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Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. (AU:KPG)
ASX:KPG
Australian Market

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. (KPG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:KPG

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd.

(Sydney:KPG)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
AU$8.50
â–²(1.19% Upside)
Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. has a solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and operational efficiency. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio and low net profit margin are concerns. The technical analysis indicates weak market momentum, and the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation. The earnings call provided a positive outlook, but challenges such as increased debt and compliance costs remain.
Positive Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
Sustained top-line growth from 25% YoY expansion and a $150m run rate reflects successful scaling of advisory and partner-firm model. Durable revenue expansion supports reinvestment, broadened recurring fee base, and underpins medium-term international roll-out prospects.
High Cash Conversion
Near-100% cash conversion and rising free cash flow indicate high earnings quality and strong operational cash generation. This durable cash profile funds acquisitions, services debt, and finances growth without relying heavily on external capital over the next several quarters.
Robust EBITDA Margins
Sustained high EBITDA margins demonstrate scalable advisory operations and efficient cost structure, providing margin headroom as the firm expands internationally. Strong underlying margins protect cash flow and support investment in tech, compliance, and further acquisitions.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
A D/E of 3.58 signals elevated financial leverage that can constrain flexibility and amplify downside in weaker conditions. Over months, high leverage increases refinancing and interest risks, limiting the firm's ability to fund opportunistic investments or absorb shocks without equity or cash buffers.
Net Debt Increased from M&A
Acquisition-driven debt growth boosts scale but reduces headroom and raises servicing obligations. While net debt/EBITDA remains moderate, continued acquisitive growth could erode flexibility and require equity raises or slower M&A pacing, a structural constraint for the next 2-6 months.
Compliance, Legal & Amortisation Drag
Ongoing PCAOB compliance, US legal costs and higher acquisition-related amortisation are recurring profit headwinds. These structural expenses compress net margins and reported earnings, reducing retained profits and making near-term margin improvement harder despite strong underlying EBITDA.

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. (KPG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKelly Partners Group Holdings Limited provides chartered accounting and other professional services to private businesses and high net worth individuals in Australia. The company operates through two segments, Accounting and Other Services. It offers accounting and taxation, corporate secretarial, outsourced CFO, audit, business structuring, bookkeeping, and other accounting related services. The company also provides financial broking, wealth management, investment office, and other non-accounting services. Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited was founded in 2006 and is based in North Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyKelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. generates revenue through multiple streams. The primary source of income comes from fees for accounting and tax services provided to SMEs, which include compliance services and advisory fees. KPG also earns revenue from consulting services that offer strategic insights and business development assistance. Additionally, the company may benefit from performance-based fees linked to the financial improvement of its clients. Strategic partnerships with technology providers enhance service delivery, allowing KPG to integrate advanced solutions into their offerings, which can lead to increased client retention and new business opportunities. The company's growth strategy includes expanding its network of partner firms, which contributes to its overall revenue growth by increasing its client base and service capabilities.

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. shows robust revenue growth and operational efficiency, with strong EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio poses a financial risk, and the net profit margin is relatively low. Cash flow metrics are positive, indicating good cash generation capabilities.
Income Statement
Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a rate of 11.98% in the most recent year, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin is exceptionally high at 100%, suggesting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.54%, which may indicate high operating expenses or other costs. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 16.88% and 27.63%, respectively, showing good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.58, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks if not managed properly. Return on equity is moderate at 12.01%, reflecting decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is not provided, but the overall leverage suggests a need for cautious financial management.
Cash Flow
The free cash flow growth rate is positive at 5.64%, indicating improving cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.58, suggesting that cash flow generation is not fully aligned with reported earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.92, indicating that a significant portion of earnings is converted into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue134.61M134.61M108.14M86.52M64.86M48.91M
Gross Profit44.87M134.61M53.90M14.71M16.66M14.02M
EBITDA36.94M37.20M31.69M24.92M24.14M18.38M
Net Income3.41M3.41M3.52M3.93M5.56M4.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets198.96M198.96M159.32M132.59M106.64M67.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.87M6.87M3.27M5.33M2.97M4.04M
Total Debt101.88M101.88M79.75M72.66M53.74M31.85M
Total Liabilities132.48M132.48M106.96M97.12M72.69M42.46M
Stockholders Equity28.42M28.42M22.64M20.54M20.70M17.95M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.84M28.74M21.33M16.85M10.11M12.76M
Operating Cash Flow31.27M31.27M25.61M19.50M17.58M15.08M
Investing Cash Flow-19.78M-19.78M-14.82M-11.33M-20.93M-4.45M
Financing Cash Flow-11.39M-11.39M-5.95M-14.95M3.58M-11.00M

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.40
Price Trends
50DMA
8.63
Negative
100DMA
9.56
Negative
200DMA
10.18
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Negative
RSI
42.35
Neutral
STOCH
12.26
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:KPG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.28, below the 50-day MA of 8.63, and below the 200-day MA of 10.18, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.26 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:KPG.

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
AU$1.24B14.9231.30%5.51%11.64%18.08%
76
Outperform
AU$185.18M20.698.06%4.11%27.05%520.93%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
AU$378.05M109.8713.37%0.11%24.47%21.28%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:KPG
Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd.
8.01
-2.27
-22.08%
AU:SIQ
Smartgroup Corporation Ltd
9.08
1.81
24.95%
AU:CUP
Countplus Limited
1.11
0.35
45.39%

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

Kelly Partners Founder Brett Kelly Restructures Shareholdings Under New Loan Security Arrangements
Dec 24, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings has disclosed changes in the shareholdings of its founder and director Brett Kelly, detailing a series of transfers between his direct and indirect holdings and various custodial arrangements over the period 19–22 December 2025. The notice shows that a significant portion of Kelly’s directly held ordinary shares was moved into structures involving custodians and lenders as security under loan and pledge agreements, signalling a reorganisation of his personal financing and security arrangements rather than a straightforward sale, and clarifying his ongoing economic interest in the company for investors monitoring board and insider ownership.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KPG) stock is a Hold with a A$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. stock, see the AU:KPG Stock Forecast page.

Kelly Partners Group Climbs to 17th in AFR Top 100 Accounting Firms
Dec 3, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited has been ranked as the 17th largest accounting firm in Australia according to the 2025 Australian Financial Review’s Top 100 Accounting Firms list. The company has demonstrated consistent growth, with a current annual run rate revenue of AUD 164 million, and aims to break into the Top 10 accounting firms in Australia by achieving a revenue target of approximately AUD 200 million. Recent acquisitions and organic growth have contributed to this upward trajectory, positioning Kelly Partners for further expansion and increased market share.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KPG) stock is a Hold with a A$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. stock, see the AU:KPG Stock Forecast page.

Kelly Partners Expands with New Partnership in Narrandera
Dec 2, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited has completed a partnership with an accounting firm in Narrandera, NSW, forming a new entity where it holds a 50.10% interest. This partnership, while not materially significant, highlights the company’s effective succession planning model and its ability to attract established firms. The acquisition contributes to the company’s growth strategy, with Kelly Partners completing multiple partnerships this financial year, boosting its revenue growth and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KPG) stock is a Hold with a A$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. stock, see the AU:KPG Stock Forecast page.

Kelly Partners Expands with Southern Highlands Acquisition
Nov 26, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited has announced a new partnership with an accounting firm in Southern Highlands, NSW, acquiring a 50.10% interest. This acquisition is part of Kelly+Partners’ strategy to assist with business succession and expand its market reach, contributing to an estimated annual revenue increase to $163 million.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KPG) stock is a Hold with a A$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. stock, see the AU:KPG Stock Forecast page.

Kelly Partners Group AGM Results: Resolutions Carried with Strong Support
Nov 25, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. announced the results of its Annual General Meeting held on November 25, 2025. All resolutions presented to shareholders were carried, indicating strong support for the company’s current strategies and leadership. This outcome suggests continued stability and confidence in the company’s direction, which may positively impact its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KPG) stock is a Hold with a A$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. stock, see the AU:KPG Stock Forecast page.

Kelly Partners Group Reports Strong FY25 Growth
Nov 24, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. reported significant growth in its 2025 financial year, with a 17% increase in team size and a 25% rise in revenue, reaching $134 million. The company also expanded its operations to more countries, reflecting its commitment to helping private business owners and communities thrive. This growth highlights the company’s strong market positioning and dedication to its mission and values.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KPG) stock is a Hold with a A$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. stock, see the AU:KPG Stock Forecast page.

Kelly Partners Group Expands with Sydney CBD/Bowral Partnership
Nov 13, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited has completed a partnership with the Sydney CBD and Bowral accounting business, contributing to a significant revenue growth of 19.2% year-to-date and an annualized growth rate of 60%. This strategic move, along with other recent acquisitions, is expected to increase the company’s annual run rate revenue to approximately AUD 160 million, reflecting a strong market position and growth trajectory.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KPG) stock is a Hold with a A$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. stock, see the AU:KPG Stock Forecast page.

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Announces Virtual 2025 AGM
Oct 24, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. has announced its 2025 Annual General Meeting (AGM), which will be held virtually on November 25, 2025. Shareholders are encouraged to participate by registering online and can vote on resolutions either before or during the meeting. This virtual AGM format reflects the company’s commitment to accessibility and engagement with its stakeholders, allowing for broader participation and input from shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KPG) stock is a Hold with a A$11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. stock, see the AU:KPG Stock Forecast page.

Kelly Partners Expands with Strategic Acquisition in the Philippines
Oct 19, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited has announced a strategic partnership by acquiring a 50.10% stake in an Australian business that offers outsourced services through its operations in the Philippines. This acquisition, which is expected to generate an annual revenue of $6.0m to $7.0m for the Group, reinforces the attractiveness of Kelly+Partners’ Partner-Owner-Driver® model, despite not being material to the company’s overall financials. The partnership is part of a series of acquisitions that have contributed to a projected annual run rate revenue of $160m for the Group, indicating significant growth and expansion in its service offerings.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KPG) stock is a Hold with a A$11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. stock, see the AU:KPG Stock Forecast page.

Kelly Partners Group Secures Shareholder Approval for Financial Assistance
Oct 14, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. announced the results of its Extraordinary General Meeting held on October 14, 2025, where shareholders approved the provision of financial assistance to two of its subsidiaries. The resolutions were carried with an overwhelming majority, indicating strong shareholder support for the company’s strategic financial decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:KPG) stock is a Hold with a A$11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. stock, see the AU:KPG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025