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Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. (AU:KPG)
:KPG
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Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. (KPG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:KPG

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd.

(Sydney:KPG)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
AU$11.00
▲(5.97% Upside)
Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. has a solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and cash flow, as highlighted in the earnings call. However, the high debt levels and weak technical indicators weigh down the overall score. The stock appears overvalued based on its P/E ratio, but the high dividend yield provides some offsetting value.

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. (KPG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKelly Partners Group Holdings Limited provides chartered accounting and other professional services to private businesses and high net worth individuals in Australia. The company operates through two segments, Accounting and Other Services. It offers accounting and taxation, corporate secretarial, outsourced CFO, audit, business structuring, bookkeeping, and other accounting related services. The company also provides financial broking, wealth management, investment office, and other non-accounting services. Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited was founded in 2006 and is based in North Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyKelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. generates revenue primarily through fees for its accounting and business advisory services. Key revenue streams include tax compliance services, business consulting, and wealth management, which are offered to a diverse client base of SMEs. The company benefits from recurring income through long-term relationships with clients who require ongoing financial services. Additionally, KPG may engage in strategic partnerships or acquisitions to expand its service offerings and geographical reach, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong revenue growth, successful acquisitions, and robust cash flow. However, there were notable challenges, including an increase in net debt and costs associated with international expansion and compliance. The company remains optimistic about its strategy and growth potential.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenue grew 25% to $134 million with a revenue run rate of approximately $150 million.
Equity Capital Raise
First-time equity capital raise since IPO of $4 million to new partners from firms that joined since 2017.
Strong Cash Flow
Free cash flow grew by 8% with cash conversion at 99.8%.
International Expansion
The U.S. business is now as large as the Australian business was at IPO, achieved in 2.5 years compared to 11 years in Australia.
Programmatic Acquisition Strategy
Completed 6 acquisitions this year, contributing significantly to growth.
Return on Equity
Group return on equity remains strong at 38.8%, parent return on equity of 31.9%.
Cash Flow and Debt Management
Cash from operations increased by 23.3%, with strong headroom of $23.7 million.
Negative Updates
Reduction in Return on Invested Capital
There was a reduction in return on invested capital, though it remains strong at 27.5%.
Increase in Net Debt
Net debt increased by $13.3 million due to acquisitions, with net debt to underlying EBITDA ratio at 1.42x compared to 1.28x the prior year.
Challenges in International Markets
Profitability in the U.S. and Ireland is at average market levels; efforts are needed to improve these.
High Costs for Compliance and Legal
Significant costs incurred for PCAOB compliance and legal expenses in the U.S.
Strategic Review Costs
Strategic review costs of $1.2 million primarily related to PCAOB audit costs.
Increased Amortization Expense
Significant increase in amortization expenses due to acquisitions.
Company Guidance
During the Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited FY '25 results presentation, key financial metrics and strategic insights were shared. The company reported a 25% increase in revenue, reaching $134 million, with a revenue run rate of approximately $150 million. The firm conducted a $4 million equity capital raise since its 2017 IPO, and free cash flow grew by 8%. Despite a reduction in return on invested capital, organic growth surged by 50% to 4.5%, and the return on invested capital plus organic growth was a robust 27.5%. EBITDA margins remained strong at 28.3% for the group, with the Australian businesses achieving 30.8%. The company maintained a net debt to underlying EBITDA ratio of 1.42x, and cash flow was up 23.3%, with cash conversion efficiency at 99.8%. With a compounded annual gain in book value of 35.4% and a focus on scaling rather than merely growing, the company underscored its disciplined capital allocation strategy and long-term growth potential, aiming to replicate its Australian success internationally, notably in the U.S. and U.K. markets.

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. shows robust revenue growth and operational efficiency, as evidenced by strong EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, the company faces challenges with a high debt-to-equity ratio, which could impact financial stability. Cash flow metrics are generally positive, supporting the company's ability to generate cash from operations. Overall, the company is on a growth trajectory but must manage its leverage carefully to sustain long-term financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a rate of 11.98% in the most recent year, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin is exceptionally high at 100%, suggesting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.54%, which may indicate high operating expenses or other costs. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 16.88% and 27.63%, respectively, showing good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.58, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks if not managed properly. Return on equity is moderate at 12.01%, reflecting decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is not provided, but the overall leverage suggests a need for cautious financial management.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The free cash flow growth rate is positive at 5.64%, indicating improving cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.58, suggesting that cash flow generation is not fully aligned with reported earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.92, indicating that a significant portion of earnings is converted into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue134.61M134.61M108.14M86.52M64.86M48.91M
Gross Profit44.87M134.61M53.90M14.71M16.66M14.02M
EBITDA36.94M37.20M31.69M24.35M24.44M18.69M
Net Income3.41M3.41M3.52M3.93M5.56M4.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets198.96M198.96M159.32M132.59M106.64M67.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.87M6.87M3.27M5.33M2.97M4.04M
Total Debt101.88M101.88M79.75M72.66M53.74M31.85M
Total Liabilities132.48M132.48M106.96M97.12M72.69M42.46M
Stockholders Equity28.42M28.42M22.64M20.54M20.70M17.95M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.84M28.74M21.33M16.85M10.11M12.76M
Operating Cash Flow31.27M31.27M25.61M19.50M17.58M15.08M
Investing Cash Flow-19.78M-19.78M-14.82M-11.33M-20.93M-4.45M
Financing Cash Flow-11.39M-11.39M-5.95M-14.95M3.58M-11.00M

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.38
Price Trends
50DMA
10.69
Negative
100DMA
10.73
Negative
200DMA
10.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
45.28
Neutral
STOCH
46.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:KPG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.60, below the 50-day MA of 10.69, and below the 200-day MA of 10.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:KPG.

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
1.12B13.1729.27%6.13%11.64%18.08%
65
Neutral
AU$469.95M136.5813.37%0.08%24.47%21.28%
59
Neutral
171.69M19.104.39%27.05%520.93%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:KPG
Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd.
10.38
2.73
35.69%
STGXF
Smartgroup Corporation Ltd
5.39
-0.02
-0.37%
AU:CUP
Countplus Limited
1.03
0.40
63.49%

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

Kelly Partners Group Announces Extraordinary General Meeting
Sep 11, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. has announced an Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) scheduled for October 14, 2025, in Sydney. The meeting will address a resolution that shareholders are encouraged to vote on, either in advance or by proxy. This EGM is a significant event for the company, as it provides an opportunity for shareholders to engage with the board and influence the company’s strategic decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KPG) stock is a Hold with a A$11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. stock, see the AU:KPG Stock Forecast page.

Kelly Partners Group Expands with Pittwater Firm Acquisition
Sep 1, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited has announced the acquisition of a Pittwater-based accounting firm, marking another step in its strategic expansion. This acquisition, while not material to the company, highlights the effectiveness of Kelly+Partners’ business model and its appeal to accounting firms seeking succession solutions. The partnership is part of a series of recent acquisitions that are projected to increase the company’s annual revenue run rate to approximately AUD 154 million, reflecting a significant growth trajectory.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KPG) stock is a Hold with a A$11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. stock, see the AU:KPG Stock Forecast page.

Kelly Partners Re-appoints Joyce Au as Company Secretary
Aug 29, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd announced the re-appointment of Ms. Joyce Au as Company Secretary, effective after trading on August 29, 2025. Ms. Au, a solicitor and Chartered Accountant with 20 years of experience, has been with the company since its inception, contributing significantly across various roles. This change reflects the company’s commitment to leveraging experienced leadership to enhance its operations and maintain strong communication with the ASX.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KPG) stock is a Hold with a A$11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. stock, see the AU:KPG Stock Forecast page.

Kelly Partners Group Announces Director’s Share Transfer for Loan Security
Aug 28, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically related to Brett Kelly. The change involves a transfer of 1,000,000 ordinary shares to a custodian for security purposes under a Master Loan Agreement and Deed of Security. This move allows Kelly Investments 1 Pty Ltd to borrow against the value of its shares in Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd., with the right to recover the shares at the end of the loan period.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KPG) stock is a Hold with a A$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. stock, see the AU:KPG Stock Forecast page.

Kelly Partners Announces Director’s Shareholding Update
Aug 15, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Brett Kelly. The change involved the disposal of 5,000 ordinary shares through on-market transfers, resulting in a slight decrease in the total number of shares held by the director. This adjustment in shareholding is a routine update and does not indicate any significant shift in company strategy or operations.

Kelly Partners Group Unveils Global Expansion Strategy
Aug 12, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. has announced its strategic vision for global expansion, particularly targeting the US market. The company has achieved significant revenue growth in the US, reaching USD$16.5m in just 2.5 years, demonstrating the effectiveness of its Partner-Owner-Driver® model. This expansion is part of a broader strategy to deliver enduring value to shareholders and positively impact communities worldwide. The Group’s revenue has grown at a compound annual growth rate of 30% over 19 years, doubling every three years, showcasing its successful growth trajectory.

Kelly Partners Group Focuses on Strategic Growth and Value Enhancement
Aug 11, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited, in its FY2025 Management Discussion & Analysis, outlines its strategic focus on enhancing the earning power of its operating businesses and pursuing growth through acquisitions. The company aims to increase earnings by 5% annually and is open to making significant acquisitions that align strategically. Additionally, the company plans to repurchase shares when they are available at a discount. These strategies are designed to build per-share intrinsic value and strengthen the company’s market position.

Kelly Partners Group Sees 24.5% Revenue Surge Amid Global Expansion
Aug 11, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. reported a 24.5% increase in revenue for FY25, reaching $134.6 million, with significant contributions from both acquired and organic growth. The company’s strategic expansion into the USA and Ireland, alongside its Partner-Owner-Driver model, has bolstered its market presence, particularly in the US where it now services a notable percentage of McDonald’s franchisees. The firm continues to invest in long-term growth, evidenced by recent partnerships and an internal equity capital raise, while maintaining strong client satisfaction and digital engagement.

Kelly Partners Group Reports Strong FY25 Results with International Expansion
Aug 11, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. reported a successful fiscal year 2025, with a notable 25% increase in revenue to $134 million and a 25% rise in free cash flow per share. The company also expanded its operations to include a new country, Ireland, and achieved a 50% increase in organizational growth, highlighting its strong market position and commitment to strategic growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 25, 2025