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Nufarm Limited (AU:NUF)
ASX:NUF
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Nufarm Limited (NUF) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:NUF

Nufarm Limited

(Sydney:NUF)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
AU$2.50
▲(3.73% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/25/26
Overall score reflects primary pressure from financial performance (declining revenue, negative profitability and ROE, and sharply weaker free cash flow). Technicals are mixed but somewhat supportive over longer horizons, while valuation metrics are undermined by a negative P/E and no provided dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified product & geographic mix
Nufarm's combination of crop protection products and a seeds & traits business provides revenue diversification and exposure across different crop cycles and regions. This reduces concentration risk, supports cross-selling to distributors, and gives a pathway to higher-value, IP-driven sales that can sustain revenue over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Significant revenue decline
A nearly 18% revenue drop is a durable headwind: it erodes scale economics and weakens pricing leverage and distributor relationships. Persistent top-line contraction makes it harder to absorb fixed costs, threatens market share, and lengthens the timeline to return to sustainable earnings absent structural demand or product wins.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified product & geographic mix
Nufarm's combination of crop protection products and a seeds & traits business provides revenue diversification and exposure across different crop cycles and regions. This reduces concentration risk, supports cross-selling to distributors, and gives a pathway to higher-value, IP-driven sales that can sustain revenue over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Nufarm Limited (NUF) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Nufarm Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Nufarm Limited, alongside its affiliated entities, specializes in the development, production, and global distribution of agricultural crop protection products and seed technologies. Its operations span key regions including Europe, the Middle Eas...
How the Company Makes Money
Nufarm makes money primarily by selling agricultural inputs used in crop production. Its main revenue stream is the sale of crop protection products (including herbicides, insecticides, fungicides, and other specialty products) to agricultural dis...

Nufarm Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 18, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights a strong performance in Crop Protection and a strategic repositioning in Seed Technologies. However, significant losses from material items and challenges in the omega-3 market offset these positives. The company is focusing on debt reduction and operational improvements for future growth.
Positive Updates
Strong Crop Protection Performance
Crop Protection delivered a strong result with an 18% increase in earnings and profitability growth across all regions. EBITDA margin improved by 140 basis points.
Negative Updates
Statutory Loss Due to Material Items
A statutory loss of $165 million was reported, including $142 million of mainly non-cash material items related to the Seed Technology review and performance improvement program.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Crop Protection Performance
Crop Protection delivered a strong result with an 18% increase in earnings and profitability growth across all regions. EBITDA margin improved by 140 basis points.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Nufarm Limited FY '25 Results Conference Call, several key metrics and strategic directions were highlighted. The company reported a statutory loss of $165 million, influenced by $142 million in non-cash material items and a broader performance improvement program. Despite this, Crop Protection saw an 18% increase in earnings, with an EBITDA margin improvement of 140 basis points and growth across all regions. Net debt was reduced by $538 million, ending with a leverage ratio of 2.7x. The company anticipates strong EBITDA growth in FY '26, targeting a leverage of 2.0x and planning for capital expenditure below $200 million. Seed Technologies underwent a strategic review, resulting in a reprioritized strategy aimed at enhancing shareholder value, focusing on profitable hybrid seeds, a reduction in omega-3 cash requirements, and expansion in bioenergy with BP. The outlook for FY '26 includes continued growth in Crop Protection, a $30 million improvement in emerging platforms' EBITDA, and a commitment to strong cost and capital deployment discipline.

Nufarm Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals: revenue fell 17.87%, net margin is negative (-4.80%), and ROE is negative (-7.83%). Cash generation also deteriorated with free cash flow down 47.08%, though leverage remains moderate (debt-to-equity 0.62) and gross margin is still reasonable (27.59%).
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Jul 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.20B3.44B3.35B3.48B3.77B3.22B
Gross Profit1.27B950.13M840.37M1.03B972.59M834.71M
EBITDA325.23M158.37M263.77M427.18M421.60M359.18M
Net Income-137.77M-165.32M-5.60M111.14M107.44M65.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.80B4.58B4.43B4.63B4.66B4.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments358.05M474.72M463.56M410.96M585.70M724.22M
Total Debt1.59B1.30B1.10B1.26B931.87M1.04B
Total Liabilities2.74B2.47B2.22B2.32B2.51B2.25B
Stockholders Equity1.82B1.86B2.21B2.31B2.15B2.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.88M41.17M219.43M-352.36M160.20M281.70M
Operating Cash Flow97.53M162.76M472.39M-125.62M359.57M424.19M
Investing Cash Flow-196.36M-245.61M-207.46M-241.73M-240.41M-146.30M
Financing Cash Flow110.98M83.87M-200.76M185.98M-264.37M19.18M

Nufarm Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.41
Price Trends
50DMA
2.69
Positive
100DMA
2.43
Positive
200DMA
2.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
55.47
Neutral
STOCH
78.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:NUF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.73, below the 50-day MA of 2.69, and above the 200-day MA of 2.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:NUF.

Nufarm Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
AU$816.87M24.7717.82%0.88%3.42%54.50%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
54
Neutral
AU$327.07M-55.070.27%6.76%
50
Neutral
AU$1.08B-6.90-5.96%-1.53%-281.84%
44
Neutral
AU$14.82M-2.86-56.43%-25.56%38.24%
43
Neutral
AU$20.97M-2.53-102.56%24.22%40.08%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:NUF
Nufarm Limited
2.80
0.31
12.45%
AU:CP8
Fertoz
0.14
0.06
77.63%
AU:WGN
Wagners Holding Co. Ltd.
4.09
1.89
85.74%
AU:TGH
Terragen Holdings Ltd
0.02
>-0.01
-10.00%
AU:RLF
RLF AgTech Ltd
0.04
-0.02
-36.07%
AU:PLA
Pacific Lime and Cement Limited
0.38
0.12
46.15%

Nufarm Limited Corporate Events

Nufarm Director Tripodi Lifts Indirect Stake Through On-Market Share Buys
Jun 9, 2026
Nufarm Limited has disclosed a change in the interests of director Federico Tripodi, who increased his indirect holding in the company through on-market share purchases. Tripodi acquired a total of 21,800 fully paid ordinary shares via accounts he...
Phoenix Group exits as substantial shareholder in Nufarm
Jun 3, 2026
Nufarm Limited has disclosed that Phoenix Group, through Phoenix Financial Ltd. and its controlled entities, has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in the company as of 28 May 2026. The change, lodged under Australia’s Corporations Act d...
Nufarm lifts profit, cuts debt and doubles seed earnings in strong first half
May 26, 2026
Nufarm Limited reported strong first-half FY26 results with statutory NPAT up 28%, underlying NPAT up 35% and underlying EBITDA rising 18%, supported by a $193 million improvement in free cash flow and a $135 million reduction in net debt. The gro...
Nufarm to Brief Investors on Half-Year 2026 Results via Webcast
May 26, 2026
Nufarm will present its half-year 2026 financial results to investors via an audio webcast, to be led by chief executive Rico Christensen and chief financial officer Brendan Ryan. The scheduled webcast underlines the company’s commitment to ...
Nufarm Files 2026 Half-Year Results and Schedules Investor Webcast
May 26, 2026
Nufarm Limited has lodged its financial results for the half year ended 31 March 2026 with the ASX and NZX, including its interim financial report, directors’ report, auditor’s declaration, operating and financial review, and half year...
Nufarm Sets Date for 2026 Half-Year Results and Investor Webcast
May 8, 2026
Nufarm Limited plans to release its 2026 half-year financial results on 27 May 2026, with an investor briefing scheduled the same day at 10:00am AEST via a pre-registered teleconference and live webcast. The company will also provide an archived v...
Nufarm Discloses Administrative Change in Director Lynne Saint’s Shareholdings
Apr 21, 2026
Nufarm Limited has reported a change in the indirect shareholding structure of non-executive director Lynne Saint, with no impact on her overall economic interest in the company. The adjustment involves an off-market transfer of 27,474 unrestricte...
Nufarm Performance Rights Lapse After Conditions Not Met
Apr 16, 2026
Nufarm Limited has notified the market that 59,577 performance rights, trading under the ASX security code NUFAA, have lapsed. The lapse occurred because the conditions attached to these conditional rights were not met or have become incapable of ...
Nufarm lifts earnings, cuts debt and targets extra $50m in cost savings
Apr 14, 2026
Nufarm reported a strong first-half performance for FY26, with underlying EBITDA expected between $239 million and $244 million, driven by higher Crop Protection margins, growth in Hybrid Seeds and improved omega-3 and bioenergy platforms. Net deb...
Nufarm Issues 2.9 Million Unquoted Performance Rights Under Incentive Scheme
Apr 14, 2026
Nufarm Limited has notified the market of the issue of 2,915,497 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, with an issue date of March 31, 2026. The new performance rights, which are not intended to be quoted on the ASX, for...
Host-Plus Exits Substantial Shareholding in Nufarm
Apr 7, 2026
Host-Plus Pty Limited has notified Nufarm Limited that it has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in the company as of 31 March 2026, in line with disclosure requirements under the Corporations Act. The filing indicates that there have been cha...
Nufarm Extends bp Biofuels Pact to 2050 to Scale Carinata Feedstock
Mar 25, 2026
Nufarm has expanded its long-term strategic partnership with bp to scale production of Carinata, a non-food oilseed crop used as a sustainable feedstock for aviation fuel and renewable diesel. The updated offtake and marketing agreement, now exten...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2026