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Race Oncology Ltd. (AU:RAC)
ASX:RAC
Australian Market

Race Oncology Ltd. (RAC) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:RAC

Race Oncology Ltd.

(Sydney:RAC)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
AU$2.50
â–¼(-7.41% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/30/26
The score is weighed down primarily by ongoing losses and persistent cash burn alongside volatile and recently declining revenue, despite a low-risk capital structure with zero debt. Technicals are broadly bearish with oversold signals, and valuation support is limited given the negative P/E and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / conservative capital structure
A zero-debt balance sheet materially reduces refinancing and interest risks for a biotech with long development timelines. This structural strength preserves financial flexibility to fund R&D or clinical programs via equity or partnerships and lowers default risk over the next 2–6 months.
High gross margin (FY2025)
A very strong FY2025 gross margin signals that any revenue the company generates has favorable unit economics. If commercialization scales, high gross margins provide durable operating leverage, improving the path to sustainable profitability as fixed R&D and SG&A are spread over larger revenues.
Narrowing losses / improving cash burn
Material improvement in losses and a reduced burn rate indicate management is slowing cash outflows and improving operational efficiency. This durable trend lengthens runway, lowers near-term financing pressure, and increases probability that future milestones can be funded or partnered without immediate dilutive rounds.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative cash flow
Chronic negative operating and free cash flow means the business cannot self-fund operations or trials long-term. Over several months this necessitates external capital, increasing dilution risk and constraining investments in clinical programs, which is a durable headwind for biotech advancement.
Revenue volatility and recent decline
Sharp FY2025 revenue decline after prior growth demonstrates uneven commercialization and weak demand visibility. Structural revenue volatility impairs ability to scale operations, predict cash needs, and realize margin leverage, complicating long-term planning and partner negotiations.
Ongoing operating losses and negative returns
Sustained operating losses and materially negative ROE erode shareholder equity and indicate the company is not yet generating shareholder value. Without durable profitability or a clear commercial inflection, continued equity erosion or financing will be necessary, pressuring long-term capital structure.

Race Oncology Ltd. (RAC) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Race Oncology Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRace Oncology Limited operates as a precision oncology company in Australia. The company is developing Zantrene, a potent small molecule inhibitor of the fatso/fat mass and obesity associated protein to treat for melanoma and clear cell renal cell carcinoma, as well as acute myeloid leukaemia, breast, and ovarian cancers, which is in Phase II/III clinical trial. It has a preclinical research program with the University of Newcastle for investigating Zantrene; and strategic collaboration with the University of Wollongong to evaluate Zantrene formulations. The company was formerly known as Coronado Resources Limited and changed its name to Race Oncology Limited in July 2016. Race Oncology Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyRace Oncology Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its proprietary drug, bisantrene. The company's revenue model is centered on the successful development, approval, and marketing of this drug for various cancer indications. Key revenue streams include potential licensing agreements and partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies for the distribution and sale of bisantrene. Additionally, the company may engage in collaborative research agreements that provide funding for its ongoing clinical trials and development efforts. Race Oncology's earnings are influenced by its ability to progress through clinical trial phases, achieve regulatory approvals, and establish strategic partnerships that enhance its market reach and commercialization potential.

Race Oncology Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite a strong FY2025 gross margin and some narrowing of losses and cash burn versus FY2024, the company remains loss-making with ongoing negative operating/free cash flow and sharply lower FY2025 revenue, indicating uneven commercialization and continued funding risk. The zero-debt balance sheet is a stabilizing positive.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Revenue has been volatile, falling sharply in FY2025 (annual) after growth in FY2024, which points to an uneven commercialization trajectory. Profitability remains weak with persistent operating losses and negative net margins across all periods, although FY2025 shows a meaningful improvement versus FY2024 (losses narrowed materially). A key positive is the very strong gross margin in FY2025, suggesting revenue quality improved, but the company is still spending well above its current revenue base.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively structured with zero debt in every period and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0, reducing financial risk and refinancing pressure. However, equity has trended down from prior years, consistent with ongoing losses, and returns on equity are materially negative, indicating shareholder capital is not yet generating profits. Overall financial stability is solid due to the lack of leverage, but continued losses remain a clear risk to future equity levels.
Cash Flow
39
Negative
Cash generation remains the main weakness: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in every year, reflecting continued cash burn. The burn rate improved in FY2025 versus FY2024 (less negative operating/free cash flow), but the business is still not self-funding. Free cash flow broadly tracks net income (both negative), implying losses are translating into real cash outflows rather than being primarily non-cash accounting effects.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue788.42K6.04M4.00M3.13M707.81K387.38K
Gross Profit392.29K5.41M2.22M-281.20K426.61K106.19K
EBITDA-10.28M-4.43M-14.20M-12.78M-11.63M-6.45M
Net Income-9.39M-4.79M-13.82M-9.92M-11.20M-6.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.77M17.49M20.23M26.64M37.52M14.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.94M13.67M17.19M21.52M33.54M9.32M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities1.20M1.48M1.92M1.15M1.42M523.11K
Stockholders Equity23.57M16.01M18.31M25.49M36.11M13.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.33M-4.57M-9.55M-10.65M-6.26M-4.70M
Operating Cash Flow-7.33M-4.57M-9.55M-10.65M-6.26M-4.70M
Investing Cash Flow532.000.000.007.90M0.000.00
Financing Cash Flow9.51M1.06M5.21M-1.28M30.51M12.28M

Race Oncology Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.70
Price Trends
50DMA
2.54
Negative
100DMA
2.94
Negative
200DMA
2.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
41.68
Neutral
STOCH
46.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:RAC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.30, above the 50-day MA of 2.54, and above the 200-day MA of 2.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:RAC.

Race Oncology Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
AU$50.81M-25.8627.24%2.81%0.65%-9.90%
52
Neutral
AU$94.16M-14.80-47.98%―700.00%26.88%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
AU$66.25M-5.28-49.72%――10.78%
44
Neutral
AU$414.28M-29.29-27.89%――67.26%
41
Neutral
AU$76.13M-2.12-42.68%――63.46%
41
Neutral
AU$130.13M-2.84―――0.66%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:RAC
Race Oncology Ltd.
2.28
1.19
109.17%
AU:ATH
Alterity Therapeutics
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:PTX
Prescient Therapeutics Limited
0.06
0.02
34.09%
AU:EZZ
EZZ Life Science Holdings Ltd.
1.08
-0.60
-35.68%
AU:RCE
Recce Pharmaceuticals Ltd.
0.45
0.08
22.95%
AU:ALA
Arovella Therapeutics Limited
0.08
-0.02
-23.81%

Race Oncology Ltd. Corporate Events

Racura Oncology Swings to Loss but Lifts Asset Backing in H1 FY26
Feb 27, 2026

Racura Oncology Limited reported a sharp reversal in financial performance for the half year ended 31 December 2025, posting a net loss after tax of $4.1 million compared with a profit of $0.5 million a year earlier. The company did not declare or pay any dividends for the period, indicating a continued focus on conserving capital for operations and development activities rather than returning cash to shareholders.

Despite the swing to loss, Racura’s net tangible assets per share improved to 11.71 cents from 10.39 cents, suggesting the balance sheet asset backing per security has strengthened. The absence of changes in control over entities and the lack of a dividend reinvestment plan point to a relatively stable corporate structure, with stakeholders’ attention likely to remain on how management steers the business back toward profitability while sustaining asset value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAC) stock is a Hold with a A$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Race Oncology Ltd. stock, see the AU:RAC Stock Forecast page.

Racura fast-tracks RC220 cardioprotection data with novel blood test in CPACS trial
Feb 10, 2026

Racura Oncology has developed a new blood-based molecular test designed to measure how effectively its candidate RC220 protects the heart from damage caused by anthracycline chemotherapy, notably doxorubicin. Enabled by recent insights into the mechanism of (E,E)-bisantrene, the test will use patient samples from the ongoing RAC-010 cardioprotection and anticancer synergy trial to quantify RC220’s impact on cardiotoxic molecular pathways.

By integrating this assay into the early dose-escalation phase, Racura expects to obtain cardioprotective data more than two years ahead of prior plans, potentially accelerating clinical decision-making and improving trial safety and recruitment. Implementing the test required a modified trial protocol, including an initial doxorubicin-only cycle and extensive regulatory and ethics approvals across Australia, Hong Kong, and South Korea, with Australian clearance now in place and broader Asia approvals pending, as recruitment momentum begins to build again.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAC) stock is a Hold with a A$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Race Oncology Ltd. stock, see the AU:RAC Stock Forecast page.

Racura Oncology Launches Selective Share Buy-Back Program
Feb 5, 2026

Racura Oncology Ltd has notified the market of a new selective share buy-back program covering its ordinary fully paid shares traded under the ASX code RAC. The move signals an active capital management initiative that may affect the company’s share structure and could be interpreted by investors as a sign of confidence in its valuation and long-term strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAC) stock is a Hold with a A$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Race Oncology Ltd. stock, see the AU:RAC Stock Forecast page.

Racura Moves to Correct Capital Structure After Option Exercise Error
Feb 5, 2026

Racura Oncology has disclosed that a November 2025 cashless exercise of 4 million unlisted options by its current and former chief executives resulted in an administrative error, with 179,242 more shares being issued and recorded than intended. The company has placed a holding lock on these excess shares and plans a selective buyback and cancellation, subject to approval at its upcoming annual meeting, in a move aimed at rectifying the capital structure discrepancy and reassuring shareholders about governance and disclosure practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAC) stock is a Hold with a A$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Race Oncology Ltd. stock, see the AU:RAC Stock Forecast page.

Racura Oncology Seeks ASX Quotation for 23,047 New Ordinary Shares
Feb 5, 2026

Racura Oncology Ltd has applied to the ASX for quotation of 23,047 new fully paid ordinary shares, following the exercise or conversion of options or other convertible securities. The relatively small issuance modestly increases the company’s share capital and reflects ongoing conversion of existing equity instruments, with limited immediate impact on ownership structure but signalling continued engagement from holders of its options or convertible securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAC) stock is a Hold with a A$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Race Oncology Ltd. stock, see the AU:RAC Stock Forecast page.

Racura Oncology Seeks ASX Quotation for 141,645 New Shares
Jan 29, 2026

Racura Oncology Ltd has applied to the ASX for quotation of 141,645 new fully paid ordinary shares, issued on 29 January 2026, following the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible securities. The additional quoted shares modestly increase the company’s free float and capital base, reflecting ongoing investor participation in Racura’s equity and potentially supporting its funding capacity for future oncology development activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAC) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Race Oncology Ltd. stock, see the AU:RAC Stock Forecast page.

Racura Oncology Secures Key Bisantrene Patent Filings, Expands RC220 Clinical Programs and Bolsters Cash Position
Jan 29, 2026

Racura Oncology reported a strong quarter to 31 December 2025, with cash and equivalents of $20.94 million and more than 63% of expenditure directed to R&D and drug manufacturing, supported by $8.8 million in new funding from early option conversions and a premium-priced private placement. Operationally, the company secured composition-of-matter patent filings over the (E,E)-bisantrene isoform, unveiled a new primary mechanism of action showing the drug binds and stabilises G-quadruplex DNA and RNA structures linked to key cancer drivers such as MYC, expanded its clinical strategy with new RC220 programs in EGFR-mutant non-small cell lung cancer and acute myeloid leukaemia, obtained ethics approval for the HARNESS-1 Phase 1a/b lung cancer trial, and strengthened its scientific leadership with the appointment of G4-drug specialist Professor Laurence Hurley, positioning Racura to advance multiple pivotal and combination studies through 2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAC) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Race Oncology Ltd. stock, see the AU:RAC Stock Forecast page.

Race Oncology Director Increases Shareholding via $500,000 Option Exercise
Jan 22, 2026

Race Oncology has disclosed a change in the holdings of director Daniel Tillett, who exercised 400,000 options at an exercise price of $1.25 each, investing $500,000 to convert them into fully paid ordinary shares. Following this transaction, Tillett’s direct interest increased to 18,472,378 ordinary shares, while his remaining options at the $1.25 strike decreased to 1,748,342, with no trades occurring during a closed period, signalling continued director alignment with shareholders through increased equity exposure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAC) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Race Oncology Ltd. stock, see the AU:RAC Stock Forecast page.

Racura Oncology Seeks ASX Quotation for 470,501 New Shares
Jan 22, 2026

Racura Oncology Ltd has applied for quotation on the ASX of 470,501 new fully paid ordinary shares, following the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible securities. The additional share quotation modestly increases the company’s listed capital base, potentially enhancing liquidity for shareholders and reflecting ongoing utilisation of equity-linked incentives or financing structures without signaling a major change in strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAC) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Race Oncology Ltd. stock, see the AU:RAC Stock Forecast page.

Race Oncology Seeks ASX Quotation for 27,762 New Ordinary Shares
Jan 15, 2026

Race Oncology Ltd has applied to the ASX for quotation of 27,762 new fully paid ordinary shares, following the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible securities. The modest new share issuance slightly expands the company’s listed capital base and reflects ongoing conversion of equity-linked instruments, with limited immediate impact on existing shareholders but incremental enhancement of the company’s tradable free float.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAC) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Race Oncology Ltd. stock, see the AU:RAC Stock Forecast page.

Racura Oncology Taps Emory Expertise to Tackle Osimertinib Resistance in Lung Cancer
Jan 13, 2026

Racura Oncology has entered a collaboration with Emory University to study its lead candidate (E,E)-bisantrene (RC220) in osimertinib-resistant EGFR-mutated non-small cell lung cancer, leveraging Emory’s specialised cell and mouse models and the expertise of lung cancer resistance specialist Professor Shi-Yong Sun. Early preclinical data from the partnership show significant synergy between RC220 and AstraZeneca’s blockbuster drug Tagrisso (osimertinib), supporting Racura’s HARNESS-1 Phase 1a/b trial that aims to delay or prevent treatment resistance in EGFRm NSCLC patients, potentially strengthening Racura’s scientific platform and enhancing its positioning for engagement with clinicians, regulators and prospective pharma partners in a large and growing market for EGFR-targeted therapies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAC) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Race Oncology Ltd. stock, see the AU:RAC Stock Forecast page.

Racura Oncology Seeks Quotation of 29,217 New Ordinary Shares on ASX
Jan 8, 2026

Racura Oncology Ltd has applied for quotation on the ASX of 29,217 new ordinary fully paid shares, effective 8 January 2026, following the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible securities. The modest increase in quoted securities reflects ongoing capital management and may slightly broaden the company’s free float and shareholder base without materially altering its overall capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAC) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Race Oncology Ltd. stock, see the AU:RAC Stock Forecast page.

Racura Oncology Seeks ASX Quotation for Additional Ordinary Shares
Jan 2, 2026

Racura Oncology Ltd has applied for quotation on the ASX of 5,469 new ordinary fully paid shares following the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible securities, with an issue date of 2 January 2026. The modest increase in quoted securities slightly expands the company’s share capital base and reflects ongoing capital management activity, but does not, on the information provided, indicate a material change to its operations or strategic position.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAC) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Race Oncology Ltd. stock, see the AU:RAC Stock Forecast page.

Racura Taps Beyond Drug Development for Key RC220 Lung Cancer Trial
Dec 23, 2025

Racura Oncology has appointed Australian contract research organisation Beyond Drug Development to support its HARNESS-1 Phase 1a/b trial of RC220 in combination with osimertinib in patients with EGFR-mutated non-small cell lung cancer, with the study planned at five Australian sites and first patient recruitment targeted for the first quarter of calendar 2026, subject to governance approvals. The agreement, structured under a Master Service Agreement with an estimated value of $3.05 million based on enrolment of up to 80 patients, gives Racura access to Beyond’s flexible trial design and operational expertise, including advanced features such as circulating tumour DNA biomarkers, accelerated single-patient cohorts and a Bayesian Optimised Interval Design, marking a key operational milestone in bringing RC220 into the clinic and potentially strengthening Racura’s position in the competitive lung cancer treatment landscape.

Racura Oncology Seeks ASX Quotation for 32,658 New Shares After Option Conversions
Dec 23, 2025

Racura Oncology Ltd has applied to the ASX for quotation of 32,658 new fully paid ordinary shares, to be issued on 23 December 2025 following the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible securities. The modest increase in quoted capital reflects ongoing utilisation of equity-linked incentives or financing arrangements, marginally expanding the company’s shareholder base and providing additional capital flexibility to support its oncology drug development programs.

Racura Oncology CEO Advances Funding Efforts for Key Lung Cancer Trial
Dec 18, 2025

Racura Oncology announced that CEO Dr. Daniel Tillett has begun early conversion of $1.25 Piggyback Options and acquired shares to ensure funding for its HARNESS-1 lung cancer trial, reaffirming his confidence in the company’s clinical and commercial potential. This action, along with support from other stakeholders, highlights the company’s commitment to advancing its innovative drug pipeline and solidifying its position in the oncology market.

Race Oncology Ltd. Announces Issuance of Additional Securities
Dec 18, 2025

Race Oncology Ltd. announced the successful issuance of additional securities, totaling 311,838 ordinary fully paid shares, which will be quoted under the ASX code ‘RAC’. This move reflects the strategic growth initiatives of the company and may enhance its market position while offering potential value to stakeholders.

Racura Oncology Issues New Shares to Boost Capital
Dec 11, 2025

Racura Oncology Ltd announced the issuance of 1,139,027 new shares at $2.83 each as part of a capital raising effort. This move allows immediate trading of the shares, potentially enhancing liquidity and supporting the company’s ongoing clinical programs and strategic initiatives in the oncology sector.

Racura Oncology Ltd Rebrands to Strengthen Market Position
Dec 9, 2025

Racura Oncology Ltd has officially changed its name from Race Oncology Limited following shareholder approval and registration with the Australian Securities and Investments Commission. The company’s ASX listing code remains unchanged. This rebranding aligns with Racura’s mission to enhance its positioning in the biopharmaceutical industry, focusing on innovative cancer treatments and strategic collaborations to expand its market reach.

Race Oncology Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Dec 8, 2025

Race Oncology Ltd has announced a proposed issue of 1,139,028 ordinary fully paid securities, with the issue date set for December 10, 2025. This move is part of a placement or other type of issue, which could potentially impact the company’s market positioning and stakeholder interests by increasing its capital base.

Race Oncology Secures $3.22m for Lung Cancer Trial
Dec 8, 2025

Race Oncology has secured $3.22 million through a private placement to fund its HARNESS-1 Phase 1a/b trial for non-small cell lung cancer, combining RC220 with Tagrisso®. The trial, expected to enroll its first patient by early Q1 2026, has received ethical approval, and the funding reflects strong shareholder support, positioning Race Oncology to advance its cancer treatment initiatives.

Race Oncology Ltd Announces Quotation of New Securities
Dec 4, 2025

Race Oncology Ltd has announced the quotation of 497,031 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of December 4, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategic efforts to enhance its financial positioning and increase its market presence, potentially impacting stakeholders by providing more liquidity and investment opportunities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026