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Jupiter Energy Limited (AU:JPR)
ASX:JPR

Jupiter Energy (JPR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:JPR

Jupiter Energy

(Sydney:JPR)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.02
▲(5.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/02/25
Jupiter Energy's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its challenging financial performance, characterized by declining revenues and high leverage. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while valuation metrics reflect unprofitability. The lack of earnings call data and corporate events further limits positive influences on the score.
Positive Factors
High Gross Margin
A 53.21% gross profit margin suggests the company extracts strong netbacks from production and has relatively low direct extraction costs. Structurally, this margin provides a durable buffer that supports cash generation and reinvestment capacity if production volumes remain stable.
Operating Cash Generation
Despite accounting losses, the company converts a meaningful portion of reported losses into operating and free cash flow. This persistent cash-generation ability supports short-to-medium term funding of operations, limited capex, and offers some runway for deleveraging or strategic asset moves.
Asset-backed Production and Monetization Options
Jupiter owns producing onshore oil assets in Kazakhstan and explicitly cites farm-outs and asset sales as monetization routes. Asset-backed production provides tangible collateral and multiple structural options to raise cash or partner for development, supporting long-term business continuity.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Trend
Revenue is contracting on a multi-period basis, indicating either falling production volumes or weaker realizations. Sustained revenue decline will pressure operating cash flow, reduce flexibility for capex and maintenance, and exacerbate leverage and liquidity risks over the coming months.
Balance Sheet and Leverage Risk
The balance sheet shows negative shareholders' equity and elevated leverage, a structural constraint on financial flexibility. This condition makes refinancing harder, increases counterparty risk, and raises the likelihood of forced asset sales or dilutive capital raises to address solvency over the medium term.
Persistent Operating Losses
Material negative net and operating margins mean the core business is not covering costs at current scale. Continued operating losses will erode cash and require external funding or asset monetization, threatening sustainable operations and investment in production maintenance or growth.

Jupiter Energy (JPR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Jupiter Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJupiter Energy Limited operates as an oil and gas exploration, appraisal, development, and production company in Kazakhstan. It owns a 100% interest in Block 31, an exploration permit covering an area of 123 square kilometers located in the Mangistau Basin, West Kazakhstan. Jupiter Energy Limited was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyJupiter Energy generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of crude oil and natural gas extracted from its operational sites. The company sells its products to various buyers, including refineries and energy companies, often at market prices influenced by global oil and gas market trends. Key revenue streams include direct sales of produced hydrocarbons, potential joint ventures with other energy companies that may involve shared production efforts, and strategic partnerships that could enhance operational efficiency and market reach. Additionally, fluctuations in commodity prices, regulatory frameworks, and geopolitical factors in the regions where they operate can significantly impact the company’s earnings.

Jupiter Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Jupiter Energy is facing significant financial challenges with declining revenues, high leverage, and negative profitability. Despite a strong gross profit margin, the negative net income and equity position raise concerns about financial stability and long-term viability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Jupiter Energy's income statement shows a declining revenue trend with a negative revenue growth rate of -6.58% in the latest period. The company has a strong gross profit margin of 53.21%, but the net profit margin is negative at -27.97%, indicating significant losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning financial structure with negative stockholders' equity and a negative debt-to-equity ratio, indicating high leverage and potential solvency issues. The return on equity is positive at 5.08%, but this is due to negative equity, which is not sustainable.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth at -52.94%, but the company maintains a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.65. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.54, indicating some ability to generate cash relative to net losses.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.28M11.14M5.59M4.13M4.03M
Gross Profit5.47M5.88M1.63M1.50M1.90M
EBITDA-12.90K4.84M50.87M-3.33M8.48M
Net Income-2.88M1.85M44.19M-11.51M61.66K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.43M24.85M23.24M20.61M20.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.23M3.22M860.79K1.33M690.95K
Total Debt16.62K18.82M20.80M100.03M88.37M
Total Liabilities25.00M21.14M25.16M102.17M90.45M
Stockholders Equity-565.80K3.71M-1.92M-81.56M-70.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.75M3.10M-511.84K-56.19K-743.08K
Operating Cash Flow3.23M3.44M1.50M229.20K629.02K
Investing Cash Flow-1.44M-314.71K-2.01M-285.39K-1.37M
Financing Cash Flow-1.54M-604.13K-39.91K694.90K1.30M

Jupiter Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.02
Price Trends
50DMA
0.02
Positive
100DMA
0.03
Negative
200DMA
0.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
63.60
Neutral
STOCH
46.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:JPR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, below the 50-day MA of 0.02, and below the 200-day MA of 0.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:JPR.

Jupiter Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
AU$70.70M13.1919.97%58.52%74.07%
66
Neutral
AU$56.46M7.0221.06%17.42%-38.46%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
59
Neutral
AU$13.56M-8.36%-7.30%
44
Neutral
AU$41.94M-17.78-14.52%40.00%
42
Neutral
AU$28.18M-11.30-171.19%-7.70%-253.33%
42
Neutral
AU$33.49M-7.69-8.06%-86.80%27.78%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:JPR
Jupiter Energy
0.03
>-0.01
-13.33%
AU:PVE
Po Valley Energy Limited
0.06
0.03
65.79%
AU:ROG
Red Sky Energy Limited
AU:CTP
Central Petroleum Limited
0.08
0.01
22.58%
AU:TDO
3D Oil Limited
0.08
-0.02
-18.37%
AU:HE8
Helios Energy Ltd
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Jupiter Energy Corporate Events

Jupiter Energy Director Increases Indirect Shareholding via On‑Market Purchase
Feb 8, 2026

Jupiter Energy has disclosed a change in director Geoff Gander’s interests following an on‑market purchase of 10,320 ordinary shares. The acquisition, executed indirectly through Svoboda Superannuation Pty Ltd as trustee for The Gander Superannuation Fund, increases Gander’s indirect holding to 3,727,513 ordinary shares while his direct share and remuneration rights positions remain unchanged.

The modest on‑market transaction, valued at $0.025 per share, signals continued insider support for Jupiter Energy’s stock but does not alter the overall structure of his holdings in remuneration share rights. The company confirmed that the trade did not occur during a closed period requiring prior written clearance, suggesting routine portfolio adjustment rather than a strategically timed move.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:JPR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jupiter Energy stock, see the AU:JPR Stock Forecast page.

Jupiter Energy Updates Registered Office Address in Melbourne
Feb 1, 2026

Jupiter Energy Limited has announced a change to its registered office address, which is now Suite 303, 365 Little Collins Street, Melbourne, VIC 3000, effective 2 February 2026. The company confirmed that its existing telephone number remains unchanged, indicating that the move is an administrative update rather than a shift in operational strategy or stakeholder communication channels.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:JPR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jupiter Energy stock, see the AU:JPR Stock Forecast page.

Jupiter Energy Director Geoff Gander Increases Indirect Shareholding via On-Market Purchase
Jan 30, 2026

Jupiter Energy Limited has disclosed a change in director Geoff Gander’s notifiable interest in the company’s securities, in accordance with ASX listing requirements. Through Svoboda Superannuation Pty Ltd, of which he is a beneficiary, Gander acquired 217,360 additional Jupiter Energy ordinary shares on market at an average price of $0.0225 per share, increasing his indirect shareholding while his direct holdings and remuneration share rights remain unchanged. The transaction, which did not occur during a closed trading period, modestly strengthens insider ownership and signals continued director alignment with shareholder interests without altering any contractual interests in the company’s securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:JPR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jupiter Energy stock, see the AU:JPR Stock Forecast page.

Jupiter Energy Posts Solid Domestic Oil Sales and Completes Gas Integration for All Fields
Jan 18, 2026

For the quarter ended 31 December 2025, Jupiter Energy generated unaudited oil sales revenue of approximately US$1.6 million from about 42,600 barrels sold entirely into the Kazakh domestic market, with no export sales recorded. Cash receipts were significantly higher at A$3.864 million due to an oil prepayment of roughly US$807,000 for around 19,000 barrels to be delivered in the first quarter of 2026, and the company reported stable production from its three fields while completing the commissioning of a gas pipeline that integrates the West Zhetybai field into MMG’s gas utilisation network, meaning all its oilfields now benefit from this infrastructure and potentially more efficient operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:JPR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jupiter Energy stock, see the AU:JPR Stock Forecast page.

Jupiter Energy Director Geoff Gander Increases Indirect Shareholding via On‑Market Purchase
Jan 4, 2026

Jupiter Energy Limited has disclosed a change in director Geoff Gander’s relevant interest in the company’s securities, following an on‑market purchase of additional ordinary shares. Through the Svoboda Superannuation Pty Ltd , of which he is a beneficiary, Gander acquired 13,513 Jupiter Energy ordinary shares at A$0.025 per share, increasing his indirect holding of ordinary shares from 3,486,320 to 3,499,833, while his direct share and remuneration share rights holdings remain unchanged. The transaction, which did not occur during a closed trading period, marginally lifts insider ownership and may be interpreted by investors as a vote of confidence in the company’s prospects, although no changes were reported in his interests in contracts or remuneration share rights.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:JPR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jupiter Energy stock, see the AU:JPR Stock Forecast page.

Jupiter Energy Director Geoff Gander Increases Indirect Shareholding via On-Market Purchase
Dec 24, 2025

Jupiter Energy Limited has reported a minor change in director Geoff Gander’s indirect shareholding following an on‑market purchase. Through Svoboda Superannuation Pty Ltd , of which he is a beneficiary, Gander acquired 1,534 ordinary shares at $0.025 per share on 22 December 2025, increasing his indirect holding of Jupiter Energy ordinary shares to 3,486,320, while his direct share and remuneration share rights holdings remain unchanged. The transaction, conducted outside a closed trading period, slightly increases the director’s overall economic exposure to the company, signaling continued personal investment but with no material impact on the company’s capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:JPR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jupiter Energy stock, see the AU:JPR Stock Forecast page.

Jupiter Energy Completes Key Gas Pipeline Integration in Kazakhstan
Dec 12, 2025

Jupiter Energy Limited has announced the completion of its strategic gas pipeline integration project at the West Zhetybai oilfield, which now connects all three of its oilfields to neighboring gas utilization infrastructure. This development ensures the efficient use of associated gas and strengthens relationships with MangistauMunaiGas and the Kazakh Ministry of Energy. The project is a significant step for Jupiter, enhancing its operational capabilities and supporting Kazakhstan’s long-term carbon-free objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:JPR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jupiter Energy stock, see the AU:JPR Stock Forecast page.

Jupiter Energy Director Increases Stake
Dec 2, 2025

Jupiter Energy Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Geoff Gander acquiring an additional 300,000 ordinary shares indirectly through an on-market purchase. This acquisition may impact the company’s stakeholder dynamics and reflects a potential increase in confidence from the director in the company’s future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:JPR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jupiter Energy stock, see the AU:JPR Stock Forecast page.

Jupiter Energy Director Increases Stake in Company
Nov 26, 2025

Jupiter Energy Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically regarding Geoff Gander’s indirect interest in the company. On November 25, 2025, Mr. Gander acquired 127,063 ordinary shares through an on-market purchase, increasing his indirect holdings to 3,184,786 shares. This transaction reflects a strategic move by the director to increase his stake in the company, potentially signaling confidence in Jupiter Energy’s future prospects and stability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 02, 2025