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Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. (AU:KPG)
ASX:KPG
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Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. (KPG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:KPG

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd.

(Sydney:KPG)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
AU$11.50
▲(6.88% Upside)
Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. has a solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and operational efficiency. The earnings call highlighted positive strategic developments and robust cash flow, contributing to a favorable outlook. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, and technical indicators show a lack of strong momentum. The company must manage its leverage and international expansion costs to sustain long-term growth.

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. (KPG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKelly Partners Group Holdings Limited provides chartered accounting and other professional services to private businesses and high net worth individuals in Australia. The company operates through two segments, Accounting and Other Services. It offers accounting and taxation, corporate secretarial, outsourced CFO, audit, business structuring, bookkeeping, and other accounting related services. The company also provides financial broking, wealth management, investment office, and other non-accounting services. Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited was founded in 2006 and is based in North Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyKelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. generates revenue primarily through fees for its accounting and business advisory services. Key revenue streams include tax compliance services, business consulting, and wealth management, which are offered to a diverse client base of SMEs. The company benefits from recurring income through long-term relationships with clients who require ongoing financial services. Additionally, KPG may engage in strategic partnerships or acquisitions to expand its service offerings and geographical reach, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong revenue growth, successful acquisitions, and robust cash flow. However, there were notable challenges, including an increase in net debt and costs associated with international expansion and compliance. The company remains optimistic about its strategy and growth potential.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenue grew 25% to $134 million with a revenue run rate of approximately $150 million.
Equity Capital Raise
First-time equity capital raise since IPO of $4 million to new partners from firms that joined since 2017.
Strong Cash Flow
Free cash flow grew by 8% with cash conversion at 99.8%.
International Expansion
The U.S. business is now as large as the Australian business was at IPO, achieved in 2.5 years compared to 11 years in Australia.
Programmatic Acquisition Strategy
Completed 6 acquisitions this year, contributing significantly to growth.
Return on Equity
Group return on equity remains strong at 38.8%, parent return on equity of 31.9%.
Cash Flow and Debt Management
Cash from operations increased by 23.3%, with strong headroom of $23.7 million.
Negative Updates
Reduction in Return on Invested Capital
There was a reduction in return on invested capital, though it remains strong at 27.5%.
Increase in Net Debt
Net debt increased by $13.3 million due to acquisitions, with net debt to underlying EBITDA ratio at 1.42x compared to 1.28x the prior year.
Challenges in International Markets
Profitability in the U.S. and Ireland is at average market levels; efforts are needed to improve these.
High Costs for Compliance and Legal
Significant costs incurred for PCAOB compliance and legal expenses in the U.S.
Strategic Review Costs
Strategic review costs of $1.2 million primarily related to PCAOB audit costs.
Increased Amortization Expense
Significant increase in amortization expenses due to acquisitions.
Company Guidance
During the Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited FY '25 results presentation, key financial metrics and strategic insights were shared. The company reported a 25% increase in revenue, reaching $134 million, with a revenue run rate of approximately $150 million. The firm conducted a $4 million equity capital raise since its 2017 IPO, and free cash flow grew by 8%. Despite a reduction in return on invested capital, organic growth surged by 50% to 4.5%, and the return on invested capital plus organic growth was a robust 27.5%. EBITDA margins remained strong at 28.3% for the group, with the Australian businesses achieving 30.8%. The company maintained a net debt to underlying EBITDA ratio of 1.42x, and cash flow was up 23.3%, with cash conversion efficiency at 99.8%. With a compounded annual gain in book value of 35.4% and a focus on scaling rather than merely growing, the company underscored its disciplined capital allocation strategy and long-term growth potential, aiming to replicate its Australian success internationally, notably in the U.S. and U.K. markets.

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. shows robust revenue growth and operational efficiency, as evidenced by strong EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, the company faces challenges with a high debt-to-equity ratio, which could impact financial stability. Cash flow metrics are generally positive, supporting the company's ability to generate cash from operations. Overall, the company is on a growth trajectory but must manage its leverage carefully to sustain long-term financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a rate of 11.98% in the most recent year, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin is exceptionally high at 100%, suggesting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.54%, which may indicate high operating expenses or other costs. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 16.88% and 27.63%, respectively, showing good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.58, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks if not managed properly. Return on equity is moderate at 12.01%, reflecting decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is not provided, but the overall leverage suggests a need for cautious financial management.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The free cash flow growth rate is positive at 5.64%, indicating improving cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.58, suggesting that cash flow generation is not fully aligned with reported earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.92, indicating that a significant portion of earnings is converted into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue134.61M134.61M108.14M86.52M64.86M48.91M
Gross Profit44.87M134.61M53.90M14.71M16.66M14.02M
EBITDA36.94M37.20M31.69M24.35M24.44M18.69M
Net Income3.41M3.41M3.52M3.93M5.56M4.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets198.96M198.96M159.32M132.59M106.64M67.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.87M6.87M3.27M5.33M2.97M4.04M
Total Debt101.88M101.88M79.75M72.66M53.74M31.85M
Total Liabilities132.48M132.48M106.96M97.12M72.69M42.46M
Stockholders Equity28.42M28.42M22.64M20.54M20.70M17.95M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.84M28.74M21.33M16.85M10.11M12.76M
Operating Cash Flow31.27M31.27M25.61M19.50M17.58M15.08M
Investing Cash Flow-19.78M-19.78M-14.82M-11.33M-20.93M-4.45M
Financing Cash Flow-11.39M-11.39M-5.95M-14.95M3.58M-11.00M

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.76
Price Trends
50DMA
10.82
Negative
100DMA
10.86
Negative
200DMA
10.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
52.03
Neutral
STOCH
42.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:KPG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.51, below the 50-day MA of 10.82, and below the 200-day MA of 10.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:KPG.

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
AU$486.71M141.4513.37%0.08%24.47%21.28%
64
Neutral
$10.73B15.747.64%2.01%2.76%-15.10%
$803.59M13.2831.30%5.50%
59
Neutral
AU$174.19M19.578.06%3.83%27.05%520.93%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:KPG
Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd.
10.76
2.57
31.38%
STGXF
Smartgroup Corporation Ltd
5.27
-0.47
-8.19%
AU:CUP
Countplus Limited
1.04
0.41
65.08%

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

Kelly Partners Expands U.S. Presence with New Partnership
Jul 31, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited has formed a partnership with James Howard Accountancy Corporation, a CPA firm in California, expanding its reach in the U.S. market. This partnership, which involves acquiring a 50.1% interest in the firm, is part of Kelly Partners’ strategy to grow its presence in the U.S., now servicing approximately 8% of McDonald’s franchisees in the country. The move is expected to enhance the company’s revenue and confirms the appeal of its business model to accounting firms in the U.S.

Kelly Partners Group Issues New Shares to Bolster Growth
Jun 30, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd announced the issuance of 374,957 ordinary shares without disclosure under the Corporations Act, confirming compliance with relevant legal provisions and the absence of excluded information. This move reflects the company’s ongoing strategy to strengthen its market position and operational capabilities, potentially impacting stakeholders by enhancing growth prospects and reinforcing its unique business model in the accounting industry.

Kelly Partners Group Expands ASX Quotation with New Securities
Jun 30, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. has announced the application for the quotation of 374,957 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), effective June 27, 2025. This move is part of previously announced transactions and is expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and market presence, potentially benefiting stakeholders by increasing the liquidity of its shares.

Kelly Partners Announces Director’s Shareholding Adjustment
Jun 27, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Brett Kelly, who disposed of 25,135 ordinary shares through on-market transfers. This transaction reflects a minor adjustment in the director’s shareholding, with implications for the company’s governance and potential investor perceptions, although it does not significantly alter the overall share distribution.

Kelly Partners Group Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Jun 26, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. announced a proposed issue of 374,957 ordinary fully paid securities, as part of a placement or other type of issue, with the proposed issue date set for June 27, 2025. This strategic move is likely aimed at raising capital to support the company’s growth initiatives, potentially strengthening its market position and offering enhanced value to its stakeholders.

Kelly Partners Group Announces Strategic Share Placement with Operating Partners
Jun 26, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd announced a private share placement with 41 of its Operating Partners, marking its first capital raising since its 2017 IPO. This move allows Operating Partners to invest in the company and share in its long-term growth, with the issuance of 374,957 shares at a 4.8% premium, raising $4,177,021. The placement increases Operating Partners’ ownership to approximately 9% of the company, reflecting a strategic effort to align interests and enhance stakeholder value.

Change in Director’s Interest at Kelly Partners Group Holdings
Jun 20, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Brett Kelly. The notice details the disposal of 23,470 ordinary shares by Brett Kelly through on-market transfers, resulting in a decrease in his total shareholding. This change in director’s interest may have implications for the company’s stock market perception and stakeholder confidence.

Kelly Partners Group Announces Director’s Share Disposal
Jun 13, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest notice concerning Brett Kelly. The change involves the disposal of 30,000 ordinary shares by Brett Kelly through on-market transfers, resulting in a revised holding of 17,659,987 ordinary shares. This adjustment in shareholding reflects a minor alteration in the director’s investment portfolio, which may have implications for the company’s stock market activities and investor perceptions.

Kelly Partners Announces Director’s Shareholding Adjustment
Jun 6, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically concerning Brett Kelly. The notice details the disposal of 1,800 ordinary shares by Brett Kelly through on-market transfers, resulting in a minor adjustment to his holdings. This change reflects routine portfolio management and is not expected to significantly impact the company’s operations or market position.

Kelly Partners Announces Director’s Shareholding Change
May 23, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Brett Kelly. The change includes the disposal of 18,560 ordinary shares through on-market transfers, valued at approximately $191,603.99. This adjustment in shareholding reflects a strategic decision by the director, potentially impacting the company’s governance and shareholder dynamics.

Director’s Shareholding Adjustment at Kelly Partners Group
May 16, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. announced a change in the director’s interest, with Brett Kelly disposing of 50,000 ordinary shares valued at $555,964.09 through on-market transfers. This transaction reflects a minor adjustment in the director’s shareholding, which may influence investor perceptions but is unlikely to significantly impact the company’s overall market positioning or operations.

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Announces Change in Substantial Holder’s Interests
May 9, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, Kelly Investments 1 Pty Ltd, in its voting securities. This change reflects a shift in the voting power from 46.35% to 46.24%, indicating a slight decrease in the substantial holder’s influence within the company. The announcement may impact the company’s operational dynamics and stakeholder relationships, as it highlights a change in the control of voting power.

Kelly Partners Announces Director’s Share Disposal
May 9, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. has announced a change in the director’s interest notice, specifically concerning Brett Kelly. The notice details the disposal of 50,000 ordinary shares by Brett Kelly through on-market transfers, valued at $591,817.01. This change reflects a slight adjustment in the director’s holdings, potentially impacting stakeholder perceptions and the company’s market positioning.

Kelly Partners Updates Director’s Interest Notice for Transparency
May 9, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited announced an amendment to the Change of Director’s Interest Notice for Brett Kelly, originally released on May 2, 2025. The amendment provides additional details and reconciliation of security movements, although the number of securities held remains unchanged. This update reflects the company’s commitment to transparency and compliance with regulatory requirements, ensuring stakeholders are informed about changes in director interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025