Limited generates revenue primarily through the exploration and development of mineral projects. The company seeks to identify and acquire prospective mineral deposits and enhance their value through exploration activities, such as drilling and geological surveys. Once viable mineral resources are established, Ragnar Metals may enter into joint ventures or sell interests in its projects to mining companies, thereby generating income. Additionally, the company may raise funds through equity financing to support its exploration activities and sustain operations until commercial production or sale of project interests occurs. Partnerships with strategic investors and other mining companies can also contribute to revenue, as these collaborations often bring in expertise, capital, and share in project risks.

Ragnar Metals Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth is strong and the balance sheet has no reported debt (supporting solvency), but profitability is weak with FY2025 net losses and negative operating earnings. Cash flow is the biggest drag: operating and free cash flow are consistently negative and worsened in FY2025, indicating ongoing cash burn and reliance on external funding.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Revenue has scaled quickly in recent years (FY2025 revenue up materially vs FY2024, following earlier growth off a very low base), showing improving commercial traction. However, profitability remains weak: FY2025 reported a net loss and negative operating earnings, and margins are still meaningfully negative. FY2024’s unusually high net profit contrasts with deeply negative operating earnings and the return to losses in FY2025, which raises questions about earnings quality and consistency.
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with no debt reported across the period, which reduces financial risk and provides flexibility. Equity is sizeable relative to assets, supporting solvency. The key weakness is returns: profitability has not been sufficient to generate consistent shareholder returns (return on equity negative in FY2025 and negative in most prior years), suggesting capital is not yet being deployed into sustainably profitable operations.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation is the main pressure point: operating cash flow is negative across all years provided, and free cash flow is also consistently negative, indicating ongoing cash burn. FY2025 cash outflows widened versus FY2024 (more negative operating and free cash flow), implying higher funding needs if the trend continues. While free cash flow moved in the right direction in some years, the overall profile remains reliant on external capital rather than self-funding operations.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.22M335.20K5.65K24.93K102.00
Gross Profit1.22M335.20K5.65K25.43K102.00
EBITDA-198.89K-2.41M-456.00K-983.00K-744.54K
Net Income-305.99K3.61M-456.00K-1.20M-835.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.09M11.51M5.01M5.57M5.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments874.04K9.35M196.05K2.08M3.39M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities148.98K610.81K116.08K154.62K325.90K
Stockholders Equity10.94M10.90M4.90M5.42M5.03M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.31M-2.24M-1.87M-2.46M-1.90M
Operating Cash Flow-1.25M-679.25K-82.94K-339.44K-882.38K
Investing Cash Flow-7.28M7.94M-1.80M-2.12M-1.01M
Financing Cash Flow52.43K1.89M0.001.15M5.15M

Ragnar Metals Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.03
Price Trends
50DMA
0.03
Negative
100DMA
0.03
Positive
200DMA
0.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
48.10
Neutral
STOCH
-25.00
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:RAG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.03, below the 50-day MA of 0.03, and above the 200-day MA of 0.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -25.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:RAG.

Ragnar Metals Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
48
Neutral
AU$15.52M-55.00-2.80%-107.50%
48
Neutral
AU$17.49M-6.00-8.74%-25.00%
46
Neutral
AU$8.91M-1.50-217.79%43.46%
45
Neutral
AU$25.72M-0.35-121.41%-1034.67%
44
Neutral
AU$13.67M-4.35-213.82%-32.39%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:RAG
Ragnar Metals Limited
0.03
0.02
94.12%
AU:WIN
Widgie Nickel Limited
0.03
0.01
66.67%
AU:CR1
Constellation Resources Ltd.
0.17
-0.03
-15.00%
AU:VR8
Vanadium Resources Ltd.
0.03
>-0.01
-10.00%
AU:OLY
CropLogic Ltd.
0.07
0.03
58.14%

Ragnar Metals Limited Corporate Events

Ragnar Metals Secures Cash Settlement in Trinity Corporate Legal Dispute
Feb 22, 2026

Ragnar Metals Limited has resolved its legal dispute with Trinity Corporate Pty Ltd, which stemmed from a claim over unpaid consultancy and capital-raising fees tied to a 2016 advisory mandate for a proposed acquisition that did not proceed. Following private mediation, Trinity Corporate will pay Ragnar A$25,000 in cash, and the proceedings will be dismissed with no order as to costs, removing a legacy legal overhang and modestly strengthening Ragnar’s financial and operational position.

The settlement concludes litigation that originated from a failed acquisition of Genome Technologies Pty Ltd, previously deemed unsuitable by the ASX for Ragnar’s structure. By closing out this case on favourable terms, Ragnar reduces legal uncertainty and potential liabilities, allowing management to refocus on core exploration and corporate initiatives without the distraction and expense of ongoing court proceedings.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAG) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ragnar Metals Limited stock, see the AU:RAG Stock Forecast page.

Ragnar Metals Expands High-Grade Swedish Gold Portfolio and Leverages Strategic Gold Investments
Jan 30, 2026

Ragnar Metals has strengthened its Swedish portfolio by securing an option to acquire up to a 75% interest in the high-grade Harnäs Gold Project in southwestern Sweden, where recent rock-chip sampling returned high gold grades at both the historic Harnäs pit and the nearby Silvergruvan prospect, supporting plans for a maiden diamond drilling campaign in the March 2026 quarter. At the corporate level, Ragnar continues to benefit from strategic investments in Victorian gold producer Kaiser Reef and WA-focused High-Tech Metals, which are generating cash and receiving substantial funding respectively, enhancing Ragnar’s leverage to record gold prices and providing multiple value drivers across its Swedish exploration assets and Australian gold interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAG) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ragnar Metals Limited stock, see the AU:RAG Stock Forecast page.

Ragnar Metals Flags Cash Burn and Lower Balance in December Quarter
Jan 30, 2026

Ragnar Metals Limited reported its quarterly cash flow for the period ended 31 December 2025, highlighting continued spending on exploration and evaluation activities alongside modest corporate and administrative outlays. The company recorded net cash outflows of A$142,000 from operating activities and A$161,000 from investing activities in the quarter, with no cash inflows from financing, reducing its cash balance from A$481,000 to A$179,000 over the period; these figures underscore Ragnar’s ongoing investment in exploration while also drawing attention to its tightening cash position, a key consideration for shareholders and potential investors in assessing future funding needs and project progress.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAG) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ragnar Metals Limited stock, see the AU:RAG Stock Forecast page.

Ragnar Metals Issues 10 Million Unlisted Options Under Employee Incentive Scheme
Jan 29, 2026

Ragnar Metals Limited has announced the issuance of 10 million unlisted options under an employee incentive scheme, split evenly between options exercisable at $0.04 and $0.06, both expiring on 27 January 2028. The move is designed to incentivise and retain key personnel through equity-based rewards, potentially aligning employee interests with long-term shareholder value, though the options are unquoted and will not trade on the ASX, limiting immediate market liquidity implications.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAG) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ragnar Metals Limited stock, see the AU:RAG Stock Forecast page.

Ragnar Metals Issues Shares to Secure 20% Stake in Harnäs GoldMine
Jan 29, 2026

Ragnar Metals Limited has issued 5,080,773 fully paid ordinary shares to Sweden-based Aurelia Mining Group AB as consideration for exercising an option to acquire 20% of the issued capital of Harnäs GoldMine AB, a transaction previously announced in late 2025. The share issue, completed under the company’s existing ASX Listing Rule 7.1 placement capacity and relying on the cleansing provisions of section 708A of the Corporations Act, strengthens Ragnar’s exposure to the Harnäs gold project while confirming ongoing compliance with Australian corporate reporting and disclosure requirements, which will be relevant to shareholders monitoring the company’s expanding European gold interests and capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAG) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ragnar Metals Limited stock, see the AU:RAG Stock Forecast page.

Ragnar Metals Seeks ASX Quotation for Over 5 Million New Shares
Jan 29, 2026

Ragnar Metals Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 5,080,773 new fully paid ordinary shares, with an issue date of 28 January 2026, under its existing issuer code RAG. The additional securities, which were previously notified to the market via an Appendix 3B, will expand the company’s quoted share capital, potentially affecting liquidity and ownership structure for existing and new shareholders, although no further context on the use of funds or strategic rationale is provided in this filing.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAG) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ragnar Metals Limited stock, see the AU:RAG Stock Forecast page.

Ragnar Metals Plans Placement of Over 5 Million New Shares
Jan 28, 2026

Ragnar Metals Limited, listed on the ASX under the code RAG, has lodged a notice with the exchange detailing a proposed issue of new fully paid ordinary shares through a placement.

The company plans to issue up to 5,080,773 ordinary fully paid shares, with the proposed issue date of 28 January 2026, as part of a capital-raising initiative via placement or similar mechanism, which will expand its share base and potentially provide additional funding for its activities, with implications for existing shareholders through dilution and for the company’s financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAG) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ragnar Metals Limited stock, see the AU:RAG Stock Forecast page.

Ragnar Metals Uncovers Four New Gold Targets at Harnäs Project in Sweden
Jan 20, 2026

Ragnar Metals has identified four highly prospective new gold targets at its Harnäs Project in Sweden after reprocessing historical induced polarisation data from two survey lines west of the existing Harnäs pit. The anomalies, which lie along strike from the current mine workings and outside historical drilling, are supported by past rock sampling that returned high-grade gold assays and by structural interpretations from LiDAR data. The company has launched a suite of follow-up programs, including assaying previously unsampled historical holes, a high-resolution UAV magnetic survey, extensive channel sampling and a maiden diamond drilling campaign scheduled for the first quarter of 2026, underscoring its confidence in significantly expanding the scale of the Harnäs gold deposit and advancing the project’s district-wide potential.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAG) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ragnar Metals Limited stock, see the AU:RAG Stock Forecast page.

Ragnar Metals Uncovers High-Grade Uranium Zones at Swedish Klockartorpet Project
Jan 12, 2026

Ragnar Metals has reported high-grade surface uranium mineralisation at its Klockartorpet Project in Sweden, with rock-chip assays returning up to 0.29% U3O8 over a 150-metre strike within a shear-hosted, hematite-altered zone that also shows elevated zirconium and hafnium. Reprocessed radiometric data suggests the main uranium anomaly may extend for about 1km and has highlighted at least four additional untested uranium targets, prompting Ragnar to plan further sampling and shallow drill targeting as it seeks to capitalise on Sweden’s recent effective lifting of its uranium ban and to advance its broader exploration portfolio alongside the upcoming maiden drilling at the Harnäs Gold Project.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAG) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ragnar Metals Limited stock, see the AU:RAG Stock Forecast page.

Ragnar Metals Director Increases Stake
Dec 11, 2025

Ragnar Metals Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically regarding Steve Formica’s indirect interest in the company. The change involves the acquisition of 1,730,145 fully paid ordinary shares through on-market purchases, increasing the total number of shares held to 21,250,000. This transaction, valued at $43,253.90, reflects a strategic move by the director, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future prospects.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 22, 2026