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Predictive Discovery Limited (AU:PDI)
:PDI
Australian Market

Predictive Discovery Limited (PDI) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Predictive Discovery Limited

(Sydney:PDI)

39Underperform
Predictive Discovery Limited faces significant challenges with profitability and cash flow, as reflected in its low financial performance score. Technical analysis shows mixed signals with some short-term weakness, and valuation metrics indicate fundamental issues with negative earnings. These factors collectively contribute to a low overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Environmental Compliance
Predictive Discovery has received approval for the Environmental & Social Impact Assessment and a Certificate of Environmental Compliance, which addresses a key concern for project development.
Funding
Predictive Discovery announced that it has received binding commitments from the Lundin Family and Zijin Mining to raise approximately A$69.2M.
Project Development
Following completion of the strategic placement, Predictive will have a pro-forma cash balance of approximately A$98.0M and be fully funded through a final investment decision to commence full-scale project development.
Negative Factors
Market Valuation
The issue price represents no discount to the last traded price, a 1.9% premium to the 5-day volume weighted average price, and a 4.4% premium to the 30-day VWAP.
Project Timeline
The definitive feasibility study for Predictive Discovery's project is progressing on schedule, with completion expected in the second half of 2025.

Predictive Discovery Limited (PDI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Predictive Discovery Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPredictive Discovery Limited (PDI) is an exploration and mining company focused on the discovery and development of gold resources in West Africa. The company aims to unlock value through active exploration and strategic partnerships, leveraging its technical expertise to identify high-potential gold deposits. Operating primarily in the mineral-rich regions of Burkina Faso and Guinea, PDI's core services include geological surveys, drilling programs, and feasibility studies aimed at advancing its projects towards development and production stages.
How the Company Makes MoneyPredictive Discovery Limited makes money primarily through the discovery and eventual production of gold resources. The company generates revenue by advancing its exploration projects to a stage where they can be sold or developed further into producing mines. Key revenue streams include the sale of mineral rights, joint ventures, and partnerships with larger mining companies interested in developing the discovered resources. Additionally, PDI may receive funding from strategic partners or investors who share in the potential profits of successful exploration projects. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by the market price of gold, exploration success, and its ability to efficiently manage project costs.

Predictive Discovery Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Predictive Discovery Limited is struggling with profitability and cash flow generation, primarily due to its negative income margins and operational cash flows. The balance sheet remains a bright spot with strong equity and liquidity positions. Overall, the company needs to focus on improving revenue stability and operational efficiency.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Predictive Discovery Limited shows a weak income statement performance with consistent net losses and negative EBIT margins over the years. The revenue growth is volatile, with significant fluctuations, and the net profit margin remains negative. The company needs to improve its revenue generation and control costs to achieve profitability.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a stable equity position with a high equity ratio, indicating low financial leverage. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is low, suggesting limited use of debt financing. The company appears to have ample cash reserves, which can provide a cushion against operational losses.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Predictive Discovery Limited faces challenges with negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, indicating cash outflows that could be problematic long-term. While there are some financing inflows, the company needs to improve its cash generation from operations to sustain its activities without relying heavily on external financing.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.00170.77K0.000.0015.04K0.00
Gross Profit
-292.04K-418.70K-524.05K-221.75K-45.49K-2.51K
EBIT
-13.40M-7.59M-11.07M-7.99M-4.24M-1.59M
EBITDA
-13.58M-8.08M-10.42M-9.47M-6.56M-1.58M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-13.52M-8.67M-11.23M-9.69M-6.62M-2.35M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
28.75M52.43M44.89M42.04M22.73M8.64M
Total Assets
181.67M176.59M133.79M80.63M38.79M13.85M
Total Debt
86.40K159.33K313.24K0.000.000.00
Net Debt
-28.66M-29.27M-44.58M-42.04M-22.73M-8.64M
Total Liabilities
7.80M6.64M4.95M6.55M2.50M992.72K
Stockholders Equity
173.87M169.95M128.84M74.08M36.29M12.85M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-45.22M-41.42M-57.43M-23.75M-14.64M-3.97M
Operating Cash Flow
14.74M-5.17M-56.94M-23.04M-14.29M-3.96M
Investing Cash Flow
-49.82M-59.25M-453.67K-712.10K-347.18K-16.14K
Financing Cash Flow
48.33M48.88M60.67M43.06M28.73M11.44M

Predictive Discovery Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.36
Price Trends
50DMA
0.36
Negative
100DMA
0.32
Positive
200DMA
0.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
48.00
Neutral
STOCH
27.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:PDI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.37, below the 50-day MA of 0.36, and above the 200-day MA of 0.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:PDI.

Predictive Discovery Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AURMS
79
Outperform
$2.89B8.1626.42%3.19%54.37%310.22%
AUNST
78
Outperform
AU$26.19B22.1811.01%2.82%25.11%28.88%
AUGOR
76
Outperform
$3.52B24.5813.42%0.64%11.93%22.74%
50
Neutral
$1.97B-1.14-21.33%3.61%1.59%-30.68%
AUCHN
47
Neutral
€416.26M-16.63%57.93%
AUPDI
39
Underperform
AU$956.42M-9.04%-114.29%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:PDI
Predictive Discovery Limited
0.38
0.18
90.00%
AU:NST
Northern Star Resources Ltd
18.04
3.80
26.69%
AU:GOR
Gold Road Resources Ltd
3.20
1.64
105.00%
AU:RMS
Ramelius Resources Limited
2.50
0.55
28.53%
AU:CHN
Chalice Mining
1.03
-0.79
-43.37%

Predictive Discovery Limited Corporate Events

Predictive Discovery Director Alters Equity Holdings
May 1, 2025

Predictive Discovery Limited announced a change in the interest of its director, Andrew Pardey, involving the conversion of 3,750,000 Zero Exercise Options (ZEPOs) into fully paid ordinary shares. This change reflects an exercise of vested employee options, indicating a strategic move to consolidate equity holdings, which could impact the company’s financial structure and market perception.

Predictive Discovery Limited Announces Quotation of New Securities
May 1, 2025

Predictive Discovery Limited has announced the quotation of 7,562,500 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of April 30, 2025. This move is expected to bolster the company’s financial standing and potentially enhance its market presence, offering stakeholders increased investment opportunities.

Predictive Discovery Advances Bankan Gold Project with New Drilling Results and Strategic Funding
Apr 29, 2025

Predictive Discovery Limited announced significant progress in its Bankan Gold Project during the March 2025 quarter, including the completion of 7,000 meters of drilling and the release of maiden Mineral Resource estimates for the Fouwagbe and Sounsoun sites. The company also achieved a major milestone with the approval of its Environmental & Social Impact Assessment and the issuance of an Environmental Compliance Certificate, further advancing its permitting process. Additionally, Predictive Discovery raised A$69 million through strategic placements, enhancing its financial position and stakeholder confidence.

Predictive Discovery Reports Strong Drilling Results at Bankan Gold Project
Apr 22, 2025

Predictive Discovery Limited has announced promising drilling results from the Sounsoun SW target area within its Bankan Gold Project in Guinea. The results, which include several strong gold intercepts, suggest significant upside potential to the project’s maiden Mineral Resource estimate. The company is concentrating its exploration efforts on high-priority targets like the Sounsoun SW area to rapidly advance the Bankan project towards becoming a major African gold mine.

Predictive Discovery Unveils Maiden Resource Estimates for Bankan Gold Project
Apr 22, 2025

Predictive Discovery Limited has announced its maiden Mineral Resource estimates for the Fouwagbe and Sounsoun deposits within the Argo area of its Bankan Gold Project in Guinea. The estimates reveal a total of 153,000 ounces of gold, with 119,000 ounces at Fouwagbe and 34,000 ounces at Sounsoun. This development increases the total Mineral Resource of the Bankan Project to 5.53 million ounces of gold, highlighting the project’s potential to become a major African gold mine. The company is focusing on high-priority exploration targets and advancing towards a Definitive Feasibility Study, working closely with the Guinean government on the necessary permits.

Predictive Discovery Director Increases Shareholding
Mar 19, 2025

Predictive Discovery Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, as Sandra Bates acquired 447,500 fully paid ordinary shares through an on-market trade. This acquisition reflects a significant increase in her holdings, potentially indicating confidence in the company’s future prospects. Such changes in director holdings can impact stakeholder perceptions and may influence the company’s market positioning.

Predictive Discovery Limited Announces Cessation of Securities
Feb 27, 2025

Predictive Discovery Limited announced the cessation of several securities, including performance rights and options, totaling over 9 million units. This move, effective February 26, 2025, was a result of cancellations agreed upon between the company and the holders, potentially impacting the company’s capital structure and signaling strategic adjustments.

Predictive Discovery Limited Applies for Quotation of New Securities
Feb 25, 2025

Predictive Discovery Limited has announced the application for the quotation of 61,070 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), with an issue date of February 21, 2025. This move reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance its capital structure and potentially strengthen its financial position, which could have implications for its operational capabilities and attractiveness to investors.

Predictive Discovery’s West African Gold Project Seeks Significant Investment
Feb 24, 2025

Predictive Discovery Limited has released a presentation for the BMO Conference, detailing its Pre-Feasibility Study for a gold mining project in West Africa. The study indicates a need for approximately US$456 million in funding to achieve the projected outcomes, with potential implications for shareholder value due to possible dilution. Investors are cautioned about the uncertainties and are advised to conduct their own inquiries before making investment decisions.

Predictive Discovery Reports Promising Drilling Results at Bankan Gold Project
Feb 23, 2025

Predictive Discovery Limited announced promising drilling results from its Bankan Gold Project in Guinea, with particular focus on the Fouwagbe and Sounsoun targets. Recent drilling at these sites has revealed significant gold mineralization, especially in the underexplored south-western corridor of Sounsoun, which has been identified as a priority for further exploration. The company’s ongoing exploration efforts and geological modeling are aimed at advancing towards maiden Mineral Resource estimates, signaling potential growth and increased resource definition for stakeholders.

Perseus Mining’s Stake in Predictive Discovery Diminishes Following Private Placement
Feb 19, 2025

Predictive Discovery Limited has experienced a change in its substantial holder interests, as Perseus Mining Limited’s voting power decreased from 19.86% to 17.87% due to a private placement by Predictive Discovery. This development indicates a dilution in Perseus Mining’s stake, which could impact its influence over the company. This adjustment in shareholding might affect strategic decisions and stakeholder interests due to the altered voting power dynamics within Predictive Discovery.

Predictive Discovery Finalizes A$69M Strategic Placement
Feb 11, 2025

Predictive Discovery Limited has successfully completed a strategic private placement valued at A$69.2 million with significant investors, including the Lundin family and Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd. This move is expected to enhance the company’s financial standing and potentially expand its exploration and mining activities.

Predictive Discovery Issues Shares Amid Ongoing Gold Exploration
Feb 11, 2025

Predictive Discovery Limited announced the issuance of 170,120,467 fully paid ordinary shares to Institutional and Sophisticated Investors at $0.265 per share, without disclosure under Part 6D.2 of the Corporations Act 2001. The company also noted that ongoing assay results from its Bankan Gold Project are incomplete and not ready for release, indicating potential future updates on its exploration activities.

Predictive Discovery Expands Securities Quotation on ASX
Feb 11, 2025

Predictive Discovery Limited has announced the quotation of 170,120,467 fully paid ordinary securities on the ASX, as part of previously disclosed transactions. This move is likely to enhance the company’s liquidity and market capitalization, potentially impacting its strategic positioning in the industry and offering stakeholders an expanded opportunity for investment.

Predictive Discovery Limited Issues New Shares Amid Ongoing Exploration
Feb 9, 2025

Predictive Discovery Limited has issued and allotted 91,090,720 fully paid ordinary shares at $0.265 per share to Institutional and Sophisticated Investors without disclosure under Part 6D.2 of the Corporations Act 2001. This action aligns with compliance requirements and supports the company’s ongoing activities at the Bankan Gold Project, though recent assay results remain incomplete and not ready for market release.

Predictive Discovery Limited to Quote New Securities on ASX
Feb 9, 2025

Predictive Discovery Limited announced the quotation of 91,090,720 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as part of previously disclosed transactions. This move signifies a strategic step in enhancing the company’s financial positioning and market presence, potentially impacting its operational capabilities and providing value to stakeholders through increased market activity.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.