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Pepper Money Ltd (AU:PPM)
ASX:PPM

Pepper Money Ltd (PPM) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Pepper Money Ltd

(Sydney:PPM)

65Neutral
Pepper Money Ltd's overall stock score of 65 reflects a balanced view of its financial performance and valuation. The company shows strength in its dividend yield and potential undervaluation, making it appealing to income-focused investors. However, declining revenues, high leverage, and volatile cash flows present significant challenges that must be addressed to ensure long-term stability and growth. The stock's technical indicators suggest some potential for price appreciation, although a limited set of data hinders a full technical assessment.
Positive Factors
Analyst Recommendation
Analyst reiterates Buy recommendation for Pepper Money Ltd.
Interest Rates
NIM and volumes positioned to likely benefit as we head into a rate cutting cycle.
Negative Factors
Earnings Performance
PPM reported 1H24 pro-forma earnings down -22% hoh and -7% lower than GSe.

Pepper Money Ltd (PPM) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Pepper Money Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPepper Money Limited operates as a non-bank lender in the mortgage and asset finance markets in Australia and New Zealand. It operates through three segments: Mortgages, Asset Finance, and Loan and Other Servicing. The Mortgages segment engages in the financing of residential home loans and small balance commercial real estate loans. The Asset Finance segment finances a range of asset types for consumer and commercial customers. The Loan and Other Servicing segment provides independent loan servicing for mortgages and personal loans, and broker administration servicing. The company was formerly known as Pepper Group Pty Limited. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in North Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyPepper Money generates revenue primarily through interest income from its lending products. Its key revenue streams include mortgage loans, personal loans, and asset finance. By offering these products, the company earns interest over the life of the loan, which forms the core of its income. Pepper Money also benefits from fees associated with the origination and servicing of these loans. Additionally, the company may engage in partnerships with brokers and other financial institutions to expand its reach and enhance its product offerings, which can contribute to its earnings by increasing the volume of loans processed.

Pepper Money Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pepper Money Ltd demonstrates a mixed financial performance with strong gross profit margins but declining revenues and operational profitability issues in recent years. The balance sheet reflects high debt levels, posing potential risks, while cash flows show improvement but remain volatile. Continued focus on revenue growth and debt management is essential for enhancing financial stability and long-term profitability.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Pepper Money Ltd's income statement shows declining revenue over recent years, with total revenue dropping from $427.8 million in 2022 to $403.1 million in 2024. The gross profit margin remains high at 100% for 2024 due to the nature of their financial services, but EBIT and EBITDA margins have been zero in 2024, indicating challenges in generating operational profits. The net profit margin for 2024 stands at 24.5%, which is relatively strong. However, the declining revenue trend and absence of EBIT/EBITDA profits pose concerns.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 19.25 in 2024, indicating significant reliance on debt financing. Stockholders' equity has moderately increased to $855.6 million by 2024. The equity ratio is low at 4.9%, reflecting a highly leveraged position, which may pose financial stability risks in adverse conditions. Return on equity is reasonable at 11.55%, driven by net income performance.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows variability, with free cash flow improving to $2.59 billion in 2024 from a negative position in earlier years. However, operating cash flow to net income ratio is not calculable for 2024 due to zero operating cash flow, indicating potential challenges in converting income to cash. Historical cash flow trends exhibit volatility, highlighting potential cash management issues.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.58B417.70M427.80M771.30M774.10M
Gross Profit
403.10M341.20M351.70M699.60M704.90M
EBIT
1.29B153.50M202.20M520.60M512.00M
EBITDA
1.29B0.000.00545.10M536.40M
Net Income Common Stockholders
98.80M110.70M141.00M120.80M-29.60M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.24B1.53B1.24B1.31B879.80M
Total Assets
17.47B20.21B19.92B17.27B14.34B
Total Debt
16.47B19.26B18.98B16.52B13.66B
Net Debt
15.24B17.73B17.74B15.21B12.78B
Total Liabilities
16.62B19.34B18.99B16.53B13.84B
Stockholders Equity
855.60M825.40M801.90M636.40M498.90M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.59B91.20M-2.31B-3.00B-1.36B
Operating Cash Flow
2.60B98.30M-2.30B-2.99B-1.35B
Investing Cash Flow
-49.30M-7.50M-87.60M-266.40M-48.70M
Financing Cash Flow
-2.85B194.30M2.32B3.68B1.56B

Pepper Money Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.68
Price Trends
50DMA
1.42
Positive
100DMA
1.39
Positive
200DMA
1.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Negative
RSI
74.73
Negative
STOCH
87.39
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:PPM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.48, above the 50-day MA of 1.42, and above the 200-day MA of 1.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.73 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.39 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:PPM.

Pepper Money Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUMYS
66
Neutral
AU$666.21M12.927.25%5.58%14.46%-6.87%
AUPPM
65
Neutral
AU$730.41M7.3411.75%7.36%3.70%-10.93%
64
Neutral
$12.74B9.857.88%17015.07%12.17%-6.02%
AUCBA
54
Neutral
AU$279.49B28.6213.22%2.84%17.35%0.73%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:PPM
Pepper Money Ltd
1.68
0.38
29.23%
BKQNF
Bank of Queensland
4.88
1.16
31.18%
BXRBF
Bendigo & Adelaide Bank
7.58
1.32
21.09%
SNMYF
Suncorp Group
13.26
3.62
37.55%
AU:CBA
Commonwealth Bank of Australia
166.14
50.57
43.76%
AU:MYS
Mystate Limited
3.94
0.59
17.61%

Pepper Money Ltd Corporate Events

Pepper Money Director Increases Shareholding
Apr 11, 2025

Pepper Money Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with James Desmond O’Shea acquiring 15,000 additional ordinary shares in the company through an on-market trade. This change reflects a significant increase in O’Shea’s direct holding in Pepper Money, potentially indicating confidence in the company’s future performance and strategic direction.

Pepper Money Announces On-Market Buy-Back of Securities
Apr 1, 2025

Pepper Money Limited has announced an on-market buy-back of its ordinary fully paid securities, as per the latest notification. This strategic move is likely aimed at optimizing the company’s capital structure and enhancing shareholder value, reflecting a proactive approach to managing its financial resources.

Pepper Money Announces Strategic Share Buy-Back Plan
Apr 1, 2025

Pepper Money Limited has announced a plan to conduct an on-market share buy-back of up to 10% of its ordinary shares as part of its capital management strategy. This buy-back, set to commence on 8 May 2025, will be executed over a 12-month period, with the timing and volume of purchases contingent on market conditions and share price. This move is aimed at optimizing the company’s capital management, although there is no guarantee that all shares will be repurchased.

Pepper Money Announces Director’s Interest Changes
Mar 17, 2025

Pepper Money Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Mario Rehayem, who holds direct and indirect interests in the company. The changes include the acquisition and vesting of various executive rights and ordinary shares, with a notable issuance of 958,612 ordinary shares at $1.4954 per share. This adjustment in director’s interests reflects ongoing internal financial management and could influence stakeholder perceptions regarding the company’s governance and executive compensation strategies.

Pepper Money Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Mar 12, 2025

Pepper Money Limited has announced the application for quotation of 6,118 ordinary fully paid securities on the ASX, as part of a previously announced transaction. This move is expected to enhance the company’s market presence and provide additional capital for its operations, potentially impacting its industry positioning and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

Pepper Money Ltd Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Mar 12, 2025

Pepper Money Ltd has announced a proposed issue of 6,118 ordinary fully paid securities, with the issuance date set for March 12, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategic efforts to enhance its capital structure, potentially impacting its market positioning and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

Pepper Money Ltd Expands Market Presence with New Securities Quotation
Mar 12, 2025

Pepper Money Ltd announced the quotation of 4,040,852 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), effective March 12, 2025. This move signifies an expansion of the company’s financial instruments available to investors, potentially enhancing its market presence and offering stakeholders more opportunities for investment.

Pepper Money Ltd Updates Dividend Distribution Dates
Feb 28, 2025

Pepper Money Ltd announced a correction to the dates of its dividend distribution for the period ending December 31, 2024. The updated record date is March 20, 2025, with the ex-date set for March 19, 2025. This update is crucial for stakeholders to ensure accurate financial planning and reflects the company’s commitment to transparent communication.

Pepper Money Announces Dividend Distribution for 2024
Feb 27, 2025

Pepper Money Limited has announced a dividend distribution of AUD 0.071 per share for its ordinary fully paid securities, relating to the financial period ending on December 31, 2024. The ex-dividend date is set for March 13, 2025, with the record date on March 14, 2025, and payment scheduled for April 18, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its shareholders and may enhance its attractiveness to investors seeking consistent returns.

Pepper Money Releases 2024 ESG Report Highlighting Sustainability Goals
Feb 27, 2025

Pepper Money Ltd has released its CY2024 Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Report, emphasizing their commitment to sustainability and climate-related objectives. The report contains forward-looking statements regarding the company’s business operations and market conditions, highlighting potential risks and uncertainties that could impact their financial position. Stakeholders are advised to consider these factors when evaluating the company’s future prospects.

Pepper Money Unveils 2024 ESG Report, Emphasizing Sustainability and Responsibility
Feb 27, 2025

Pepper Money Ltd has released its Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Report for 2024, outlining its strategic focus on sustainability and responsible business practices. The report highlights the company’s commitment to customer wellbeing, employee engagement, and community investment, positioning it as a responsible player in the financial services industry. This initiative is expected to enhance stakeholder trust and reinforce Pepper Money’s market positioning.

Pepper Money Releases 2024 Corporate Governance Statement
Feb 26, 2025

Pepper Money Limited has released its Corporate Governance Statement for 2024, highlighting its commitment to high corporate governance standards and shareholder value creation. The statement outlines the Board’s responsibilities, including overseeing company strategies, ensuring compliance with ethical standards, and keeping shareholders informed. The Board has established several committees, including a new Environmental, Social, and Governance Committee, to streamline its responsibilities and enhance corporate governance practices.

Pepper Money Releases 2024 Full-Year Results
Feb 26, 2025

Pepper Money Limited has released its 2024 full-year results, highlighting its performance and strategic initiatives over the past year. The announcement provides insights into the company’s financial health and operational strategies, which could influence its market positioning and stakeholder interests moving forward.

Pepper Money Reports Mixed CY2024 Results with Strong Growth in Originations
Feb 26, 2025

Pepper Money Ltd reported a mixed financial performance for CY2024, with a 9% increase in profit pre-tax and loan loss expense, despite a 10% decline in statutory NPAT compared to the previous year. The company achieved a 16% increase in originations in the second half of 2024 compared to the first half, although full-year originations were down by 3% year-on-year. The net interest margin improved by 12 basis points to 1.97%, and the company declared a fully franked final dividend of 7.1 cents per share, reflecting a significant increase in the annualized yield. Despite challenges such as increased loan loss expenses due to late-stage arrears and insolvencies, Pepper Money remains well-funded with unrestricted cash reserves to support future growth.

Pepper Money Reports Decline in 2024 Financial Performance
Feb 26, 2025

Pepper Money Limited reported a decline in its financial performance for the year ended December 31, 2024, with net interest income down by 5.4% and net profit after income tax decreasing by 9.7% compared to the previous year. Despite the downturn, the company declared a final dividend of 7.1 cents per share, reflecting a commitment to returning value to shareholders. The company also highlighted its pro-forma earnings to provide a clearer picture of its underlying performance, excluding one-off acquisition costs from the previous year.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.