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Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. (AU:KPG)
ASX:KPG
Australian Market

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. (KPG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:KPG

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd.

(Sydney:KPG)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
AU$10.00
â–²(19.05% Upside)
Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. has a solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and operational efficiency. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio and low net profit margin are concerns. The technical analysis indicates weak market momentum, and the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation. The earnings call provided a positive outlook, but challenges such as increased debt and compliance costs remain.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for KPG's services, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term business expansion.
Cash Flow Management
Efficient cash flow management ensures liquidity and financial stability, enabling KPG to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt.
International Expansion
Rapid international expansion demonstrates KPG's scalable business model and potential for significant growth in new markets.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
Rising debt levels can strain financial resources, potentially limiting KPG's ability to invest in future growth and manage economic downturns.
Compliance Costs
High compliance costs can reduce profitability and divert resources from strategic initiatives, impacting KPG's competitive edge.
Profitability Challenges
Challenges in achieving higher profitability in international markets may hinder KPG's ability to leverage its global expansion for enhanced financial performance.

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. (KPG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKelly Partners Group Holdings Limited provides chartered accounting and other professional services to private businesses and high net worth individuals in Australia. The company operates through two segments, Accounting and Other Services. It offers accounting and taxation, corporate secretarial, outsourced CFO, audit, business structuring, bookkeeping, and other accounting related services. The company also provides financial broking, wealth management, investment office, and other non-accounting services. Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited was founded in 2006 and is based in North Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyKelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. generates revenue through multiple streams. The primary source of income comes from fees for accounting and tax services provided to SMEs, which include compliance services and advisory fees. KPG also earns revenue from consulting services that offer strategic insights and business development assistance. Additionally, the company may benefit from performance-based fees linked to the financial improvement of its clients. Strategic partnerships with technology providers enhance service delivery, allowing KPG to integrate advanced solutions into their offerings, which can lead to increased client retention and new business opportunities. The company's growth strategy includes expanding its network of partner firms, which contributes to its overall revenue growth by increasing its client base and service capabilities.

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong revenue growth, successful acquisitions, and robust cash flow. However, there were notable challenges, including an increase in net debt and costs associated with international expansion and compliance. The company remains optimistic about its strategy and growth potential.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenue grew 25% to $134 million with a revenue run rate of approximately $150 million.
Equity Capital Raise
First-time equity capital raise since IPO of $4 million to new partners from firms that joined since 2017.
Strong Cash Flow
Free cash flow grew by 8% with cash conversion at 99.8%.
International Expansion
The U.S. business is now as large as the Australian business was at IPO, achieved in 2.5 years compared to 11 years in Australia.
Programmatic Acquisition Strategy
Completed 6 acquisitions this year, contributing significantly to growth.
Return on Equity
Group return on equity remains strong at 38.8%, parent return on equity of 31.9%.
Cash Flow and Debt Management
Cash from operations increased by 23.3%, with strong headroom of $23.7 million.
Negative Updates
Reduction in Return on Invested Capital
There was a reduction in return on invested capital, though it remains strong at 27.5%.
Increase in Net Debt
Net debt increased by $13.3 million due to acquisitions, with net debt to underlying EBITDA ratio at 1.42x compared to 1.28x the prior year.
Challenges in International Markets
Profitability in the U.S. and Ireland is at average market levels; efforts are needed to improve these.
High Costs for Compliance and Legal
Significant costs incurred for PCAOB compliance and legal expenses in the U.S.
Strategic Review Costs
Strategic review costs of $1.2 million primarily related to PCAOB audit costs.
Increased Amortization Expense
Significant increase in amortization expenses due to acquisitions.
Company Guidance
During the Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited FY '25 results presentation, key financial metrics and strategic insights were shared. The company reported a 25% increase in revenue, reaching $134 million, with a revenue run rate of approximately $150 million. The firm conducted a $4 million equity capital raise since its 2017 IPO, and free cash flow grew by 8%. Despite a reduction in return on invested capital, organic growth surged by 50% to 4.5%, and the return on invested capital plus organic growth was a robust 27.5%. EBITDA margins remained strong at 28.3% for the group, with the Australian businesses achieving 30.8%. The company maintained a net debt to underlying EBITDA ratio of 1.42x, and cash flow was up 23.3%, with cash conversion efficiency at 99.8%. With a compounded annual gain in book value of 35.4% and a focus on scaling rather than merely growing, the company underscored its disciplined capital allocation strategy and long-term growth potential, aiming to replicate its Australian success internationally, notably in the U.S. and U.K. markets.

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. shows robust revenue growth and operational efficiency, with strong EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio poses a financial risk, and the net profit margin is relatively low. Cash flow metrics are positive, indicating good cash generation capabilities.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a rate of 11.98% in the most recent year, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin is exceptionally high at 100%, suggesting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.54%, which may indicate high operating expenses or other costs. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 16.88% and 27.63%, respectively, showing good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.58, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks if not managed properly. Return on equity is moderate at 12.01%, reflecting decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is not provided, but the overall leverage suggests a need for cautious financial management.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The free cash flow growth rate is positive at 5.64%, indicating improving cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.58, suggesting that cash flow generation is not fully aligned with reported earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.92, indicating that a significant portion of earnings is converted into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue134.61M134.61M108.14M86.52M64.86M48.91M
Gross Profit44.87M134.61M53.90M14.71M16.66M14.02M
EBITDA36.94M37.20M31.69M24.92M24.14M18.38M
Net Income3.41M3.41M3.52M3.93M5.56M4.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets198.96M198.96M159.32M132.59M106.64M67.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.87M6.87M3.27M5.33M2.97M4.04M
Total Debt101.88M101.88M79.75M72.66M53.74M31.85M
Total Liabilities132.48M132.48M106.96M97.12M72.69M42.46M
Stockholders Equity28.42M28.42M22.64M20.54M20.70M17.95M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.84M28.74M21.33M16.85M10.11M12.76M
Operating Cash Flow31.27M31.27M25.61M19.50M17.58M15.08M
Investing Cash Flow-19.78M-19.78M-14.82M-11.33M-20.93M-4.45M
Financing Cash Flow-11.39M-11.39M-5.95M-14.95M3.58M-11.00M

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price8.40
Price Trends
50DMA
9.28
Negative
100DMA
9.94
Negative
200DMA
10.45
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.28
Negative
RSI
50.21
Neutral
STOCH
34.21
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:KPG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 8.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.53, below the 50-day MA of 9.28, and below the 200-day MA of 10.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:KPG.

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.18B14.2231.30%5.80%11.64%18.08%
76
Outperform
AU$187.69M20.978.06%4.04%27.05%520.93%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
AU$393.89M114.4713.37%0.10%24.47%21.28%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:KPG
Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd.
8.40
-1.38
-14.11%
AU:SIQ
Smartgroup Corporation Ltd
8.64
1.45
20.15%
AU:CUP
Countplus Limited
1.12
0.39
53.42%

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

Kelly Partners Group Climbs to 17th in AFR Top 100 Accounting Firms
Dec 3, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited has been ranked as the 17th largest accounting firm in Australia according to the 2025 Australian Financial Review’s Top 100 Accounting Firms list. The company has demonstrated consistent growth, with a current annual run rate revenue of AUD 164 million, and aims to break into the Top 10 accounting firms in Australia by achieving a revenue target of approximately AUD 200 million. Recent acquisitions and organic growth have contributed to this upward trajectory, positioning Kelly Partners for further expansion and increased market share.

Kelly Partners Expands with New Partnership in Narrandera
Dec 2, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited has completed a partnership with an accounting firm in Narrandera, NSW, forming a new entity where it holds a 50.10% interest. This partnership, while not materially significant, highlights the company’s effective succession planning model and its ability to attract established firms. The acquisition contributes to the company’s growth strategy, with Kelly Partners completing multiple partnerships this financial year, boosting its revenue growth and market positioning.

Kelly Partners Expands with Southern Highlands Acquisition
Nov 26, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited has announced a new partnership with an accounting firm in Southern Highlands, NSW, acquiring a 50.10% interest. This acquisition is part of Kelly+Partners’ strategy to assist with business succession and expand its market reach, contributing to an estimated annual revenue increase to $163 million.

Kelly Partners Group AGM Results: Resolutions Carried with Strong Support
Nov 25, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. announced the results of its Annual General Meeting held on November 25, 2025. All resolutions presented to shareholders were carried, indicating strong support for the company’s current strategies and leadership. This outcome suggests continued stability and confidence in the company’s direction, which may positively impact its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

Kelly Partners Group Reports Strong FY25 Growth
Nov 24, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. reported significant growth in its 2025 financial year, with a 17% increase in team size and a 25% rise in revenue, reaching $134 million. The company also expanded its operations to more countries, reflecting its commitment to helping private business owners and communities thrive. This growth highlights the company’s strong market positioning and dedication to its mission and values.

Kelly Partners Group Expands with Sydney CBD/Bowral Partnership
Nov 13, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited has completed a partnership with the Sydney CBD and Bowral accounting business, contributing to a significant revenue growth of 19.2% year-to-date and an annualized growth rate of 60%. This strategic move, along with other recent acquisitions, is expected to increase the company’s annual run rate revenue to approximately AUD 160 million, reflecting a strong market position and growth trajectory.

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Announces Virtual 2025 AGM
Oct 24, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. has announced its 2025 Annual General Meeting (AGM), which will be held virtually on November 25, 2025. Shareholders are encouraged to participate by registering online and can vote on resolutions either before or during the meeting. This virtual AGM format reflects the company’s commitment to accessibility and engagement with its stakeholders, allowing for broader participation and input from shareholders.

Kelly Partners Expands with Strategic Acquisition in the Philippines
Oct 19, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited has announced a strategic partnership by acquiring a 50.10% stake in an Australian business that offers outsourced services through its operations in the Philippines. This acquisition, which is expected to generate an annual revenue of $6.0m to $7.0m for the Group, reinforces the attractiveness of Kelly+Partners’ Partner-Owner-Driver® model, despite not being material to the company’s overall financials. The partnership is part of a series of acquisitions that have contributed to a projected annual run rate revenue of $160m for the Group, indicating significant growth and expansion in its service offerings.

Kelly Partners Group Secures Shareholder Approval for Financial Assistance
Oct 14, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. announced the results of its Extraordinary General Meeting held on October 14, 2025, where shareholders approved the provision of financial assistance to two of its subsidiaries. The resolutions were carried with an overwhelming majority, indicating strong shareholder support for the company’s strategic financial decisions.

Kelly Partners Approves Financial Assistance for Subsidiary Acquisition
Oct 13, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. held an Extraordinary General Meeting to approve a resolution for providing financial assistance to one of its subsidiaries. The resolution allows the subsidiary to acquire a majority stake in another entity by securing new loan facilities and guarantees with Westpac, which is expected to facilitate the funding requirements for this acquisition.

Kelly Partners Group Announces Extraordinary General Meeting
Sep 11, 2025

Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. has announced an Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) scheduled for October 14, 2025, in Sydney. The meeting will address a resolution that shareholders are encouraged to vote on, either in advance or by proxy. This EGM is a significant event for the company, as it provides an opportunity for shareholders to engage with the board and influence the company’s strategic decisions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025