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Nufarm Limited (AU:NUF)
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Nufarm Limited (NUF) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:NUF

Nufarm Limited

(Sydney:NUF)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
AU$2.50
▲(2.46% Upside)
Nufarm Limited's overall stock score reflects a challenging financial performance with declining profitability, offset by strong cash flow management and a stable balance sheet. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, while valuation metrics are negatively impacted by recent losses. The earnings call highlighted both strategic initiatives and financial constraints, contributing to a mixed outlook.

Nufarm Limited (NUF) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Nufarm Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNufarm Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells crop protection solutions and seed technologies in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through two segments, Crop Protection and Seed Technology. The company's protection solutions include herbicides, insecticides, and fungicides that help growers protect crops against weeds, pests, and diseases. It focuses on crops, such as cereals; corn; soybean; pasture, turf, and ornamentals; and trees, nuts, vines, and vegetables. It also provides seed treatment products for the protection and treatment of damage caused by insects, fungus, and disease; and distributes sunflower, sorghum, and canola seeds. Nufarm Limited was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Laverton North, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyNufarm Limited generates revenue primarily through the sale of its crop protection products, including herbicides, insecticides, and fungicides. These products are sold to agricultural producers, distributors, and retailers across various international markets. The company also makes money from its seed technologies division, which focuses on developing and commercializing innovative seed treatment solutions to improve crop productivity. Additionally, Nufarm benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with other agricultural and chemical companies, which can enhance its product offerings and market reach. Key factors contributing to its earnings include global agricultural trends, demand for food production, and the company's ability to innovate and effectively distribute its products.

Nufarm Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 20, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were notable achievements in Crop Protection and bioenergy expansion, the company faced significant challenges with omega-3 profitability and increased leverage. The decision to explore outside equity for Seed Technologies indicates both potential growth and financial constraints.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance in Crop Protection
Underlying EBIT from Crop Protection increased by 34% year-on-year, with improvements in APAC and Europe despite weather headwinds in Australia.
Expansion in Bioenergy
A significant 3x expansion in carinata area planted in 2025 compared to 2024, supported by a 10-year agreement with BP.
Reduction in Inventory Days
Achieved a 22-day year-on-year reduction in inventory, on track for a 25-day reduction by end of fiscal year 2025.
Strategic Partnerships
New agreements with Unilever and BP to develop Biomass Oil and a collaboration with Hort Innovation for a robotic sprayer in Australia.
Negative Updates
Omega-3 Challenges
Significant decline in profitability for omega-3 due to a 70% drop in fish oil prices, leading to a $28 million inventory write-down.
Increased Leverage
Leverage increased to 4.5 times underlying EBITDA, partly due to omega-3 scaling and seasonal working capital build.
No Interim Dividend
Due to the increased leverage and financial constraints, no interim dividend will be paid.
North America EBIT Decline
EBIT in North America decreased by 10% year-on-year, influenced by pricing pressures and a delayed season.
Company Guidance
In the Nufarm Limited 1H25 results call, CEO Greg Hunt outlined several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported an underlying EBIT of $103 million and earnings per share before material items of $7.02, with leverage standing at 4.5 times. Nufarm's Seed Technologies division generated over $200 million in annual revenue, driven by its hybrid canola, sorghum, and sunflower seeds platforms. Despite challenges in the omega-3 segment leading to a $28 million inventory write-down, the company plans a threefold expansion of carinata plantings by 2025. Nufarm is pursuing a $50 million reduction in annualized overhead costs by the end of FY25 and aims to reduce inventory by 25 days year-on-year by the same period. Moreover, capital expenditure is expected to be around $200 million in FY26. The company is exploring alternative structures for Seed Technologies to enhance growth, engaging UBS to assist in reviewing capital structure options and emphasizing the potential value in new technologies like Biomass Oil Trait.

Nufarm Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nufarm Limited is facing challenges with declining revenue and profitability, reflected in negative net income. However, the balance sheet shows reduced leverage and stable equity levels. The cash flow statement is a bright spot, with improved operating cash flow supporting operational resilience. Overall, while profitability remains a concern, the company's cash management and balance sheet stability provide a buffer.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Nufarm Limited has experienced fluctuating revenue with a decline in the most recent year. The gross profit margin for the latest year is approximately 25.1%, a decrease from the previous year, indicating challenges in maintaining profit levels. The net profit margin has turned negative, from 3.2% last year to -0.17% this year, highlighting profitability concerns. EBIT and EBITDA margins are unavailable for the current year due to zero EBIT, but EBITDA margin is around 7.9%, showing a decrease from prior performance.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio improved to 0.50 from 0.55, indicating a reduction in leverage. Return on equity has turned negative, reflecting the net loss. However, the equity ratio is stable at approximately 50%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. The improvement in net debt levels is a positive sign.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Nufarm's operating cash flow has significantly improved, turning positive this year. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating efficient conversion of profits into cash. However, free cash flow growth is not calculable due to negative figures in the prior year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, demonstrating robust cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.35B3.35B3.48B3.77B3.22B2.85B
Gross Profit847.78M840.37M1.03B972.59M834.71M734.73M
EBITDA176.98M263.77M427.18M416.84M359.18M-10.70M
Net Income-10.44M-5.60M111.14M107.44M65.13M-456.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.43B4.43B4.63B4.66B4.37B4.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments463.56M463.56M410.96M585.70M724.22M686.55M
Total Debt1.10B1.10B1.26B931.87M1.04B1.13B
Total Liabilities2.22B2.22B2.32B2.51B2.25B2.39B
Stockholders Equity2.21B2.21B2.31B2.15B2.12B2.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow345.20M219.43M-352.36M160.20M281.70M-400.42M
Operating Cash Flow472.39M472.39M-125.62M321.12M424.19M-231.51M
Investing Cash Flow-262.22M-207.46M-241.73M-240.41M-146.30M1.12B
Financing Cash Flow-200.76M-200.76M185.98M-264.37M19.18M-670.68M

Nufarm Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.44
Price Trends
50DMA
2.51
Negative
100DMA
2.87
Negative
200DMA
3.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
39.76
Neutral
STOCH
31.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:NUF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.55, below the 50-day MA of 2.51, and below the 200-day MA of 3.32, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:NUF.

Nufarm Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.31B6.290.71%2.95%3.36%-36.41%
61
Neutral
$988.25M-1.17%3.97%3.49%-757.04%
51
Neutral
AU$633.42M-7.78%-875.00%
42
Neutral
AU$469.03M-77.74%-654.93%
36
Underperform
AU$274.65M-12.08%46.56%
AU$907.24M-13.59%
39
Underperform
AU$1.23B-9.04%-114.29%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:NUF
Nufarm Limited
2.44
-1.53
-38.54%
AU:BC8
Black Cat Syndicate Ltd.
0.88
0.52
144.44%
AU:SVM
Sovereign Metals Limited
0.70
0.10
16.67%
AU:GG8
Labyrinth Resources Limited
0.42
0.31
281.82%
AU:VUL
Vulcan Energy Resources Ltd.
3.99
0.08
2.05%
AU:PDI
Predictive Discovery Limited
0.45
0.22
95.65%

Nufarm Limited Corporate Events

Nufarm Limited Announces Quotation of New Securities
Jul 8, 2025

Nufarm Limited has announced the issuance of 60,648 ordinary fully paid securities, which will be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). This move, part of an employee incentive scheme, reflects Nufarm’s ongoing efforts to align employee interests with company performance, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NUF) stock is a Hold with a A$2.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nufarm Limited stock, see the AU:NUF Stock Forecast page.

Nufarm Faces Credit Rating Downgrade by S&P Global
Jun 26, 2025

Nufarm Limited has experienced a downgrade in its credit rating by S&P Global Ratings, with the long-term issuer credit rating moving from BB to BB- and its step-up securities from B to B-. This change in credit rating could impact Nufarm’s financial standing and investor confidence, potentially affecting its operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NUF) stock is a Hold with a A$2.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nufarm Limited stock, see the AU:NUF Stock Forecast page.

Host-Plus Increases Stake in Nufarm Limited
Jun 25, 2025

Nufarm Limited has announced a change in the substantial holding of its shares by Host-Plus Pty Limited, a significant player in the superannuation industry. Host-Plus has increased its voting power from 10.30% to 11.31%, indicating a strategic move to strengthen its influence within the company. This change in shareholding may impact Nufarm’s governance and decision-making processes, potentially affecting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NUF) stock is a Hold with a A$2.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nufarm Limited stock, see the AU:NUF Stock Forecast page.

Nufarm Director Increases Stake with Share Acquisition
Jun 11, 2025

Nufarm Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Director Adrian Percy acquiring 19,000 fully paid ordinary shares through on-market trades. This acquisition, completed on June 9 and 10, 2025, reflects a strategic move that could signal confidence in the company’s future prospects and potentially impact stakeholder perceptions positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NUF) stock is a Hold with a A$2.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nufarm Limited stock, see the AU:NUF Stock Forecast page.

Nufarm Director Increases Shareholding, Signaling Confidence in Future
Jun 10, 2025

Nufarm Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Frederico Tripodi acquiring an additional 6,900 fully paid ordinary shares through on-market trades over three days in June 2025. This acquisition increases Tripodi’s indirect holding to 13,270 shares, reflecting a significant personal investment in the company, which may indicate confidence in Nufarm’s future performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NUF) stock is a Hold with a A$2.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nufarm Limited stock, see the AU:NUF Stock Forecast page.

Nufarm Director Increases Shareholding
May 30, 2025

Nufarm Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, with David John Jones acquiring 80,000 fully paid ordinary shares through an on-market trade. This acquisition increases his direct holding to 80,000 shares, while maintaining an indirect holding of 82,000 shares. The transaction was valued at $201,792, reflecting confidence in the company’s prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NUF) stock is a Hold with a A$2.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nufarm Limited stock, see the AU:NUF Stock Forecast page.

Nufarm Director Increases Stake with Share Acquisition
May 30, 2025

Nufarm Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Frederico Tripodi acquiring 6,370 ordinary shares through an on-market trade. This acquisition reflects an increased personal investment in the company, potentially signaling confidence in Nufarm’s future performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NUF) stock is a Hold with a A$2.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nufarm Limited stock, see the AU:NUF Stock Forecast page.

Nufarm Limited Announces Change in Director’s Interest
May 30, 2025

Nufarm Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Lynne Saint. On May 23, 2025, Ms. Saint acquired 4,969 fully paid ordinary shares under the Nufarm Limited Non-executive Director Share Rights Plan, while an equivalent number of rights vested under the FY25 NED Plan. This change reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning director interests with shareholder value, potentially impacting stakeholder perceptions and the company’s governance practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NUF) stock is a Hold with a A$2.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nufarm Limited stock, see the AU:NUF Stock Forecast page.

Nufarm Limited Announces Issuance of Unquoted Equity Securities
May 30, 2025

Nufarm Limited announced the issuance and conversion of unquoted equity securities, specifically 4,969 ordinary fully paid securities, as of May 23, 2025. This move reflects the company’s ongoing financial strategies and may impact its equity structure, potentially influencing investor perception and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NUF) stock is a Hold with a A$2.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nufarm Limited stock, see the AU:NUF Stock Forecast page.

Nufarm Limited Corrects Director’s Shareholding Disclosure
May 26, 2025

Nufarm Limited has corrected an error in its previously lodged Appendix 3Y regarding the number of ordinary shares held indirectly by Director Greg Hunt. The total number of shares was misstated as 878,813 instead of the correct total of 928,813. This correction ensures accurate reporting of the director’s interests, maintaining transparency and compliance with ASX regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NUF) stock is a Hold with a A$2.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nufarm Limited stock, see the AU:NUF Stock Forecast page.

Nufarm Limited Addresses ASX Inquiry on Earnings Consistency
May 26, 2025

Nufarm Limited has responded to an ASX inquiry regarding its earnings for the half-year ended March 31, 2025. The company clarified that its earnings information, particularly the EBITDA, did not materially differ from market expectations, remaining within 10% of analyst consensus following an adjustment to its omega 3 inventory valuation. This response highlights Nufarm’s commitment to transparency and its proactive approach in addressing market concerns, ensuring stakeholders are informed about its financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NUF) stock is a Hold with a A$2.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nufarm Limited stock, see the AU:NUF Stock Forecast page.

Nufarm Director Increases Stake with New Share Acquisition
May 23, 2025

Nufarm Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Greg Hunt. Mr. Hunt has acquired 50,000 ordinary shares through an on-market trade, valued at $128,465.25. This acquisition reflects a strategic move to increase his indirect holdings in the company, potentially signaling confidence in Nufarm’s future performance. The transaction does not alter his direct holdings, but it does increase his indirect stake, which could have implications for stakeholder perceptions and the company’s market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NUF) stock is a Hold with a A$2.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nufarm Limited stock, see the AU:NUF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2025