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Newmont Corporation Registered Shs CHESS (AU:NEM)
ASX:NEM
Australian Market
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Newmont Corporation CHESS (NEM) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Newmont Corporation CHESS

(Sydney:NEM)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
Newmont Corporation scores well due to its strong financial performance, robust operational efficiency, and positive earnings call indicating solid management and strategic focus. Technical indicators support a bullish trend, although near overbought levels. While valuation is reasonable, it does not present a significant discount. Concerns about tariff impacts and higher capital expenditures are noted, but the overall outlook remains positive.

Newmont Corporation CHESS (NEM) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Newmont Corporation CHESS Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNewmont Corporation engages in the production and exploration of gold. It also explores for copper, silver, zinc, and lead. The company has operations and/or assets in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Dominican Republic, Peru, Suriname, Argentina, Chile, Australia, Papua New Guinea, Ecuador, Fiji, and Ghana. The company was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyNewmont Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold. The company extracts gold ore and processes it into dore bars, which are then sold to gold refiners or directly to the market. In addition to gold, Newmont earns revenue from the sale of by-products such as copper, silver, zinc, and lead that are extracted alongside gold from its mining operations. Newmont's earnings are significantly influenced by the global prices of these metals, with fluctuations in the market impacting its revenue. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures, which enhance its operational capabilities and market reach. Furthermore, Newmont invests in exploration activities to discover new mineral reserves, ensuring long-term sustainability of its operations.

Newmont Corporation CHESS Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 8.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong operational and financial performance, including record free cash flow and successful completion of strategic divestments. However, there are concerns regarding tariff impacts and increased capital spending, which pose potential challenges moving forward. Overall, the positives outweigh the negatives, indicating a strong quarter with proactive financial management and strategic focus.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record First-Quarter Free Cash Flow
Generated record first-quarter free cash flow of $1.2 billion, driven by strong operational performance and favorable gold prices.
Successful Completion of Divestment Program
Completed divestment program, receiving more than $2.5 billion in after-tax cash proceeds this year, totaling $3.2 billion over the last year.
Debt Reduction Achieved
Retired $1.5 billion in debt over the last twelve months, including $1 billion repaid since the start of the year.
Strong Operational Performance
Produced 1,500,000 ounces of gold and 35,000 tonnes of copper, in line with full-year guidance.
Shareholder Returns
Returned $1 billion to shareholders through dividends and $755 million in share repurchases so far this year.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs and Cost Structure Concerns
Monitoring evolving tariff situations that may impact cost structures, particularly in materials and consumables.
Higher Sustaining Capital in Second Quarter
Expected increase in sustaining capital spend at several operations in the second quarter.
Working Capital Adversely Impacted
Anticipated adverse impact on working capital due to regular timing of cash tax payments and interest payments in the second quarter.
Company Guidance
During Newmont Corporation's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and strategic milestones were discussed. The company reported record first-quarter free cash flow of $1.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $2.6 billion. Gold production reached 1,500,000 ounces, and copper production was 35,000 tonnes, aligning with the company's full-year guidance. Newmont successfully completed its divestment program, generating over $2.5 billion in net cash proceeds this year, contributing to a strengthened balance sheet with $1 billion in debt reduction. The company remains focused on maintaining a strong financial position, as evidenced by its $4.7 billion in cash, and continues its commitment to returning capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, with $755 million in share buybacks already completed in 2025.

Newmont Corporation CHESS Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Newmont Corporation demonstrates strong financial health with steady revenue growth, improved profitability, and solid cash generation. The balance sheet is stable with manageable debt levels and strong equity reliance. Despite historical income volatility, the company exhibits robust operational efficiency and cash flow management, positioning it well for future growth, albeit with some caution needed regarding capital expenditures and asset growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The income statement reveals a robust performance with notable growth in revenue and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at approximately 41.6%, indicating efficient cost management in the production process. The net profit margin has improved significantly to 25.8% in the TTM, reflecting strong bottom-line growth compared to previous periods. Revenue growth rate over the past year is approximately 5.3%, showcasing steady top-line expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 35.6% and 49.5% respectively, highlighting strong operational leverage. However, historical volatility in net income, including a loss in 2023, suggests potential risks in maintaining consistent profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet shows a relatively strong financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.26, indicating a conservative approach to leveraging. Return on equity (ROE) is an impressive 16.2% in the TTM, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is 56.3%, reflecting a high level of financial stability and reliance on equity financing. Despite the overall strength, the company's assets have shown little growth, and there was a notable decrease in cash reserves from 2020 to 2023, which could limit financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement indicates healthy cash generation, with a significant operating cash flow to net income ratio of approximately 1.50, highlighting robust cash conversion. The free cash flow has grown impressively by 43.2% in the TTM, indicating effective cash management and potential for reinvestment or shareholder returns. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.84, reflecting a strong capacity to generate cash relative to earnings. However, the company faces high capital expenditures, which could constrain liquidity if not managed carefully.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.67B18.68B11.81B11.91B12.22B11.50B
Gross Profit8.19B7.14B3.00B3.26B4.46B4.18B
EBITDA9.74B7.53B320.00M3.88B4.33B5.40B
Net Income5.07B3.35B-2.49B-429.00M1.17B2.83B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets55.52B56.35B55.51B38.48B40.56B41.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.72B3.64B3.02B3.76B5.07B5.83B
Total Debt7.99B8.97B9.44B6.13B6.30B6.70B
Total Liabilities24.09B26.24B26.30B18.95B18.70B17.49B
Stockholders Equity31.25B29.93B29.03B19.35B22.02B23.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.24B2.96B97.00M1.09B2.63B3.58B
Operating Cash Flow7.62B6.36B2.76B3.22B4.28B4.88B
Investing Cash Flow-1.17B-2.70B-1.00B-2.98B-1.87B91.00M
Financing Cash Flow-4.32B-2.95B-1.60B-2.36B-2.96B-1.68B

Newmont Corporation CHESS Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price88.57
Price Trends
50DMA
85.33
Positive
100DMA
80.63
Positive
200DMA
74.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.40
Positive
RSI
48.06
Neutral
STOCH
63.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:NEM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 88.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 89.79, above the 50-day MA of 85.33, and above the 200-day MA of 74.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:NEM.

Newmont Corporation CHESS Risk Analysis

Newmont Corporation CHESS disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Newmont Corporation CHESS reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Newmont Corporation CHESS Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUNEM
79
Outperform
AU$98.24B13.5116.39%1.64%49.93%
44
Neutral
C$972.32M-6.68-13.73%2.45%17.55%-32.57%
TSPRU
C$4.36B9.0222.80%1.43%
$15.57B19.8911.01%2.92%
$10.02B21.3816.97%1.79%
$3.80B-0.68%
AUGMD
69
Neutral
AU$4.66B37.0613.01%125.45%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:NEM
Newmont Corporation CHESS
87.70
17.66
25.21%
TSE:PRU
Perseus Mining
3.20
0.76
31.15%
NESRF
Northern Star Resources Ltd
11.00
1.56
16.53%
CAHPF
Evolution Mining
4.90
2.32
89.92%
DGMLF
De Grey Mining Ltd
1.60
0.77
92.77%
AU:GMD
Genesis Minerals Limited
4.06
1.90
87.96%

Newmont Corporation CHESS Corporate Events

Newmont Announces Equity Monetization from Divestiture Program
Jul 16, 2025

Newmont Corporation announced the monetization of equity obtained through a successful divestiture program. This strategic move is expected to impact the company’s operations positively, enhancing its financial flexibility and potentially improving its market positioning. Stakeholders may view this as a proactive step in optimizing the company’s asset portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NEM) stock is a Buy with a A$94.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Newmont Corporation CHESS stock, see the AU:NEM Stock Forecast page.

Newmont Corporation Reports Changes in CDI and Common Stock Issuance
Jul 3, 2025

Newmont Corporation announced a decrease in the total number of CHESS Depositary Interests (CDIs) issued over quoted securities for June 2025, reflecting a net transfer of securities between CDIs and common stock. This adjustment, involving a reduction of 471,133 CDIs, is part of the company’s ongoing management of its securities across the NYSE and TSX. The change also includes a decrease in the total number of common stock, influenced by transfers to CDIs and stock compensation plan distributions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NEM) stock is a Buy with a A$106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Newmont Corporation CHESS stock, see the AU:NEM Stock Forecast page.

Newmont Corporation to Announce Q2 2025 Financial Results
Jul 2, 2025

Newmont Corporation announced it will release its second quarter 2025 financial results on July 24, 2025, followed by a conference call to discuss the results. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and operational strategies, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NEM) stock is a Buy with a A$106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Newmont Corporation CHESS stock, see the AU:NEM Stock Forecast page.

Newmont Corporation Updates Dividend Distribution Details
Jun 12, 2025

Newmont Corporation has updated its previous announcement regarding its dividend distribution to include the currency exchange rate. The company will deduct a non-resident withholding tax as required by U.S. tax law, with a default rate of 30% unless a tax treaty benefit is claimed. Payments will be withheld for holders without valid banking details in Australia, New Zealand, or the United States, and those outside these regions will receive payments by cheque unless they provide valid instructions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NEM) stock is a Buy with a A$95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Newmont Corporation CHESS stock, see the AU:NEM Stock Forecast page.

Newmont Corporation Reports Decrease in CDIs for May 2025
Jun 5, 2025

Newmont Corporation announced a decrease in the number of CHESS Depositary Interests (CDIs) issued over quoted securities for May 2025, with a net reduction of 1,639,028 CDIs. This change is attributed to net transfers between CDIs and common stock, as well as stock compensation plan distributions. The adjustment in CDIs reflects the company’s ongoing management of its securities and may have implications for its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NEM) stock is a Buy with a A$95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Newmont Corporation CHESS stock, see the AU:NEM Stock Forecast page.

Newmont Corporation Files 2024 ESTMA Report with SEC
Jun 5, 2025

Newmont Corporation has filed its 2024 Annual ESTMA Report with the SEC, complying with Canada’s Extractive Sector Transparency Measures Act. This filing underscores Newmont’s commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance, potentially enhancing its reputation and stakeholder trust in the mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NEM) stock is a Buy with a A$95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Newmont Corporation CHESS stock, see the AU:NEM Stock Forecast page.

Newmont Corporation Reports April 2025 CDI Adjustments
May 7, 2025

Newmont Corporation announced a decrease in the number of CHESS Depositary Interests (CDIs) issued over quoted securities for April 2025, with a net reduction of 2,022,802 CDIs. This change is attributed to the net transfers of securities between CDIs and common stock, impacting their listings on the NYSE and TSX. The announcement reflects Newmont’s ongoing adjustments in its securities distribution, which may influence its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Newmont Corporation Releases Q1 2025 Financial Report
Apr 27, 2025

Newmont Corporation has filed its quarterly report for the period ending March 31, 2025, with the SEC. This filing, available on Newmont’s website and the SEC’s EDGAR site, reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance, potentially impacting investor confidence and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 27, 2025