LGI LTD (AU:LGI)
ASX:LGI
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LGI LTD
(Sydney:LGI)
Select Model
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Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
AU$3.50
▼(-5.41% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is mainly supported by strong revenue growth and healthy profitability with manageable leverage, but it is held back significantly by consistently negative free cash flow and weaker cash conversion. Technicals are also soft with the stock trading below key moving averages, and valuation appears demanding with a high P/E and low yield.
Positive Factors
Strong recent revenue acceleration
A ~43% top-line jump in 2025 indicates meaningful demand and traction for the company’s offerings. Sustained revenue acceleration supports scale benefits, expands addressable market share, and provides a stronger base for long-term profitability if management can maintain execution and convert growth into durable cash flow.
Negative Factors
Consistently negative free cash flow
Persistent negative free cash flow signals the company’s earnings are not being converted into cash, implying heavy reinvestment or capital intensity. Over the medium term this forces reliance on external financing, limits organic deleveraging, and constrains strategic optionality such as acquisitions or sustained dividends.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong recent revenue acceleration
A ~43% top-line jump in 2025 indicates meaningful demand and traction for the company’s offerings. Sustained revenue acceleration supports scale benefits, expands addressable market share, and provides a stronger base for long-term profitability if management can maintain execution and convert growth into durable cash flow.
Read all positive factors
LGI LTD (LGI) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$355.83M
Dividend Yield0.62%
Average Volume (3M)89.89K
Price to Earnings (P/E)30.6
Beta (1Y)0.84
Revenue Growth36.11%
EPS Growth-3.31%
CountryAU
EmployeesN/A
SectorUtilities
Sector Strength65
IndustryRenewable Utilities
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.03
Shares Outstanding103,440,280
10 Day Avg. Volume182,391
30 Day Avg. Volume89,895
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-13.04
Price to Book (P/B)4.84
Price to Sales (P/S)7.61
P/FCF Ratio-44.86
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$4.55Price Target Upside22.88% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)0.09
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$43.76M
LGI LTD Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
LGI Limited provides carbon abatement and renewable energy solutions with biogas from landfill. It offers greenhouse gas abatement, biogas extraction infrastructure and management, renewable energy generation, and firming renewable solutions. The ...
LGI LTD Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 15.13M | 36.73M | 33.25M | 32.30M | 15.82M | 6.55M |
| Gross Profit | -9.46M | 27.34M | 24.25M | 22.74M | 1.08M | -3.88M |
| EBITDA | 5.86M | 17.32M | 15.31M | 13.38M | 11.86M | 6.57M |
| Net Income | 7.16M | 6.48M | 6.67M | 6.44M | 4.77M | 1.75M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 129.93M | 113.07M | 88.59M | 71.05M | 71.05M | 39.21M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 16.32M | 3.36M | 2.44M | 18.14M | 18.14M | 928.00K |
| Total Debt | 7.64M | 33.92M | 24.66M | 19.39M | 19.39M | 21.19M |
| Total Liabilities | 15.65M | 55.30M | 35.79M | 34.73M | 34.73M | 25.84M |
| Stockholders Equity | 114.28M | 57.77M | 52.80M | 36.31M | 36.31M | 13.37M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -8.44M | -6.23M | -6.77M | -4.37M | -891.00K | -508.00K |
| Operating Cash Flow | 10.89M | 12.32M | 9.91M | 6.96M | 7.40M | 3.26M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -24.90M | -17.65M | -22.72M | -11.26M | -8.35M | -2.51M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 28.39M | 6.25M | 15.19M | 3.46M | 902.00K | -790.00K |
LGI LTD Technical Analysis
Negative
3.70
Price Trends
3.68
Negative
3.90
Negative
3.74
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.04
Positive
40.10
Neutral
11.40
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:LGI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.61, above the 50-day MA of 3.68, and below the 200-day MA of 3.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.40 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:LGI.
LGI LTD Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
66 Neutral | $17.65B | 18.10 | 5.60% | 3.62% | 6.62% | 11.55% | |
60 Neutral | AU$24.96M | 31.82 | 6.92% | ― | -11.85% | 6.25% | |
58 Neutral | AU$16.62M | 3.47 | -45.61% | ― | 2.69% | -273.87% | |
54 Neutral | AU$355.83M | 30.61 | 8.32% | 0.62% | 36.11% | -3.31% | |
44 Neutral | AU$23.65M | -3.24 | -13.64% | ― | -8.52% | 13.51% | |
| ― | AU$17.55M | 0.06 | -31.05% | ― | ― | 91.54% | |
43 Neutral | AU$20.93M | -4.53 | -129.44% | ― | -29.97% | -284.16% |
* Utilities Sector Average
AU:LGI
LGI LTD
3.44
0.51
17.45%
AU:CCE
Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd
0.06
0.02
70.59%
AU:JNS
ReNu Energy Limited
0.15
-0.05
-25.00%
AU:DEL
Delorean Corporation Ltd
0.10
-0.08
-44.12%
AU:LPE
Locality Planning Energy Holdings Limited
0.09
-0.03
-24.17%
AU:VPR
Volt Power Group Ltd
0.15
0.04
32.17%
LGI LTD Corporate Events
LGI Limits Use of Confidential Investor Presentation With Extensive Disclaimers
Feb 19, 2026
LGI Ltd has issued a confidential investor presentation containing extensive legal disclaimers, clarifying that the material is for wholesale or professional investors and certain offshore recipients only and does not constitute an offer of securi...
LGI boosts earnings and accelerates landfill‑to‑energy expansion in 1H FY26
Feb 19, 2026
LGI Ltd reported strong first‑half FY26 results, with revenue rising 20% to $20.3 million and EBITDA up 33% to $9.7 million, driven by higher biogas flows, renewable generation and carbon credit output. Statutory NPAT increased 28% to $3.1 m...
LGI to Release H1 FY26 Results and Host Investor Webinar on 20 February
Jan 21, 2026
LGI Limited has announced that it will release its half-year financial results for the period ended 31 December 2025 before market open on Friday, 20 February 2026. The company will host an investor webinar on the same day, led by CEO Jarryd Doran...
LGI CFO Dean Wilkinson to Retire in 2026 as Company Begins Succession Process
Jan 18, 2026
LGI Limited has announced that its Chief Financial Officer and Joint Company Secretary, Dean Wilkinson, will retire in September 2026 after nearly nine years with the company. Wilkinson will remain in his role through the current reporting cycle, ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.