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LGI LTD
(Sydney:LGI)
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Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
AU$2.50
▼(-32.43% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:03/24/26
The score is mainly supported by strong revenue growth and healthy profitability with manageable leverage, but it is held back significantly by consistently negative free cash flow and weaker cash conversion. Technicals are also soft with the stock trading below key moving averages, and valuation appears demanding with a high P/E and low yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth Momentum
Sharp 2025 revenue acceleration (~43% YoY) signals durable demand and successful go-to-market execution. Sustained top-line growth enhances scale economics, supports reinvestment capacity, and underpins medium-term expansion plans, improving the business's ability to fund growth without relying solely on external financing.
Negative Factors
Persistent Negative Free Cash Flow
Consistent negative free cash flow indicates the business requires ongoing external funding or asset sales to support capital expenditure and growth. Over 2–6 months, this structural cash deficit raises refinancing and dilution risk, and constrains the company's ability to self-fund expansions or return cash to shareholders.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Momentum
Sharp 2025 revenue acceleration (~43% YoY) signals durable demand and successful go-to-market execution. Sustained top-line growth enhances scale economics, supports reinvestment capacity, and underpins medium-term expansion plans, improving the business's ability to fund growth without relying solely on external financing.
Read all positive factors
LGI LTD (LGI) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$258.60M
Dividend Yield0.62%
Average Volume (3M)89.89K
Price to Earnings (P/E)34.0
Beta (1Y)1.02
Revenue Growth14.53%
EPS Growth16.89%
CountryAU
Employees50
SectorUtilities
Sector Strength65
IndustryIndependent Power Producers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.08
Shares Outstanding103,440,280
10 Day Avg. Volume182,391
30 Day Avg. Volume89,895
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-13.03
Price to Book (P/B)4.84
Price to Sales (P/S)7.61
P/FCF Ratio-44.86
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$4.45Price Target Upside20.27% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)0.09
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$48.03M
LGI LTD Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
LGI Limited provides carbon abatement and renewable energy solutions with biogas from landfill in Australia. It operates through Renewable Energy, Carbon Abatement, and Infrastructure Construction and Management segments. The company offers greenh...
LGI LTD Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 15.13M | 36.73M | 33.25M | 32.30M | 15.82M | 6.55M |
| Gross Profit | -9.46M | 27.34M | 24.25M | 22.74M | 1.08M | -3.88M |
| EBITDA | 5.86M | 17.32M | 15.31M | 13.38M | 11.86M | 6.57M |
| Net Income | 7.16M | 6.48M | 6.67M | 6.44M | 4.77M | 1.75M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 129.93M | 113.07M | 88.59M | 71.05M | 71.05M | 39.21M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 16.32M | 3.36M | 2.44M | 18.14M | 18.14M | 928.00K |
| Total Debt | 7.64M | 33.92M | 24.66M | 19.39M | 19.39M | 21.19M |
| Total Liabilities | 15.65M | 55.30M | 35.79M | 34.73M | 34.73M | 25.84M |
| Stockholders Equity | 114.28M | 57.77M | 52.80M | 36.31M | 36.31M | 13.37M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -8.44M | -6.23M | -6.77M | -4.37M | -891.00K | -508.00K |
| Operating Cash Flow | 10.89M | 12.32M | 9.91M | 6.96M | 7.40M | 3.26M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -24.90M | -17.65M | -22.72M | -11.26M | -8.35M | -2.51M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 28.39M | 6.25M | 15.19M | 3.46M | 902.00K | -790.00K |
LGI LTD Technical Analysis
Negative
3.70
Price Trends
3.20
Negative
3.41
Negative
3.71
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.18
Positive
37.76
Neutral
15.24
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:LGI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.90, above the 50-day MA of 3.20, and below the 200-day MA of 3.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.24 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:LGI.
LGI LTD Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
66 Neutral | $17.65B | 18.10 | 5.60% | 3.62% | 6.62% | 11.55% | |
60 Neutral | AU$19.64M | 27.91 | 6.92% | ― | -8.32% | -67.69% | |
55 Neutral | AU$84.75M | -33.72 | -13.64% | ― | 16.99% | ― | |
54 Neutral | AU$258.60M | 33.97 | 8.32% | 0.62% | 14.53% | 16.89% | |
| ― | AU$21.20M | -0.10 | -31.05% | ― | ― | ― | |
48 Neutral | AU$18.73M | -7.82 | -7.75% | ― | ― | 16.28% | |
47 Neutral | AU$53.00M | -4.56 | -108.64% | ― | ― | -63.48% |
* Utilities Sector Average
AU:LGI
LGI LTD
2.68
-0.47
-14.87%
AU:CCE
Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd
0.23
0.18
342.31%
AU:JNS
ReNu Energy Limited
0.15
-0.03
-17.14%
AU:14D
1414 Degrees Ltd.
0.08
0.06
331.58%
AU:VPR
Volt Power Group Ltd
0.12
-0.03
-20.00%
AU:BTE
Botala Energy Ltd.
0.04
-0.02
-28.33%
LGI LTD Corporate Events
LGI launches search for new chair as Vik Bansal sets retirement timetable
May 26, 2026
LGI Limited, a domestic market leader in landfill biogas recovery and conversion to renewable power, runs vertically integrated operations that design and manage gas infrastructure for waste disposal sites. The company focuses on producing renewab...
LGI Names New CFO and Resets CEO Pay to Back Growth Strategy
Apr 27, 2026
LGI Limited has appointed experienced finance executive Cathy Montesin as its new Chief Financial Officer, following an extensive search, with outgoing CFO Dean Wilkinson staying on through September 2026 to ensure a smooth transition. The move is...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.